GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2255; (P) 1.2345; (R1) 1.2436; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside for the moment. Decisive break of 1.2445 resistance will confirm resumption of whole rise from 1.0351. Next target will be 1.2759 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 1.2252 minor support will turn bias to the downside, the extend the corrective pattern from 1.2445 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1644 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 1.4248.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2433; (P) 1.2478; (R1) 1.2528; More….

GBP/USD is still bounded in range of 1.2382/2579 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Near term outlook stays mildly bearish with 1.2579 resistance intact, and further decline is in favor. On the downside, sustained break of 1.2391 key support will resume larger down trend for 61.8% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2391 from 1.3381 at 1.2154 next. Though, break of 1.2579 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound back to 1.2783 resistance. In this case, consolidation from 1.2391 would extend with another rise, towards 1.3381 resistance, before completion.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 1.2391 would target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low). For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence, focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3709; (P) 1.3739; (R1) 1.3782; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. Risk will stay mildly on the downside as long as 1.3917 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.3668/9 will resume the correction from 1.4240 to 1.3482 key resistance turned support. However, firm break of 1.3917 will suggest that the correction has completed, and bring stronger rise to 1.4000 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 1.2675 support and below.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4077; (P) 1.4100; (R1) 1.4130; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. On the upside, sustained break of 1.4240 resistance will resume larger up trend from 1.1409, for 1.4376 key resistance next. On the downside, however, firm break of 1.4072 support will extend the consolidation from 1.4240 with another falling leg. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.4008 resistance turned support first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 1.2675 support and below.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4106; (P) 1.4137; (R1) 1.4169; More

A temporary top is formed at 1.4165 with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral for some consolidations. But further rise is expected as long as 1.4008 resistance turned support holds. on the upside, break of 1.4165 will resume the rally from 1.3668 to retest 1.4240 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 1.1409 low for 1.4376 long term resistance next. however, firm break of 1.4008 will delay the bullish case and extend the corrective pattern from 1.4240 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 1.2675 support and below.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1945; (P) 1.1987; (R1) 1.2066; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral, and more consolidations could be seen above 1.1874. Outlook stays bearish as long as 1.2405 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.1874 will resume larger down trend to t 100% projection of 1.2666 to 1.1932 from 1.2405 at 1.1671. Break there will target 1.1409 long term support.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2666 resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low. However, firm break of 1.2666 will bring stronger rise back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.3103).

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2765; (P) 1.2877; (R1) 1.3005; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside at this point. Current rise from 1.1958 should target 161.8% projection of 1.1958 to 1.2582 from 1.2195 at 1.3205 next. On the downside, below 1.2516 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But retreat should be contained well above 1.2195 support for another rally.

In the bigger picture, current development affirms the case of medium term bottoming at 1.1958, ahead of 1.1946 (2016 low). At this point, rise from 1.1958 is seen as the third leg of consolidation from 1.1946. Further rise would be seen back towards 1.4376 resistance. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 1.2195 support holds.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2379; (P) 1.2414; (R1) 1.2461; More

GBP/USD recovers further today but it’s staying gin range of 1.2343/2545. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Another rise is in favor with 1.2343 support intact. On the upside, above 1.2545 will target 1.2759 fibonacci level first. Firm break there will target 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, firm break of 1.2343 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.0351 medium term term bottom (2022 low) is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 (2021 high) to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will add to the case of long term bullish trend reversal. Further break of 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095 could prompt upside acceleration to 100% projection at 1.3895. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 1.1801 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2785; (P) 1.2847; (R1) 1.2883; More

GBP/USD’s decline from 1.3267 continues today and intraday bias remains on the downside for 1.2588 key near term support. As noted before, we’re favoring the case that correction from 1.1946 is completed at 1.3267. Decisive break of 1.2588 will confirm our view and target a test on 1.1946 low. On the upside, break of 1.2952 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, overall, price actions from 1.1946 medium term low are seen as a corrective pattern. While further rise cannot be ruled out, larger outlook remains bearish as long as 1.3444 key resistance holds. Down trend from 1.7190 (2014 high) is expected to resume later after the correction completes. And break of 1.2588 will indicate that such down trend is resuming.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3648; (P) 1.3690; (R1) 1.3766; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Another fall is in favor with 1.3785 minor resistance intact. On the downside, firm break of 1.3570 will resume larger fall from 1.4248 to 1.3482 resistance turned support next. Break there will target 100% projection of 1.4248 to 1.3570 from 1.3982 at 1.3304. However, on the upside, break of 1.3785 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3982 resistance intact.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248, after failing 1.4376 resistance. Fall from there could either be correcting the rise form 1.1409, or starting another falling leg inside long term sideway pattern. In either case, sustained break of 1.3482 resistance turned support will target 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164 first. Break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3119; (P) 1.3172; (R1) 1.3262; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.3381. Further rise is expected with 1.2960 support intact. On the upside, firm break of 1.3381 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3618 next. However, on the downside, firm break of 1.2960 will indicate that rebound from 1.2391 has completed earlier than expected. Deeper fall would then be seen to 1.2773 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.2391. Rise from 1.2391 is now seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1946 (2016 low). Further rise could be seen through 1.4376 in medium term. On the downside, though, break of 1.2773 support will dampen this view. Focus will be turned back to 1.2391 low and break will resume the fall from 1.4376 to 1.1946.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3808; (P) 1.3829; (R1) 1.3862; More

