Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1744; (P) 1.1905; (R1) 1.1987; More…

GBP/USD’s fall from 1.3446 resumed by break through 1.1914 support and intraday bias is back on the downside. Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2446 at 1.1646. Strong support might be seen there to rebound. But break of 1.1914 support turned resistance is needed to sign temporary bottoming first. Meanwhile, firm break of 1.1645 would carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, break of 1.1840 support argues that a double top pattern (1.2445, 1.2446) was formed after rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2228). Deeper decline should be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2446 at 1.1646. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.1151.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3852; (P) 1.3897; (R1) 1.3936; More…

GBP/USD rises mildly today but stays below 1.4008 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.4008 resistance should reaffirm the bullish case that correction from 1.4240 has completed. Further rise should be seen back to retest 1.4240 high. However, break of 1.3668 will extend the correction from 1.4240 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 1.2675 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2436; (P) 1.2473; (R1) 1.2524; More…

GBP/USD’s break of 1.2434 support confirms short term topping at 1.2678. Considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, it’s probably corrective whole up trend from 1.0351. Intraday bias is now on the downside. Sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 1.2392) will affirm this case, and pave the way to 1.1801 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2678 at 1.1789). On the upside, above 1.2545 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1801 support holds, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low) is expected to extend further. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 (2021 high) to 1.0351 at 1.2759 will add to the case of long term bullish trend reversal. However, firm break of 1.1801 will indicate rejection by 1.2759, and bring deeper decline, even as a correction.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1698; (P) 1.1836; (R1) 1.2032; More…

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.1409 and intraday bias remains neutral. Upside should be limited by 1.2129 minor resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.1409 will resume larger down trend. However, firm break of 1.2129 will dampen immediate bearish case and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) has just resumed. Next medium term target will be 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.3514 at 1.0273. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3514 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3192; (P) 1.3230; (R1) 1.3253; More…

Outlook in GBP/USD remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. Focus stays on 1.3164 medium term fibonacci level. Sustained break there will carry larger bearish implication, and target 161.8% projection of 1.4248 to 1.3570 from 1.3833 at 1.2736. On the upside, though, break of 1.3351 support turned resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.3512 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164. Sustained break there will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed at 1.4248, after rejection by 1.4376 long term resistance. That will revive some medium term bearishness and and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2493. However, strong rebound from current level will revive that case and up trend from 1.1409 is still in progress, and probably ready to resume.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3433; (P) 1.3500; (R1) 1.3558; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside and outlook is unchanged. Rebound from 1.3158 could have completed at 1.3748 already. More importantly, larger fall from 1.4282 is probably not over yet. Deeper fall would be seen back to retest 1.3158 low. On the upside, though, above 1.3571 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3748.

In the bigger picture, strong support was seen from 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164. The development suggests that up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.5134. Nevertheless sustained break of 1.3164 will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2838; (P) 1.2899; (R1) 1.2946; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside at this point. Current decline, as part of the down trend from 1.4376, should target 100% projection of 1.3362 to 1.2956 from 1.3212 at 1.2806 first. Break will target 161.8% projection at 1.2555 next. On the upside, above 1.2959 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation. But upside should be limited below 1.3212 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4141). Fall from 1.4376 has met 61.8% retracement of 1.1946 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.2874 already. Decisive break of 1.2874 will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption through 1.1946 low. On the upside, break of 1.3212 resistance is needed to be the first indication of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2918; (P) 1.2946; (R1) 1.2965; More….

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.3012 and intraday bias remains neutral. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained above 1.2582 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 1.3012 will resume the rise from 1.1958 to 161.8% projection of 1.1958 to 1.2582 from 1.2195 at 1.3205 next.

In the bigger picture, current development affirms the case of medium term bottoming at 1.1958, ahead of 1.1946 (2016 low). At this point, rise from 1.1958 is seen as the third leg of consolidation from 1.1946. Further rise would be seen back towards 1.4376 resistance. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 1.2582 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2538; (P) 1.2565; (R1) 1.2621; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral as range trading continues. Further rise is mildly in favor with 1.2445 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.2633 will resume the rally from 1.2298 to 1.2708 resistance next. However, firm break of 1.2445 will indicate that this rebound has completed, and revive near term bearishness. Retest of 1.2298 should then be seen in this case.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern. Fall from 1.2892 is seen as the third leg which might have completed already. Break of 1.2892 resistance will argue that larger up trend from 1.0351(2022 low) is ready to resume through 1.3141. Meanwhile, break of 1.2298 support will extend the corrective pattern instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3009; (P) 1.3052; (R1) 1.3078; More….

GBP/USD drops notably today but stays above 1.2938 minor support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, above 1.3109 will target 1.3174/3217 resistance zone. Decisive break there will complete a head and shoulder bottom pattern (ls: 1.2661, h: 1.2391, rs: 1.2773). That would indicate bullish reversal for 61.8% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3618 next. On the downside, break of 1.2935 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2773 instead.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 1.3174 resistance with current rebound. Break will indicate completion of decline from 1.4376. Rise from 1.2391 would then be seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1946 (2016 low). In that case, further rise could be seen through 1.4376 resistance. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3174 again will extend the decline from 1.4376 through 1.2391 to 1.1946 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2197; (P) 1.2217; (R1) 1.2248; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral with current recovery. But outlook is unchanged that corrective rebound from 1.2036 should have completed with three waves up to 1.2426. Below 1.2185 will bring deeper fall to retest 1.2036/68 support zone next. Firm break there will resume larger down trend from 1.3141. However, firm break of 1.2307 will dampen this view and bring stronger rise back to 1.2426 resistance.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458, suggests fall from 1.3141 is still in progress. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will bring deeper decline to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417, even just as a corrective move.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3431; (P) 1.3478; (R1) 1.3511; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside at this point. As noted before, rebound from 1.3158 could have completed at 1.3748 already. More importantly, larger fall from 1.4282 is probably not over yet. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 1.3158 first. On the upside, though, above 1.3523 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3748.

