GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3695; (P) 1.3768; (R1) 1.3810; More

Outlook in GBP/USD is unchanged. Intraday bias stays mildly on the downside for 1.3669 support. Break there will resume whole corrective fall from 1.4240, for 1.3482 resistance turned support next. For now, risk will remain on the downside as long as 1.3917 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 medium term bottom is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4376 resistance and above. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. On the downside, break of 1.3482 resistance turned support is needed to be first indication of completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish even in case of deep pullback.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2948; (P) 1.2995; (R1) 1.3067; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.2921 temporary low. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.3115 resistance to bring another decline. We’ll holding on to the view that corrective rise from 1.2661 has completed and larger decline from 1.4376 might be resuming. Below 1.2921 will target 1.2784 support next. Nonetheless, break of 1.3115 will dampen our view and turn focus back to 1.3297 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4062). The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend. And this will be the preferred case as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2661 at 1.3316 holds. However, firm break of 1.3316 would bring stronger rebound to 61.8% retracement at 1.3721. And, the eventual depth of the fall from 1.4376, and the chance of hitting 1.1946 low, will depend on the strength of the interim corrective rebound from 1.2661.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2661; (P) 1.2711; (R1) 1.2782; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.2793 is still extend. Overall, further rally is expected as long as 1.2499 support holds. On the upside, firm break of 1.2793 will resume the rally from 1.2036. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2068 to 1.2731 from 1.2499 at 1.2909.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg that’s in progress. Upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2604; (P) 1.2624; (R1) 1.2648; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 1.2641 resistance will affirm the case that correction from 1.2826 has completed at 1.2517, after drawing support from 1.2499. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for retesting 1.2826. Nevertheless, decisive break of 1.2499 will argue that whole rise from 1.2036 has completed and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg, would could be still in progress. But upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3684; (P) 1.3729; (R1) 1.3789; More

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook and intraday bias stays on the upside. Further rise should be seen to 1.3912 key structural resistance. Firm break there will indicate that the correction from 1.4248 is complete with three waves down to 1.3410. Further rally would then be seen to retest 1.4248 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.3567 support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.3410 low instead.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.4248 suggests that it’s a correction to the up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) only. While deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. ON the upside, firm break of 1.4376 key resistance (2018 high) will add to the case of long term bullish reversal. However, sustained trading below 1.3164 will revive some medium term bearishness and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3199; (P) 1.3269; (R1) 1.3306; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral first. On the downside, firm break of 1.3164 medium term fibonacci level will carry larger bearish implication. Fall from 1.4248 should resume and target 161.8% projection of 1.4248 to 1.3570 from 1.3833 at 1.2736. On the upside, , break of 1.3372 will resume the rise from 1.3158 to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3436).

In the bigger picture, focus remains on 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164. Sustained break there will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed at 1.4248, after rejection by 1.4376 long term resistance. That will revive some medium term bearishness and and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2493. However, strong rebound from current level will revive argue that up trend from 1.1409 is still in progress, and probably ready to resume.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2152; (P) 1.2189; (R1) 1.2240; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 1.2287 resistance will argue that rise from 1.2036 is resuming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458. On the downside, decisive break of 1.2036 will resume whole decline from 1.3141 for 1.1801 support next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2315) holds, in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2206; (P) 1.2253; (R1) 1.2336; More

GBP/USD’s rally continues today and intraday bias stays on the upside. Decisive break of 1.2445 high will confirm resumption of whole rise from 1.0351. Next target will be 1.2759 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 1.2252 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1644 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 1.4248.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2291; (P) 1.2339; (R1) 1.2370; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral first with current recovery. But further fall is expected as long as 1.2468 resistance holds. Decline from 1.2678 is seen as correcting whole up trend from 1.0351. Break of 1.2306 will target 1.1801 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2678 at 1.1789). On the upside, above 1.2468 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1801 support holds, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low) is expected to extend further. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 (2021 high) to 1.0351 at 1.2759 will add to the case of long term bullish trend reversal. However, firm break of 1.1801 will indicate rejection by 1.2759, and bring deeper decline, even as a correction.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2507; (P) 1.2639; (R1) 1.2708; More