GBP/USD’s break of 1.3890 suggests resumption of rise from 1.3601. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.3982 resistance next. Decisive break there will indicate that fall from 1.4248 has completed. Stronger rally would then be seen back to 1.4248 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.3725 support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.3570/3601 support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, we’d still treat price actions from 1.4248 as a corrective move. That is, up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) is in favor to resume. Decisive break of 1.4376 key resistance (2018 high) would indeed carry long term bullish implications. However, sustained break of 1.3482 will at least bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164, or even further to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3814; (P) 1.3940; (R1) 1.4035; More…..

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. At this point, it’s still unsure whether decline from 1.4345 is correcting rise from 1.3038, or that from 1.1946, or it’s reversing the trend. But another fall will remain in favor as long as 1.4345 resistance holds. Below 1.3835 will target 1.3651 resistance turned support first. Break of 1.3651 will turn focus to key fibonacci level at 1.3429.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 1.3835 key resistance level indicates that rebound from 1.1946 is at least correcting the long term down from from 2007 high at 2.1161. Further rise should now be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466. Medium term outlook will stay bullish 38.2% retracement of 1.1946 to 1.4345 at 1.3429, in case of deep pull back.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3856; (P) 1.3927; (R1) 1.4020; More…..

With 1.3999 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside. The decline from 1.4345 short term top would extend to 1.3651 resistance turned support. For the moment, it’s unsure whether the decline is correcting rise from 1.3038, or that from 1.1946, or it’s reversing the trend. Break of 1.3651 will turn focus to key fibonacci level at 1.3429. On the upside, above 1.3999 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 1.3835 key resistance level indicates that rebound from 1.1946 is at least correcting the long term down from from 2007 high at 2.1161. Further rise should now be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466. Medium term outlook will stay bullish 38.2% retracement of 1.1946 to 1.4345 at 1.3429, in case of deep pull back.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2383; (P) 1.2444; (R1) 1.2488; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral with today’s decline. Another rise could be seen with 1.2283 minor support intact. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.3381 to 1.1958 at 1.2502 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.2837. On the downside, however, break of 1.2283 minor support will suggest that the rebound is completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 1.1958 low.

In the bigger picture, we’d remain cautious on medium term bottoming around 1.1946 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.2769) will extend the consolidation pattern from 1.1946 with another rise to 1.4376 resistance. Nevertheless, decisive break of 1.1946 will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2605; (P) 1.2656; (R1) 1.2710; More….

No change in GBP/USD as it’s staying in consolidation from 1.2476. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.2811 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.2476 will extend larger down trend from 1.4376 to 61.8% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2661 from 1.3174 at 1.2114. However, firm break of 1.2811 will be an early signal of trend reversal and turn focus back to 1.3174 resistance.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). And this will now remain the preferred case as long as 1.3174 structural resistance holds. GBP/USD should now target a test on 1.1946 first. Decisive break there will confirm our bearish view.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3075; (P) 1.3108; (R1) 1.3127; More

GBP/USD’s consolidation from 1.3141 is in progress. Intraday bias remains neutral and deeper retreat could be seen. But downside should be contained above 1.2847 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 1.3141 will resume larger up trend and target 161.8% projection of 1.2306 to 1.2847 from 1.2589 at 1.3464 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3895. Break there will target 1.4248 key long term resistance (2021 high) next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.2678 resistance turned support holds.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2658; (P) 1.2702; (R1) 1.2724; More….

As noted before, a short term bottom is likely in place at 1.2559 on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Strong rebound could be seen but upside should be limited by 1.2865 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.2559 will extend the decline from 1.3381 for 1.2391 low first. However, sustained break of 1.2865 will indicate completion of fall from 1.3381. In that case, corrective pattern from 1.2391 would be in another rising leg through 1.3381 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) is possibly ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.2391 would target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low). For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2411; (P) 1.2447; (R1) 1.2475; More….

GBP/USD rebounds strongly today but stays inside range of 1.2382/2579. Intraday bias remains neutral first. With 1.2579 resistance intact, further decline is still in favor. On the downside, sustained break of 1.2391 key support will resume larger down trend for 61.8% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2391 from 1.3381 at 1.2154 next. Though, break of 1.2579 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound back to 1.2783 resistance. In this case, consolidation from 1.2391 would extend with another rise, towards 1.3381 resistance, before completion.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 1.2391 would target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low). For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence, focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2039; (P) 1.2088; (R1) 1.2129; More

At this point, intraday bias in GBP/USD stays mildly on the downside. Rebound from 1.1759 should have completed after hitting 55 day EMA. Deeper fall would be seen back to retest 1.1759 low. On the upside, break of 1.2292 will resume the rebound towards 1.2405 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2666 resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low. However, firm break of 1.2666 will bring stronger rise back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.2925).