Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.17; (P) 144.58; (R1) 145.16; More

A temporary low is in place in GBP/JPY at 144.01 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the downside below 144.01 will extend the decline from 147.76 and target 138.65 support and below. But we’d expect strong support from 135.58 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 146.27 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 147.76 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 122.36 is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43. Decisive break there will carry long term bullish implications and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. In case the sideway pattern from 148.42 extends, we’d be looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 184.74; (P) 185.27; (R1) 185.56; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall from 188.63 accelerates lower today and breaks through 184.44 support. Current development argues that a medium term is in place on bearish divergence condition in D MACD. Fall from 188.63 is likely corrective whole rise from 148.93. Intraday bias is now on the downside for 23.6% retracement of 148.93 to 188.63 at 173.46 next. On the upside, above 185.78 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first. But risk will now stay on the downside as long as 188.63 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top is in place at 188.63, there is no clear sign of long term bearish trend reversal yet. As long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, price actions from 188.63 are seen as a corrective move only. Larger up trend from 123.94 (2022 low) could resume at a later stage.

GBP/JPY’s strong rebound last week suggested that that it has defended 143.72 key support again. More importantly, the rise from 131.51 is possibly not completed yet. Initial bias is now on the upside this week for 147.01 resistance first. Break will solidify this bullish case and target 148.87/149.48 resistance zone next. On the downside, though, break of 144.80 minor support will turn focus back to 143.72 key support.

In the bigger picture, focus is staying on 149.98 key resistance. Decisive break there should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Rise from 131.51 is then seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). GBP/JPY should then target 156.59 and above. However, rejection by 149.98 will retain medium term bearishness and could extend the fall from 156.59 through 131.51 to 122.36.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 122.36 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) doesn’t display a clear impulsive structure. Thus, we’re treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern. In case of an extension, strong resistance is likely to be seen at 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 at 159.11 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 131.51 support will bring 122.26 low back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.44; (P) 142.96; (R1) 143.76; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation pattern from 147.95 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 140.92 will target 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77. On the upside, above 144.60 resistance will bring stronger rebound to retest 147.95 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. However, sustained break of 139.31 support will dampen this case and turn medium term outlook neutral first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.95; (P) 163.74; (R1) 164.60; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 165.99. Further rally is still expected as long as 161.18 support holds. As noted before, corrective fall from 172.11 should have completed at 155.33 already. Break of 165.99 will target 169.26 resistance first, and then 172.11 high.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 172.11 medium term should have completed at 155.33. With 38.2% retracement of 123.94 (2020 low) to 172.11 (2022 high) at 153.70 intact, medium term bullishness is retained. That is, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Break of 172.11 high to resume such up trend is expected at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.12; (P) 136.51; (R1) 137.14; More…

Outlook in GBP/JPY remains unchanged as consolidation from 135.38 is in progress. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 138.32 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 135.38 will extend recent fall from 148.87 to retest 131.51 low. Though, firm break of 135.38 will confirm short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 139.83).

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY’s medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.42; (P) 153.79; (R1) 154.19; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point and more sideway trading could be seen. With 154.70 resistance intact, further decline remains mildly in favor. On the downside, break of 152.35 will resume the decline from 158.19 to 148.93 key support next. On the upside, however, break of 154.70 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 158.19 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Further rally is still expected as long as 148.93 support holds. However, firm break of 148.93 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and bring deeper fall back to 142.71 resistance turned support first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.98; (P) 136.49; (R1) 137.18; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 135.38. Upside of recovery should be limited by 138.32 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 135.38 will extend recent fall from 148.87 to retest 131.51 low. Though, firm break of 135.38 will confirm short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY’s medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.95; (P) 155.19; (R1) 155.57; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 152.88 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further fall is still in favor with 155.38 minor resistance intact. Break of 152.88 will resume the decline from 157.74, as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 158.19, to 148.93 support next. However, sustained break of 155.38 will dampen this view and flip bias back to the upside for 157.74/158.19 resistance zone instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 158.19 are currently seen as developing into a consolidation pattern to up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Downside should be contained by 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10 to bring rebound. Firm break of 158.19 will resume the up trend to long term fibonacci level at 167.93. However, sustained break of 145.10 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 137.02.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 199.60; (P) 200.06; (R1) 200.88; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Further rally is expected as long as 198.73 support holds. Firm break of 200.72 will confirm larger up trend resumption. Next target is 61.8% projection of 195.02 to 200.72 from 198.73 at 202.25.

