GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3629; (P) 1.3676; (R1) 1.3761; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral first and some consolidations could be seen. But still, further decline is in favor as long as 1.3908 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.3570 will resume the fall from 1.4248 to 1.3482 resistance turned support first. Decisive break there will indicate that it’s already correcting whole up trend from 1.1409. Next target will then be 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164. However, sustained break of 1.3908 will bring stronger rise back to retest 1.4248 high.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed. GBP/USD would then be seen in another leg of long term range pattern between 1.1409 and 1.4376. Deeper fall could then be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.2493, and even below.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2375; (P) 1.2416; (R1) 1.2454; More…

GBP/USD is still extending the consolidation from 1.2504 and intraday bias stays neutral at this point. Deeper retreat could be seen, but downside should be contained by 55 4H EMA (now at 1.2341) to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 1.2504 will resume the whole rebound from 1.2036. Sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.2716.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 1.0351 (2022 low). Strong rebound from 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will argue that current rise from 1.2036 is already the second leg. However, while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3750; (P) 1.3803; (R1) 1.3839; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the downside, firm break of 1.3730 support will suggest that rise from 1.3601 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.3570/3601 support zone. On the upside, break of 1.3890 will target 1.3982 resistance first. Decisive break there will indicate that fall from 1.4248 has completed. Near term outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.4248.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, we’d still treat price actions from 1.4248 as a corrective move. That is, up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) is in favor to resume. Decisive break of 1.4376 key resistance (2018 high) would indeed carry long term bullish implications. However, sustained break of 1.3482 will at least bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164, or even further to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1866; (P) 1.1950; (R1) 1.2036; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral at this point. Focus remains on 1.2055 minor resistance. Firm break there will confirm short term bottoming at 1.1759. Bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.2405 resistance next. On the downside, below 1.1759 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.2666 to 1.1932 from 1.2405 at 1.1671.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2666 resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low. However, firm break of 1.2666 will bring stronger rise back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.3065).

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3521; (P) 1.3563; (R1) 1.3603; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as it’s still staying above 1.3410/23 support zone. On the downside, firm break of 1.3410 low will confirm resumption of larger decline from 1.4248 and target 1.3164 fibonacci level next. However, on the upside, above 1.3604 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside of 1.3833 resistance. Decisive break there will be a sign of near term bullish reversal.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.4248 suggests that it’s a correction to the up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) only. While deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 1.4376 key resistance (2018 high) will add to the case of long term bullish reversal. However, sustained trading below 1.3164 will revive some medium term bearishness and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2305; (P) 1.2338; (R1) 1.2363; More….

Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Further rise is mildly in favor with 1.2233 minor support intact. Above 1.2385 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.3381 to 1.1958 at 1.2502 first. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.2837. On the downside, however, break of 1.2233 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1958 support instead.

In the bigger picture, we’d remain cautious on medium term bottoming around 1.1946 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.2779) will extend the consolidation pattern from 1.1946 with another rise to 1.4376 resistance. Nevertheless, decisive break of 1.1946 will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2052; (P) 1.2077; (R1) 1.2102; More

Outlook in GBP/USD is unchanged and intraday bias stays on the downside. Sustained trading below 1.2075 fibonacci level would carry larger bearish implication. Fall from 1.3141 should then target 1.1801 support next. On the upside, break of 1.2270 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2486) holds, in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3272; (P) 1.3335; (R1) 1.3376; More

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook. While corrective rise from 1.3203 might extend, upside limited by 1.3617 resistance to bring reversal. On the downside, break of 1.3253 minor support will likely resume the fall from 1.47376 through 1.3203 for 50% retracement of 1.1946 to 1.4376 at 1.3161 first, and 61.8% retracement at 1.2875 next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole medium term rebound from 1.1936 (2016 low) has completed at 1.4376 already, with trend line broken firmly, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4223). 61.8% retracement of 1.1936 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.2874 is the next target. We’ll pay attention to the reaction from there to asses the chance of long term down trend resumption. For now, outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.3648) holds, even in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3498; (P) 1.3532; (R1) 1.3578; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.3642 will resume the rebound from 1.3356 to 1.3748 resistance. Firm break there will revive the bullish case that correction from 1.4248 has completed with three waves down to 1.3158. Further rally should then be seen to retest 1.4248 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.3356 will bring retest of 1.3158 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164 holds, up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.5134. Nevertheless sustained break of 1.3164 will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2644; (P) 1.2696; (R1) 1.2772; More

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation inside 1.2546/2799 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 1.2546 will resume whole fall from 1.3141 to 61.8% projection of 1.3141 to 1.2618 from 1.2799 at 1.2476. However, on the upside, firm break of 1.2799 will indicate that the correction from 1.3141 has completed with three waves down to 1.2546. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.3141.

