Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3753; (P) 1.3779; (R1) 1.3817; More….

GBP/USD is still bounded in range of 1.3730/4000 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.3730 support will resume the fall from 1.4248, as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.4240. Deeper decline would be seen to 1.3668 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.4000 resistance will argue that fall from 1.4248 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.4240/8 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 1.2675 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2448; (P) 1.2501; (R1) 1.2538; More…

GBP/USD is still bounded in range of 1.2376/2614 and intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. Overall, price actions from 1.1946 are viewed as a consolidation pattern pattern. On the downside, break of 1.2376 will turn bias to the downside for 1.2108 support. Decisive break there will be an early sign of larger down trend resumption. On the upside, break of 1.2614 will extend the rise from 1.2108. But upside should be limited by 1.2705/2774 resistance zone to bring larger down trend resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. There is no sign of medium term reversal yet. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 1.2457 will target 100% projection at 0.9532. Overall, break of 1.3444 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3127; (P) 1.3153; (R1) 1.3174; More….

GBP/USD’s rise is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside. Current rally from 1.1958 is should target 1.3381 resistance next. On the downside, below 1.3100 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first. But downside of retreat should be contained well above 1.2827 support to bring rise resumption.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1958 medium term bottom is seen as the third leg of consolidation from 1.1946. Further rise would be seen back towards 1.4376 resistance. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 1.2582 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 1.2582 will turn focus back to 1.1946 low.

GBP/USD’s strong rally last week indicates that pull back from 1.3047 has completed at 1.2588 already. And the larger correction from 1.1946 is still in progress. With a temporary top formed at 1.3029, initial bias is neutral this week first. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 1.2849 support to bring rise resumption. Break of 1.3029 will send GBP/USD through 1.3047 to 61.8% projection of 1.2108 to 1.3047 from 1.2588 at 1.3168 next.

In the bigger picture, overall, price actions from 1.1946 medium term low are seen as a corrective pattern that is still in progress. While further upside is now in favor, overall outlook remains bearish as long as 1.3444 key resistance holds. Larger down trend from 1.7190 is expected to resume later after the correction completes. And break of 1.2588 will indicate that such down trend is resuming.

In the longer term picture, no change in the view that down trend from 2.1161 is still in progress. On resumption, such decline would extend deeper to 100% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 0.9532. However, firm break of 1.3444 should confirm reversal and turn outlook bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3642; (P) 1.3683; (R1) 1.3717; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.3745. Further rise is expected as long as 1.3518 support holds. Break of 1.3745 will turn bias to the upside, and extend the rise from 1.1409 to 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956. On the downside, break of 1.3518 will indicate short term topping, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 medium term bottom is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4376 resistance and above. On the downside, break of 1.2675 support is needed to indicate completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish even in case of deep pullback.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2960; (P) 1.3020; (R1) 1.3060; More….

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook. With 1.3133 minor resistance intact, intraday bias stays on the downside at this point. Fall from 1.3514 is correcting whole rise from 1.1958. Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1958 to 1.3514 at 1.2920. On the upside, above 1.3173 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3514.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1958 medium term bottom is on track to retest 1.4376 key resistance. Reactions from there would decide whether it’s in consolidation from 1.1946 (2016 low). Or, firm break of 1.4376 will indicate long term bullish reversal. In any case, for now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2827 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2686; (P) 1.2745; (R1) 1.2803; More….

GBP/USD rebounds strongly today but stays below 1.3007 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Further decline is expected as long as 1.3007 resistance holds. On the downside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.3482 at 1.2690 will argue that the rise from 1.1409 might be completed, and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2201. However, break of 1.3007 resistance will suggest that decline from 1.3482 is merely a corrective move, and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3482.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 was strong, it’s limited by both 1.3514 resistance, as well as 55 month EMA (now at 1.3317). The development keeps outlook bearish. Sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 1.2749) will add to medium term bearishness for a new low below 1.1409 at a later stage, resuming the down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2265; (P) 1.2305; (R1) 1.2329; More….

With 1.2161 minor support intact, GBP/USD’s rebound from 1.1958 is in favor to extend higher to 38.2% retracement of 1.3381 to 1.1958 at 1.2502 first. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.2837. On the downside, break of 1.2162 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1958 support instead.

In the bigger picture, we’d remain cautious on medium term bottoming around 1.1946 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.2779) will extend the consolidation pattern from 1.1946 with another rise to 1.4376 resistance. Nevertheless, decisive break of 1.1946 will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4096; (P) 1.4136; (R1) 1.4160; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral first. On the downside, firm break of 1.4098 support will suggest rejection by 1.4240 resistance. Consolidation from 1.4240 would be then starting another falling leg. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.4008 resistance turned support first. On the upside, decisive break of 1.4240 will resume larger up trend for 1.4376 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 1.2675 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3153; (P) 1.3189; (R1) 1.3219; More…

GBP/USD’s break of 1.3119 minor support argues that corrective rebound from 1.2999 has completed at 1.3297 already. Failure to hit 55 day EMA keeps near term outlook bearish. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 1.2999 low first. Break will resume larger down trend from 1.4248. Next near term target is 61.8% projection of 1.3641 to 1.2999 from 1.3297 at 1.2900, and then 100% projection at 1.2655. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3297 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248. Decline from 1.4248 could still be a corrective move, or it could be the start of a long term down trend. In either case, deeper decline would be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493. In any case, break of 1.3748 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming, or outlook will stay bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2453; (P) 1.2487; (R1) 1.2506; More…

