GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2804; (P) 1.2834; (R1) 1.2863; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.3012 is extending. At this point, we’d still expect strong support above 1.2582 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 1.3012 will resume the rise from 1.1958 to 161.8% projection of 1.1958 to 1.2582 from 1.2195 at 1.3205 next.

In the bigger picture, current development affirms the case of medium term bottoming at 1.1958, ahead of 1.1946 (2016 low). At this point, rise from 1.1958 is seen as the third leg of consolidation from 1.1946. Further rise would be seen back towards 1.4376 resistance. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 1.2195 support holds.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2569; (P) 1.2609; (R1) 1.2635; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains mildly on the downside. Corrective recovery from 1.2506 should have completed at 1.2783. Firm break of 1.2506 will resume larger fall from 1.3381 to 1.2391 low. On the upside, above 1.2645 minor resistance will extend the consolidation from 1.2506 with another rise. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.3381 to 1.2506 at 1.2840 to bring fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 1.2391 would target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low). For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence, focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4062; (P) 1.4132; (R1) 1.4179; More

GBP/USD rebounds after drawing support from 1.4090. Intraday bias remains neutral and near term bullishness is retained. On the upside, sustained break of 1.4240, will indication resumption of larger up trend from 1.1409, for 1.4376 resistance next. On the downside, break of 1.4090 will indicate the start of the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.4240. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.4008 resistance turned support and below.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 1.2675 support and below.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3816; (P) 1.3852; (R1) 1.3901; More

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.3982 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral first. Outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 1.4240 could have completed with three waves down to 1.3570. On the upside, break of 1.3982 will resume the rise from 1.3570 to retest 1.4248 high. However, break of 1.3766 support will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 1.3570.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed. GBP/USD would then be seen in another leg of long term range pattern between 1.1409 and 1.4376. Deeper fall could then be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.2493, and even below.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3753; (P) 1.3779; (R1) 1.3817; More….

GBP/USD is still bounded in range of 1.3730/4000 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.3730 support will resume the fall from 1.4248, as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.4240. Deeper decline would be seen to 1.3668 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.4000 resistance will argue that fall from 1.4248 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.4240/8 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 1.2675 support and below.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4117; (P) 1.4175; (R1) 1.4210; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral first and further rise is in favor with 1.4098 minor support intact. On the upside, decisive break of 1.4240 will resume larger up trend for 1.4376 key resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.4098 support will delay the bullish case. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside to extend the consolidation pattern from 1.4240 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 1.2675 support and below.

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook

GBP/USD’s strong rally last week and firm break of 1.3444 resistance is taken as a sign of larger trend reversal. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for medium term 1.3835 support turned resistance next. On the downside, below 1.3522 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 1.3444 key resistance now argues that the long term trend in GBP/USD has reversed. That is a key bottom was formed back in 1.1946 on bullish convergence condition in monthly MACD. Current rise from 1.1946 will target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466 next. In any case, medium term outlook will now stay bullish as long as 1.2773 support holds.

In the longer term picture, current development argues that whole down trend form 2.1161 (2007 high) is completed at 1.1946 already (2016 low). It’s too early to tell is GBP/USD is staying a long term up trend. But in any case, further rise is in favor to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1946 at 1.5466 next. We’ll monitor the structure of the current rally from 1.1946 to decide if it’s an impulsive move.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Weekly Chart

GBP/USD Monthly Chart

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2148; (P) 1.2220; (R1) 1.2284; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains mildly on the downside for the moment. Corrective recovery from 1.2014 could have completed at 1.2309 already. Deeper fall should be seen to retest 1.2014 first. Break will resume larger down trend to 1.1946 low. On the upside, above 1.2309 will extend the recovery. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.3381 to 1.2014 at 1.2536 to bring down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is extending towards 1.1946 low. We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But decisive break will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2919; (P) 1.3004; (R1) 1.3052; More

GBP/USD recovered ahead of 1.2921 support and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further rise could be seen. But in any case, upside should be limited by 1.3316 key fibonacci level to bring down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, break of 1.2921 support will add to the case that corrective rise from 1.2661 has completed. Next target will be 1.2661/2784 support zone.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend. And this will be the preferred case as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2661 at 1.3316 holds. However, firm break of 1.3316 would bring stronger rebound to 61.8% retracement at 1.3721. And, the eventual depth of the fall from 1.4376, and the chance of hitting 1.1946 low, will depend on the strength of the interim corrective rebound from 1.2661.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2124; (P) 1.2234; (R1) 1.2307; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral for the moment. Further rally is expected as long as 1.1898 support holds. Above 1.2343 will resume the rise from 1.0351 and target 1.2759 medium term fibonacci level next. However, firm break of 1.1898 support will confirm short term topping and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1644 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 1.4248.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3119; (P) 1.3157; (R1) 1.3219; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. As noted before, corrective rise from 1.2661 could have completed at 1.3297, ahead of 1.3316 key fibonacci level. Hence, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3297 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.3042 resistance turned support will bring deeper fall to 1.2784. Break there will argue that larger down trend from 1.4376 is resuming for a new low below 1.2661.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4062). The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend. And this will be the preferred case as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2661 at 1.3316 holds. However, firm break of 1.3316 would bring stronger rebound to 61.8% retracement at 1.3721. And, the eventual depth of the fall from 1.4376, and the chance of hitting 1.1946 low, will depend on the strength of the interim corrective rebound from 1.2661.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1868; (P) 1.1929; (R1) 1.1982; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays mildly on the downside at this point. Current down trend should target 100% projection of 1.2666 to 1.1932 from 1.2405 at 1.1671. Break could prompt further downside acceleration to 161.8% projection at 1.1217. On the upside, break of 1.2164 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.2405 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2666 resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low. However, firm break of 1.2666 will bring stronger rise back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.3103).

