GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2787; (P) 1.2835; (R1) 1.2873; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral first, with 4H MACD crossed above signal line. Below 1.2796 will resume the fall form 1.3141 to 55 D EMA (now at 1.2703) next. On the upside, break of 1.2963 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside retest 1.3141 high instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.2678 resistance turned support holds, rise form 1.0351 (2022 low) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3895. However, sustained break of 1.2678 will argue that it’s at least correcting this rally, with risk of bearish reversal.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2526; (P) 1.2547; (R1) 1.2581; More…

GBP/USD is staying in range below 1.2633 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is mildly in favor with 1.2445 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.2633 will resume the rally from 1.2298 to 1.2708 resistance next. However, firm break of 1.2445 will indicate that this rebound has completed, and revive near term bearishness. Retest of 1.2298 should then be seen in this case.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern. Fall from 1.2892 is seen as the third leg which might have completed already. Break of 1.2892 resistance will argue that larger up trend from 1.0351(2022 low) is ready to resume through 1.3141. Meanwhile, break of 1.2298 support will extend the corrective pattern instead.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2411; (P) 1.2447; (R1) 1.2475; More….

GBP/USD is bounded in range of 1.2382/2579 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further decline remains in favor as long as 1.2579 resistance holds. Sustained break of 1.2391 key support will resume larger down trend for 61.8% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2391 from 1.3381 at 1.2154 next. Though, break of 1.2579 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound back to 1.2783 resistance. In this case, consolidation from 1.2391 would extend with another rise, towards 1.3381 resistance, before completion.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 1.2391 would target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low). For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence, focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2561; (P) 1.2617; (R1) 1.2701; More….

GBP/USD’s strong rebound suggests short term bottoming at 1.2506, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is now on the upside for further rise, through 1.2763 resistance to 55 day EMA (now at 1.2808). For now, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.3381 to 1.2506 at 1.2840 to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 1.2626 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 1.2506 first. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.2850 will bring stronger rise to 61.8% retracement at 1.3047 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) is possibly ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.2391 would target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low). For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence, focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3733; (P) 1.3766; (R1) 1.3800; More

With 1.3678 minor support intact, further rise is expected in GBP/USD. Rebound from 1.3601 would target 1.3982 resistance first. Decisive break there will pave the way back to retest 1.4248 high. On the downside, break of 1.3678 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.3570 low, and possibly further to 1.3482 key resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248, after failing 1.4376 resistance. Fall from there could either be correcting the rise from 1.1409, or starting another falling leg inside long term sideway pattern. In either case, sustained break of 1.3482 resistance turned support will target 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164 first. Break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2035; (P) 1.2067; (R1) 1.2091; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for consolidations above 1.2014 temporary low. Further decline is expected with 1.2209 resistance intact. On the downside break of 1.2014 will target 1.1946 low first. Firm break there will target 100% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2391 from 1.3381 at 1.1396. On the upside, break of 1.2209 resistance will suggest short term bottoming. In this case, lengthier consolidation should be seen first before another decline.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is extending towards 1.1946 low. We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But decisive break will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4067; (P) 1.4164; (R1) 1.4333; More…..

GBP/USD’s rally extends to as high as 1.4304 so far today. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 100% projection of 1.2108 to 1.3651 from 1.3038 at 1.4581 next. On the downside, below 1.4116 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But retreat should be contained well above 1.3612 resistance turned support to bring another rise.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 1.3835 key resistance level indicates that rebound from 1.1946 is at least correcting the long term down from from 2007 high at 2.1161. Further rise should now be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.3038 support holds, in case of pull back.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2459; (P) 1.2490; (R1) 1.2536; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.2439 is extending. Stronger recovery could be seen. But upside should be limited well below 1.2783 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.2439 would resume the decline from 1.3381 to retest 1.2391 low. Firm break there will resume larger down trend.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 1.2391 would target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low). For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence, focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2615; (P) 1.2696; (R1) 1.2758; More….

