Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1765; (P) 1.1858; (R1) 1.1924; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays on the downside for retesting 1.1759 low. Firm break there will resume larger down trend to 1.1409 long term support. On the upside, above 1.1924 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.2292 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2292 resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low. However, firm break of 1.2292 will bring stronger rise back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.2859).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2685; (P) 1.2712; (R1) 1.2740; More…

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook and intraday bias stays mildly on the upside for retesting 1.2847 high first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 1.0351, to 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095. On the downside, though, break of 1.2589 will extend the fall to 55 D EMA (now at 1.2547).

In the bigger picture, the strong support from 55 W EMA (now at 1.2341) is a medium term bullish sign. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2306 support holds. Rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low) is expected to extend further to retest 1.4248 key resistance (2021 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2557; (P) 1.2606; (R1) 1.2652; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral at this point. On the upside, above 1.2666 will resume the rebound from 1.2154. Sustained of 55 day EMA (now at 1.2741) will target 1.2999 support turned resistance. On the downside, though, break of 1.2480 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.2154 low instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2999 support turned resistance holds. On resumption, next target is 1.1409 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3221; (P) 1.3246; (R1) 1.3294; More…

GBP/USD rebounds strongly today but stays below 1.3373 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.3373 will resume the rebound from 1.3158 to to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3423). Sustained break there will be an early sign of bullish reversal and target 1.3570 support turned resistance next. On the downside, however, firm break of 1.3164 medium term fibonacci level will carry larger bearish implication. Fall from 1.4248 should resume and target 161.8% projection of 1.4248 to 1.3570 from 1.3833 at 1.2736.

In the bigger picture, focus remains on 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164. Sustained break there will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed at 1.4248, after rejection by 1.4376 long term resistance. That will revive some medium term bearishness and and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2493. However, strong rebound from current level will revive argue that up trend from 1.1409 is still in progress, and probably ready to resume.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3435; (P) 1.3524; (R1) 1.3598; More…

GBP/USD breached 1.3459 but cannot break through 1.3448 fibonacci level and recovered. Though, decline from 1.4376 is considered to be resuming and intraday bias stays on the downside. Sustained break of 1.3448 will pave the way to next one at 1.2874. On the upside, break of 1.3607 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole medium term rebound from 1.1936 (2016 low) has completed at 1.4376 already, with trend line broken, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4223). 38.2% retracement of 1.1936 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.3448 was almost met. Break there will target 61.8% retracement at 1.2874 and below. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.3861) holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2490; (P) 1.2517; (R1) 1.2563; More…

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook as range trading continues. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, above 1.2568 will resume the rebound from 1.2298. Sustained break of 55 D EMA (now at 1.2577) will argue that fall from 1.2892 has completed already, and bring further rise to this resistance. Nevertheless, on the downside, break of 1.2448 minor support will indicate that rebound from 1.2298 has completed, and turn bias back to the downside for this low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Fall from 1.2892 is seen as the third leg. Deeper decline would be seen to 1.2036 support and possibly below. But strong support should emerge from 61.8% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2452 at 1.1417 to complete the correction.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2674; (P) 1.2710; (R1) 1.2736; More…

Breach of 1.2685 minor support suggests short term topping at 1.2760 already. Intraday bias is mildly on the downside. Firm break of 55 4H EMA (now at 1.2661) will target near term channel support (now at 1.2563). On the upside, break of 1.2760 will resume the rebound from 1.2298 towards 1.2892 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern. Fall from 1.2892 is seen as the third leg which might have completed already. Break of 1.2892 resistance will argue that larger up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) is ready to resume through 1.3141. Meanwhile, break of 1.2298 support will extend the corrective pattern instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2288; (P) 1.2327; (R1) 1.2371; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside as rebound from 1.1958 is still in progress. Further rise could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.3381 to 1.1958 at 1.2502 first. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.2837. On the downside, however, break of 1.2283 minor support will suggest that the rebound is completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 1.1958 low.

In the bigger picture, we’d remain cautious on medium term bottoming around 1.1946 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.2779) will extend the consolidation pattern from 1.1946 with another rise to 1.4376 resistance. Nevertheless, decisive break of 1.1946 will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3707; (P) 1.3744; (R1) 1.3778; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral first, and with 1.3646 support intact, further rally is expected. On the upside, above 1.3833 will target 1.3912 key structural resistance. Firm break there will indicate that the correction from 1.4248 is complete with three waves down to 1.3410. Further rally would then be seen to retest 1.4248 high. However, break of 1.3646 will turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.3410 low.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.4248 suggests that it’s a correction to the up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) only. While deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 1.4376 key resistance (2018 high) will add to the case of long term bullish reversal. However, sustained trading below 1.3164 will revive some medium term bearishness and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1338; (P) 1.1400; (R1) 1.1442; More…