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3076; (P) 1.3110; (R1) 1.3139; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is still neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 1.3070 minor support will indicate completion of rebound form 1.2956 and turns bias back to the downside for this low. Firm break there will resume larger decline from 1.4376 for 1.2874 fibonacci level next. On the upside, above 1.3212 will bring further recovery. But still, price action from 1.2956 are a corrective pattern. Upside should be limited by 1.3362 resistance to bring larger decline resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4179). Fall from 1.4376 should extend to 61.8% retracement of 1.1946 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.2874 next. Decisive break of 1.2874 will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption through 1.1946 low. On the upside, break of 1.3362 resistance is needed to be the first indication of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4052; (P) 1.4165; (R1) 1.4229; More…..

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.4345 continues. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 1.3915 support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 1.4345 will resume medium term up trend to 100% projection of 1.2108 to 1.3651 from 1.3038 at 1.4581 next. However, break of 1.3915 will argue that, at least, deeper pull back in underway to 1.3651 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 1.3835 key resistance level indicates that rebound from 1.1946 is at least correcting the long term down from from 2007 high at 2.1161. Further rise should now be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.3038 support holds, in case of pull back.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2461; (P) 1.2516; (R1) 1.2551; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral for consolidation below 1.2582. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2352 support holds. On the upside, above 1.2582 will target 1.2759 fibonacci level first. Firm break there will target 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, break of 1.2352 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.0351 medium term term bottom (2022 low) is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 (2021 high) to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will add to the case of long term bullish trend reversal. Further break of 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095 could prompt upside acceleration to 100% projection at 1.3895. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 1.1801 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2574; (P) 1.2611; (R1) 1.2650; More

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.2476 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Stronger rise cannot be ruled out, but upside should be limited by 1.2811 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.2476 will extend larger down trend from 1.4376 to 61.8% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2661 from 1.3174 at 1.2114. However, firm break of 1.2811 will be an early signal of trend reversal and turn focus back to 1.3174 resistance.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). And this will now remain the preferred case as long as 1.3174 structural resistance holds. GBP/USD should now target a test on 1.1946 first. Decisive break there will confirm our bearish view.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2625; (P) 1.2650; (R1) 1.2690; More….

GBP/USD’s recovery from 1.2559 extends higher today but stays below 1.2747 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Outlook stays bearish with 1.2747 intact and fall from 1.3381 would still extend lower. On the downside, break of 1.2559 will target 1.2391 low first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2391 from 1.3381 at 1.2154 next. Though, break of 1.2747 resistance will confirm short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) is possibly ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.2391 would target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low). For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2129; (P) 1.2178; (R1) 1.2215; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside as this point. At noted before, corrective recovery from 1.2014 could have completed at 1.2309. Further decline would be seen to retest 1.2014. Decisive break will resume larger down trend to 1.1946 low. On the upside, above 1.2309 will resume the corrective rise from 1.2014. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.3381 to 1.2014 at 1.2536 to bring down trend resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is extending towards 1.1946 low. We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But decisive break will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2118; (P) 1.2153; (R1) 1.2215; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral for the moment. Further fall is in favor as long as 1.2187 minor resistance holds. Firm break of 1.1932 will resume larger down trend from 1.4248. On the upside, above 1.2187 will resume the rebound from 1.1932 to 1.2666 resistance. Firm break there will indicate medium term bottoming.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2666 resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low. However, firm break of 1.2666 will bring stronger rise back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.3140).

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2842; (P) 1.2865; (R1) 1.2905; More….

GBP/USD recovers today but stays in consolidation from 1.3012. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Such consolidation could extend but in case of another fall, downside should be contained above 1.2582 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 1.3012 will resume the rise from 1.1958 to 1.3381 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom was formed at 1.1958, ahead of 1.1946 (2016 low). At this point, rise from 1.1958 is seen as the third leg of consolidation from 1.1946. Further rise would be seen back towards 1.4376 resistance. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 1.2582 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 1.2582 will turn focus back to 1.1946 low.