GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3157; (P) 1.3221; (R1) 1.3272; More….

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.3350 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral. Deeper retreat could be seen but downside should be contained by 1.3109 support to bring anther rally. On the upside, On the upside, break of 1.3350 will extend the rise from 1.2391 to 61.8% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3618 next. Sustained break will pave the way to 1.4376. However, break of 1.3109 will turn focus back to 1.2773 near term support instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.2391. Rise from 1.2391 is now seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1946 (2016 low). Further rise could be seen through 1.4376 in medium term. On the downside, though, break of 1.2773 support will turn focus back to 1.2391 low and then 1.1946.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2948; (P) 1.3011; (R1) 1.3126; More….

GBP/USD’s break of 1.2957 minor resistance suggests that pull back from 1.3217 has completed at 1.2773 already. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for retesting 1.3174/3217 key resistance zone. Decisive break there will complete a head and shoulder bottom pattern (ls: 1.2661, h: 1.2391, rs: 1.2773). That would indicate bullish reversal for 61.8% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3618 next. On the downside, break of 1.2895 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2773 instead.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 1.3174 resistance with current rebound. Break will indicate completion of decline from 1.4376. Rise from 1.2391 would then be seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1946 (2016 low). In that case, further rise could be seen through 1.4376 resistance. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3174 again will extend the decline from 1.4376 through 1.2391 to 1.1946 low.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3381; (P) 1.3429; (R1) 1.3489; More….

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.3549 and intraday bias remains neutral. We’d expect downside of retreat to be contained by 1.3337 resistance turned support to bring another rise. Above 1.3549 will target 1.3651 and above. However, decisive break of 1.3337 will argue that rise from 1.3038 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, while the medium term rebound from 1.1946 low is strong, it’s still limited below 1.3835 key support turned resistance. As long as 1.3835 holds, we’d view such rebound as a correction. That is, we’d expect another leg in the long term down trend through 1.1946 low. However, sustained break of 1.3835 should at least send GBP/USD to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2930; (P) 1.2960; (R1) 1.3019; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside despite current retreat. Rise fro 1.2298 is in progress for 100% projection of 1.2298 to 1.2859 from 1.2612 at 1.3173, which is slightly above 1.3141 key medium term resistance. On the downside, below 1.2898 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.3141 medium term top (2023 high) could have completed with three waves to 1.2298 already. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.2612 support holds. Firm break of 1.3141 will target 61.8% projection of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 from 1.2298 at 1.4022.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3884; (P) 1.3911; (R1) 1.3942; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral first. Consolidation form 1.3982 could extend further. But outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 1.4240 could have completed with three waves down to 1.3570. Further rise is expected as long as 1.3766 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.3982 will resume the rise from 1.3570 to retest 1.4248 high. However, break of 1.3766 support will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 1.3570.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed. GBP/USD would then be seen in another leg of long term range pattern between 1.1409 and 1.4376. Deeper fall could then be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.2493, and even below.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3036; (P) 1.3085; (R1) 1.3120; More….

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.3381. Intraday bias remains neutral and some more consolidation could be seen. For now, further rise is expected as long as 1.2960 support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 1.3381 resistance ill resume whole rise from 1.2391. Next target will be 61.8% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3618 next. However, on the downside, sustained break of 1.2960 will indicate that rebound from 1.2391 has completed earlier than expected. Deeper fall would then be seen to 1.2773 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.2391. Rise from 1.2391 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1946 (2016 low). Further rise could be seen through 1.4376 in medium term. On the downside, though, break of 1.2773 support will dampen this view. Focus will be turned back to 1.2391 low and break will resume the fall from 1.4376 to 1.1946.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2873; (P) 1.2918; (R1) 1.2947; More….

GBP/USD drops to as low as 1.2887 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 1.2773 support. Decisive break there will confirm that corrective rebound from 1.2391 has completed earlier than expected at 1.3381. Further decline should then be seen to 1.2391 low again. On the upside, though, break of 1.3019 minor resistance will dampen this bearish case and turn bias back to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) halted after hitting 1.2391. Rise from 1.2391 could have completed after just missing 50% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.338. Such rebound could be a correction to fall from 1.4376 only. Break of 1.2773 support will affirm this bearish case and target 1.2391. Break of 1.2391 will resume the fall from 1.4376 to 1.1946 (2016 low).

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1065; (P) 1.1243; (R1) 1.1335; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays on the downside at this point. As noted before, corrective rebound from 1.0351 should have completed with three waves up to 1.1644. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.0922 support first. Break there will target a retest on 1.0351 low. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.1644 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) is part of the long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.1759 support turned resistance holds. Parity would be the next target on resumption. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.1759 will confirm medium term bottoming, and open up stronger rise back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.2392).

