GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2645; (P) 1.2715; (R1) 1.2757; More….

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook and intraday bias remains neutral first. Corrective rebound from 1.2506 could still extend. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.3381 to 1.2506 at 1.2840. On the downside, break of 1.2642 minor support will turn intraday bias back to retest 1.2506 low. However, sustained break of 1.2840 will bring stronger rise to 61.8% retracement at 1.3047 next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 1.2391 would target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low). For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence, focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2483; (P) 1.2541; (R1) 1.2652; More

GBP/USD is staying in range trading and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.2429 support suggest that rebound from 1.2154 has completed. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for resting this low. On the upside, above 1.2666 will target 55 day EMA (now at 1.2706) and above.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2999 support turned resistance holds. On resumption, next target is 1.1409 low.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3239; (P) 1.3276; (R1) 1.3307; More

GBP/USD is still bounded in consolidation from 1.3313 and intraday bias remains neural at this point. With 1.3106 support intact, further rise is still in favor. On the upside, break of 1.3313 will resume the rise from 1.2675 and bring retest of 1.3482 high. However, sustained break of 1.3106 will argue that the rebound from 1.2675 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.2853 support.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.3514 key resistance. Decisive break there should also come with sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3304). That should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.4376 resistance and above. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3514 will maintain medium term bearishness for another lower below 1.1409 at a later stage.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1827; (P) 1.1932; (R1) 1.1998; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral for consolidation above 1.1806 temporary low. But further fall is expected with 1.2055 resistance intact. Break of 1.1806 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.2666 to 1.1932 from 1.2405 at 1.1671. Decisive break there will target a test on 1.1409 long term support. On the upside, above 1.2055 minor resistance will now indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2666 resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low. However, firm break of 1.2666 will bring stronger rise back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.3065).

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3599; (P) 1.3649; (R1) 1.3687; More

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.3702 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, decisive break of 1.3702 will resume whole rise from 1.1409. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.3428 support holds, even in case of another retreat.

In the bigger picture, the break of 1.3514 structural resistance and sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3328) should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Rise from there should now extend to 1.4376 resistance and above. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.2675 support holds.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2407; (P) 1.2451; (R1) 1.2483; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral at this point as range trading continues inside 1.2376/2614. Overall, price actions from 1.1946 are viewed as a consolidation pattern pattern. On the downside, break of 1.2376 will turn bias to the downside for 1.2108 support. Decisive break there will be an early sign of larger down trend resumption. On the upside, break of 1.2614 will extend the rise from 1.2108. But upside should be limited by 1.2705/2774 resistance zone to bring larger down trend resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. There is no sign of medium term reversal yet. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 1.2457 will target 100% projection at 0.9532. Overall, break of 1.3444 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3239; (P) 1.3298; (R1) 1.3410; More….

GBP/USD’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Current rise from 1.1409 should target 161.8% projection of 1.2065 to 1.2813 from 1.2251 at 1.3461. On the downside, break of 1.3053 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 1.3514 resistance. Decisive break there should at least confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Further rise should be seen to 1.4376 resistance first. Though, rejection by 1.3514 will retain bearishness for resuming the down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) at a later stage.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2421; (P) 1.2460; (R1) 1.2484; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point and more consolidations could be seen. Recovery should be limited by 1.2577 minor resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, firm break of 1.2407 will resume the decline from 1.2892 to 100% projection of 1.2892 to 1.2538 from 1.2708 at 1.2354. Firm break there will target 161.8% projection at 1.2207 next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Fall from 1.2892 is seen as the third leg. Deeper decline would be seen to 1.2036 support and possibly below. But strong support should emerge from 61.8% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2452 at 1.1417 to complete the correction.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2362; (P) 1.2464; (R1) 1.2526; More….

GBP/USD’s fall from 1.2813 continues today and intraday bias remains on the downside. Sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 1.2473) suggests that whole rebound from 1.1409 has completed. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.2065 support for confirmation. On the upside, break of 1.2587 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside instead.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is not enough evidence for rend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. However, decisive break of 1.3514 should at least confirm medium term bottoming and turn outlook bullish for 1.4376 resistance first.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1925; (P) 1.2003; (R1) 1.2133; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside at this point. Current rise from 1.0351 should target 100% projection of 1.0351 to 1.1494 from 1.1145 at 1.2288 first. Sustained break there will pave the way to 1.2759 medium term fibonacci level. For now, break of 1.1777 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1145 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 1.4248.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2459; (P) 1.2550; (R1) 1.2603; More

GBP/USD is staying above 1.2434 support and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is still mildly in favor. On the upside, break of 1.2678 will resume larger up trend to 1.2759 fibonacci level first. Firm break there will target 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095. However, decisive break of 1.2434 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper fall.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.0351 medium term term bottom (2022 low) is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 (2021 high) to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will add to the case of long term bullish trend reversal. Further break of 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095 could prompt upside acceleration to 100% projection at 1.3895. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 1.1801 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2441; (P) 1.2476; (R1) 1.2506; More

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook as consolidation continues above 1.2443 temporary low. Stronger recovery cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 1.2618 support turned resistance. Below 1.2443 will resume the fall from 1.3141 to 100% projection of 1.3141 to 1.2618 from 1.2799 at 1.2276.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top is seen as a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075. Strong support would be seen there to bring rebound on first attempt. But outlook will be neutral at best as long as 1.3141 resistance holds, and consolidation from there is set to extend, until further development.

