GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2213; (P) 1.2257; (R1) 1.2284; More

GBP/USD’s decline is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside at this point. Current fall from 1.3141 should target 1.2075 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 1.2369 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.2618 support turned resistance holds, in case of strong recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top is seen as a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075. Strong support would be seen there to bring rebound on first attempt. However, sustained break of 1.2075 will raise the chance of bearish trend reversal and target 1.1801 structural support next.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2427; (P) 1.2504; (R1) 1.2549; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral first and more corrective trading could be seen. Further rise is mildly in favor as long as 1.2283 minor support holds. On the upside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.3381 to 1.1958 at 1.2502 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.2837. However, break of 1.2283 will suggest that rebound from 1.1958 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside or retesting 1.1958 low.

In the bigger picture, we’d remain cautious on medium term bottoming around 1.1946 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.2758) will extend the consolidation pattern from 1.1946 with another rise to 1.4376 resistance. Nevertheless, decisive break of 1.1946 will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3452; (P) 1.3513; (R1) 1.3574; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 1.3428 will indicate short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for deeper pull back, to 1.3134 support next. On the upside, break of 1.3702 will resume whole rise from 1.1409 to 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956.

In the bigger picture, the break of 1.3514 structural resistance and sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3328) should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Rise from there should now extend to 1.4376 resistance and above. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.2675 support holds.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3079; (P) 1.3101; (R1) 1.3127; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside for 100% projection of 1.1409 to 1.2647 from 1.2065 at 1.3303. Break there will target 1.3514 structural resistance next. On the downside, break of 1.3005 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is not enough evidence for trend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. However, decisive break of 1.3514 should at least confirm medium term bottoming and turn outlook bullish for 1.4376 resistance first.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2551; (P) 1.2577; (R1) 1.2624; More…

GBP/USD’s break of 1.2628 minor resistance argues that correction from 1.2826 might have completed with three waves down to 1.2517. That came just ahead of 1.2499 structural support. Intraday bias is back on the upside for stronger rebound back towards 1.2826. On the downside, however, decisive break of 1.2499 will argue that whole rise from 1.2036 has completed and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg that’s still in progress. Upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3039; (P) 1.3153; (R1) 1.3212; More….

A temporary top was formed at 1.3267 after subsequent steep retreat. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further rise is expected as long as 1.3005 support holds. Break of 100% projection of 1.1409 to 1.2647 from 1.2065 at 1.3303 will pave the way to 1.3514 structural resistance next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.3006 should confirm short term topping. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.2802).

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is not enough evidence for trend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. However, decisive break of 1.3514 should at least confirm medium term bottoming and turn outlook bullish for 1.4376 resistance first.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3163; (P) 1.3203; (R1) 1.3240; More

GBP/USD’s rebound from 1.3106 extends higher today but stays below 1.3313 temporary top. Intraday bias remains neutral first and further rally is in favor. On the upside, break of 1.3313 will target a test on 1.3482 high. However, sustained break of 1.3106 will argue that the rebound from 1.2675 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.2853 support.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.3514 key resistance. Decisive break there should also come with sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3304). That should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.4376 resistance and above. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3514 will maintain medium term bearishness for another lower below 1.1409 at a later stage.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3841; (P) 1.3882; (R1) 1.3932; More…..

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook, with 1.4066 minor resistance intact, deeper fall is expected in GBP/USD for 1.3651 resistance turned support. It’s still unsure whether decline from 1.4345 is correcting rise from 1.3038, or that from 1.1946, or it’s reversing the trend. Break of 1.3651 will turn focus to key fibonacci level at 1.3429. On the upside, break of 1.4066 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.4345 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3038 support holds, medium term outlook in GBP/USD will remains bullish. Rise from 1.1946 is at least correcting the long term down from 2007 high at 2.1161. Further rally would be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466. However, GBP/USD fails to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 1.4279 so far. Break of 1.3038 support, will suggests that rise from 1.1946 has completed and will turn outlook bearish for retesting this low.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2403; (P) 1.2434; (R1) 1.2494; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is back on the upside with break of 1.2504 temporary top. Sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.2716. On the downside, though, break of 1.2372 will dampen the bullish case, and turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 1.0351 (2022 low). Strong rebound from 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will argue that current rise from 1.2036 is already the second leg. However, while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3615; (P) 1.3667; (R1) 1.3709; More

Firstly, further rise is expected in GBP/USD as long as 1.3518 support holds. Secondly, focus stays on 1.3702 resistance. Decisive break there will confirm rally resumption for 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956. However, break of 1.3518 support will turn bias to the downside, for deeper correction to 1.3134 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 medium term bottom is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4376 resistance and above. On the downside, break of 1.2675 support is needed to indicate completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stays cautiously bullish in case of pullback.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3599; (P) 1.3649; (R1) 1.3687; More

Range trading continues in GBP/USD and intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, decisive break of 1.3702 will resume whole rise from 1.1409. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.3428 support holds, even in case of another retreat.

