Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3187; (P) 1.3227; (R1) 1.3277; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside for 1.3080 support next. As noted before, price actions from 1.2460 are viewed as a corrective move. Decisive break of 1.3080 will indicate that it’s completed and turn outlook bearish for retesting 1.2460 low. On the upside, above 1.3330 minor resistance will turn bias neutral again with focus back on 1.3588/98 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg is possibly finished at 1.3598 too after hitting 50% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3575. Break of 1.3080 would likely resume the fall from 1.4689 through 1.2460 to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. We’d start to look for reversal signal below 1.2460 to complete the correction. In case of another rise, we’ll look for topping sign at 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3017; (P) 1.3060; (R1) 1.3093; More…

Overall outlook in USD/CAD is unchanged. Corrective rise from 1.2460 should have completed at 1.3598 already, after hitting 50% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.3838. Fall from 1.3598 is seen as the third leg of the corrective fall from 1.4689. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.3168 minor resistance holds, to retest 1.2460 low. On the upside, though, break of 1.3168 minor resistance will mix up the outlook again and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg could be completed at 1.3598 and fall from there is tentatively seen as the third leg. Break of 1.2460 will target 50% retracement of 0.9460 to 1.4689 at 1.2075 before completing the correction. In case of another rise, we’d look for reversal signal above 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2449; (P) 1.2500; (R1) 1.2559; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 1.2412 will resume recent fall from 1.3793 and target next long term fibonacci level at 1.2048. On the upside, above 1.2597 minor resistance will extend the consolidation from 1.2412 with another rise. But we’d expect upside to be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.3793 to 1.2412 at 1.2940 to bring fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. Such corrective fall is still expected to extend to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048. At this point, we’d look for strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. Nonetheless, on the upside, sustained break of 1.2968, 38.2% retracement of 1.3793 to 1.2412 at 1.2940 will be the first sign of completion of the correction and will turn focus back to 1.3793 key resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2538; (P) 1.2572; (R1) 1.2591; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside as fall from 1.2777 is in progress for retesting 1.2412 low. Break there will resume the larger decline and target next long term fibonacci level at 1.2048. On the upside, above 1.2690 will extend the correction from 1.2412 with another rise. But we’d expect upside to be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.3793 to 1.2412 at 1.2940 to bring fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. Such corrective fall is still expected to extend to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048. At this point, we’d look for strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. Nonetheless, on the upside, sustained break of 1.2968, 38.2% retracement of 1.3793 to 1.2412 at 1.2940 will be the first sign of completion of the correction and will turn focus back to 1.3793 key resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2081; (P) 1.2125; (R1) 1.2154; More….

USD/CAD is staying consolidation above 1.2061 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral first. At this point, we’d remain cautious on strong support from 1.2048 long term fibonacci level to bring sustainable rebound. But still, break of 1.2439 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of trend reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. Firm break of 1.2048 will pave the way to next fibonacci level at 1.1424.

In the bigger picture, current downside acceleration is raising the chance that whole long term rise from 0.9406 (2011 low), and that from 0.9056 (2007 low) is completed at 1.4689. Focus is now on 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048. As long as this level holds, we’d still favor that case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. However, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall fro 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3109; (P) 1.3123; (R1) 1.3139; More….

As long as 1.3185 minor resistance holds, further decline is expected in USD/CAD. Current fall from 1.3327 should extend to retest 1.3042 key support. Decisive break there will carry larger bearish implication. On the upside, break of 1.3185 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3327 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.364 at 1.3052 remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2395; (P) 1.2442; (R1) 1.2467; More…

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation from 1.2354 and intraday bias remains neutral. With 1.2623 support turned resistance intact, near term outlook remains mildly bearish. On the downside, break of 1.2354 will extend the decline from 1.2919 to retest 1.2061 low. Nonetheless, on the upside, sustained break of 1.2623 will argue that the fall has completed and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2919 resistance.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.2061 is likely completed completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850) and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3100; (P) 1.3196; (R1) 1.3275; More…

USD/CAD reaches as low as 1.3134 so far today and decline from 1.3598 extends. The break of 1.3080 completes a double top pattern (1.3588, 1.3598) and indicates reversal. This also supports our view that corrective rise from 1.2460 has completed. Fall from 1.3598 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 and should target 1.2460 low next. On the upside, break of 1.3293 is needed to confirm completion of the fall from 1.3598. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg is like finished at 1.3598 too after hitting 50% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3575. Break of 1.3080 would now likely resume the fall from 1.4689 through 1.2460 to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. We’d start to look for reversal signal below 1.2460 to complete the correction. In case of another rise, we’ll look for topping sign at 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838.

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USD/CAD rose strongly to as high as 1.3693 last week. The break of 1.3598 resistance confirms resumption of medium term rise from 1.2460. Further rally would now be seen to next medium term fibonacci level at 1.3838 ahead.

Initial bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside this week. Current rise from 1.3222 should now target 1.3838 fibonacci level. Rise from 1.2460 is having a corrective structure. Hence, we’d look for topping signal above 1.3898. On the downside, below 1.3529 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation. But for now, outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.3222 support holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.3222 support will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

In the longer term picture, rise from 0.9056 (2007 low) is viewed as a long term up trend. It’s taking a breath after hitting 1.4689. But such rise expected to resume later to test 1.6196 down the road.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2326; (P) 1.2355; (R1) 1.2399; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.2061 is still in progress. At this point, we’d remain cautious on strong support from 1.2048 to bring sustainable rebound. But still, break of 1.2439 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of trend reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. Firm break of 1.2048 will pave the way to next fibonacci level at 1.1424. Break of 1.2412 will bring stronger rise back to 55 day EMA (now at 1.2531) and above.