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook

GBP/USD stayed in consolidation from 1.3012 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Downside of retreat should be contained by 1.2768 support. On the upside, break of 1.3012 will resume whole rally from 1.1958. However, break of 1.2768 will bring deeper fall back to 1.2582 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1958 medium term bottom is seen as the third leg of consolidation from 1.1946. Further rise would be seen back towards 1.4376 resistance. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 1.2582 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 1.2582 will turn focus back to 1.1946 low.

In the longer term picture, at this point, price actions from 1.1946 are seen developing into a corrective pattern. That is, down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) is still expected to resume later. But sustained break of 1.4376 resistance will now be a strong signal of long term bullish reversal.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3263; (P) 1.3354; (R1) 1.3410; More….

GBP/USD’s correction from 1.3549 is still extending and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. As long as 1.3220 support holds, we’d favor another rise. Break of 1.3549 will target 1.3651 high next. Break there will resume medium term rally from 1.1946. However, firm break of 1.3220 will turn near term outlook bearish for 1.3038 key support level.

In the bigger picture, while the medium term rebound from 1.1946 low was strong, it’s limited below 1.3835 key support turned resistance. As long as 1.3835 holds, we’d view such rebound as a correction. That is, we’d expect another leg in the long term down trend through 1.1946 low. However, sustained break of 1.3835 should at least send GBP/USD to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3718; (P) 1.3749; (R1) 1.3778; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment and more sideway trading could be seen. Still, deeper fall is expected as long as 1.3908 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.3570 will resume the fall from 1.4248 to 1.3482 resistance turned support first. Decisive break there will target 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164. On the upside, break of 1.3908 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.4248 high instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed. GBP/USD would then be seen in another leg of long term range pattern between 1.1409 and 1.4376. Deeper fall could then be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.2493, and even below.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3366; (P) 1.3425; (R1) 1.3530; More….

GBP/USD rebound strongly after hitting 1.3319 but upside is limited below 1.3549 so far. Intraday bias remains neutral first. As long as 1.3337 holds, further rise is expected. Break of 1.3549 will target 1.3651 high and above. However, decisive break of 1.3337 will argue that rise from 1.3038 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, while the medium term rebound from 1.1946 low is strong, it’s still limited below 1.3835 key support turned resistance. As long as 1.3835 holds, we’d view such rebound as a correction. That is, we’d expect another leg in the long term down trend through 1.1946 low. However, sustained break of 1.3835 should at least send GBP/USD to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3596; (P) 1.3616; (R1) 1.3657; More

GBP/USD’s consolidation from 1.3702 is still extending and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. As long as 1.3428 support holds, further rally is expected. On the upside, firm break of 1.3702 will resume larger up rise form 1.1409 to 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956. However, break of 1.3428 support will turn bias to the downside, for deeper correction to 1.3134 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 medium term bottom is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4376 resistance and above. On the downside, break of 1.2675 support is needed to indicate completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stays cautiously bullish in case of pullback.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2435; (P) 1.2517; (R1) 1.2570; More

GBP/USD breaches 1.2414 minor support briefly but quickly recovered. Intraday bias stays neutral first. Rise from 1.1986 is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.1946. On the downside, firm break of 1.2414 minor support will argue that it’s completed and turn bias to the downside for 1.1946 low. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance at 1.2774 to limit upside and bring down trend resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. There is no sign of medium term bottoming yet. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 1.2457 will target 100% projection at 0.9532. Overall, break of 1.3444 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

Subscribe to our daily and mid-day newsletter to get this report delivered to your mail box

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2596; (P) 1.2667; (R1) 1.2710; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment as consolidation from 1.2793 is extending. While sideway trading could extend, further rally is still expected as long as 1.2499 support holds. . On the upside, firm break of 1.2793 will resume the rally from 1.2036. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2068 to 1.2731 from 1.2499 at 1.2909.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg that’s in progress. Upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2499; (P) 1.2550; (R1) 1.2598; More

GBP/USD’s down trend is in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside for 161.8% projection of 1.3641 to 1.2999 from 1.3297 at 1.2258. On the upside, above 1.2601 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first. Upside of recovery should be limited below 1.2999 support turned resistance to bring another fall.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248, ahead of 1.4376 long term resistance (2018 high). Based on current momentum, fall from 1.4248 is probably the start of a long term down trend. The break of 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493 is affirming this bearish case too. For now, deeper decline would be seen as long as 1.3158 support turned resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low.