Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3262; (P) 1.3354; (R1) 1.3418; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral at this point. Another fall could still be seen with 1.3539 resistance intact. On the downside, sustained break of 1.3134 should confirm another rejection by 1.3514 key resistance. Deeper decline would be seen back to 1.2675 support next. Nevertheless sustained break of 1.3539 would resume whole rise from 1.1409 and carry larger bullish implications.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.3514 key resistance. Decisive break there should also come with sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3308). That should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.4376 resistance and above. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3514 will maintain medium term bearishness for another lower below 1.1409 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2928; (P) 1.3003; (R1) 1.3047; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside as fall from 1.3174 is in progress. Deeper decline would be seen back to 1.2661/92 key support zone. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend from 1.4376. On the upside, above 1.2946 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited below 1.3174 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend. And this will be the preferred case as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2661 at 1.3316 holds. However, firm break of 1.3316 would bring stronger rebound to 61.8% retracement at 1.3721. And, the eventual depth of the fall from 1.4376, and the chance of hitting 1.1946 low, will depend on the strength of the interim corrective rebound from 1.2661.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2336; (P) 1.2354; (R1) 1.2373; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral for consolidation above 1.2306 temporary low. Further decline is expected as long as 1.2468 resistance holds. Decline from 1.2678 is seen as correcting whole up trend from 1.0351. Break of 1.2306 will target 1.1801 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2678 at 1.1789). On the upside, above 1.2468 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1801 support holds, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low) is expected to extend further. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 (2021 high) to 1.0351 at 1.2759 will add to the case of long term bullish trend reversal. However, firm break of 1.1801 will indicate rejection by 1.2759, and bring deeper decline, even as a correction.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3127; (P) 1.3169; (R1) 1.3210; More…

GBP/USD’s break of 1.3210 minor resistance confirms short term bottoming at 1.2999. Intraday bias is back on the upside for rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3361). On the downside, break of 1.3119 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for retesting 1.2999. Firm break there will resume larger down trend from 1.4248.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248. Decline from 1.4248 could still be a corrective move, or it could be the start of a long term down trend. In either case, deeper decline would be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493. In any case, break of 1.3748 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming, or outlook will stay bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0706; (P) 1.0990; (R1) 1.1140; More…

GBP/USD’s decline continues today and reached as long as 1.0351. Intraday bias stays on the downside but some support could be seen from 100% projection of 1.3748 to 1.1759 from 1.2292 at 1.0303 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.0844 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. However, sustained break of 1.0303 will target parity next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) is resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Next target is 100% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 0.9532. There is no scope of a medium term rebound as long as 1.1759 support turned resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2799; (P) 1.2891; (R1) 1.2997; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains mildly on the upside at this point. Current development suggests that corrective rebound from 1.2661 hasn’t completed yet. Break of 1.3042 will target 100% projection of 1.2661 to 1.3042 from 1.2784 at 1.3165. But upside should be limited by 1.3316 key fibonacci level to complete the corrective rise and bring near term reversal. On the downside, below 1.2784 support will bring retest of 1.2661 low.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4099). The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend. And this will be the preferred case as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2661 at 1.3316 holds. However, firm break of 1.3316 would bring stronger rebound to 61.8% retracement at 1.3721. And, the eventual depth of the fall from 1.4376, and the chance of hitting 1.1946 low, will depend on the strength of the interim corrective rebound from 1.2661.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2985; (P) 1.3021; (R1) 1.3077; More…

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook as the rebound from 1.2692 is in progress. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 1.3257/3297 resistance zone. Such rally is seen as the third leg of consolidation pattern from 1.2661. Hence, we’d expect strong resistance from 1.3316 fibonacci level to limit upside to bring down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, below 1.2951 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2692 instead.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend. And this will be the preferred case as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2661 at 1.3316 holds. However, firm break of 1.3316 would bring stronger rebound to 61.8% retracement at 1.3721. And, the eventual depth of the fall from 1.4376, and the chance of hitting 1.1946 low, will depend on the strength of the interim corrective rebound from 1.2661.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3068; (P) 1.3112; (R1) 1.3193; More…

GBP/USD reversed after breaching 1.3193 resistance, but stays above 1.2999 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first and further decline is still in favor. On the downside, break of 1.2999 will resume larger down trend from 1.4248. However, on the upside, firm break of 1.3193 will confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.3374).

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248. Decline from 1.4248 could still be a corrective move, or it could be the start of a long term down trend. In either case, deeper decline would be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493. In any case, break of 1.3748 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming, or outlook will stay bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2968; (P) 1.2985; (R1) 1.2994; More….

GBP/USD’s break of 1.2960 support now argues that corrective rebound from 1.2391 has completed earlier than expected at 1.3381. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 1.2773 support. Firm break there will confirm this bearish case and target 1.2391 low again. On the upside, though, break of 1.3019 minor resistance will dampen this bearish case and turn bias back to the upside for rebound.

