Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3148; (P) 1.3178; (R1) 1.3221; More….

GBP/USD is still bounded in range of 1.3038/3337 and intraday bias stays neutral at this point. In case of further rise, upside should be limited below 1.3337 resistance to bring fall resumption. Break of 1.3038 will now resume decline from 1.3651 to 1.2773 key support level. However, decisive break of 1.3337 will indicate that pull back from 1.3651 is completed and medium term rise from 1.1946 is resuming.

In the bigger picture, as noted before, GBP/USD hit strong resistance from the long term falling trend line. Current development is starting to favor that corrective rebound from 1.1946 low has completed at 1.3651. Decisive break of 1.2773 will confirm this bearish case and target a test on 1.1946 low next, with prospect of resuming the low term down trend. Nonetheless, break of 1.3320 resistance will restore the rise from 1.1946 for 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3034; (P) 1.3055; (R1) 1.3082; More….

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook and intraday bias remains neutral first. More sideway trading could be seen. For now, further rise is still mildly in favor as long as 1.2960 support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 1.3381 will extend the rise from 1.2391 and target 61.8% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3618 next. However, on the downside, sustained break of 1.2960 will indicate that rebound from 1.2391 has completed earlier than expected. Deeper fall would then be seen to 1.2773 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.2391. Rise from 1.2391 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1946 (2016 low). Further rise could be seen through 1.4376 in medium term. On the downside, though, break of 1.2773 support will dampen this view. Focus will be turned back to 1.2391 low and break will resume the fall from 1.4376 to 1.1946.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3033; (P) 1.3116; (R1) 1.3198; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral first and further rally is in favor with 1.2993 minor support intact. On the upside, decisive break of 1.3209 should confirm completion of correction from 1.3514 at 1.2725. Further rally should be seen to retest 1.3514 next. On the downside, however, break of 1.2993 will turn bias to the downside for 1.2725 low instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1958 is expected resume after correction from 1.3514 completes. Next target is 1.4376 key resistance. Reactions from there would decide whether it’s in consolidation from 1.1946 (2016 low). Or, firm break of 1.4376 will indicate long term bullish reversal. However, sustained break of 1.2582 resistance turned support will dampen these views and bring retest of 1.1958 low instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2107; (P) 1.2143; (R1) 1.2184; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 1.2208 will resume the rise to retest 1.2445 high. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 1.0351 to 1.2759 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, break of 1.1840 will resume the correction from 1.2445 to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2445 at 1.1645.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1644 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 1.4248.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2857; (P) 1.2908; (R1) 1.2934; More…

A temporary low is formed at 1.2872 in GBP/USD and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Upside of recovery should be limited below 1.3209 resistance. Break of 1.2872 will resume the corrective fall from 1.3514 to 61.8% projection of 1.3514 to 1.2905 from 1.3209 at 1.2833 first. Break will target 100% projection at 1.2600 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1958 medium term bottom is not completed yet despite current pull back form 1.3514. Such rally is expected to resume later to 1.4376 key resistance. Reactions from there would decide whether it’s in consolidation from 1.1946 (2016 low). Or, firm break of 1.4376 will indicate long term bullish reversal. In any case, for now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2582 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1549; (P) 1.1580 (R1) 1.1599; More…..

EUR/USD’s fall continues today and reaches as low as 1.1529 so far. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 1.1507 key support level. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend from 1.2555 through retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447. On the upside, however, above 1.1610 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and extend the consolidation from 1.1509 with another rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 and below. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 1.1995 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2531; (P) 1.2571; (R1) 1.2606; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.2691 resistance will indicate that correction from 1.2826 has completed. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for retesting 1.2826. Nevertheless, decisive break of 1.2499 will argue that whole rise from 1.2036 has completed and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg, which could be still in progress. But upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2863; (P) 1.2936; (R1) 1.2972; More…