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3733; (P) 1.3783; (R1) 1.3842; More

A temporary top is formed at 1.3833 in GBP/USD with current retreat and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidations could be seen. But further rise is in favor as long as 1.3646 support holds. Above 1.3833 will resume the rebound from 1.3410 to 1.3912 key structural resistance. Firm break there will indicate that the correction from 1.4248 is complete with three waves down to 1.3410. Further rally would then be seen to retest 1.4248 high. However, break of 1.3646 will turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.3410 low.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.4248 suggests that it’s a correction to the up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) only. While deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 1.4376 key resistance (2018 high) will add to the case of long term bullish reversal. However, sustained trading below 1.3164 will revive some medium term bearishness and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2456; (P) 1.2479; (R1) 1.2520; More

GBP/USD extends the near term choppy recovery but stays below 1.2545 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Outlook remains bullish with 1.2343 support intact. On the upside, above 1.2545 will target 1.2759 fibonacci level first. Firm break there will target 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, firm break of 1.2343 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.0351 medium term term bottom (2022 low) is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 (2021 high) to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will add to the case of long term bullish trend reversal. Further break of 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095 could prompt upside acceleration to 100% projection at 1.3895. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 1.1801 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1509; (P) 1.1578; (R1) 1.1659; More

GBP/USD’s rebound from 1.1404 short term bottom is in progress today. Intraday bias stays mildly on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.1942). On the downside, below 1.1550 minor support will turn bias back to the downside. Decisive break of 1.1409 will resume larger down trend.

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) is probably resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Sustained break of 1.1409 will target 61.8% projection of 1.7190 (2014 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) from 1.4248 (2021 high) at 1.0675. This will remain the favored case for now as long as 1.2292 resistance holds.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2676; (P) 1.2726; (R1) 1.2774; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral first as consolidation from 1.2826 is still extending. Deeper pull back cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained above 1.2499 support to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 1.2784 resistance will suggest that consolidation pattern has completed. Further rise should be seen through 1.2826 to resume the rise from 1.2036. Next target will be 1.3141 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg that’s in progress. Upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3912; (P) 1.3947; (R1) 1.3996; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays on the upside at this point. Consolidation pattern from 1.4240 could have completed with three waves to 1.3570 already. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.4248 high next. On the downside, below 1.3841 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring retreat first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed. GBP/USD would then be seen in another leg of long term range pattern between 1.1409 and 1.4376. Deeper fall could then be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.2493, and even below.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1893; (P) 1.2006; (R1) 1.2070; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and further rally is expected with 1.1777 support intact. Break of 1.2152will target 100% projection of 1.0351 to 1.1494 from 1.1145 at 1.2288 first. Sustained break there will pave the way to 1.2759 medium term fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1145 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 1.4248.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1703; (P) 1.1766; (R1) 1.1821; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral first with a temporary top in place at 1.1853. Some consolidations would be seen first, but downside of retreat should be contained above 1.1332 support to bring another rise. On the upside, firm break of 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.1494 from 1.1145 at 1.1851 will pave the way to 100% projection at 1.2288.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 1.0351 is a medium term bottom. Rise from there is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1145 support holds. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.4248 to 1.0351 at 1.1840 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.2759 and possibly above.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3899; (P) 1.3944; (R1) 1.4033; More…..

With 1.3838 minor support intact, intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside. Current rise should target medium term channel resistance at 1.4139. Break will indicate acceleration to 100% projection of 1.2108 to 1.3651 from 1.3038 at 1.4581 next. On the downside,below 1.3838 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But pullback should be contained above 1.3612 resistance turned support to bring another rise.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 1.3835 key resistance level indicates that rebound from 1.1946 is at least correcting the long term down from from 2007 high at 2.1161. In that case, further rise should be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466. Medium term outlook will now stay bullish as long as 1.3038 support holds.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3096; (P) 1.3157; (R1) 1.3261; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside, with focus on 1.3174 resistance. Sustained break above 1.3174 will suggest that whole decline from 1.4376 has completed at 1.2391 on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.3618. On the downside break of 1.3012 support is needed to be the first sign of topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1946 (2016 low) to 1.4376 (2018 high) is seen as a corrective move. Similarly, fall from 1.4376 to 1.2391 also displace a corrective structure. Current development suggests that rise from 1.2391 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1946 and could extend beyond 1.4376 high. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3618 will affirm this case. On the downside, break of 55 day EMA (now at 1.2838) will turn focus back to 1.2391 low instead.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2227; (P) 1.2283; (R1) 1.2360; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside as fall from 1.2582 is in progress to retest 1.1946/58 key support zone next. On the upside, above 1.2346 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will now stay on the downside as long as 1.2582 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, we’d remain cautious on medium term bottoming around 1.1946 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.2724) will extend the consolidation pattern from 1.1946 with another rise to 1.4376 resistance. Nevertheless, decisive break of 1.1946 will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3718; (P) 1.3749; (R1) 1.3778; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment and more sideway trading could be seen. Still, deeper fall is expected as long as 1.3908 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.3570 will resume the fall from 1.4248 to 1.3482 resistance turned support first. Decisive break there will target 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164. On the upside, break of 1.3908 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.4248 high instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed. GBP/USD would then be seen in another leg of long term range pattern between 1.1409 and 1.4376. Deeper fall could then be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.2493, and even below.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2500; (P) 1.2551; (R1) 1.2600; More…

Further decline remains mildly in favor in GBP/USD despite today’s recovery. Fall fall 1.2731 short term top would extend to 55 D EMA (now at 1.2445). Sustained break there will bring retest of 1.2036 low. However, firm break of 1.2611 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.2731 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg, that could still extend through 1.2731. But upside should be limited by 1.3141 o bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 55 EMA will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again, and possibly below.