GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3093; (P) 1.3115; (R1) 1.3137; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.2999 is extending. Further decline is mildly in favor with 1.3297 resistance intact. On the downside, firm break of 1.2999 will resume larger down trend from 1.4248. However, firm break of 1.3297 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248. Decline from 1.4248 could still be a corrective move, or it could be the start of a long term down trend. In either case, deeper decline would be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493. In any case, break of 1.3748 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming, or outlook will stay bearish.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1862; (P) 1.1993; (R1) 1.2088; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside as medium term down trend is in progress. Next near term target is 100% projection of 1.2666 to 1.1932 from 1.2405 at 1.1671. Break could prompt further acceleration to 161.8% projection at 1.1217. On the upside, break of 1.2164 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2666 resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low. However, firm break of 1.2666 will bring stronger rise back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.3103).

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1983; (P) 1.2083; (R1) 1.2154; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Corrective pattern from 1.2445 could have completed with three waves to 1.1801 already. On the upside, above 1.2203 will resume the rally from 1.2445/6 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.2042) will argue that the pattern from 1.2445 is extending with another falling leg, and turn bias to the downside for 1.1801 again.

In the bigger picture, price action from 1.2445 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low). Resumption is expected as a later stage and firm break of 1.2446 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 (2021 high) to 1.0351 at 1.2759. This will remain the favored case as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2445 at 1.1645 holds.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2969; (P) 1.3003; (R1) 1.3037; More

As GBP/USD’s is still capped by 4 hour 55 EMA, focus remains on 1.2987 support. Decisive break there will confirm that rebound from 1.2865 has completed at 1.3176 already. More importantly, this will revive that bearish case that rebound from 1.2391 has completed at 1.3381. And intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 1.2865 support for confirming bearishness. Nevertheless, on upside, above 1.3176 will target a retest on 1.3381 high next.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) halted and made a medium term bottom after hitting 1.2391. Rebound from 1.2391 is seen as a corrective move for now. In case of another rise, strong resistance could be seen around 61.8% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3618 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.2773 support will suggests that such corrective rise is completed and bring retest of 1.2391 low first.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1052; (P) 1.1143; (R1) 1.1260; More

GBP/USD’s rebound from 1.0351 is in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside, Further rally would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.2292 to 1.0351 at 1.1551. On the downside, break of 1.0914 minor support will indicate that the rebound is over, and bring retest of 1.0351 low.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) is resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Next target is 100% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 0.9532. There is no scope of a medium term rebound as long as 1.1759 support turned resistance holds.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2733; (P) 1.2796; (R1) 1.2862; More…

Near term outlook in GBP/USD will stay bullish as long as 1.2687 support holds. Rise from 1.2298 should target 1.2892 resistance. Decisive break there will strengthen the case that correction from 1.3141 has completed, and bring further rally to retest this high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern. Fall from 1.2892 is seen as the third leg which might have completed already. Break of 1.2892 resistance will argue that larger up trend from 1.0351(2022 low) is ready to resume through 1.3141. Meanwhile, break of 1.2445 support will extend the corrective pattern with another decline instead.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2187; (P) 1.2247; (R1) 1.2296; More

GBP/USD recovered ahead of 1.2200 and intraday bias stays neutral. Consolidation there could extend with another rise. But overall outlook is unchanged. That is, corrective rise from 1.1946 has completed at 1.2774. Recovery from 1.2200 should be limited 1.2509 resistance and bring fall resumption. Below 1.2200 will target a test on 1.1946 low. Decisive break there will confirm larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. There is no sign of medium term bottoming yet. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 1.2457 will target 100% projection at 0.9532. Overall, break of 1.3444 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

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GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3730; (P) 1.3796; (R1) 1.3831; More….

GBP/USD’s break of 1.3730 suggests resumption of fall from 1.4248. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Such decline is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.4240. Further fall should be seen to 1.3668 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.3908 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 1.2675 support and below.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3157; (P) 1.3221; (R1) 1.3272; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.3350 temporary top. Downside of retreat should be contained by 1.3109 support to bring anther rally. On the upside, On the upside, break of 1.3350 will extend the rise from 1.2391 to 61.8% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3618 next. Sustained break will pave the way to 1.4376. However, break of 1.3109 will turn focus back to 1.2773 near term support instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.2391. Rise from 1.2391 is now seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1946 (2016 low). Further rise could be seen through 1.4376 in medium term. On the downside, though, break of 1.2773 support will turn focus back to 1.2391 low and then 1.1946.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3641; (P) 1.3689; (R1) 1.3719; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 1.3749 will target a test on 1.3912 resistance. Firm break there will argue that consolidation pattern from 1.4248 has completed and stronger rally to retest this high. On the downside, however, break of 1.3570 support will target 1.3482 key support level. Sustained break there will carry larger bearish implication and target 1.3163 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, we’d still treat price actions from 1.4248 as a corrective move. That is, up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) is in favor to resume. Decisive break of 1.4376 key resistance (2018 high) would indeed carry long term bullish implications. However, sustained break of 1.3482 will at least bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164, or even further to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3700; (P) 1.3756; (R1) 1.3785; More

