Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2159; (P) 1.2272; (R1) 1.2331; More…

GBP/USD’s decline continues today and accelerates to as low as 1.2119 so far, breaking 61.8% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2391 from 1.3381 at 1.2154. There is no sign of bottoming yet. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 1.1946 low next. We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But break will target 100% projection at 1.1396. On the upside, above 1.2235 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation. But recovery should be limited by 1.2383 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is still in progress and is resuming. Such decline should target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low) next. For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence, focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. However, firm break of 1.1946 will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3546; (P) 1.3572; (R1) 1.3617; More…

With 1.3489 minor support intact, further rise is still expected in GBP/USD despite some loss of upside momentum. Corrective fall from 1.4248 could have completed with three waves down to 1.3158, after hitting 1.3164 medium term fibonacci level. Sustained trading above 1.3570 will pave the way to 1.3833 resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 1.3489 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, strong support was seen from 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164. The development suggests that up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.5134. Nevertheless sustained break of 1.3164 will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2424; (P) 1.2459; (R1) 1.2520; More…

GBP/USD’s break of 1.2524 resistance indicates resumption of recent rally and intraday bias is back on the upside. Up trend from 1.0351 should target 1.2759 fibonacci level first. Firm break there will target 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095. For now, outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.2343 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.0351 medium term term bottom (2022 low) is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 (2021 high) to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will add to the case of long term bullish trend reversal. Further break of 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095 could prompt upside acceleration to 100% projection at 1.3895. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 1.1801 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3256; (P) 1.3385; (R1) 1.3465; More….

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.3514 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Downside of retreat should be contained above 1.3050 support to bring another rally. On the upside, above 1.3514 will extend the rally from 1.1958 to 100% projection of 1.2195 to 1.3012 from 1.2827 at 1.3644 first. Break will target 161.8% projection at 1.4149 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1958 medium term bottom is on track to retest 1.4376 key resistance. Reactions from there would decide whether it’s in consolidation from 1.1946 (2016 low). Or, firm break of 1.4376 will indicate long term bullish reversal. In any case, for now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2827 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2401; (P) 1.2446; (R1) 1.2479; More….

GBP/USD drew support from 4 hour 55 EMA and recovered. But upside is limited below 1.2582 temporary top. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.2582 and sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.3381 to 1.1958 at 1.2502 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.2837. However, break of 1.2283 will suggest that rebound from 1.1958 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside or retesting 1.1958 low.

In the bigger picture, we’d remain cautious on medium term bottoming around 1.1946 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.2758) will extend the consolidation pattern from 1.1946 with another rise to 1.4376 resistance. Nevertheless, decisive break of 1.1946 will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3642; (P) 1.3683; (R1) 1.3717; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.3745. Further rise is expected as long as 1.3518 support holds. Break of 1.3745 will turn bias to the upside, and extend the rise from 1.1409 to 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956. On the downside, break of 1.3518 will indicate short term topping, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 medium term bottom is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4376 resistance and above. On the downside, break of 1.2675 support is needed to indicate completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish even in case of deep pullback.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2909; (P) 1.2929; (R1) 1.2962; More….

Focus is immediately on 1.3012 resistance in GBP/USD with today’s strong rise. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole rise from 1.1958. Further rise should be seen to 1.3381 resistance next. For now, near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.2827 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1958 medium term bottom is seen as the third leg of consolidation from 1.1946. Further rise would be seen back towards 1.4376 resistance. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 1.2582 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 1.2582 will turn focus back to 1.1946 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3743; (P) 1.3778; (R1) 1.3826; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 1.3816 minor resistance should indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.4000 resistance and then 1.4240 high. However, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.2675 to 1.4240 at 1.3642 will bring deeper fall to 1.3482 key resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 medium term bottom is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4376 resistance and above. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. On the downside, break of 1.3482 resistance turned support is needed to be first indication of completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish even in case of deep pullback.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3531; (P) 1.3559; (R1) 1.3601; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains mildly on the upside for 1.3748 resistance. Firm break there will revive the case that correction from 1.4248 has completed with three waves down to 1.3158. Further rally should then be seen through 1.3833 to retest 1.4248 high. On the downside, though, below 1.3475 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.3356 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164 holds, up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.5134. Nevertheless sustained break of 1.3164 will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1380; (P) 1.1411; (R1) 1.1466; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral with current recovery. But break of 1.1737 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook stays bearish. On the downside, break of 1.1349 will resume larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.3748 to 1.1759 from 1.2292 at 1.1063.

