GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3631; (P) 1.3671; (R1) 1.3724; More

GBP/USD failed to break through 1.3702 resistance decisively and retreated. Intraday bias remains neutral as more consolidation could be seen. Still outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.3428 support holds, even in case of deeper retreat. On the upside, decisive break of 1.3702 will resume whole rise from 1.1409. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956.

In the bigger picture, the break of 1.3514 structural resistance and sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3328) should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Rise from there should now extend to 1.4376 resistance and above. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.2675 support holds.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2718; (P) 1.2753; (R1) 1.2820; More…

GBP/USD’s rebound from 1.2666 extended higher but stays below 1.2822. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.2666 support and sustained break of 55 D EMA (now at 1.2685) will target 1.2517 structural support next. However, break of 1.2822 will bring further rally to retest 1.2892 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg, which is still in progress. But upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2517 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3127; (P) 1.3169; (R1) 1.3210; More

GBP/USD’s break of 1.3210 minor resistance confirms short term bottoming at 1.2999. Intraday bias is back on the upside for rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3361). On the downside, break of 1.3119 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for retesting 1.2999. Firm break there will resume larger down trend from 1.4248.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248. Decline from 1.4248 could still be a corrective move, or it could be the start of a long term down trend. In either case, deeper decline would be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493. In any case, break of 1.3748 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming, or outlook will stay bearish.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2868; (P) 1.2893; (R1) 1.2920; More….

With 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line, a temporary low is in place at 1.2865. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further decline is expected as long as 1.3019 minor resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.2865 will target 1.2773 support first. Decisive break there will confirm that corrective rebound from 1.2391 has completed earlier than expected at 1.3381. Further decline should then be seen to 1.2391 low again. On the upside, however, break of 1.3019 resistance will dampen this bearish case and turn bias back to the upside for recovery first.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) halted after hitting 1.2391. Rise from 1.2391 could have completed after just missing 50% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.338. Such rebound could be a correction to fall from 1.4376 only. Break of 1.2773 support will affirm this bearish case and target 1.2391. Break of 1.2391 will resume the fall from 1.4376 to 1.1946 (2016 low).

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2040; (P) 1.2123; (R1) 1.2255; More

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation above 1.1932 and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook stays bearish with 1.2666 resistance intact. On the downside, sustained break of 61.8% projection of 1.3297 to 1.2154 from 1.2666 at 1.1960 will extend larger down trend to 100% projection at 1.1523 next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2666 resistance holds. On resumption, next target is 1.1409 low.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2521; (P) 1.2604; (R1) 1.2655; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral as recovery from 1.2454 quickly lost momentum. On the upside, firm break of 1.2813 will resume larger rise from 1.1409. On the downside, though, sustained break of 55 day EMA (now at 1.2470) will argue that whole rebound from 1.1409 has completed. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 1.2065 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is not enough evidence for rend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. However, decisive break of 1.3514 should at least confirm medium term bottoming and turn outlook bullish for 1.4376 resistance first.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2660; (P) 1.2686; (R1) 1.2727; More…

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook and intraday bias stays on the upside. Firm break of 1.2708 resistance will extend the rise from 1.2298 to 100% projection of 1.2298 to 1.2633 from 1.2445 at 1.2780. On the downside, below 1.2642 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But further rise will now remain in favor as long as 1.2445 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern. Fall from 1.2892 is seen as the third leg which might have completed already. Break of 1.2892 resistance will argue that larger up trend from 1.0351(2022 low) is ready to resume through 1.3141. Meanwhile, break of 1.2298 support will extend the corrective pattern instead.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2653; (P) 1.2724; (R1) 1.2835; More…

GBP/USD’s rally is in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for the moment. Current rise from 1.2036 should target 61.8% projection of 1.2068 to 1.2731 from 1.2499 at 1.2909 next. On the downside, below 1.2678 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2499 support holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg, that could still extend through 1.2731. But upside should be limited by 1.3141 o bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 55 EMA will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again, and possibly below.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2983; (P) 1.3073; (R1) 1.3124; More

Intraday GBP/USD remains on the downside for 1.2932 support. Price actions from 1.1946 are viewed as a corrective pattern, no change is this view. Such correction could have completed at 1.3267 already. Break of 1.2932 will affirm this bearish case and target 1.2588 key near term support for confirmation. On the upside, however, above 1.3163 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3267 instead.

In the bigger picture, overall, price actions from 1.1946 medium term low are seen as a corrective pattern that is still in progress. While further upside is expected, larger outlook remains bearish as long as 1.3444 key resistance holds. Down trend from 1.7190 (2014 high) is expected to resume later after the correction completes. And break of 1.2588 will indicate that such down trend is resuming.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2397; (P) 1.2435; (R1) 1.2463; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for more consolidations. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.2577 minor resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, firm break of 1.2404 will resume the decline from 1.2892 to 100% projection of 1.2892 to 1.2538 from 1.2708 at 1.2354. Firm break there will target 161.8% projection at 1.2207 next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Fall from 1.2892 is seen as the third leg. Deeper decline would be seen to 1.2036 support and possibly below. But strong support should emerge from 61.8% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2452 at 1.1417 to complete the correction.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3636; (P) 1.3665; (R1) 1.3688; More