GBP/USD’s break of 1.3725 support today suggests that rebound from 1.3601 has completed at 1.3912 already. Intraday bias is back on the downside. After rejection by 55 day EMA, fall form 1.4248 is likely ready to resume for 1.33842 key support level next. For now, risk still stay mildly on the downside as long as 1.3912 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, we’d still treat price actions from 1.4248 as a corrective move. That is, up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) is in favor to resume. Decisive break of 1.4376 key resistance (2018 high) would indeed carry long term bullish implications. However, sustained break of 1.3482 will at least bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164, or even further to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2625; (P) 1.2650; (R1) 1.2690; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. Outlook stays bearish with 1.2747 intact and fall from 1.3381 would still extend lower. On the downside, break of 1.2559 will target 1.2391 low first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2391 from 1.3381 at 1.2154 next. Though, break of 1.2747 resistance will confirm short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) is possibly ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.2391 would target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low). For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3108; (P) 1.3142; (R1) 1.3178; More

Range trading continues in GBP/USD and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook remains bearish with 1.3297 resistance intact, and further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 1.2999 low will resume larger down trend from 1.4248. However, firm break of 1.3297 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248. Decline from 1.4248 could still be a corrective move, or it could be the start of a long term down trend. In either case, deeper decline would be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493. In any case, break of 1.3748 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming, or outlook will stay bearish.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2320; (P) 1.2368; (R1) 1.2400; More

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook as it’s still struggling in tight range. On the downside, firm break of 1.2252 minor support will turn bias to the downside, and extend the corrective pattern from 1.2445 with another falling leg. On the upside, decisive break of 1.2445 will confirm resumption of whole rise from 1.0351. Next target will be 1.2759 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1644 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 1.4248.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3547; (P) 1.3594; (R1) 1.3655; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains mildly on the upside at this point. Rebound from 1.3410 short term bottom would target 1.3749 resistance first, which is close to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3745). On the downside, though, below 1.3530 minor support will retain near term bearishness, and turn bias back to the downside for 1.3410 low. Firm break there will extend the fall from 1.4248 and target 1.3164 medium term fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 is at least a correction to the up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low). Such correction could extend to 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164 before completion. However, considering the rejection by 1.4376 key resistance (2018 high), sustained trading below 1.3164 will argue that it’s indeed a bearish trend reversal and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.2493. Nevertheless, break of 1.3912 resistance will revive medium term bullishness and target 1.4248/4376 resistance zone again.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2624; (P) 1.2644; (R1) 1.2675; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is back on the upside with break of 1.2682. Rebound from 1.2538 would target 1.2802 resistance first. On the downside, though, below 1.2648 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg, which might still be in progress. But upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2517 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2604; (P) 1.2630; (R1) 1.2653; More…

Despite spiking higher to 1.2691, GBP/USD quickly retreated. Intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 1.2691 resistance will affirm the case that correction from 1.2826 has completed at 1.2517, after drawing support from 1.2499. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for retesting 1.2826. Nevertheless, decisive break of 1.2499 will argue that whole rise from 1.2036 has completed and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg, would could be still in progress. But upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2526; (P) 1.2547; (R1) 1.2581; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. Further rise is mildly in favor with 1.2445 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.2633 will resume the rally from 1.2298 to 1.2708 resistance next. However, firm break of 1.2445 will indicate that this rebound has completed, and revive near term bearishness. Retest of 1.2298 should then be seen in this case.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern. Fall from 1.2892 is seen as the third leg which might have completed already. Break of 1.2892 resistance will argue that larger up trend from 1.0351(2022 low) is ready to resume through 1.3141. Meanwhile, break of 1.2298 support will extend the corrective pattern instead.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3862; (P) 1.3887; (R1) 1.3929; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside at this point. Consolidation form 1.4240 could have completed with three waves to 1.3570 already. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.4248 high next. On the downside, below 1.3841 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring retreat first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed. GBP/USD would then be seen in another leg of long term range pattern between 1.1409 and 1.4376. Deeper fall could then be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.2493, and even below.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3227; (P) 1.3256; (R1) 1.3295; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the downside, sustained break of 1.3164 medium term fibonacci level will carry larger bearish implication, and target 161.8% projection of 1.4248 to 1.3570 from 1.3833 at 1.2736. Nevertheless, break of 1.3369 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3512 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164. Sustained break there will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed at 1.4248, ahead rejection by 1.4376 long term resistance. That will revive some medium term bearishness and and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.