Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2422; (P) 1.2470; (R1) 1.2503; More….

GBP/USD is staying in range of 1.2381/2579 and intraday bias remains neutral first. With 1.2579 resistance intact, further decline is in favor. On the downside, sustained break of 1.2391 key support will resume larger down trend for 61.8% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2391 from 1.3381 at 1.2154 next. Though, break of 1.2579 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound back to 1.2783 resistance. In this case, consolidation from 1.2391 would extend with another rise, towards 1.3381 resistance, before completion.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 1.2391 would target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low). For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence, focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3050; (P) 1.3092; (R1) 1.3124; More….

GBP/USD recovers just ahead of 1.3050 support but stays well below 1.3514 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. We’d still expect 1.3050 support to hold to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 1.3514 will extend the rally from 1.1958 to 100% projection of 1.2195 to 1.3012 from 1.2827 at 1.3644 first. Break will target 161.8% projection at 1.4149 next. However, firm break of 1.3050 will indicate short term topping and bring deeper fall to 1.2827 support, and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1958 medium term bottom is on track to retest 1.4376 key resistance. Reactions from there would decide whether it’s in consolidation from 1.1946 (2016 low). Or, firm break of 1.4376 will indicate long term bullish reversal. In any case, for now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2827 support holds.

GBP/USD’s down trend extended to as low as 1.2024 last week. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 1.1946 low. Break will target 100% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2391 from 1.3381 at 1.1396. On the upside, break of 1.2209 resistance will suggest short term bottoming. In this case, lengthier consolidation should be seen first before another decline.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is extending towards 1.1946 low. We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But decisive break will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

In the longer term picture, corrective rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) was rejected by 55 month EMA. Long term outlook remains bearish. Firm break of 1.1946 will indicate resumption of down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3444; (P) 1.3530; (R1) 1.3602; More…

GBP/USD dipped to 1.3459 as recent decline resumed. But downside momentum is a bit week. Nonetheless, intraday bias is back on the downside. Firm break of 1.3448 fibonacci level will pave the way to next fibonacci level at 1.2874. On the upside, break of 1.3617 will indicate short term bottoming. In that case, bias will be turned to the upside for stronger rebound, possibly back to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3869).

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole medium term rebound from 1.1936 (2016 low) has completed at 1.4376 already, with trend line broken, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4223). Deeper decline should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1936 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.3448 first. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.2874 and below. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.3925) holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3372; (P) 1.3406; (R1) 1.3444; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and further fall is expected as long as 1.3485 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.3272 will target 1.3158 low. However, firm break of 1.3485 will dampen this bearish view and turn bias back to the upside for 1.3641 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164 holds, up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.5134. Nevertheless sustained break of 1.3164 will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2009; (P) 1.2092; (R1) 1.2148; More….

GBP/USD’s decline continues today and break of 1.2014 indicate larger decline resumption. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 1.1946 low. We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But decisive break will target 61.8% projection of 1.2783 to 1.2014 from 1.2309 at 1.1834. On the upside, break of 1.2309 resistance is needed to confirm short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is extending towards 1.1946 low. We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But decisive break will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

USD/CHF’s fall from 0.9243 extended lower last week and the development raises the chance that rise from 0.8551 has completed. In any case, deeper decline is now in favor as long as 0.9000 resistance holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 0.8551 low.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 55 D EMA (now at 0.8974) argues that rebound from 0.8551 might be completed as a correction at 0.9243. In other words, larger fall from 1.0146 (2022 high) is possibly not over yet. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.8551 will confirm down trend resumption.

In the long term picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high) has completed. With 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359 intact, outlook is neutral at best.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2143; (P) 1.2202; (R1) 1.2298; More

GBP/USD dips mildly today but stays well inside range of 1.2036/2270. Intraday bias remains neutrla at this point. On the upside, firm break of 1.2270 resistance will confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be back to the upside for stronger rebound. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.2270 will retain near term bearishness. Decisive break of 1.2075 fibonacci level would carry larger bearish implication and target 1.1801 support next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2446) holds, in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2190; (P) 1.2220; (R1) 1.2254; More….