GBP/USD is losing some downside momentum, but with 1.3714 minor resistance intact, further fall is expected for 1.3570/3601 support zone. . Larger decline from 1.4248 is likely resuming and break of 1.3570 will target 1.3482 key support level. Sustained break there will carry larger bearish implication and target 1.3163 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 1.3714 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for 1.3912 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, we’d still treat price actions from 1.4248 as a corrective move. That is, up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) is in favor to resume. Decisive break of 1.4376 key resistance (2018 high) would indeed carry long term bullish implications. However, sustained break of 1.3482 will at least bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164, or even further to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2613; (P) 1.2628; (R1) 1.2652; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment, as range trading continues. On the upside, break of 1.2691 resistance will indicate that correction from 1.2826 has completed. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for retesting 1.2826. Nevertheless, decisive break of 1.2499 will argue that whole rise from 1.2036 has completed and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg, which could be still in progress. But upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2150; (P) 1.2219; (R1) 1.2267; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 1.2288 will resume the rebound from 1.1840 to retest 1.2445 high. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 1.0351 to 1.2759 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 1.2086 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 1.1840 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1644 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 1.4248.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4077; (P) 1.4100; (R1) 1.4130; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. On the upside, sustained break of 1.4240 resistance will resume larger up trend from 1.1409, for 1.4376 key resistance next. On the downside, however, firm break of 1.4072 support will extend the consolidation from 1.4240 with another falling leg. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.4008 resistance turned support first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 1.2675 support and below.

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook

GBP/USD stayed in consolidation from 1.3012 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. In case of another retreat, downside should be contained above 1.2582 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 1.3012 will resume the rise from 1.1958 to 161.8% projection of 1.1958 to 1.2582 from 1.2195 at 1.3205 next.

In the bigger picture, current development affirms the case of medium term bottoming at 1.1958, ahead of 1.1946 (2016 low). At this point, rise from 1.1958 is seen as the third leg of consolidation from 1.1946. Further rise would be seen back towards 1.4376 resistance. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 1.2582 resistance turned

In the longer term picture, at this point, price actions from 1.1946 are seen developing into a corrective pattern. That is, down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) is still expected to resume later. But sustained break of 1.4376 resistance will now be a strong signal of long term reversal.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2547; (P) 1.2568; (R1) 1.2602; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside for retesting 1.2678 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 1.2759 fibonacci level next. On the downside, however, break of 1.2532 minor support will turn bias back to the downside, to extend the pattern from 1.2678 with another falling leg back towards 1.2306 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1801 support holds, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low) is expected to extend further. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 (2021 high) to 1.0351 at 1.2759 will add to the case of long term bullish trend reversal. However, firm break of 1.1801 will indicate rejection by 1.2759, and bring deeper decline, even as a correction.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1824; (P) 1.1850; (R1) 1.1894; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment and consolidation from 1.1759 could extend further. Deeper decline is still expected with 1.2055 minor resistance intact. Below 1.1759 will resume recent down trend to 100% projection of 1.2666 to 1.1932 from 1.2405 at 1.1671. Break there will target 1.1409 long term support. Nevertheless, break of 1.2055 will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2666 resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low. However, firm break of 1.2666 will bring stronger rise back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.3065).

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1980; (P) 1.2028; (R1) 1.2063; More

Range trading continues in GBP/USD and intraday bias stays neutral. Another decline is in favor with 1.2269 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.1914 will resume the fall from 1.2446, as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.2445, to 1.1840 support and possibly below. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.2269 will bring retest of 1.2445/6 resistance.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1644 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 1.4248.

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook

GBP/USD’s strong rebound last week suggests that pull back from 1.3651 should have finished at 1.3026. Further rise is in favor this week for 1.3651 resistance first. Break there will resume medium term rise from 1.1946 and target 1.3835 key resistance next. On the downside, below 1.3120 minor support will resume the fall from 1.3651 through 1.3026 instead.

In the bigger picture, while the medium term rebound from 1.1946 was strong, GBP/USD hit strong resistance from the long term falling trend line. Outlook is turned a bit mixed and we’ll turn neutral first. On the downside, decisive break of 1.2773 key support will argue that rebound from 1.1946 has completed. The corrective structure of rise from 1.1946 to 1.3651 will in turn suggest that long term down trend is now completed. Break of 1.1946 low should then be seen. On the upside, break of 1.3835 support turned resistance will revive the case of trend reversal and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466 .

In the longer term picture, long the outlook is turned a bit mixed as GBP/USD failed to break through falling tend line resistance. We’ll turn neutral first and assess the outlook again and price actions unfold.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Weekly Chart

GBP/USD Monthly Chart

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2975; (P) 1.3027; (R1) 1.3053; More

Intraday bias in GBP/US remains on the downside at this point. Current down trend from 1.4248 should target 100% projection of 1.4248 to 1.3158 from 1.3748 at 1.2658 next. On the upside, break of 1.3193 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248. Decline from 1.4248 could still be a corrective move, or it could be the start of a long term down trend. In either case, deeper decline would be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493. In any case, break of 1.3748 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming, or outlook will stay bearish.