GBP/USD’s decline from 1.3141 accelerated lower last week and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Initial bias stays on the downside for 1.2075 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 1.2369 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.2618 support turned resistance holds, in case of strong recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top is seen as a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075. Strong support would be seen there to bring rebound on first attempt. However, sustained break of 1.2075 will raise the chance of bearish trend reversal and target 1.1801 structural support next.

In the long term picture, there is no clear sign of trend reversal yet. Rise from 1.0351 could be part of a consolidation pattern to down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Rejection by 55 M EMA (now at 1.2900) will retain long term bearishness for extending the down trend at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0648; (P) 1.0782; (R1) 1.1023; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral for the moment, as recovery from 1.0351 is extending. While stronger recovery cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.1017). On the downside, break of 1.0351 will resume larger down trend towards parity next. Nevertheless, sustained trading above 4 hour 55 EMA will bring stronger rebound towards 1.1404 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) is resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Next target is 100% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 0.9532. There is no scope of a medium term rebound as long as 1.1759 support turned resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3266; (P) 1.3382; (R1) 1.3576; More…

Range trading continues in GBP/USD and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.3624 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956 next. However, firm break of 1.3134 will confirm short term topping and turn bias to the downside for deeper decline towards 1.2675 support.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.3514 key resistance. Decisive break there should also come with sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3308). That should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.4376 resistance and above. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3514 will maintain medium term bearishness for another lower below 1.1409 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2590; (P) 1.2661; (R1) 1.2738; More….

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook and intraday bias remains on the upside at this point. Current rise from 1.1409 is in progress for 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.2647 from 1.2065 at 1.2830 next. Sustained break there will target 100% projection at 1.3303. On the downside, below 1.2500 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is not enough evidence trend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. However, decisive break of 1.3514 should at least confirm medium term bottoming and turn outlook bullish for 1.4376 resistance first.

GBP/USD’s up trend from 1.0351 resumed last week and hit as high as 1.3141. But as a temporary top was formed with subsequent retreat, initial bias is turned neutral for consolidations first. Downside of retreat should be contained above 1.2847 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 1.3141 will target 161.8% projection of 1.2306 to 1.2847 from 1.2589 at 1.3464 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3895. Break there will target 1.4248 key long term resistance (2021 high) next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.2678 resistance turned support holds.

In the long term picture, sustained trading above 55 M EMA (now at 1.2917) will add to the case of long term bullish reversal. Decisive break of 1.4248 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.0351 at 1.4480) will confirm completion of whole down trend from 2.1161. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.4248/4480 will keep long term outlook neutral at best.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3256; (P) 1.3385; (R1) 1.3465; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.3514 temporary top. Downside of retreat should be contained above 1.3050 support to bring another rally. On the upside, above 1.3514 will extend the rally from 1.1958 to 100% projection of 1.2195 to 1.3012 from 1.2827 at 1.3644 first. Break will target 161.8% projection at 1.4149 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1958 medium term bottom is on track to retest 1.4376 key resistance. Reactions from there would decide whether it’s in consolidation from 1.1946 (2016 low). Or, firm break of 1.4376 will indicate long term bullish reversal. In any case, for now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2827 support holds.

GBP/USD’s strong rebound and break of 1.3174 resistance last week suggests that sideway pattern from 1.3284 has completed at 1.2977. Initial bias is back on the upside this week for 1.3284 first. Break will target 1.5314 high. On the downside, break of 1.3139 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1958 medium term bottom is expected to extend higher to retest 1.4376 key resistance. Reactions from there would decide whether it’s in consolidation from 1.1946 (2016 low). Or, firm break of 1.4376 will indicate long term bullish reversal. In any case, for now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2582 resistance turned support holds.

In the longer term picture, it’s still unsure whether long term down trend form 2.1161 (2007 high) has completed at 1.1946 already. Focus is immediately on 55 month EMA (now at 1.3507) and sustained break will be the first serious sign of long term reversal. Further break of trend line resistance (now at 1.4045) will be another signal. Focus would then be turned to 1.4376 key resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3072; (P) 1.3151; (R1) 1.3250; More….

GBP/USD’s rally accelerates to as high as 1.3514 so far and breaks 1.3381 resistance decisively. Intraday bias remains on the upside at this point. Current rise from 1.1958 should target 100% projection of 1.2195 to 1.3012 from 1.2827 at 1.3644 first. Break will target 161.8% projection at 1.4149 next. In any case, near term outlook will now stay bullish as long as 1.3050, even in case of deep retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1958 medium term bottom is on track to retest 1.4376 key resistance. Reactions from there would decide whether it’s in consolidation from 1.1946 (2016 low). Or, firm break of 1.4376 will indicate long term bullish reversal. In any case, for now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2827 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4068; (P) 1.4154; (R1) 1.4227; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.4240 temporary top. Deeper pull back cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained well above 1.3828 support to bring rise resumption. Break of 1.4240 will target 1.4376 long term resistance next. Firm break there will pave the way to 100% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.4748.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 medium term bottom is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4376 resistance and above. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. On the downside, break of 1.3482 resistance turned support is needed to be first indication of completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish even in case of deep pullback.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2491; (P) 1.2535; (R1) 1.2559; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. Consolidation from 1.2439 might extend. But in case of another rise, upside should be limited below 1.2783 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.2439 would resume the decline from 1.3381 to retest 1.2391 low. Firm break there will resume larger down trend.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 1.2391 would target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low). For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence, focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD edged higher to 1.3745 last week but quickly lost momentum and retreated. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. As long as 1.3518 support holds, further rally is expected. Break of 1.3745 will turn bias to the upside, and extend the rise from 1.1409 to 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956. On the downside, break of 1.3518 will indicate short term topping, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 medium term bottom is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4376 resistance and above. On the downside, break of 1.2675 support is needed to indicate completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish even in case of deep pullback.