In the bigger picture, strong support was seen from 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164. The development suggests that up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.5134. Nevertheless sustained break of 1.3164 will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3096; (P) 1.3157; (R1) 1.3261; More….

At this point, intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside with focus on 1.3174 key resistance. Sustained break above 1.3174 will suggest that whole decline from 1.4376 has completed at 1.2391 on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.3618. On the downside, however, break of 1.3012 support will suggest rejection by 1.3174 key resistance, and turn bias to the downside for 1.2814 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1946 (2016 low) to 1.4376 (2018 high) is seen as a corrective move. Similarly, fall from 1.4376 to 1.2391 also displace a corrective structure. Current development suggests that rise from 1.2391 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1946 and could extend beyond 1.4376 high. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3618 will affirm this case. On the downside, break of 55 day EMA (now at 1.2838) will turn focus back to 1.2391 low instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1474; (P) 1.1541; (R1) 1.1588; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral for consolidation above 1.1442 temporary low. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.1899 resistance to bring another decline. On the downside, break of 1.1442 will resume larger down trend for 1.1409 long term support. Firm break there will pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.3748 to 1.1759 from 1.2292 at 1.1063 next.

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) is probably resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Sustained break of 1.1409 will target 61.8% projection of 1.7190 (2014 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) from 1.4248 (2021 high) at 1.0675. This will remain the favored case for now as long as 1.2292 resistance holds.

GBP/USD’s decline last week argues that rebound from 1.3601 has completed at 1.3912 already. Immediate focus is on 1.3725 support this week. Firm break there will confirm would likely resume the fall from 1.4248 to 1.3482 resistance turned support next. On the upside, through, above 1.3912 will target 1.3982 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, we’d still treat price actions from 1.4248 as a corrective move. That is, up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) is in favor to resume. Decisive break of 1.4376 key resistance (2018 high) would indeed carry long term bullish implications. However, sustained break of 1.3482 will at least bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164, or even further to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

In the longer term picture, a long term bottom should be in place at 1.1409, on bullish convergence condition in monthly MACD. Rise from there would target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.5134. Reaction from there would reveal whether rise from 1.1409 is just a correction, or developing into a long term up trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2988; (P) 1.3034; (R1) 1.3101; More….

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation below 1.3109 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, above 1.3109 will target 1.3174/3217 resistance zone. Decisive break there will complete a head and shoulder bottom pattern (ls: 1.2661, h: 1.2391, rs: 1.2773). That would indicate bullish reversal for 61.8% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3618 next. On the downside, break of 1.2938 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2773 instead.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 1.3174 resistance with current rebound. Sustained break will indicate completion of decline from 1.4376. Rise from 1.2391 would then be seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1946 (2016 low). In that case, further rise could be seen through 1.4376 resistance. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3174 again will extend the decline from 1.4376 through 1.2391 to 1.1946 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1944; (P) 1.2015; (R1) 1.2130; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral as it’s still bounded in range below 1.2152. Further rally is expected with 1.1777 support intact. Break of 1.2152 will target 100% projection of 1.0351 to 1.1494 from 1.1145 at 1.2288 first. Sustained break there will pave the way to 1.2759 medium term fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1145 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 1.4248.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2968; (P) 1.3038; (R1) 1.3087; More….

GBP/USD recovers as it draws support from near term trend line (now at 1.2985). Intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the downside, sustained break of trend line support will argue that rebound from 1.2391 has completed earlier than expected at 1.3350. Deeper fall would then be seen to 1.2773 support for confirmation. On the upside, above 1.3184 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.3350.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.2391. Rise from 1.2391 is now seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1946 (2016 low). Further rise could be seen through 1.4376 in medium term. On the downside, though, break of 1.2773 support will dampen this view. Focus will be turned back to 1.2391 low and break will resume the fall from 1.4376 to 1.1946.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2480; (P) 1.2547; (R1) 1.2647; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. Consolidation from 1.2410 could extend further. But upside of recovery should be limited below 1.2999 support turned resistance. On the downside, break of 1.2410 will target 161.8% projection of 1.3641 to 1.2999 from 1.3297 at 1.2258.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248, ahead of 1.4376 long term resistance (2018 high). Based on current momentum, fall from 1.4248 is probably the start of a long term down trend. The break of 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493 is affirming this bearish case too. For now, deeper decline would be seen as long as 1.3158 support turned resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2713; (P) 1.2735; (R1) 1.2771; More…

GBP/USD’s recovery from 1.2661 temporary low extends higher today. But it’s capped well below 1.2826 minor resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral with further fall expected. On the downside, break of 1.2661 will resume the whole fall from 1.4376 and target 161.8% projection of 1.3362 to 1.2956 from 1.3212 at 1.2555. Though, break of 1.2826 will indicate short term bottoming on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. And that would bring stronger rebound and lengthier consolidation first.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4091). Current downside acceleration argues that it’s possibly resuming long term down trend. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3212 resistance holds. Retest of 1.1946 should be seen next.