In the bigger picture, focus remains on 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048. As long as this level holds, we’d still favor that case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Rebound from 1.2048 could extend the larger up trend from 0.9406. However, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2458; (P) 1.2476; (R1) 1.2502; More….

USD/CAD rebound strongly in early US session. But it’s still bounded in range below 1.2598. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.2598 will extend the rebound from 1.2061 to 1.2777 resistance next. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.2598 at 1.2393 to bring rally resumption.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2531; (P) 1.2544; (R1) 1.2564; More….

For the moment, further rise is in favor with 1.2448 minor support intact. Rally from 1.2061 would target 1.2777 resistance first. Decisive break there will target key medium term fibonacci level at target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. On the downside, break of 1.2448 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.2061 low.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3079; (P) 1.3109; (R1) 1.3126; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside for 1.3052/68 cluster support. Decisive break there will carry larger bearish implication and target 1.2673 fibonacci level next. On the upside, break of 1.3239 support turned resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook stays neutral for now even though the case of bearish reversal is building up. Decisive break of 1.3068 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.3052) will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next. On the upside, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685, is needed to confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2462; (P) 1.2508; (R1) 1.2534; More….

Dollar’s fall accelerates to as low as 1.2366 so far and breaks 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.2919 at 1.2389. Based on current momentum, it’s getting more likely that fall from 1.2919 is resuming larger down trend. Intraday bias stays on the downside as long as 1.2480 minor resistance holds. Sustained trading below 1.2389 will pave the way to 1.2061 low. On the upside, above 1.2480 will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, current near term downside acceleration argues that USD/CAD was rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850. And the rebound from 1.2061 is possibly completed at 1.2919. More importantly, larger fall from 1.4689 (2016 high) could be resuming. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. Nonetheless, break of 1.2623 will revive the original case of bullish reversal and would resume the rebound from 1.2061 to 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2451; (P) 1.2495; (R1) 1.2525; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside for 1.2412 low. Firm break there will resume the larger fall and target next long term fibonacci level at 1.2048. On the upside, above 1.2597 minor resistance will extend the correction from 1.2412 with another rise. But we’d expect upside to be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.3793 to 1.2412 at 1.2940 to bring fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. Such corrective fall is still expected to extend to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048. At this point, we’d look for strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. Nonetheless, on the upside, sustained break of 1.2968, 38.2% retracement of 1.3793 to 1.2412 at 1.2940 will be the first sign of completion of the correction and will turn focus back to 1.3793 key resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3487; (P) 1.3515; (R1) 1.3570; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.3540 will resume the rise from 1.3176. That will also revive that case that whole fall from 1.3897 has completed, and target this resistance. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.3357 support will argue that rebound from 1.3176 has completed, and target this low for resuming whole fall from 1.3897.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Overall, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3646; (P) 1.3672; (R1) 1.3720; More…

Immediate focus is now on 1.3589 resistance in USD/CAD. firm break there will argue that corrective fall from 1.3845 has completed at 1.3589 already. Further rise should be seen to 1.3761 resistance first. Break there will bring retest of 1.3845 high. On the downside, however, sustained break of 55 D EMA will argue that whole rise from 1.3176 has completed already, and turn outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Firm break of 1.3976 will confirm up resumption of whole up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3176 at 1.4149.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3674; (P) 1.3714; (R1) 1.3757; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as it’s staying in consolidation below 1.3793 temporary top. Rise from 1.2460 is seen as a corrective pattern. Hence, in case of another rally, we’ll be cautious on topping at around 1.3838 fibonacci level. Meanwhile, consider bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.3534 support will argue that rise from 1.2968 is already completed. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.3222 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. Rise from 1.2460 is seen as the second leg and would end at around 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. Break of 1.3222 should indicate the start of the third leg while further break of 1.2968 should confirm. Nonetheless, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2564; (P) 1.2594; (R1) 1.2624; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral for consolidation below 1.2687 temporary top. Further rise is in favor as long as 1.2489 minor support holds. Above 1.2687 will extend the rise from 1.2246 to 1.2919 resistance next. However, below 1.2489 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2246 again.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 1.2246 is mixing up the medium term outlook. Nonetheless, USD/CAD is staying below falling 55 day EMA, hence, the bearish case is in favor. That is, fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Sustained break of 1.2061 key support will carry larger bearish implication and target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. However, firm break of 1.2919 will revive the case of medium term reversal and turn outlook bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2535; (P) 1.2598; (R1) 1.2630; More….

USD/CAD’s decline accelerates again and reaches as low as 1.2547 today so far. The break of 1.2598 support now argues that whole rebound from 1.2061 has completed at 1.2919 already. Near term outlook is bearish for 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.2919 at 1.2389 or possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.2697 minor resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will stay mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, we’re still favoring the case that USD/CAD has defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. With that in mind, fall from 1.2919 is viewed as a correction. Hence, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2061 low. In the long run, USD/CAD should have another medium term rise to take on 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065.