GBP/USD’s down trend is extending and outlook is unchanged. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 161.8% projection of 1.3641 to 1.2999 from 1.3297 at 1.2258. On the upside, above 1.2696 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248, ahead 1.4376 long term resistance (2018 high). Decline from 1.4248 could still be a corrective move, or it could be the start of a long term down trend. In either case, deeper decline would be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493. In any case, break of 1.3158 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3944; (P) 1.3969; (R1) 1.4020 More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains for the moment. Break of 1.3777 will extend the correction from 1.4240. But in that case, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.2675 to 1.4240 at 1.3642 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.4016 will argue that the correction from 1.4240 has completed. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.4240 first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 medium term bottom is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4376 resistance and above. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. On the downside, break of 1.3482 resistance turned support is needed to be first indication of completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish even in case of deep pullback.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3541; (P) 1.3572; (R1) 1.3612; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is back on the upside as rise from 1.3158 extends, despite weak upside momentum. Corrective fall from 1.4248 could have completed with three waves down to 1.3158, after hitting 1.3164 medium term fibonacci level. Sustained trading above 1.3570 will pave the way to 1.3833 resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.3430 will dampen this bullish case and turn bias back to the downside for 1.3158 low.

In the bigger picture, strong support was seen from 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164. The development suggests that up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.5134. Nevertheless sustained break of 1.3164 will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2104; (P) 1.2166; (R1) 1.2212; More

A temporary low is in place at 1.2119 in GBP/USD and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Stronger recovery might be seen. But upside should be limited by 1.2383 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.2119 will target 1.1946 low next. Break will target 100% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2391 from 1.3381 at 1.1396.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is still in progress and is resuming. Such decline should target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low) next. For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence, focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. However, firm break of 1.1946 will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4052; (P) 1.4082; (R1) 1.4127; More

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.4165 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rise is expected with 1.4008 resistance turned support intact. On the upside, break of 1.4165 will resume the rise from 1.3668 to retest 1.4240 high. On the downside, however, firm break of 1.4008 will delay the bullish case and extend the corrective pattern from 1.4240 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 1.2675 support and below.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2441; (P) 1.2485; (R1) 1.2514; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 1.2542 resistance will suggest completion of the pullback from 1.2813. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside to retest 1.2813 and break will resume the whole rise from 1.1409. On the downside, break of 1.2251 will resume the decline to 1.2065 key near term support instead.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is not enough evidence for trend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. However, decisive break of 1.3514 should at least confirm medium term bottoming and turn outlook bullish for 1.4376 resistance first.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3196; (P) 1.3239; (R1) 1.3306; More

GBP/USD is still bounded in sideway trading and intraday bias remains neutral first. Focus stays on 1.3164 medium term fibonacci level. Sustained break there will carry larger bearish implication, and target 161.8% projection of 1.4248 to 1.3570 from 1.3833 at 1.2736. On the upside, though, break of 1.3351 support turned resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.3512 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164. Sustained break there will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed at 1.4248, after rejection by 1.4376 long term resistance. That will revive some medium term bearishness and and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2493. However, strong rebound from current level will revive that case and up trend from 1.1409 is still in progress, and probably ready to resume.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2458; (P) 1.2609; (R1) 1.2710; More

Despite today’s recovery, with 1.2651 minor resistance intact, intraday bias remains on the downside. Prior break of 1.2661 support confirmed resumption of down trend from 1.4376. Further fall should be seen to 61.8% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2661 from 1.3174 at 1.2114. On the upside, above 1.2651 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). And this will now remain the preferred case as long as 1.3174 structural resistance holds. GBP/USD should now target a test on 1.1946 first. Decisive break there will confirm our bearish view.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2112; (P) 1.2157; (R1) 1.2193; More

Range trading continues in GBP/USD and intraday bias stays neutral. With 1.2336 resistance intact, downside breakout is expected. On the downside, firm break of 1.2036 will resume whole decline from 1.3141 for 1.1801 support next. However, break of 1.2336 will turn bias back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2346) holds, in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2312; (P) 1.2370; (R1) 1.2402; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. Further rise is in favor as as long as 4H 55 EMA (now at 1.2230) holds. Decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.2783. However, sustained break of 4H 55 EMA will revive near term bearishness and bring retest of 1.2036 low.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 argues that price action from 1.3141 are merely a correction to rise from 1.0351 (2022 low). Current rally from 1.2036 is tentatively seen as the second leg of the pattern. Hence, while further rally is in favor, upside should be limited by 1.3141 to start the third leg.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3018; (P) 1.3069; (R1) 1.3155; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside at this point. Current rise should target 1.3381 resistance next. On the downside, below 1.3063 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation. But downside of retreat should be contained above 1.2827 support to bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1958 medium term bottom is seen as the third leg of consolidation from 1.1946. Further rise would be seen back towards 1.4376 resistance. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 1.2582 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 1.2582 will turn focus back to 1.1946 low.