USD/CAD dropped further to as low as 1.3387 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias stays neutral this week for consolidation first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.3570 resistance and bring fall resumption. At this point, we’re still favoring the case that rise from 1.2968 has completed. And the larger rise from 1.2460 could have finished too. Below 1.3387 will target 1.3222 support first. Break of 1.3222 will affirm our bearish view and target 1.2968 key support level for confirmation. However, break of 1.3570 will turn focus back to 1.3793 high instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. Rise from 1.2460 is seen as the second leg and could have completed at 1.3793, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. Break of 1.3222 should indicate the start of the third leg while further break of 1.2968 should confirm. Nonetheless, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

In the longer term picture, rise from 0.9056 (2007 low) is viewed as a long term up trend. It’s taking a breath after hitting 1.4689. But such rise expected to resume later to test 1.6196 down the road.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3560; (P) 1.3632; (R1) 1.3684; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral again but further rise is in favor as long as 1.3516 support holds. Break of 1.3704 will resume the rebound from 1.3224 to 1.3807 resistance. Break there will bring retest of 1.3976 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.3516 support will suggest that the rebound has completed, and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3222 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3223) holds, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 1.3222/3 will indicate that the trend might have reversed. Deeper fall would be seen to next cluster support at 1.2726 (61.8% retracement at 1.2758).

USD/CAD’s fall from 1.3845 extended lower last week and further decline is in favor as long as 1.3730 minor resistance holds. Next target is 55 D EMA (now at 1.3599). On the upside, above 1.3730 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3845 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Firm break of 1.3976 will confirm up resumption of whole up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3176 at 1.4149.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern, which might have completed at 1.2005. That is, up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is expected to resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.2947 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3432; (P) 1.3476; (R1) 1.3543; More….

USD/CAD’s rise continues today. The break of 1.3598 key resistance indicates resumption of medium term rise from 1.2460. Intraday bias remains on the upside and USD/CAD should target next medium term fibonacci level at 1.3838. On the downside, below 1.3524 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring retreat. But downside should be contained well above 1.3222 support and bring another rise.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3787; (P) 1.3816; (R1) 1.3859; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside for the moment. Decisive break of 100% projection of 1.3176 to 1.3540 from 1.3477 at 1.3841 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 1.3980. On the downside, below 1.3773 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Firm break of 1.3976 will confirm up resumption of whole up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3176 at 1.4149.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3686; (P) 1.3714; (R1) 1.3747; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays on the upside for retesting 1.3784 first. Break there will resume larger rise from 1.3091 to retest 1.3976 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.3615 support will bring another falling leg to extend the near term corrective pattern from 1.3784.

In the bigger picture, current development revives the case that corrective pattern from 1.3976 (2022 high) has completed with three waves down to 1.3091. Decisive break of 1.3976 high will confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4064. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3378 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3567; (P) 1.3590; (R1) 1.3610; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral with focus on 1.3612 resistance. Decisive break there will resume whole rise from 1.3176 towards 1.3897 resistance. On the downside, firm break of 1.3419 support will argue that rebound from 1.3176 has completed. Near term outlook will be turned bearish for 1.3357 support first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Overall, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3333; (P) 1.3376; (R1) 1.3409; More….

Range trading continues in USD/CAD and intraday bias stays neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 1.3320 will resume the fall from 1.3704 to 1.3224 key support level. On the upside, though, above 1.3519 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3704 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3222 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3223) holds, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 1.3222/3 will indicate that the trend might have reversed. Deeper fall would be seen to next cluster support at 1.2726 (61.8% retracement at 1.2758).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3100; (P) 1.3196; (R1) 1.3275; More…

USD/CAD’s fall from 1.3598 resumes after brief consolidation and intraday bias is back on the downside for 1.3080 key support level. Decisive break there will confirm completion of whole corrective rise from 1.2460 and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper decline would be seen to retest 1.2460 low. On the upside, above 1.3293 minor resistance will turn focus back to 1.3588/98 resistance zone instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg is possibly finished at 1.3598 too after hitting 50% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3575. Break of 1.3080 would likely resume the fall from 1.4689 through 1.2460 to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. We’d start to look for reversal signal below 1.2460 to complete the correction. In case of another rise, we’ll look for topping sign at 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3482; (P) 1.3511; (R1) 1.3563; More…

USD/CAD’s break of 1.3524 minor resistance suggests that pull back from 1.3605 has completed at 1.3419 already. Also, rise from 1.3176 is in progress. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 1.3605 resistance first. Firm break there will resume whole rally from 1.3176. On the downside, however, break of 1.3458 minor support will turn bias back to the downside or 1.3419 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Overall, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3363; (P) 1.3386; (R1) 1.3422; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral with current recovery, and some consolidations would be seen. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3479 support turned resistance holds. Rise from 1.3091 could have completed at 1.3897 already. Sustained trading below 1.3378 support will bring deeper fall to 1.3091 support next.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by deeper then expected fall from 1.3897. But after all, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern that’s in progress. Larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume at a later stage as long as 1.2947 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3625; (P) 1.3658; (R1) 1.3684; More…

