GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3260; (P) 1.3329; (R1) 1.3394; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside for retesting 1.3482 resistance. Decisive break there will resume whole rise from 1.1409. Further rally should be seen to 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956 next. On the downside,break of 1.3195 minor support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.3514 key resistance. Decisive break there should also come with sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3308). That should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.4376 resistance and above. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3514 will maintain medium term bearishness for another lower below 1.1409 at a later stage.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3473; (P) 1.3515; (R1) 1.3570; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside with focus on 1.3570 support turned resistance. We’re seeing corrective fall from 1.4248 as complete with three waves down to 1.3158, after hitting 1.3164 medium term fibonacci level. . Sustained break of 1.3570 resistance will further affirm this bullish case and target 1.3833 resistance next. However, break of 1.3375 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.3158 low again.

In the bigger picture, focus remains on 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164. Sustained break there will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed at 1.4248, after rejection by 1.4376 long term resistance. That will revive some medium term bearishness and and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2493. However, strong rebound from current level will revive argue that up trend from 1.1409 is still in progress, and probably ready to resume.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2764; (P) 1.2801; (R1) 1.2830; More

GBP/USD’s retreat from 1.2847 extends lower today but stays well above 1.2628 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first and further rally is expected. On the upside, firm break of 1.2847 will resume larger up trend and target 100% projection of 1.1801 to 1.2678 from 1.2306 at 1.3183 next.

In the bigger picture, the strong support from 55 W EMA (now at 1.2345) is a medium term bullish sign. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2306 support holds. Rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low) is expected to extend further to retest 1.4248 key resistance (2021 high).

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2650; (P) 1.2690; (R1) 1.2723; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as range trading continues. On the upside, break of 1.2826 will resume whole rally from 1.2036. However, break of 1.2611 will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for 1.2499 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg that’s in progress. Upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2768; (P) 1.2815; (R1) 1.2842; More….

GBP/USD drops to as low as 1.2736 so far today and intraday bias remains on the downside. Current decline from 1.3381 should target retesting 1.2391 low. On the upside, above 1.28.08 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral for consolidation first. But recovery should be limited well below 1.3176 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) halted and made a medium term bottom after hitting 1.2391. Rebound from 1.2391 is seen as a corrective move for now. In case of another rise, strong resistance could be seen around 61.8% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3618 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.2773 support will suggests that such corrective rise is completed and bring retest of 1.2391 low first.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2425; (P) 1.2469; (R1) 1.2506; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for consolidations below 1.2524 temporary top. Downside of retreat should be contained above 1.2203 resistance turned support to bring another rally. Break of 1.2524 will target 1.2759 fibonacci level first. Firm break there will target 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.0351 medium term term bottom (2022 low) is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 (2021 high) to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will add to the case of long term bullish trend reversal. Further break of 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095 could prompt upside acceleration to 100% projection at 1.3895. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 1.1801 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2142; (P) 1.2188; (R1) 1.2214; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral first and some more consolidative trading could be seen. But outlook stays bearish as long as 1.2467 resistance holds. Rebound form 1.1409 should have completed. On the downside, break of 1.2065 will pave the way to retest 1.1409 low. Nevertheless, on the upside, break of 1.2467 will turn bias to the upside for 1.2647 resistance.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is no indication of trend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. Next medium term target will be 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.3514 at 1.0273. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3514 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3489; (P) 1.3541; (R1) 1.3598; More

Consolidation from 1.3485 is still in progress and intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral. Another recovery could be seen. But upside is expected to be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.3485 at 1.3825 to bring fall resumption. Break of 1.3485 will resume the fall from 1.4376 to 1.3448 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole medium term rebound from 1.1936 (2016 low) has completed at 1.4376 already, with trend line broken, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4223). Deeper decline should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1936 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.3448 first. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.2874 and below. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.3925) holds, even in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3489; (P) 1.3541; (R1) 1.3598; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.3485 is still in progress. Stronger recovery could be seen to 4 hour MACD (now at 1.3655) and above. But upside is expected to be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.3485 at 1.3825 to bring fall resumption. Break of 1.3485 will resume the fall from 1.4376 to 1.3448 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole medium term rebound from 1.1936 (2016 low) has completed at 1.4376 already, with trend line broken, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4223). Deeper decline should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1936 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.3448 first. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.2874 and below. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.3925) holds, even in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2113; (P) 1.2201; (R1) 1.2249; More