GBP/USD’s down trend resumed after brief consolidations. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Current fall should now target 61.8% projection of 1.3748 to 1.1759 from 1.2292 at 1.1063 next. On the upside, above 1.1459 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.1737 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) is probably resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Sustained break of 1.1409 will target 61.8% projection of 1.7190 (2014 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) from 1.4248 (2021 high) at 1.0675. This will remain the favored case for now as long as 1.2292 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3912; (P) 1.3959; (R1) 1.3997 More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Further rally is expected as long as 1.3828 support holds. On the upside, above 1.3998 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 1.4240 high first. Break there will extend the up trend from 1.1409 to 1.4376 long term resistance and then 100% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.4748. However, firm break of 1.3828 will bring deeper correction to 1.2675/3482 support zone.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 medium term bottom is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4376 resistance and above. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. On the downside, break of 1.3482 resistance turned support is needed to be first indication of completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish even in case of deep pullback.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2904; (P) 1.2960; (R1) 1.2999; More…

With 1.2998 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in GBP/USD stays on the downside. Current down trend from 1.4376 should target 1.2874 fibonacci level next. On the upside, above 1.2998 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But in case of recovery, upside should be limited below 1.3212 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4141). Fall from 1.4376 should extend to 61.8% retracement of 1.1946 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.2874 next. Decisive break of 1.2874 will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption through 1.1946 low. On the upside, break of 1.3212 resistance is needed to be the first indication of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3026; (P) 1.3064; (R1) 1.3110; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. Further rise could still be seen as long as 1.2982 support holds. Break of 1.3815 will target 100% projection of 1.1409 to 1.2647 from 1.2065 at 1.3303. However, break of 1.2982 support should confirm short term topping. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.2813 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is not enough evidence for trend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. However, decisive break of 1.3514 should at least confirm medium term bottoming and turn outlook bullish for 1.4376 resistance first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2577; (P) 1.2604; (R1) 1.2623; More…

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook as range trading continues. Intraday bias stays neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.2691 resistance will indicate that correction from 1.2826 has completed. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for retesting 1.2826. Nevertheless, decisive break of 1.2499 will argue that whole rise from 1.2036 has completed and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg, which could be still in progress. But upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2009; (P) 1.2092; (R1) 1.2148; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside for further decline. We’d remain cautious on bottoming at 1.1946 low. On the upside, above 1.2137 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But break of 1.2309 resistance needed to confirm short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish for further decline. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1946 will target 61.8% projection of 1.2783 to 1.2014 from 1.2309 at 1.1834.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is extending towards 1.1946 low. We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But decisive break will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3493; (P) 1.3545; (R1) 1.3588; More…

Consolidation from 1.3459 short term bottom is still in progress. Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.3617 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for stronger recovery. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.3459 at 1.3809. On the downside, sustained break of 1.3448 fibonacci level will confirm resumption of whole fall from 1.4376 and target next fibonacci level at 1.2874.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole medium term rebound from 1.1936 (2016 low) has completed at 1.4376 already, with trend line broken, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4223). 38.2% retracement of 1.1936 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.3448 was almost met. Break there will target 61.8% retracement at 1.2874 and below. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.3861) holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3727; (P) 1.3757; (R1) 1.3786; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside as this point. As noted before, rebound from 1.3570 should have completed at 1.3982, after the rejection by 55 day EMA. Deeper fall would be seen to retest 1.3570 first. Break will target 1.3482 resistance turned support. On the upside, above 1.3785 minor resistance will mix up the near term outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed. GBP/USD would then be seen as in another leg of long term range pattern between 1.1409 and 1.4376. Deeper fall could then be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.2493, and even below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2849; (P) 1.2898; (R1) 1.2935; More…

GBP/USD dropped to as low as 1.2823 today and break of 1.2849 indicates resumption of corrective fall from 1.3514. Intraday bias is back to the downside for 50% retracement of 1.1958 to 1.3514 at 1.2736. On the upside, break of 1.3018 resistance is need to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, further fall remains in favor in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1958 medium term bottom is not completed yet despite current pull back form 1.3514. Such rally is expected to resume later to 1.4376 key resistance. Reactions from there would decide whether it’s in consolidation from 1.1946 (2016 low). Or, firm break of 1.4376 will indicate long term bullish reversal. In any case, for now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2582 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2175; (P) 1.2239; (R1) 1.2283; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside at this point. Corrective rebound from 1.1958 should have completed at 1.2582. Fall from 1.2582 should extend lower to retest 1.1946/58 key support zone. On the upside, though, above 1.2413 will bring another rebound to 1.2582 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, we’d remain cautious on medium term bottoming around 1.1946 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.2727) will extend the consolidation pattern from 1.1946 with another rise to 1.4376 resistance. Nevertheless, decisive break of 1.1946 will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2318; (P) 1.2348; (R1) 1.2396; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. Another rise would remain mildly in favor as long as 1.2164 support holds. On the upside, break of will extend the rebound from 1.1409 towards 1.3200 resistance. On the downside, break of 1.2164 will indicate completion of rebound from 1.1409. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 1.1409 low.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is no indication of trend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. Next medium term target will be 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.3514 at 1.0273. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3514 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.