USD/CAD is staying in range above 1.3608 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, break of 1.3761 resistance will argue that correction from 1.3845 has already completed. Intraday bias will be back to the upside to resume larger rally from 1.3176 through 1.3845. However, sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 1.3631) will argue that whole rise from 1.3176 has completed already, and bring deeper fall to 1.3477 support next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Firm break of 1.3976 will confirm up resumption of whole up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3176 at 1.4149.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2719; (P) 1.2808; (R1) 1.2866; More…

USD/CAD’s break of 1.2766 support confirms resumption of whole decline from 1.3222. Intraday bias is staying on the downside for 61.8% projection of 1.3222 to 1.2766 from 1.2984 at 1.2702. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 1.2528, which is close to 1.2516 key support. On the upside, above 1.2837 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further decline will remain in favor as long as 1.2984 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4667 (2020 high) should have completed at 1.2005, after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Rise from there should target 61.8% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3650. This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.2516 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3184; (P) 1.3227; (R1) 1.3291; More….

USD/CAD recovered after dipping to 1.3164 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidation would be seen but recovery is expected to be limited by 1.3387 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. Current development affirms our view that corrective rise from 1.2460 has completed at 1.3793. Below 1.3164 will target next key level at 1.2968 (38.2% retracement of 1.2460 to 1.3793 at 1.2969) for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. Rise from 1.2460 is seen as the second leg and has completed at 1.3793, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. Break of 1.3222 should now indicate the start of the third leg while further break of 1.2968 should confirm. In that case, USD/CAD should decline through 1.2460 support to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2403; (P) 1.2428; (R1) 1.2459; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.2354 continues. As long as 1.2623 support turned resistance holds, deeper decline is expected. Break of 1.2354 will extend the fall from 1.2910 to retest 1.2061 low. However, sustained break of 1.2623 will argue that the fall has completed and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2919 resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.2061 has completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850) and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3430; (P) 1.3442; (R1) 1.3455; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral and consolidation from 1.3521 might extend further. In case of deeper pull back, downside should be contained above 1.3274 support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, firm break of 1.3521 will resume the whole rise from 1.3068 to retest 1.3664 high. However, decisive break of 1.3274 support will indicate completion of rise from 1.3068 and turn outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD is staying well inside medium term rising channel (support at 1.3296). Thus, the up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low) should be in progress. On the upside, decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will pave the way to 78.6% retracement at 1.4127 next. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.3068 support holds. However, sustained break the channel support will be the first sign of medium term reversal. Firm break of 1.3068 would confirm.

USD/CAD’s fall from 1.3598 extended to as low as 1.3176 last week. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 1.3080 support next. As noted before, price actions from 1.2460 are viewed as a corrective move. Decisive break of 1.3080 will indicate that it’s completed and turn outlook bearish for retesting 1.2460 low. On the upside, above 1.3330 minor resistance will turn bias neutral again with focus back on 1.3588/98 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg is possibly finished at 1.3598 too after hitting 50% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3575. Break of 1.3080 would likely resume the fall from 1.4689 through 1.2460 to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. We’d start to look for reversal signal below 1.2460 to complete the correction. In case of another rise, we’ll look for topping sign at 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838.

In the longer term picture, rise from 0.9056 (2007 low) is viewed as a long term up trend. It’s taking a breath after hitting 1.4689. But such rise expected to resume later to test 1.6196 down the road.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3234; (P) 1.3251; (R1) 1.3270; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside as rise from 1.3042 is in progress for 1.3347/82 resistance zone. Firm break there will suggest completion of consolidation from 1.3664. On the downside, below 1.3197 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first. For now, further rally would remain in favor as long as 1.3042 support holds.

In the bigger picture, 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.364 at 1.3052 remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2424; (P) 1.2451; (R1) 1.2472; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral with focus on 1.2421 key structural support. Larger rise from 1.2005 should still be intact as long as 1.2421 holds. On the upside, break of 1.2592 support resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.2773 resistance first. On the downside, however, sustained break of 1.2421 will argue that whole choppy rise from 1.2005 has completed. Deeper fall could then be seen back to retest 1.2005 low.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 55 week EMA (now at 1.2684) revives some medium term bearishness in USD/CAD. Still as long as 1.2005 support holds, we’d expect another rise ahead, to 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 at 1.3022. Sustained break there will indicate larger bullish reversal. However, firm break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 (2020 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3191; (P) 1.3214; (R1) 1.3227; More…

No change in USD/CAD’s outlook and intraday bias remains neutral first consolidation first. Downside should be contained by 1.3159 minor support to bring another rally. On the upside, above 1.3270 will target 1.3347/82 resistance zone. Firm break there will suggest completion of consolidation from 1.3664. However, break of 1.3159 will indicate completion of the rebound and turn bias back to the downside for 1.3042 support.

In the bigger picture, 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.364 at 1.3052 remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.