Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3443; (P) 1.3545; (R1) 1.3680; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral first with today’s deep retreat. Outlook is unchanged that correction from 1.3976 should have completed at 1.3224. On the upside, above 1.3644 will resume the rise from 1.3224 to 1.3807 resistance next. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.3315 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3222 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3223) holds, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 1.3222/3 will indicate that the trend might have reversed. Deeper fall would be seen to next cluster support at 1.2726 (61.8% retracement at 1.2758).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2308; (P) 1.2338; (R1) 1.2356; More….

USD/CAD is still bounded in corrective trading from 1.2061 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the one hand, we’d remain cautious on strong support from 1.2049 key fibonacci level to bring sustainable rebound. On the other hand, break of 1.2412 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of trend reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. Firm break of 1.2049 key fibonacci level will pave the way to next fibonacci level at 1.1424.

In the bigger picture, current downside acceleration is raising the chance that whole long term rise from 0.9406 (2011 low), and that from 0.9056 (2007 low) is completed at 1.4689. Focus is now on 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048. As long as this level holds, we’d still favor that case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. However, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall fro 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4047; (P) 1.4173; (R1) 1.4266; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.4349 will reaffirm that correction from 1.4667 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned to the upside for retesting 1.4667/89 resistance zone. On the downside, below 1.3920 will extend the correction. But downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.3202 to 1.4667 at 1.3762 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.2061 is likely resuming whole up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low). Decisive break of 1.4689 will confirm this bullish case. Next medium term target is 161.8% projection of 1.2061 to 1.3664 from 1.2951 at 1.5545. Rejection by 1.4689 will bring some consolidations first. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.3664 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3473; (P) 1.3485; (R1) 1.3503; More…

USD/CAD is still bounded in range below 1.3585 and intraday bias remains neutral. More consolidations could be seen, but further rally is expected as long as 1.3357 support holds. On the upside, firm break of 1.3585 will resume the rebound from 1.3176 for 1.3897 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Overall, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2497; (P) 1.2561; (R1) 1.2602; More….

Break of 1.2574 minor support suggests that USD/CAD’s recovery from 1.2466 has completed. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 1.2466. Break there will resume larger down trend from 1.4667. For now, another rebound cannot be ruled out as corrective pattern from 1.2466 could still extend. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.2880 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Further decline should be seen back to 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, break of 1.2994 support turned resistance resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

USD/CAD’s rebound from 1.2061 extended 1.2598 last week even though upside momentum isn’t convincing. As long as 1.2448 minor support holds, further rally is expected this week to 1.2777 resistance first. Decisive break there will target key medium term fibonacci level at target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. On the downside, break of 1.2448 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

In the longer term picture, the long term outlook is turned a bit mixed. As noted above, 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048 is a key level to determine whether up trend from 0.9056 (2007) has already completed.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3145; (P) 1.3192; (R1) 1.3223; More…

USD/CAD is staying in range of 1.3158/3327 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 1.3158 will extend the fall from 1.3327 to retest 1.3042 low. On the upside, break of 1.3327 will resume the rise form 1.3042 and target 1.3382 key structural resistance next.

In the bigger picture, 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.364 at 1.3052 remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3053; (P) 1.3077; (R1) 1.3111; More…

A temporary low is formed at 1.3042 in USD/CAD, ahead of 1.3016 key support. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.3122 minor resistance will confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.3202). On the downside, however, decisive break of 1.3016 will carry larger bearish implications and target 1.2781 support next.

In the bigger picture, 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.3052 remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3582; (P) 1.3652; (R1) 1.3702; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains cautiously on the downside for 1.3534 resistance turned support Break there should confirm completion of the rise from 1.2968 and target 1.3222 support next. On the upside, above 1.3721 will turn bias back to the upside and target 1.3793 and above. However, as noted before, choppy rise from 1.2460 is seen as a corrective move. In case of an extension, upside should be limited by 1.3838 fibonacci level to bring reversal.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. Rise from 1.2460 is seen as the second leg and would end at around 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. Break of 1.3222 should indicate the start of the third leg while further break of 1.2968 should confirm. Nonetheless, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD surged to as high as 1.3793 last week but lost momentum ahead of 1.3838 fibonacci level. Choppy rise from 1.2460 is seen as a corrective move. We’d stay cautious on topping at around 1.3838. Focus will also be on 1.3534 resistance turned support. Break there will indicate reversal.