GBP/USD’s rally accelerates through 1.2569 resistance today and hit as high as 1.2612 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 1.2705/74 resistance zone. Such rise is seen as part of the consolidation pattern from 1.1946. We’d expect upside to be limited by 1.2705/2774 to bring down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, below 1.2422 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2108 support first. Though, sustained break of 1.2774 will extend the rise towards 1.3444 key resistance level.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. There is no sign of medium term reversal yet. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 1.2457 will target 100% projection at 0.9532. Overall, break of 1.3444 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2674; (P) 1.2709; (R1) 1.2774; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral for consolidation below 1.2767 temporary top. Further rise will remain in favor as long as 1.2480 support holds. On the upside, above 1.2767 will target 1.2813 resistance first. Break there will resume whole rise from 1.1409. Next target will be 100% projection of 1.1409 to 1.2647 from 1.2065 at 1.3303.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is not enough evidence for trend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. However, decisive break of 1.3514 should at least confirm medium term bottoming and turn outlook bullish for 1.4376 resistance first.

GBP/USD’s fall from 1.3297 extended last week and the break of 1.3042 support should confirm our bearish view. that is, corrective rise from 1.2661 has completed with three waves up to 1.3297, ahead of 1.3316 key fibonacci level. Initial bias stays on the downside for 1.2784 support first. Break there will likely resume larger down trend from 1.4376 through 1.2661 low. On the upside, above 1.3089 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4099). The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend. And this will be the preferred case as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2661 at 1.3316 holds. However, firm break of 1.3316 would bring stronger rebound to 61.8% retracement at 1.3721. And, the eventual depth of the fall from 1.4376, and the chance of hitting 1.1946 low, will depend on the strength of the interim corrective rebound from 1.2661.

In the longer term picture, outlook in GBP/USD is held bearish. Rebound from 1.1946 was rejected solidly by falling 55 month EMA. The pair was limited well below 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946, as well as the decade long falling trend line. On break of 1.1946, next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2466; (P) 1.2512; (R1) 1.2590; More…

GBP/USD continues to stay in range of 1.2376/2614. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Overall, price actions from 1.1946 are viewed as a consolidation pattern pattern. On the downside, below 1.2376 will target 1.2108 support next. Break there will be an early sign of larger down trend resumption. On the upside, break of 1.2614 will extend the rise from 1.2108. But upside should be limited by 1.2705/2774 resistance zone to bring larger down trend resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. There is no sign of medium term reversal yet. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 1.2457 will target 100% projection at 0.9532. Overall, break of 1.3444 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1456; (P) 1.1508; (R1) 1.1556; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral at this point. Considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1608 resistance will confirm short term bottoming at 1.1404, after defending 1.1409 low. Intraday bias will back on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.1942). ON the downside, decisive break of 1.1409 will resume larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.3748 to 1.1759 from 1.2292 at 1.1063 next.

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) is probably resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Sustained break of 1.1409 will target 61.8% projection of 1.7190 (2014 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) from 1.4248 (2021 high) at 1.0675. This will remain the favored case for now as long as 1.2292 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1981; (P) 1.2034; (R1) 1.2111; More…

GBP/USD is staying in range above 1.1899 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.1899 and sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 1.1938) will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2445 at 1.1645 next. However, strong rebound from 55 day EMA, followed by break of 1.2124 resistance, will argue that the pull back from 1.2445 has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for retesting this high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1644 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 1.4248. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.1916) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3256; (P) 1.3347; (R1) 1.3468; More…

GBP/USD recovers notably after hitting 1.3223 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. We’re holding on to the view that a short term top was formed at 1.3539, and deeper fall is in favor. Break of 1.3223 will target 55 day EMA (now at 1.3162) first. Sustained break there will confirm another rejection by 1.3514 key resistance. Deeper fall should be seen back to 1.2675 support next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3539 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.3514 key resistance. Decisive break there should also come with sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3308). That should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.4376 resistance and above. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3514 will maintain medium term bearishness for another lower below 1.1409 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2569; (P) 1.2609; (R1) 1.2635; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains mildly on the downside. Corrective recovery from 1.2506 should have completed at 1.2783. Firm break of 1.2506 will resume larger fall from 1.3381 to 1.2391 low. On the upside, above 1.2645 minor resistance will extend the consolidation from 1.2506 with another rise. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.3381 to 1.2506 at 1.2840 to bring fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 1.2391 would target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low). For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence, focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2878; (P) 1.2940; (R1) 1.3047; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside as rebound from 1.2391 is in progress. Further rise should target 1.3174 resistance, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3149. As such rebound is seen as a corrective pattern, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. On the downside, below 1.2832 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.2668 minor support holds.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). And this will now remain the preferred case as long as 1.3174 structural resistance holds. GBP/USD should target a test on 1.1946 first. Decisive break there will confirm our bearish view. However, sustained break of 1.3174 will invalidate this case and turn outlook bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1052; (P) 1.1143; (R1) 1.1260; More…

GBP/USD’s rebound from 1.0351 is in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside, Further rally would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.2292 to 1.0351 at 1.1551. On the downside, break of 1.0914 minor support will indicate that the rebound is over, and bring retest of 1.0351 low.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) is resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Next target is 100% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 0.9532. There is no scope of a medium term rebound as long as 1.1759 support turned resistance holds.