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In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.2391. Rise from 1.2391 could have completed after just missing 50% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.338. Such rebound could be a correction to fall from 1.4376 only. Break of 1.2773 support will affirm this bearish case and target 1.2391. Break of 1.2391 will resume the fall from 1.4376 to 1.1946 (2016 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4105; (P) 1.4158; (R1) 1.4200; More…

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.4232 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, decisive break of 1.4240 will resume larger up trend for 1.4376 key resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.4098 support will delay the bullish case. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside to extend the consolidation pattern from 1.4240 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 1.2675 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1338; (P) 1.1400; (R1) 1.1442; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside for the moment. Current fall should now target 61.8% projection of 1.3748 to 1.1759 from 1.2292 at 1.1063 next. On the upside, above 1.1459 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.1737 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) is probably resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Sustained break of 1.1409 will target 61.8% projection of 1.7190 (2014 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) from 1.4248 (2021 high) at 1.0675. This will remain the favored case for now as long as 1.2292 resistance holds.

GBP/USD stayed in consolidation above 1.2476 last week and outlook is unchanged. As such consolidation in in progress, intraday bias remains neutral first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.2811 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.2476 will extend larger down trend from 1.4376 to 61.8% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2661 from 1.3174 at 1.2114. However, firm break of 1.2811 will be an early signal of trend reversal and turn focus back to 1.3174 resistance.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). And this will now remain the preferred case as long as 1.3174 structural resistance holds. GBP/USD should now target a test on 1.1946 first. Decisive break there will confirm our bearish view.

In the longer term picture, outlook in GBP/USD remains bearish. Rebound from 1.1946 was rejected solidly by falling 55 month EMA. The pair was limited well below 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946, as well as the decade long falling trend line. On break of 1.1946, next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2653; (P) 1.2687; (R1) 1.2734; More…

Range trading continues in GBP/USD and intraday bias remains neutral. Another fall cannot be ruled out, but downside should be contained above 1.2499 support to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 1.2784 resistance will suggest that consolidation pattern has completed. Further rise should be seen through 1.2826 to resume the rally from 1.2036. Next target will be 1.3141 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg that’s in progress. Upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3266; (P) 1.3382; (R1) 1.3576; More…

Range trading continues in GBP/USD and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.3624 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956 next. However, firm break of 1.3134 will confirm short term topping and turn bias to the downside for deeper decline towards 1.2675 support.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.3514 key resistance. Decisive break there should also come with sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3308). That should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.4376 resistance and above. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3514 will maintain medium term bearishness for another lower below 1.1409 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3027; (P) 1.3101; (R1) 1.3144; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. It’s staying in consolidation from 1.3514. On the upside, above 1.3174 will target 1.3284 resistance first. Break will target a test on 1.3514 high. On the downside, below 1.3034 will bring retest of 38.2% retracement of 1.1958 to 1.3514 at 1.2920.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1958 medium term bottom is expected to extend higher to retest 1.4376 key resistance. Reactions from there would decide whether it’s in consolidation from 1.1946 (2016 low). Or, firm break of 1.4376 will indicate long term bullish reversal. In any case, for now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2582 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3346; (P) 1.3394; (R1) 1.3471; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral at this point. On the upside, decisive break of 1.3482 will confirm resumption of whole rise from 1.1409. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956 next. On the downside, break of 1.3283 support will turn bias back to the downside, to extend the consolidation from 1.3482 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.3514 key resistance. Decisive break there should also come with sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3308). That should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.4376 resistance and above. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3514 will maintain medium term bearishness for another lower below 1.1409 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2646; (P) 1.2699; (R1) 1.2739; More…

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook and intraday bias remains neutral. Consolidation from 1.2826 is extending and deeper fall cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained above 1.2499 support to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 1.2774 resistance will suggest that consolidation pattern has completed. Further rise should be seen through 1.2826 to resume the rally from 1.2036. Next target will be 1.3141 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg that’s in progress. Upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2717; (P) 1.2762; (R1) 1.2810; More…

GBP/USD is extending the retreat from 1.2847 but stays above 1.2628 support. Intraday bias remains neutral and further rally is expected. On the upside, firm break of 1.2847 will resume larger up trend and target 100% projection of 1.1801 to 1.2678 from 1.2306 at 1.3183 next. However, firm break of 1.2628 will turn bias to the downside, for deeper fall to 1.2306 support instead.

In the bigger picture, the strong support from 55 W EMA (now at 1.2345) is a medium term bullish sign. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2306 support holds. Rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low) is expected to extend further to retest 1.4248 key resistance (2021 high).

GBP/USD’s decline from 1.2446, the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.2445, resumed last week by breaking through 1.1960. But recovery from 1.1914 indicates that a temporary low was formed. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.2269 resistance holds. Break of 1.1914 will target 1.1840 support and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1644 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 1.4248.

In the longer term picture, as long as 1.4248 resistance holds (2021 high), long term outlook will remain neutral at best. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007) could still resume for another low through 1.0351 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2083; (P) 1.2128; (R1) 1.2175; More…

With 1.2249 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside for 1.1946 low. Break will target 100% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2391 from 1.3381 at 1.1396. On the upside, break of 1.2249 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited below 1.2558 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is still in progress and is resuming. Such decline should target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low) next. For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence, focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. However, firm break of 1.1946 will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.