In the bigger picture, as long as 188.63 resistance turned support holds, long term up trend is expected to continue. Sustained trading above 200.53 will pave the way to 100% projection of 155.33 to 188.63 from 178.32 at 211.62.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.00; (P) 140.51; (R1) 140.98; More

GBP/JPY’s fall continues today and reaches as low as 139.58 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 138.65 support. Break there will extend the fall from 147.76 towards 135.58 key support level. At this point, price actions from 148.42 are seen as a sideway consolidation pattern. Hence, we’ll expect strong support from 135.58 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 141.02 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, the sideway pattern from 148.42 is extending with another leg. We’d expect strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Medium term rise from 122.36 is still expected to resume later. And break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. However, firm break of 135.58/39 will dampen the bullish view and turn focus back to 122.36 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 167.28; (P) 167.83; (R1) 168.94; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 169.26 will resume the rebound from 163.02 for retesting 172.11 high. On the downside, however, break of 164.02 support will resume the fall from 172.11 through 163.02 support.

In the bigger picture, medium term upside momentum has been diminishing as seen in bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 160.90) will argue that it’s already correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Nevertheless, before that, such up trend could still extend through 172.11 high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 181.49; (P) 182.04; (R1) 182.96; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. With 181.00 support intact, further rise is in favor. The favored case is still that correction from 186.75 has completed at 178.02. Above 183.79 will resume the rise from 178.02 to retest 186.75 high. However, break of 181.00 will dampen this view, and turn bias back to the downside for 178.02 instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 186.75 is seen as a corrective move only. As long as 176.29 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress. Break of 186.75 will target 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 176.29 will confirm medium term topping, and bring lengthier and deeper consolidations.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.04; (P) 143.37; (R1) 143.61; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 144.07 continues. Further rise is expected with 142.16 support intact. Break of 144.07 will resume larger up trend to 61.8% projection of 123.94 to 142.71 from 133.03 at 144.62 first. Break will target 147.95 medium term structural resistance. On the downside, below 142.16 minor support will turn intraday bias to the downside for pull back towards channel support (now at 139.13).

In the bigger picture, rise of 123.94 is still as the third leg of the sideway pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Break of 147.95 will target 156.59 resistance (2018 high). On the downside, break of 133.03 support is needed to confirm completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor even in case of pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.21; (P) 132.70; (R1) 132.94; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Break of 131.90 support should indicate completion of whole rebound form 123.94. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for retesting 123.94 low. In case of another rise, we’d strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92 to limit upside. But sustained break of 135.74 will pave the way to 144.95 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 181.70; (P) 182.33; (R1) 183.39; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays on the upside at this point. Current up trend is expected to target 138.2% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 187.36 next. On the downside, however, break of 179.90 support will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is extending. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.23; (P) 128.78; (R1) 129.29; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 128.11 suggests resumption of recent decline. Intraday bias is turned to the downside to extend the fall from 148.84 to 122.36 low. On the upside, break of 130.06 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation again.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains clearly bearish with GBP/JPY staying well below 55 week and 55 month EMA. Medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 122.36 (2016 low). We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But break of 135.66 resistance is needed to be the first sign of reversal. Sustained break of 122.36 will target next key level at 116.83 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.36; (P) 140.18; (R1) 140.76; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 138.24 support confirms short term topping at 132.71. Intraday bias is now back on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 135.53. Reactions from there would decide whether whole rise from 123.94 has completed. On the upside, above 140.07 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is still seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 197.03; (P) 197.45; (R1) 198.10; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays on the upside at this point. Rise from 191.34, as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 200.53, should target this high next. On the downside, firm break of 195.02 will argue that the third leg has started, and target 191.34 support and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top could be in place at 200.53 after breaching 199.80 long term fibonacci level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 183.41) holds, fall from there is seen as correcting the rise from 178.32 only. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 178.32 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.86; (P) 140.25; (R1) 140.88; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 139.36 will indicate short term topping. Deeper fall should then be seen back to 135.74 resistance turned support first. On the upside, break of 141.57 will resume the rise from 126.54 to for 148.87 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is still in progress with rise from 126.54 as the third leg. Further rise should be seen back to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. For now, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. On the downside, sustained break of 135.74 will suggest that such rebound has completed. Deeper decline could the be seen to retest 126.54 low.