In the longer term picture, a long term bottom should be in place at 1.1409, on bullish convergence condition in monthly MACD. Rise from there would target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.5134. Reaction from there would reveal whether rise from 1.1409 is just a correction, or developing into a long term up trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2785; (P) 1.2815; (R1) 1.2838; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral first as it retreated ahead of 1.2859 resistance. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2612 support holds, even in case of deeper pullback. On the upside, firm break of 1.2859 will resume the rally from 1.2298 and target 61.8% projection of 1.2298 to 1.2859 from 1.2612 at 1.2959. Decisive break there would prompt upside acceleration through 1.3141 to 100% projection at 1.3173.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern which might still extend. Break of 1.2612 support will bring another fall to 1.2298 support and possibly below. Nevertheless, break of 1.2892 resistance will argue that larger up trend from 1.0351 might be ready to resume through 1.3141.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3557; (P) 1.3614; (R1) 1.3722; More…

Focus is now on 1.3702 resistance in GBP/USD against with current rebound. Decisive break there will resume whole rise from 1.1409. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.3428 support holds, even in case of another retreat.

In the bigger picture, the break of 1.3514 structural resistance and sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3328) should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Rise from there should now extend to 1.4376 resistance and above. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.2675 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2375; (P) 1.2415; (R1) 1.2470; More…

GBP/USD rebounds further today but stays in range of 1.2164/2647. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Another rise would remain mildly in favor as long as 1.2164 support holds. On the upside, break of will extend the rebound from 1.1409 towards 1.3200 resistance. On the downside, break of 1.2164 will indicate completion of rebound from 1.1409. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 1.1409 low.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is no indication of trend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. Next medium term target will be 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.3514 at 1.0273. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3514 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3827; (P) 1.3867; (R1) 1.3905; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for consolidation from 1.3951. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out. But strong support should be seen in 1.3564/3758 zone to contain downside. On the upside, sustained break of 1.3951 will extend the up trend from 1.1409 to 1.4376 long term resistance next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 medium term bottom is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4376 resistance and above. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implication. On the downside, break of 1.2675 support is needed to indicate completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish even in case of deep pullback.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2541; (P) 1.2582; (R1) 1.2655; More….

GBP/USD’s rally from 1.2251 continues today and intraday bias stays on the upside. Break of 1.2587 resistance will bring retest of 1.2813 high. On the downside, break of 1.2462 support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2251 support instead.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is not enough evidence for trend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. However, decisive break of 1.3514 should at least confirm medium term bottoming and turn outlook bullish for 1.4376 resistance first.

GBP/USD gyrated lower last week as fall from 1.3284 extends. Initial bias is mildly on the downside this week for 1.2905 support. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1958 to 1.3514 at 1.2920 will target 61.8% retracement at 1.2552. On the upside, break of 1.3284 will bring retest of 1.3514 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1958 medium term bottom is expected to extend higher to retest 1.4376 key resistance. Reactions from there would decide whether it’s in consolidation from 1.1946 (2016 low). Or, firm break of 1.4376 will indicate long term bullish reversal. In any case, for now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2582 resistance turned support holds.

In the longer term picture, it’s still unsure whether long term down trend form 2.1161 (2007 high) has completed at 1.1946 already. Focus is immediately on 55 month EMA (now at 1.3523) and sustained break will be the first serious sign of long term reversal. Further break of trend line resistance (now at 1.4045) will be another signal. Focus would then be turned to 1.4376 key resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3653; (P) 1.3702; (R1) 1.3748; More….

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.3758 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is expected with 1.3608 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.3758 will extend the whole up trend from 1.1409 to 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956 next. On the downside, however, break of 1.3608 support will now suggest short term topping, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 medium term bottom is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4376 resistance and above. On the downside, break of 1.2675 support is needed to indicate completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish even in case of deep pullback.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3522; (P) 1.3548; (R1) 1.3582; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.3485 temporary low. Stronger recovery cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.3485 at 1.3825 to bring another decline. Break of 1.3485 will resume the fall from 1.4376 to 1.3448 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole medium term rebound from 1.1936 (2016 low) has completed at 1.4376 already, with trend line broken, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4223). Deeper decline should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1936 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.3448 first. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.2874 and below. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.3925) holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3763; (P) 1.3789; (R1) 1.3824; More….

GBP/USD’s corrective recovery from 1.3711 is still in progress and is pressing 4 hour 55 EMA. Intraday bias stays neutral at this point. And, near term outlook is still mildly bearish with 1.4144 resistance intact. Correction from 1.4345 would extend to 1.3651 resistance turned support and below. At this point, such fall is viewed as a corrective move. Hence, we’ll look for strong support from 38.2% retracement of 1.1946 to 1.4345 at 1.3429 to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3038 support holds, medium term outlook in GBP/USD will remains bullish. Rise from 1.1946 is at least correcting the long term down from 2007 high at 2.1161. Further rally would be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466. However, GBP/USD fails to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 1.4259) so far. Break of 1.3038 support, will suggest that rise from 1.1946 has completed and will turn outlook bearish for retesting this low.