Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2238; (P) 1.2285; (R1) 1.2312; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside for the moment. Current decline from 1.2919 would extend to retest 1.2061 low. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.2390 minor resistance should indicate short term bottoming. In this case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.2531).

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.2061 is likely completed completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2258; (P) 1.2302; (R1) 1.2359; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside for the moment. Current decline from 1.2919 would extend to retest 1.2061 low. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.2390 minor resistance should indicate short term bottoming. In this case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.2541).

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.2061 is likely completed completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2304; (P) 1.2341; (R1) 1.2375; More…

USD/CAD drops to as low as 1.2246 so far and break of 1.2281 indicates fall resumption. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside. Fall from 1.2919 should target a test on 1.2061 low. On the upside, however, break of 1.2390 resistance will indicate near term bottoming. That would be accompanied by bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.2061 is likely completed completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2304; (P) 1.2341; (R1) 1.2375; More…

USD/CAD is staying in range above 1.2281 temporary low and intraday bias stays neutral. As long as 1.2490 resistance holds, near term outlook remains bearish and deeper decline is expected. On the downside, break of 1.2281 will extend the decline from 1.2919 and target a test on 1.2061 low. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.2490 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.2061 is likely completed completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2310; (P) 1.2335; (R1) 1.2363; More…

USD/CAD’s consolidation from 1.2281 temporary low is still unfolding and intraday bias remains neutral. As long as 1.2490 resistance holds, near term outlook stays bearish and deeper decline is expected. On the downside, break of 1.2281 will extend the decline from 1.2919 and target a test on 1.2061 low. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.2490 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.2061 is likely completed completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2271; (P) 1.2331; (R1) 1.2371; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.2281 temporary low. Near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.2490 resistance holds. Below 1.2281 will extend the decline from 1.2919 and target a test on 1.2061 low. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.2490 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.2061 is likely completed completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

USD/CAD’s decline from 1.2919 resumed last week and reached as low as 1.2281. As a temporary low is in place, initial bias is neutral this week for consolidations. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.2490 resistance holds. Break of 1.2281 will target a test on 1.2061 low. However, break of 1.2490 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.2061 is likely completed completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

In the longer term picture, 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048 remains a key support level to watch. As long as this level holds, we’ll treat fall from 1.4689 as a correction and expect another rally through this level. However, sustained break of 1.2048 will turn favors to the case that rise from 0.9056 (2007 low) is a three wave corrective move that’s completed at 1.4689. And retest of 0.9056/9406 support zone could be seen in medium to long term.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2305; (P) 1.2348; (R1) 1.2415; More…

A temporary low is in place at 1.2281 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Outlook stays bearish as long as 1.2490 resistance holds. Below 1.2281 will resume the fall from 1.2919 and target 1.2061 low. However, break of 1.2490 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.2061 is likely completed completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850) and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2296; (P) 1.2362; (R1) 1.2408; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside. Fall from 1.2919 is in progress and should target to retest 1.2061 low. On the upside, break of 1.290 minor resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.2061 is likely completed completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850) and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2395; (P) 1.2442; (R1) 1.2467; More…

USD/CAD drops to as low as 1.2322 so far. Break of 1.2354 indicates resumption of fall from 1.2919. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 1.2061 low. On the upside, break of 1.290 minor resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.2061 is likely completed completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850) and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2395; (P) 1.2442; (R1) 1.2467; More…

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation from 1.2354 and intraday bias remains neutral. With 1.2623 support turned resistance intact, near term outlook remains mildly bearish. On the downside, break of 1.2354 will extend the decline from 1.2919 to retest 1.2061 low. Nonetheless, on the upside, sustained break of 1.2623 will argue that the fall has completed and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2919 resistance.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.2061 is likely completed completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850) and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2420; (P) 1.2458; (R1) 1.2482; More…

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation from 1.2354 and intraday bias remains neutral. With 1.2623 support turned resistance intact, near term outlook remains mildly bearish. On the downside, break of 1.2354 will extend the decline from 1.2919 to retest 1.2061 low. Nonetheless, on the upside, sustained break of 1.2623 will argue that the fall has completed and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2919 resistance.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.2061 is likely completed completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850) and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2425; (P) 1.2466; (R1) 1.2534; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as range trading continues. Near term outlook stays mildly bearish as long as 1.2623 support turned resistance holds. Brea of 1.2354 will extend the decline to retest 1.2061 low. Nonetheless, on the upside, sustained break of 1.2623 will argue that the fall has completed and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2919 resistance.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.2061 is likely completed completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850) and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

USD/CAD stayed in range trading above 1.2354 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Near term outlook stays mildly bearish as long as 1.2623 support turned resistance holds. Brea of 1.2354 will extend the decline to retest 1.2061 low. Nonetheless, on the upside, sustained break of 1.2623 will argue that the fall has completed and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2919 resistance.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.2061 is likely completed completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850) and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

In the longer term picture, 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048 remains a key support level to watch. As long as this level holds, we’ll treat fall from 1.4689 as a correction and expect another rally through this level. However, sustained break of 1.2048 will turn favors to the case that rise from 0.9056 (2007 low) is a three wave corrective move that’s completed at 1.4689. And retest of 0.9056/9406 support zone could be seen in medium to long term.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2391; (P) 1.2438; (R1) 1.2464; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment as consolidation from 1.2354 continues. But again, as long as 1.2623 support turned resistance holds, deeper decline is expected. Break of 1.2354 will extend the fall from 1.2910 to retest 1.2061 low. However, sustained break of 1.2623 will argue that the fall has completed and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2919 resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.2061 has completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850) and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2348; (P) 1.2441; (R1) 1.2527; More…

USD/CAD is staying in range above 1.2354 and intraday bias remains neutral. More consolidations could be seen. But again, 1.2623 support turned resistance holds, deeper decline is expected. Break of 1.2354 will extend the fall from 1.2910 to retest 1.2061 low. However, sustained break of 1.2623 will argue that the fall has completed and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2919 resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.2061 has completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850) and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2403; (P) 1.2428; (R1) 1.2459; More….

USD/CAD rebounds strongly ahead of 1.2354, after dovish BoC rate hike. Technically, consolidation from 1.2354 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral. Still, as long as 1.2623 support turned resistance holds, deeper decline is expected. Break of 1.2354 will extend the fall from 1.2910 to retest 1.2061 low. However, sustained break of 1.2623 will argue that the fall has completed and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2919 resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.2061 has completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850) and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2403; (P) 1.2428; (R1) 1.2459; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.2354 continues. As long as 1.2623 support turned resistance holds, deeper decline is expected. Break of 1.2354 will extend the fall from 1.2910 to retest 1.2061 low. However, sustained break of 1.2623 will argue that the fall has completed and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2919 resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.2061 has completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850) and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2396; (P) 1.2434; (R1) 1.2465; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.2354 continues. As long as 1.2623 support turned resistance holds, deeper decline is expected. Break of 1.2354 will extend the fall from 1.2910 to retest 1.2061 low. However, sustained break of 1.2623 will argue that the fall has completed and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2919 resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.2061 has completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850) and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2420; (P) 1.2488; (R1) 1.2525; More….

USD/CAD is still staying in range above 1.2354 and intraday bias remains neutral. More consolidative trading could be seen in near term. But still, as As long as 1.2623 support turned resistance holds, deeper decline is expected. Break of 1.2354 will extend the fall from 1.2910 to retest 1.2061 low. However, sustained break of 1.2623 will argue that the fall has completed and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2919 resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.2061 has completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850) and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.