Initial bias in USD/CAD is neutral this week for consolidation first. In case of another rise, we’ll be cautious on topping at around 1.3838 fibonacci level. Meanwhile, consider bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.3534 support will argue that rise from 1.2968 is already completed. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.3222 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. Rise from 1.2460 is seen as the second leg and would end at around 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. Break of 1.3222 should indicate the start of the third leg while further break of 1.2968 should confirm. Nonetheless, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

In the longer term picture, rise from 0.9056 (2007 low) is viewed as a long term up trend. It’s taking a breath after hitting 1.4689. But such rise expected to resume later to test 1.6196 down the road.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3068; (P) 1.3088; (R1) 1.3116; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral with today’s recovery. Focus stays on 1.3052/68 cluster support zone. Decisive break will carry larger bearish implication and target 1.2673 fibonacci level next. However, break of 1.3151 will indicate short term bottoming and bring rebound back to 1.3239/3432 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook stays neutral for now even though the case of bearish reversal is building up. Decisive break of 1.3068 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.3052) will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next. On the upside, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685, is needed to confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3141; (P) 1.3190; (R1) 1.3237; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside for retesting 1.3115 low. Firm break there will resume larger down trend, and target 61.8% projection of 1.3653 to 1.3115 from 1.3386 at 1.3054, and then 100% projection at 1.2848. For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3386 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a correction to up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) only. Hence, the up trend is in favor to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage. Nevertheless, another fall below 1.3115 will extending the decline from 1.3976 to 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.2758, and raise the chance of bearish trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2633; (P) 1.2673; (R1) 1.2719; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside as rebound from 1.2412 short term bottom continues. Such rebound should be corrective whole fall from 1.3793. Further rise would be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 1.3793 to 1.2412 at 1.2940. On the downside, break of 1.2552 minor support will indicate completion of the rebound. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.2412 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. A short term bottom is formed at 1.2412 after hitting 61.8% projection of 1.4689 to 1.2460 from 1.3793 at 1.2415. But there is no sign of completion of the correction yet. Break of 1.2412 will target 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048. At this point, we’d look for strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, sustained break of 1.2968, 38.2% retracement of 1.3793 to 1.2412 at 1.2940 will be the first sign of completion of the correction and will turn focus back to 1.3793 key resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3338; (P) 1.3389; (R1) 1.3445; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. The choppy decline from 1.3704 might still extend lower, but strong support is expected to 1.3224 key support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.3474 resistance will confirm short term bottoming, and turn intraday bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3704 resistance. However, decisive break of 1.3224 would carry larger bearish implication.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3222 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3223) holds, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 1.3222/3 will indicate that the trend might have reversed. Deeper fall would be seen to next cluster support at 1.2726 (61.8% retracement at 1.2758).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3053; (P) 1.3177; (R1) 1.3257; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 1.3081 support will target a test on 1.2994 low. Break there will resume larger down trend form 1.4667. On the upside, break of 1.3389 will likely resume the corrective pattern from 1.2994 with another rise through 1.3418 resistance.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, firm break of 1.3715 resistance will argue that this falling leg has completed and turn focus back to 1.4667/89 resistance zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3135; (P) 1.3171; (R1) 1.3202; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral at this point. On the upside, decisive break of 1.3222 will resume larger up trend from 1.2005. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.3343. On the downside, however, break of 1.2952 will extend the corrective pattern from 1.3222 with another falling leg, back towards 1.2726 support instead.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4667 (2020 high) should have completed at 1.2005, after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Rise from there should target 61.8% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3650. This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.2516 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3107; (P) 1.3160; (R1) 1.3188; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 1.3382 should target 100% projection of 1.3382 to 1.3133 from 1.3347 at 1.3098. Firm break there will target 1.3106 low. On the upside, break of 1.3239 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, further decline is still expected in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, key cluster support of 1.3068 (38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.3052) remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052/68 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2744; (P) 1.2796; (R1) 1.2824; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Further rise is mildly in favor with 1.2712 support intact. On the upside, above 1.2884 will turn bias to the upside for retesting 1.3075 high. Break there and sustained trading above 1.3022 fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, however, break of 1.2712 support will indicate rejection by 1.3022 key fibonacci resistance, and bring deeper decline back to 1.2401 support.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2475; (P) 1.2532; (R1) 1.2588; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays on the upside at this point. Rebound from 1.2005 low is in progress for 1.2653 resistance. The break of medium term falling channel resistance is a sign of bullish trend reversal. Firm break of 1.2653 should confirm. However, downside, below 1.2421 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But break of 1.2301 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). It might have completed after hitting 1.2061 (2017 low) and 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 at 1.3022 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. Overall, medium term outlook remains neutral at worst with 1.2048/61 support zone intact.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3327; (P) 1.3366; (R1) 1.3387; More…

While USD/CAD is losing upside momentum, further rise remains mildly in favor with 1.3286 minor support intact. Current rise from 1.3176 short term bottom would target 38.2% retracement of 1.3897 to 1.3176 at 1.3451. Firm break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.3622. On the downside, however, break of 1.3286 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.3176 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. While fall from 1.3897 could still extend through 1.3091, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Overall, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume at a later stage.