GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2534; (P) 1.2585; (R1) 1.2669; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside at this point. Sustained break of 1.2731 will confirm resumption of whole rally from 1.2036. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2068 to 1.2731 from 1.2499 at 1.2909. On the downside, below 1.2651 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2499 support holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg, that could still extend through 1.2731. But upside should be limited by 1.3141 o bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 55 EMA will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again, and possibly below.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2647; (P) 1.2672; (R1) 1.2712; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. Further decline is expected as long as 1.2739 resistance holds. Break of 1.2622, and sustained trading below 1.2633 resistance turned support will argue that whole rise from 1.2298 has completed, and target 1.2445 and below. However, firm break of 1.2739 will argue that pull back from 1.2859 has completed, and bring retest of this high instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern that is still in progress. Break of 1.2445 support will confirm that another falling leg has started and target 1.2036 cluster support again (38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075. Nevertheless, break of 1.2892 resistance will argue that larger up trend from 1.0351is ready to resume through 1.3141.

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook

GBP/USD’s correction from 1.4240 extended to as low as 1.3777 last week. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 38.2% retracement of 1.2675 to 1.4240 at 1.3642. On the upside, break of 1.4016 minor resistance will argue that the correction has completed, and bring retest of 1.4240 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 medium term bottom is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4376 resistance and above. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. On the downside, break of 1.3482 resistance turned support is needed to be first indication of completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish even in case of deep pullback.

In the longer term picture, a long term bottom should be in place at 1.1409, on bullish convergence condition in monthly MACD. Rise from there would target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.5134. Reaction from there would reveal whether rise from 1.1409 is just a correction, or developing into a long term up trend.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3573; (P) 1.3607; (R1) 1.3659; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.3702 might extend. Still, further rally is expected as long as 1.3428 support holds. Break of 1.3707 will resume whole rise from 1.1409 to 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956. Nevertheless, break of 1.3428 support will indicate short term top, and turn bias to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, the break of 1.3514 structural resistance and sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3332) should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Rise from there should now extend to 1.4376 resistance and above. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.2675 support holds.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3999; (P) 1.4043; (R1) 1.4104; More….

GBP/USD’s up trend from 1.1409 is still in progress. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 1.4376 long term resistance next. On the downside, break of 1.3979 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral, and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 medium term bottom is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4376 resistance and above. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. On the downside, break of 1.3482 resistance turned support is needed to be first indication of completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish even in case of deep pullback.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2244; (P) 1.2364; (R1) 1.2597; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside as rebound from 1.1409 is in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.3200 to 1.1409 at 1.2516 will raise the chance of larger reversal and turn focus to 1.3200 resistance first. On the downside, though, break of 1.2144 minor support will suggest completion of the rebound and turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.1409 low.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) has just resumed. Next medium term target will be 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.3514 at 1.0273. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3514 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2866; (P) 1.2898; (R1) 1.2949; More…..

GBP/USD is staying in range of 1.2675/3007 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.3482 at 1.2690 will argue that the rise from 1.1409 might be completed, and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2201. Nevertheless, on the upside, firm break of 1.3007 resistance will suggest that decline from 1.3482 is merely a corrective move and has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.3482.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 was strong, it’s limited by both 1.3514 resistance, as well as 55 month EMA (now at 1.3310). The development keeps outlook bearish. Sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 1.2756) will add to medium term bearishness for a new low below 1.1409 at a later stage, resuming the down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high).

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2051; (P) 1.2188; (R1) 1.2269; More

GBP/USD’s down trend is still in progress. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 61.8% projection of 1.3297 to 1.2154 from 1.2666 at 1.1960. Break there will target 100% projection at 1.1523 next. On the upside, above 1.2206 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2666 resistance holds. On resumption, next target is 1.1409 low.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3685; (P) 1.3713; (R1) 1.3764; More….

GBP/USD fails to break through 1.3758 resistance and retreats. Intraday bias stays neutral and some more consolidations could be seen. Further rally is expected with 1.3564 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.3758 will extend the up trend from 1.1409 to 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956 next. On the downside, break of 1.3564 support will turn bias to the downside for deeper correction instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 medium term bottom is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4376 resistance and above. On the downside, break of 1.2675 support is needed to indicate completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish even in case of deep pullback.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2256; (P) 1.2300; (R1) 1.2367; More….

Break of 1.2363 temporary top suggests resumption of rise from 1.2065. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.2647 resistance. Break there will resume the rebound from 1.1409 to 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.2647 from 1.2065 at 1.2830 next. On the downside, however, below 1.2204 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2065 instead.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is no indication of trend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. Next medium term target will be 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.3514 at 1.0273. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3514 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3294; (P) 1.3358; (R1) 1.3396; More….