In the bigger picture, the break of 1.3514 structural resistance and sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3328) should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Rise from there should now extend to 1.4376 resistance and above. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.2675 support holds.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2375; (P) 1.2441; (R1) 1.2554; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside at this point. Whole rally from 1.1409 might be resuming. Break of 1.2647 resistance will confirm at target 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.2647 from 1.2065 at 1.2830 next. On the downside, however, below 1.2375 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2065 instead.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is no indication of trend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. Next medium term target will be 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.3514 at 1.0273. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3514 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4016; (P) 1.4131; (R1) 1.4195; More

GBP/USD’s fall from 1.4376 accelerates to as low as 1.4039 so far. The strong break of 1.4144 firstly indicate short term topping. And considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, it’s also an early sign of medium term topping. Intraday bias is turned to the downside for 1.3965 support first. Break will pave the way to retest 1.3711 key support level On the upside, above 1.4160 minor resistance will turn focus back to 1.4376 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1946 (2016 low) is still in progress . It is at least correcting the long term down trend from 2007 high at 2.1161. Further rally would be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466. We’d continue to favor this medium term bullish view as long as 1.3711 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2874; (P) 1.2951; (R1) 1.2995; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point, after failing to take out 1.3042. For now, further rise is mildly in favor as long as 1.2784 minor support holds. Break of 1.3042 will resume the rebound from 1.2661 and target 100% projection of 1.2661 to 1.3042 from 1.2784 at 1.3165. However, as such rebound is seen as a correction, upside should be limited by 1.3316 key fibonacci level to complete the corrective rise and bring near term reversal. On the downside, break of 1.2784 will bring retest of 1.2661 low.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4099). The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend. And this will be the preferred case as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2661 at 1.3316 holds. However, firm break of 1.3316 would bring stronger rebound to 61.8% retracement at 1.3721. And, the eventual depth of the fall from 1.4376, and the chance of hitting 1.1946 low, will depend on the strength of the interim corrective rebound from 1.2661.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3872; (P) 1.3934; (R1) 1.3975; More

GBP/USD’s decline from 1.4376 resumed after brief consolidation and accelerated to as low as 1.3746 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 1.3711 key support level. Decisive break there should confirm medium term reversal and target 1.3448 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 1.3895 will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, bearish divergence condition in daily MACD is raising the chance of medium term reversal. Also, note that GBP/USD has just failed to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 1.4257) again. Focus is back on 1.3711 support. Firm break there will confirm medium term reversal and target 38.2% retracement of 1.1936 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.3448 first. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.2874 and below. For now, sustained break of 55 month EMA is needed to confirm medium term upside momentum. Otherwise, we won’t turn bullish even in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2656; (P) 1.2843; (R1) 1.2963; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside for 1.2692 support. first. Break will target 1.2661 low next. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend from 1.4376. On the upside, break of 1.2894 minor resistance will probably bring another rebound. But upside should be limited by 1.3316 fibonacci level. Overall, price actions from 1.2661 are viewed as a consolidation pattern. Down trend from 1.4376 should resume after completion of the consolidation.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend. And this will be the preferred case as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2661 at 1.3316 holds. However, firm break of 1.3316 would bring stronger rebound to 61.8% retracement at 1.3721. And, the eventual depth of the fall from 1.4376, and the chance of hitting 1.1946 low, will depend on the strength of the interim corrective rebound from 1.2661.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3173; (P) 1.3264; (R1) 1.3325; More

GBP/USD’s fall form 1.3748 is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside for 1.3158 support first. Firm break there will carry larger bearish implications. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.4248 to 1.3158 from 1.3748 at 1.3074. For now, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3416 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164 holds, up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.5134. Nevertheless sustained break of 1.3164 will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2208; (P) 1.2296; (R1) 1.2426; More

GBP/USD is still bounded in range below 1.2485 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 1.2144 minor support will suggest completion of the rebound from 1.1409 and turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.1409 low. On the upside, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.3200 to 1.1409 at 1.2516 will raise the chance of larger reversal and turn focus to 1.3200 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) is still in progress. Next medium term target will be 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.3514 at 1.0273. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3514 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2107; (P) 1.2187; (R1) 1.2256; More

GBP/USD’s decline today and break of 1.2029 minor support suggests that fall from 1.2446 is resume. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 1.1960 support first. Break will target 1.1840 support. Overall, price action from 1.2445 are seen as a corrective pattern, break of 1.2269 will suggest that such pattern has finally completed.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1644 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 1.4248.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2035; (P) 1.2072; (R1) 1.2109; More

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.1960 and intraday bias stays neutral. Fall from 1.2446, as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.2445, could still extend lower. Below 1.1960 will target 1.1840 support and possibly below. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2445 at 1.1645 to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.2168) will bring retest of 1.2445/6.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1644 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 1.4248.