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.2065 and intraday bias remains neutral. Near term outlook stays bearish as long as 1.2467 resistance holds and further decline is in favor. We’ll holding on to the view that corrective rise from 1.1409 should have completed. On the downside, below 1.2065 will target a test on 1.1409 low. However, on the upside, break of 1.2467 will turn bias to the upside for 1.2647 resistance.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is no indication of trend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. Next medium term target will be 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.3514 at 1.0273. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3514 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2880; (P) 1.2907; (R1) 1.2960; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays on the upside for the moment. Current rally should target 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095. On the downside, below 1.2884 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, the strong support from 55 W EMA (now at 1.2341) is a medium term bullish sign. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2306 support holds. Rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low) is expected to extend further to retest 1.4248 key resistance (2021 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2731; (P) 1.2786; (R1) 1.2832; More…

GBP/USD’s fall from 1.3141 continues today and intraday bias stays on the downside. Deep decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1801 to 1.3141 at 1.2629, as a correction to rise from 1.1801. On the upside, above 1.2886 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.2678 resistance turned support holds, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) is expected to continue through 1.3141 high at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.2678 will argue that it’s at least correcting this rally, with risk of bearish reversal. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.2306 support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1355; (P) 1.1418; (R1) 1.1485; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays on the downside for the moment. Current down trend should target 61.8% projection of 1.3748 to 1.1759 from 1.2292 at 1.1063. On the upside, above 1.1479 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But break of 1.1737 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) is probably resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Sustained break of 1.1409 will target 61.8% projection of 1.7190 (2014 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) from 1.4248 (2021 high) at 1.0675. This will remain the favored case for now as long as 1.2292 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4018; (P) 1.4089; (R1) 1.4187; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside, as rise from 1.3668 is in progress for retesting 1.4240 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 1.1409 low for 1.4376 long term resistance next. On the downside, break of 1.4008 resistance turned support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 1.2675 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2113; (P) 1.2181; (R1) 1.2229; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside at this point. Current fall should target 1.1946 low next. Break will target 100% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2391 from 1.3381 at 1.1396. On the upside, break of 1.2259 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited below 1.2258 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is still in progress and is resuming. Such decline should target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low) next. For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence, focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. However, firm break of 1.1946 will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2213; (P) 1.2330; (R1) 1.2412; More…

GBP/USD recovers ahead of 1.2164 support and intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.2164 will indicate completion of rebound from 1.1409. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 1.1409 low. On the upside, break of 1.2647 will extend the rebound instead.

In the bigger picture,while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is no indication of trend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. Next medium term target will be 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.3514 at 1.0273. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3514 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2285; (P) 1.2332; (R1) 1.2389; More…

GBP/USD recovers slightly after hitting forming a temporary low at 1.2259, just ahead of 161.8% projection of 1.3641 to 1.2999 from 1.3297 at 1.2258. Intraday bias is turned neural for consolidations first. But upside of recovery should be limited by 1.2637 resistance to bring fall resumption. Firm break of 1.2258 will extend recent down trend to 200% projection at 1.2013 next.

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) at least at the same degree as the rise form 1.1409 (2020 low). That is, fall from 1.4248 could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409, or resuming the longer term down trend. In either case, deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2999 support turned resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2893; (P) 1.2932; (R1) 1.2972; More…..

Range trading continues in GBP/USD and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.3482 at 1.2690 will argue that the rise from 1.1409 might be completed, and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2201. Nevertheless, on the upside, firm break of 1.3007 resistance will suggest that decline from 1.3482 is merely a corrective move and has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.3482.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 was strong, it’s limited by both 1.3514 resistance, as well as 55 month EMA (now at 1.3310). The development keeps outlook bearish. Sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 1.2756) will add to medium term bearishness for a new low below 1.1409 at a later stage, resuming the down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3037; (P) 1.3088; (R1) 1.3120; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. As long as 1.2963 minor support holds, rebound from 1.2662 could extend higher to 100% projection of 1.2661 to 1.3042 from 1.2784 at 1.3165 and above. However, as rise from 1.2661 is seen as a corrective move, upside should be limited by 1.3316 key fibonacci level to bring near term reversal. On the downside, break of 1.2963 minor support will now argue that rebound from 1.2661 has completed. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.2784 and then 1.2661.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4062). The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend. And this will be the preferred case as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2661 at 1.3316 holds. However, firm break of 1.3316 would bring stronger rebound to 61.8% retracement at 1.3721. And, the eventual depth of the fall from 1.4376, and the chance of hitting 1.1946 low, will depend on the strength of the interim corrective rebound from 1.2661.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2661; (P) 1.2711; (R1) 1.2782; More…

GBP/USD dips notably today but stays well above 1.2499 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. While more consolidations could be seen, further rally is still expected. On the upside, firm break of 1.2793 will resume the rally from 1.2036. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2068 to 1.2731 from 1.2499 at 1.2909.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg that’s in progress. Upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3004; (P) 1.3080; (R1) 1.3226; More…

GBP/USD is still bounded in range of 1.2853/3175. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.3175 will resume the rebound from 1.2675 to retest 1.13482 high. On the downside, break of 1.2853 will turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.2675 support and 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.3482 at 1.2690.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.3514 key resistance. Decisive break there should also come with sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3307). That should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.4376 resistance and above. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3514 will maintain medium term bearishness for another lower below 1.1409 at a later stage.