GBP?USD’s corrective from 1.3514 extends lower today but stays above 1.3050 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. We’d still expect 1.3050 to hold to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 1.3514 will extend the rally from 1.1958 to 100% projection of 1.2195 to 1.3012 from 1.2827 at 1.3644 first. Break will target 161.8% projection at 1.4149 next. However, firm break of 1.3050 will indicate short term topping and bring deeper fall to 1.2827 support, and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1958 medium term bottom is on track to retest 1.4376 key resistance. Reactions from there would decide whether it’s in consolidation from 1.1946 (2016 low). Or, firm break of 1.4376 will indicate long term bullish reversal. In any case, for now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2827 support holds.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2683; (P) 1.2709; (R1) 1.2730; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral even though it’s trying to extending the recovery from 1.2589. On the upside, firm break of 1.2847 will resume larger up trend from 1.0351 to 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095. On the downside, though, break of 1.2589 will extend the fall from 1.2847 to 55 D EMA (now at 1.2558).

In the bigger picture, the strong support from 55 W EMA (now at 1.2341) is a medium term bullish sign. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2306 support holds. Rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low) is expected to extend further to retest 1.4248 key resistance (2021 high).

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3865; (P) 1.3908; (R1) 1.3948; More….

GBP/USD’s correction from 1.3951 is extending and deeper fall could be seen. Strong support should be seen in 1.3564/3758 zone to contain downside. On the upside, sustained break of 1.3951 will extend the up trend from 1.1409 to 1.4376 long term resistance next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 medium term bottom is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4376 resistance and above. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implication. On the downside, break of 1.2675 support is needed to indicate completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish even in case of deep pullback.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3830; (P) 1.3854; (R1) 1.3889; More….

GBP/USD’s break of 1.3777 support suggests resumption of correction from 1.4240. Intraday bias is mildly on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.2675 to 1.4240 at 1.3642. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.4000 resistance will bring retest of 1.4240. However, sustained break of 1.3564 will bring deeper fall to 1.3842 key resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 medium term bottom is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4376 resistance and above. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. On the downside, break of 1.3482 resistance turned support is needed to be first indication of completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish even in case of deep pullback.

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook

GBP/USD edged lower to 1.2014 last week but turned into consolidation since then. Intraday bias remains neutral this week for some sideway trading. With 1.2209 minor resistance intact, near term outlook remains bearish and further fall is expected. On the downside break of 1.2014 will target 1.1946 low first. Firm break there will target 100% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2391 from 1.3381 at 1.1396. On the upside, break of 1.2209 resistance will suggest short term bottoming. In this case, lengthier consolidation should be seen first before another decline.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is extending towards 1.1946 low. We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But decisive break will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

In the longer term picture, corrective rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) was rejected by 55 month EMA. Long term outlook remains bearish. Firm break of 1.1946 will indicate resumption of down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3386; (P) 1.3463; (R1) 1.3511; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral with current retreat, and some consolidations could be seen. Further rise is expected as long as 1.3283 support holds. Break of 1.3539 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956. On the downside, however, break of 1.3283 will indicate short term topping and turn bias to the downside for pull back.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.3514 key resistance. Decisive break there should also come with sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3308). That should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.4376 resistance and above. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3514 will maintain medium term bearishness for another lower below 1.1409 at a later stage.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2448; (P) 1.2495; (R1) 1.2540; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside at this point. Rebound from 1.2298 short term bottom would target 55 D EMA (now at 1.2582). Sustained break there will argue that fall from 1.2892 has completed already, and bring further rise to this resistance. Nevertheless, on the downside, break of 1.2448 minor support will bring retest of 1.2298 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Fall from 1.2892 is seen as the third leg. Deeper decline would be seen to 1.2036 support and possibly below. But strong support should emerge from 61.8% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2452 at 1.1417 to complete the correction.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2499; (P) 1.2550; (R1) 1.2598; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside at this point. Current down trend should target 161.8% projection of 1.3641 to 1.2999 from 1.3297 at 1.2258. On the upside, above 1.2601 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first. Upside of recovery should be limited below 1.2999 support turned resistance to bring another fall.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248, ahead 1.4376 long term resistance (2018 high). Decline from 1.4248 could still be a corrective move, or it could be the start of a long term down trend. In either case, deeper decline would be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493. In any case, break of 1.3158 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3687; (P) 1.3716; (R1) 1.3763; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment, and outlook is unchanged. We’d continue to expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 1.2675 to 1.4240 at 1.3642 to complete the correction from 1.4240. On the upside, above 1.3816 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 1.4000 resistance first. break will bring retest of 1.4240 high. However, sustained break of 1.3564 will bring deeper fall to 1.3482 key resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 medium term bottom is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4376 resistance and above. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. On the downside, break of 1.3482 resistance turned support is needed to be first indication of completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish even in case of deep pullback.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2472; (P) 1.2535; (R1) 1.2599; More..

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, firm break of 1.2637 resistance will bring stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.2765). On the downside, below 1.2329 minor support will retain near term bearishness and bring retest of 1.2154 first. Break there will resume larger down trend from 1.4248.

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) at least at the same degree as the rise from 1.1409 (2020 low). That is, fall from 1.4248 could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409, or resuming the longer term down trend. In either case, deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2999 support turned resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low.