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook as consolidation from 1.2036 is extending. Downside breakout is still mildly in favor. On the downside, decisive break of 1.2036 will resume whole decline from 1.3141 for 1.1801 support next. However, break of 1.2336 will turn bias back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2384) holds, in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2948; (P) 1.3040; (R1) 1.3091; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 1.3514 is correcting whole rise from 1.1958. Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1958 to 1.3514 at 1.2920. On the upside, above 1.3173 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3514.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1958 medium term bottom is on track to retest 1.4376 key resistance. Reactions from there would decide whether it’s in consolidation from 1.1946 (2016 low). Or, firm break of 1.4376 will indicate long term bullish reversal. In any case, for now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2827 support holds.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3086; (P) 1.3129; (R1) 1.3168; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 1.3070 minor support will indicate completion of rebound form 1.2956 and turns bias back to the downside for retesting this low. Firm break there will resume larger decline from 1.4376 for 1.2874 fibonacci level next. On the upside, above 1.3212 will bring further recovery. But still, price action from 1.2956 are a corrective pattern. Upside should be limited by 1.3362 resistance to bring larger decline resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4179). Fall from 1.4376 should extend to 61.8% retracement of 1.1946 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.2874 next. Decisive break of 1.2874 will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption through 1.1946 low. On the upside, break of 1.3362 resistance is needed to be the first indication of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Outlook: Weekend News On Rising Chances Of No-Deal Brexit Increase Pressure On Pound

Cable returned to red during early Monday’s trading, as hopes of reversal, indicated by Friday’s long-tailed Doji faded, warning of extension of pullback from new 2020 high (1.3482) posted on 1 Sep.

Bears pressure cracked Fibo support at 1.3191 (23.6% of 1.2251/1.3482 / rising 20DMA), with clear break here to spark fresh acceleration lower and increase risk of dip towards key supports at 1.30 zone (psychological / Fibo 38.2% of 1.2251/1.3482 / Aug low).

Technical studies on daily chart support scenario as falling 14-d momentum is at the border-line of negative territory, RSI/Stochastic head south and 5/10DMA’s are converging in attempt to form bear-cross.

Weak economic data and fresh news suggesting rising chances of no-deal Brexit, keep the pound at the back foot.

Res: 1.3278, 1.3301, 1.3318, 1.3357
Sup: 1.3191, 1.3147, 1.3099, 1.3053

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook

GBP/USD recovered after edging lower to 1.2036 last week. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 1.2270 resistance will confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be back to the upside for stronger rebound. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.2270 will retain near term bearishness. Decisive break of 1.2075 fibonacci level would carry larger bearish implication and target 1.1801 support next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2456) holds, in case of rebound.

In the long term picture, there is no clear sign of trend reversal yet. Rise from 1.0351 could be part of a consolidation pattern to down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Rejection by 55 M EMA (now at 1.2900) will retain long term bearishness for extending the down trend at a later stage.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3272; (P) 1.3327; (R1) 1.3363; More

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation below 1.3397 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, above 1.3397 will target 1.3498 resistance first. Decisive break of 1.3482 high will resume whole rise from 1.1409. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956 next. On the downside,break of 1.3195 support will turn bias back to the downside, to extend the consolidation from 1.3482 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.3514 key resistance. Decisive break there should also come with sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3308). That should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.4376 resistance and above. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3514 will maintain medium term bearishness for another lower below 1.1409 at a later stage.

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook

GBP/USD rose further to 1.2445 last week but formed a short term top there and reversed. Initial bias is mildly on the downside this week for 55 day EMA (now at 1.1853). Firm break there will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2445 at 1.1645. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.2445 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1644 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 1.4248. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.1853) holds.

In the longer term picture, as long as 1.4248 resistance holds (2021 high), long term outlook will remain neutral at best. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007) could still resume for another low through 1.0351 at a later stage.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1726; (P) 1.1782; (R1) 1.1822; More

GBP/USD’s break of 1.1759 support confirms resumption of larger down trend. Intraday bias stays on the downside. Next target is 1.1409 long term support. On the upside, above 1.1835 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But recovery should be limited well below 1.2292 resistance to bring another decline.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2292 resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low. However, firm break of 1.2292 will bring stronger rise back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.2859).

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3153; (P) 1.3207; (R1) 1.3248; More

Focus stays on 1.3164 medium term fibonacci level in GBP/USD. Sustained break there will carry larger bearish implication, and target 161.8% projection of 1.4248 to 1.3570 from 1.3833 at 1.2736. On the upside, though, break of 1.3351 support turned resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.3512 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164. Sustained break there will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed at 1.4248, ahead rejection by 1.4376 long term resistance. That will revive some medium term bearishness and and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3068; (P) 1.3110; (R1) 1.3186; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside for 1.3297 as rebound from 1.2921 is in progress. But still, we’d expect strong resistance from 1.3316 key fibonacci level to limit upside to bring down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, below 1.3032 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2921 first.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4062). The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend. And this will be the preferred case as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2661 at 1.3316 holds. However, firm break of 1.3316 would bring stronger rebound to 61.8% retracement at 1.3721. And, the eventual depth of the fall from 1.4376, and the chance of hitting 1.1946 low, will depend on the strength of the interim corrective rebound from 1.2661.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2469; (P) 1.2514; (R1) 1.2540; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the downside, break of 1.2429 support suggest that rebound from 1.2154 has completed. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for resting this low. On the upside, above 1.2666 will target 55 day EMA (now at 1.2698) and above.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2999 support turned resistance holds. On resumption, next target is 1.1409 low.