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) is probably resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Sustained break of 1.1409 will target 61.8% projection of 1.7190 (2014 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) from 1.4248 (2021 high) at 1.0675. This will remain the favored case for now as long as 1.2292 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2916; (P) 1.2970; (R1) 1.3055; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral with a temporary low formed at 1.2885. While recovery might be seen, risk will remain on the downside as long as 1.3482 holds. Break of 1.2885 will extend the fall from 1.3842 to 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.3482 at 1.2690. Reactions from there will decide whether it’s a corrective decline or reversal.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is still on 1.3514 resistance. Decisive break there should at least confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Further rise should be seen to 1.4376 resistance first. Though, rejection by 1.3514 will retain bearishness for resuming the down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3109; (P) 1.3147; (R1) 1.3182; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. Further rise will remain in favor as long as 1.2982 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.3185 will resume larger rally to 100% projection of 1.1409 to 1.2647 from 1.2065 at 1.3303 next. However, firm break of 1.2982 will suggest short term topping and turn bias to the downside for deeper correction to 1.2813 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is not enough evidence for trend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. However, decisive break of 1.3514 should at least confirm medium term bottoming and turn outlook bullish for 1.4376 resistance first.

GBP/USD’s fall from 1.3982 accelerated lower last week and the development suggests that rebound from 1.3570 has completed already. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 1.3570 first. Firm break there will resume larger fall from 1.4248 to 1.3482 resistance turned support next. Break there will target 100% projection of 1.4248 to 1.3570 from 1.3982 at 1.3304. On the upside, above 1.3722 minor resistance will mix up the near term outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248, after failing 1.4376 resistance. Fall from there could either be correcting the rise form 1.1409, or starting another falling leg inside long term sideway pattern. In either case, sustained break of 1.3482 resistance turned support will target 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164 first. Break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

In the longer term picture, a long term bottom should be in place at 1.1409, on bullish convergence condition in monthly MACD. Rise from there would target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.5134. Reaction from there would reveal whether rise from 1.1409 is just a correction, or developing into a long term up trend.

GBP/USD stayed in sideway pattern above 1.1914 last week. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 1.1914 will resume the decline from 1.2446, as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.2445, for 1.1840 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.2142 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for further rebound to 1.2269 and above.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1840 support holds, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low) should still continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 (2021 high) to 1.0351 at 1.2759. However, decisive break of 1.1840 will complete a double top pattern (1.2445, 1.2446) after rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2243). Deeper decline should be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2445 at 1.1645.

In the longer term picture, as long as 1.4248 resistance holds (2021 high), long term outlook will remain neutral at best. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007) could still resume for another low through 1.0351 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2892; (P) 1.2950; (R1) 1.3024; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral as consolidation from 1.2762 is extending. Further fall is still in favor with 1.3035 minor resistance intact. On the downside, below 1.2762 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.3482 at 1.2690. Decisive break there will argue that the rise from 1.1409 might be completed, and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2201. Though, break of 1.3035 will suggest that decline from 1.3482 is merely a corrective move, and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3482.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 was strong, it’s limited by both 1.3514 resistance, as well as 55 week EMA (now at 1.3317). The development keeps outlook bearish. Sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 1.2743) will add to medium term bearishness for a new low below 1.1409 at a later stage, resuming the down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3087; (P) 1.3151; (R1) 1.3208; More…

GBP/USD continues to stay in consolidative trading above 1.3048 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further recovery could be seen. But upside should be limited by 1.3314 minor resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.3048 will resume the fall from 1.4376 and target 61.8% retracement of 1.1946 to 1.4376 at 1.2875 first. However, break of 1.3314 will bring stronger rebound back to 1.3471 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1936 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, with trend line broken firmly, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4121). 61.8% retracement of 1.1936 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.2874 is the next target. We’ll pay attention to the reaction from there to asses the chance of long term down trend resumption. For now, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3471 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3171; (P) 1.3243; (R1) 1.3294; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral with a temporary top formed at 1.3313, after rejection by near term channel resistance. Though, with 1.3118 minor support intact, another rise mildly in favor. Break of 1.3313 will extend the rebound from 1.2675 to retest 1.3482 high. However, on the downside, break of 1.3118 minor support support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2853 support instead.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.3514 key resistance. Decisive break there should also come with sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3307). That should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.4376 resistance and above. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3514 will maintain medium term bearishness for another lower below 1.1409 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3369; (P) 1.3434; (R1) 1.3516; More…

Focus remains on 1.3482 resistance in GBP/USD. Decisive break of 1.3482 will confirm resumption of whole rise from 1.1409. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956 next. On the downside, break of 1.3283 support will turn bias back to the downside, to extend the consolidation from 1.3482 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.3514 key resistance. Decisive break there should also come with sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3308). That should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.4376 resistance and above. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3514 will maintain medium term bearishness for another lower below 1.1409 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2682; (P) 1.2731; (R1) 1.2789; More…

GBP/USD is staying below 1.2847 despite today’s rally. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 1.2847 will resume larger up trend from 1.0351 to 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095. On the downside, though, break of 1.2589 will extend the fall from 1.2847 to 55 D EMA (now at 1.2558).

In the bigger picture, the strong support from 55 W EMA (now at 1.2341) is a medium term bullish sign. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2306 support holds. Rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low) is expected to extend further to retest 1.4248 key resistance (2021 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1981; (P) 1.2068; (R1) 1.2112; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside for 1.1946 low. Firm break there will target 100% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2391 from 1.3381 at 1.1396. On the upside, break of 1.2209 resistance will suggest short term bottoming. In this case, lengthier consolidation should be seen first before another decline.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is extending towards 1.1946 low. We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But decisive break will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.