Outlook in GBP/USD is unchanged as consolidation from 1.3514 is in progress. Further decline is mildly in favor with 1.3069 resistance intact. Break of 1.2849 will extend the corrective fall from 1.3514 to 50% retracement of 1.1958 to 1.3514 at 1.2736. However, break of 1.3069 will turn bias to the upside for 1.3209 resistance.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1958 medium term bottom is not completed yet despite current pull back form 1.3514. Such rally is expected to resume later to 1.4376 key resistance. Reactions from there would decide whether it’s in consolidation from 1.1946 (2016 low). Or, firm break of 1.4376 will indicate long term bullish reversal. In any case, for now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2582 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2988; (P) 1.3034; (R1) 1.3101; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. . On the upside, above 1.3109 will target 1.3174/3217 resistance zone. Decisive break there will complete a head and shoulder bottom pattern (ls: 1.2661, h: 1.2391, rs: 1.2773). That would indicate bullish reversal for 61.8% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3618 next. On the downside, break of 1.2938 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2773 instead.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 1.3174 resistance with current rebound. Sustained break will indicate completion of decline from 1.4376. Rise from 1.2391 would then be seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1946 (2016 low). In that case, further rise could be seen through 1.4376 resistance. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3174 again will extend the decline from 1.4376 through 1.2391 to 1.1946 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2975; (P) 1.3048; (R1) 1.3110; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. Consolidation from 1.3381 is still in progress and could extend further. For now, further rise is still mildly in favor as long as 1.2960 support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 1.3381 will extend the rise from 1.2391 and target 61.8% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3618 next. However, on the downside, sustained break of 1.2960 will indicate that rebound from 1.2391 has completed earlier than expected. Deeper fall would then be seen to 1.2773 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.2391. Rise from 1.2391 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1946 (2016 low). Further rise could be seen through 1.4376 in medium term. On the downside, though, break of 1.2773 support will dampen this view. Focus will be turned back to 1.2391 low and break will resume the fall from 1.4376 to 1.1946.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3349; (P) 1.3390; (R1) 1.3464; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment, as consolidation from 1.3272 could extend. Further fall is expected as long as 1.3485 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.3272 will target 1.3158 low. However, firm break of 1.3485 will dampen this bearish view and turn bias back to the upside for 1.3641 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164 holds, up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.5134. Nevertheless sustained break of 1.3164 will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3351; (P) 1.3397; (R1) 1.3436; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as it’s staying in corrective pull back from 1.3549, held above 1.3337 resistance turned support. As long as 1.3337 remains intact, further rise is expected. Break of 1.3549 will target 1.3651 high and above. However, decisive break of 1.3337 will argue that rise from 1.3038 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, while the medium term rebound from 1.1946 low is strong, it’s still limited below 1.3835 key support turned resistance. As long as 1.3835 holds, we’d view such rebound as a correction. That is, we’d expect another leg in the long term down trend through 1.1946 low. However, sustained break of 1.3835 should at least send GBP/USD to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2611; (P) 1.2639; (R1) 1.2657; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. More consolidations could be seen above 1.2574. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 1.2677) holds. Below 1.2574 will resume the fall from 1.2892 to 1.2517 structural support first. Decisive break there will suggest that rise from 1.2036 has completed at 1.2892 already, and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg, which might still be in progress. But upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2517 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1886; (P) 1.2046; (R1) 1.2158; More…

A temporary low is formed at 1.1932, after hitting 61.8% projection of 1.3297 to 1.2154 from 1.2666 at 1.1960. Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.2666 resistance holds. Sustained break of 1.1932/600 will target 100% projection at 1.1523 next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2666 resistance holds. On resumption, next target is 1.1409 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2973; (P) 1.3007; (R1) 1.3033; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as sideway trading continues. With 1.3165 resistance intact, further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 1.2971 will resume larger down trend from 1.4248. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.3641 to 1.2999 from 1.3297 at 1.2900. On the upside, firm break of 1.3165 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.3297 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248. Decline from 1.4248 could still be a corrective move, or it could be the start of a long term down trend. In either case, deeper decline would be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493. In any case, break of 1.3748 resistance is needed confirm completion of the fall from 1.4248, or outlook will stay bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2548; (P) 1.2581; (R1) 1.2638; More…

GBP/USD hits as high as 1.2642 so far as rise from 1.2036 continues today. Intraday bias stays on the upside at this point. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2716. On the downside, below 1.2572 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rally will now remain in favor as long as 1.2426 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 1.0351 (2022 low). Strong rebound from 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 suggests that current rise from 1.2036 is already the second leg. However, while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2126; (P) 1.2266; (R1) 1.2491; More…

Range trading continues in GBP/USD and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook stays bearish with 1.2666 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.1932 will resume larger down trend from 1.4248. However, firm break of 1.2666 will suggest medium term bottoming and bring stronger rebound back towards 1.3158 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2666 resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low. However, firm break of 1.2666 will bring stronger rise back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.3175).

GBP/USD edged higher to 1.3043 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week for consolidations first. Downside should be contained by 1.2859 resistance turned support to bring another rally. Break of 1.3043 will resume the rise from 1.2298 and target 100% projection of 1.2298 to 1.2859 from 1.2612 at 1.3173, which is slightly above 1.3141 key medium term resistance. However, firm break of 1.2859 will turn bias to the downside for deeper decline.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.3141 medium term top (2023 high) could have completed with three waves to 1.2298 already. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.2612 support holds. Firm break of 1.3141 will target 61.8% projection of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 from 1.2298 at 1.4022.

In the long term picture, as long as 1.2298 support holds, rise from 1.0351 long term bottom is expected to continue. But still, firm break of 1.4248 structural resistance is needed to indicate bullish trend reversal. Otherwise, price actions from 1.0351 are tentatively seen as a consolidation pattern only.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3239; (P) 1.3276; (R1) 1.3307; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and consolidation from 1.3313 could extend further. With 1.3106 support intact, further rise is still in favor. On the upside, break of 1.3313 will resume the rise from 1.2675 and bring retest of 1.3482 high. However, sustained break of 1.3106 will argue that the rebound from 1.2675 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.2853 support.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.3514 key resistance. Decisive break there should also come with sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3304). That should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.4376 resistance and above. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3514 will maintain medium term bearishness for another lower below 1.1409 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.74; (P) 150.96; (R1) 151.28; More…

GBP/JPY hits as high as 151.66 so far, just ahead of 100% projection of 123.94 to 142.71 from 133.03 at 151.80. As it’s now close to channel resistance (from 123.94 low) at 151.81, we’d be cautious on topping from current level. On the downside, break of 150.54 minor support will turn bias to the downside for correction. However, decisive break of 151.80 will indicate upside acceleration for next key resistance at 156.59.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the sideway pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). With 147.95 resistance taken out, further rally would now be seen to 156.59 resistance (2018 high), Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.