In the bigger picture, for now, fall from 1.3141 medium term top is seen as a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075. Strong support would be seen there to bring rebound on first attempt. But outlook will be neutral at best as long as 1.3141 resistance holds, and consolidation from there is set to extend, until further development.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2782; (P) 1.2823; (R1) 1.2849; More

GBP/USD’s break of 1.2764 minor support suggests the choppy fall from 1.3174 is resuming. Intraday is back on the downside for 1.2723 first. Break would bring retest of 1.2661 key support level next. On the upside, above 1.2927 will turn bias back to the upside for another rebound. But after all, price actions from 1.2661 are viewed as a consolidation pattern. Even in case of strong rebound, upside should be limited by 1.3316 fibonacci level to bring down trend resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend. And this will be the preferred case as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2661 at 1.3316 holds. However, firm break of 1.3316 would bring stronger rebound to 61.8% retracement at 1.3721. And, the eventual depth of the fall from 1.4376, and the chance of hitting 1.1946 low, will depend on the strength of the interim corrective rebound from 1.2661.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3316; (P) 1.3362; (R1) 1.3451; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral and sideway trading continues. Further decline is expected with 1.3485 support turned resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.3272 will target 1.3158 low. Further break there will resume larger down trend from 1.4248. However, firm break of 1.3485 will dampen this bearish view and turn bias back to the upside for 1.3641 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164 holds, up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.5134. Nevertheless sustained break of 1.3164 will argue that whole rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1356; (P) 1.1449; (R1) 1.1607; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.1644 will resume the whole rise from 1.0351 and target 1.1759/2292 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 1.1145 will reaffirm the case that corrective rise from 1.0351 has completed at 1.1644. Deeper fall would then be seen back to 1.0922 support and below.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) is part of the long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.1759 support turned resistance holds. Parity would be the next target on resumption. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.1759 will confirm medium term bottoming, and open up stronger rise back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.2357).

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3762; (P) 1.3803; (R1) 1.3874; More….

Outlook in GBP/USD remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral at this point. Another fall could still be seen with 1.4000 resistance intact. Break of 1.3730 support will resume the fall from 1.4248, as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.4240, to 1.3668 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.4000 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.4240/8 resistance zone instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 1.2675 support and below.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2577; (P) 1.2665; (R1) 1.2723; More

Focus stays on 1.2628 support in GBP/USD. Firm break there will bring deeper fall to 55 D EMA (now at 1.2531). Considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, sustained break of the EMA will argue that it’s already in correction to larger up trend and target 1.2306 support. Nevertheless, rebound from current level will retain near term bullishness for up trend resumption through 1.2847 later.

In the bigger picture, the strong support from 55 W EMA (now at 1.2341) is a medium term bullish sign. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2306 support holds. Rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low) is expected to extend further to retest 1.4248 key resistance (2021 high).

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2718; (P) 1.2753; (R1) 1.2820; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 1.2666 support and sustained break of 55 D EMA (now at 1.2685) will target 1.2517 structural support next. However, break of 1.2822 will bring further rally to retest 1.2892 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg, which is still in progress. But upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2517 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2633; (P) 1.2679; (R1) 1.2704; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. While consolidation from 1.2656 could extend, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.2859 resistance holds. Firm break of 1.2633 resistance turned support will argue that whole rise from 1.2298 has completed, and target 1.2445 and below.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern. Fall from 1.2892 is seen as the third leg which might have completed already. Break of 1.2892 resistance will argue that larger up trend from 1.0351(2022 low) is ready to resume through 1.3141. Meanwhile, break of 1.2445 support will extend the corrective pattern with another decline instead.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2577; (P) 1.2665; (R1) 1.2723; More

A short term top should be in place at 1.2847 in GBP/USD. Intraday bias is now on the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 1.2531). Considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, sustained break of the EMA will argue that it’s already in correction to larger up trend and target 1.2306 support. On the upside, though, break of 1.2690 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.2847 instead.

In the bigger picture, the strong support from 55 W EMA (now at 1.2341) is a medium term bullish sign. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2306 support holds. Rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low) is expected to extend further to retest 1.4248 key resistance (2021 high).

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2964; (P) 1.3006; (R1) 1.3042; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral first. Consolidation pattern from 1.3514 is still extending. With 1.3209 resistance intact, another fall is mildly in favor through 1.2872 at a later stage. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.3209 will turn bias to the upside for retesting 1.3514 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1958 medium term bottom is not completed yet despite current pull back form 1.3514. Such rally is expected to resume later to 1.4376 key resistance. Reactions from there would decide whether it’s in consolidation from 1.1946 (2016 low). Or, firm break of 1.4376 will indicate long term bullish reversal. In any case, for now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2582 resistance turned support holds.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3076; (P) 1.3125; (R1) 1.3177; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral for consolidation below 1.3174 temporary top. With 1.2951 minor support intact, further rise could still be seen to 1.3257/3297 resistance zone. However, as rise fro 1.2692 is seen as the third leg of consolidation pattern from 1.2661, we’d expect strong resistance from 1.3316 fibonacci level to limit upside to bring down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, below 1.2951 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2692 and then 1.2661 key support.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend. And this will be the preferred case as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2661 at 1.3316 holds. However, firm break of 1.3316 would bring stronger rebound to 61.8% retracement at 1.3721. And, the eventual depth of the fall from 1.4376, and the chance of hitting 1.1946 low, will depend on the strength of the interim corrective rebound from 1.2661.