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook as consolidation from 1.2476 is still in progress. Upside should be limited by 1.2811 resistance to bring decline resumption. On the downside, break of 1.2476 will extend larger down trend from 1.4376 to 61.8% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2661 from 1.3174 at 1.2114. However, firm break of 1.2811 will be an early signal of trend reversal and turn focus back to 1.3174 resistance.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). And this will now remain the preferred case as long as 1.3174 structural resistance holds. GBP/USD should now target a test on 1.1946 first. Decisive break there will confirm our bearish view.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2207; (P) 1.2271; (R1) 1.2333; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays on the upside despite current retreat. Rise from 1.1801 is in progress for retesting 1.2445/6 resistance zone. Decisive break there will resume larger rise from 1.0351, and target 1.2759 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 1.2177 minor support will argue that corrective pattern from 1.2445 is extending with another falling leg, and turn bias to the downside for 1.2009 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price action from 1.2445 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low). Resumption of the rally from 1.0351 is expected and break of 1.2446 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 (2021 high) to 1.0351 at 1.2759. This will remain the favored case as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2445 at 1.1645 holds.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2097; (P) 1.2170; (R1) 1.2218; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays mildly on the downside for the moment. Fall from 1.2445 short term top is in progress for 55 day EMA (now at 1.1874). Firm break there will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2445 at 1.1645. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.2445 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1644 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 1.4248. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.1874) holds.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3869; (P) 1.3927; (R1) 1.3965; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. Consolidation pattern from 1.4240 could have completed with three waves down to 1.3570. Further rise is expected as long as 1.3766 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.3982 will resume the rise from 1.3570 to retest 1.4248 high. However, break of 1.3766 support will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 1.3570.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed. GBP/USD would then be seen in another leg of long term range pattern between 1.1409 and 1.4376. Deeper fall could then be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.2493, and even below.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2978; (P) 1.3096; (R1) 1.3157; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral first. As long as 1.2960 support holds, further rally remains in favor. On the upside, firm break of 1.3381 will resume the rebound from 1.2391 to 61.8% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3618 next. However, on the downside, decisive break of 1.2960 will indicate that rebound from 1.2391 has completed earlier than expected. Deeper fall would then be seen to 1.2773 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.2391. Rise from 1.2391 is now seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1946 (2016 low). Further rise could be seen through 1.4376 in medium term. On the downside, though, break of 1.2773 support will dampen this view. Focus will be turned back to 1.2391 low and break will resume the fall from 1.4376 to 1.1946.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2915; (P) 1.2968; (R1) 1.2997; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. Pullback from 1.3043 could extend lower but downside should be contained by 1.2859 resistance turned support to bring another rally. Above 1.3043 will resume the rise from 1.2298 to 100% projection of 1.2298 to 1.2859 from 1.2612 at 1.3173, which is slightly above 1.3141 key medium term resistance. However, firm break of 1.2859 will turn bias to the downside for deeper decline.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.3141 medium term top (2023 high) could have completed with three waves to 1.2298 already. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.2612 support holds. Firm break of 1.3141 will target 61.8% projection of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 from 1.2298 at 1.4022.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2731; (P) 1.2796; (R1) 1.2876; More

GBP/USD’s rally accelerates to as high as 1.2911 so far today and intraday bias remains on the upside. Pull back from 1.3047 should have completed at 1.2588 already. Rise from there should now target 1.2977 resistance first. Break there will likely extend the larger rise through 1.3047 resistance. On the downside, below 1.2793 minor support will turn bias neutral first and bring retreat.

In the bigger picture, overall, price actions from 1.1946 medium term low are seen as a corrective pattern. Pull back from 1.3047 has completed after failing to sustain below 1.2614 resistance turned support. It argues that the corrective pattern from 1.1946 is still in progress for another high above 1.3047. But still, outlook remains bearish as long as 1.3444 key resistance holds. Larger down trend from 1.7190 is expected to resume later after the correction completes.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3085; (P) 1.3134; (R1) 1.3185; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. Outlook remains bearish with 1.3297 resistance intact, and further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 1.2999 low will resume larger down trend from 1.4248. However, firm break of 1.3297 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248. Decline from 1.4248 could still be a corrective move, or it could be the start of a long term down trend. In either case, deeper decline would be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493. In any case, break of 1.3748 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming, or outlook will stay bearish.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1159; (P) 1.1247; (R1) 1.1408; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays on the upside. Rise from 1.0351 short term bottom would target 61.8% retracement of 1.2292 to 1.0351 at 1.1551. Strong resistance could be seen around 55 day EMA (now at 1.1614) to limit upside on first attempt. But sustained break there will pave the way to 1.2292 resistance. On the downside, below 1.1023 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 1.0351 instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) is resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Next target is 100% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 0.9532. There is no scope of a medium term rebound as long as 1.1759 support turned resistance holds.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2639; (P) 1.2699; (R1) 1.2746; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains mildly on the downside at this point. Recovery from 1.2559 could have completed at 1.2763 and deeper fall should be seen to retest 1.2559. Break will extend the decline from 1.3381 for 1.2391 low first. On the upside, in case of another rise, upside should be limited by by 1.2865 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) is possibly ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.2391 would target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low). For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2243; (P) 1.2297; (R1) 1.2375; More

GBP/USD’s consolidation from 1.2200 is still in progress and extending. Intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of stronger rise, upside should be limited by 1.2509 resistance and bring fall resumption. Corrective rise from 1.1946 has completed at 1.2774. Below 1.2200 will target a test on 1.1946 low. Decisive break there will confirm larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. There is no sign of medium term bottoming yet. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 1.2457 will target 100% projection at 0.9532. Overall, break of 1.3444 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

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GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3088; (P) 1.3150; (R1) 1.3211; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 1.3210 minor resistance should confirm short term bottoming at 1.2999. Intraday bias will be back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.3368). Nevertheless, break of 1.2999 will resume larger down trend from 1.4248.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248. Decline from 1.4248 could still be a corrective move, or it could be the start of a long term down trend. In either case, deeper decline would be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493. In any case, break of 1.3748 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming, or outlook will stay bearish.