Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.15; (P) 147.57; (R1) 148.03; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 148.10 will resume the rebound from 143.18 and target 149.99, and then 153.84 resistance. However, break of 145.82 minor support will argue that the rebound from 143.18 is completed and bring retest of this low.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

GBP?JPY’s rise from 149.16 continued last week after brief consolidations. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 153.42 resistance. Firm break there would indicate that the whole corrective pattern from 156.05 has completed. Further rally would then be see to retest this high. However, break of 151.39 support will argue that rebound from 149.16 has completed, and turn bias back to the downside for retesting this low.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 149.03 support holds, such rise would still resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 149.03 support will indicate rejection by 156.59. Fall from 156.05 would be at least correcting the whole rise from 123.94. Deeper fall would be seen back 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 156.05 at 143.78 first.

In the longer term picture, the strong break of 55 months EMA was an early sign of long term bullish reversal. Firm break of 156.69 resistance should now confirm the start of an up trend for 195.86 (2015 high). However, rejection by 156.69 will invalidate the bullish signal and keep long term outlook neutral first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.37; (P) 146.83; (R1) 147.43; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 147.24 and intraday bias remains neutral. Downside of retreat should be contained by 144.06 resistance turned support On the upside, break of 147.24 will resume larger up trend. Next target is 100% projection of 133.38 to 145.62 from 137.32 at 149.56, which is close to 149.76 long term resistance.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.75 (2014 high). Decisive break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 156.22. This will now remain the favored case as long as 137.32 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.98; (P) 145.43; (R1) 145.78; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first and more consolidative trading could be seen. With 143.72 support intact, near term outlook remains cautiously bullish. That is, rise from 131.51 is in favor to extend. On the upside, break of 147.19 resistance will target 148.98/149.48 resistance zone first. However, on the downside, decisive break of 143.72 will indicate near term reversal, after rejection by 149.48 key resistance. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 141.00 support first.

In the bigger picture, focus is staying on 149.98 key resistance. Decisive break there should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Rise from 131.51 is then seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). GBP/JPY should then target 156.59 and above. However, rejection by 149.98 will retain medium term bearishness and could extend the fall from 156.59 through 131.51 to 122.36.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.83; (P) 129.70; (R1) 130.39; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 126.54 looks set to extend further. In case of another rise through 130.69, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 148.87 to 126.54 at 135.07 to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 126.54 will resume larger down trend to 122.61 support next.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains clearly bearish with GBP/JPY staying well below 55 week and 55 month EMA. Medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 122.36 (2016 low). We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But break of 135.66 resistance is needed to be the first sign of reversal. Sustained break of 122.36 will target next key level at 116.83 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.65; (P) 141.72; (R1) 142.43; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains mildly on the downside at this point. Corrective fall from 147.95 short term top is in progress for 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77. At this point, we’d expect strong support from 139.31/77 to bring rebound. But in any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 144.36 resistance holds, in case of recovery. Sustained break of 139.77 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 134.71.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. However, sustained break of 139.31 support will dampen this case and turn medium term outlook neutral first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 167.61; (P) 168.32; (R1) 169.50; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 168.99 resistance suggests that rebound from 163.02 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 172.11 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, however, break of 167.09 will turn intraday bias neutral again , and extend near term corrective pattern.

In the bigger picture, medium term upside momentum has been diminishing as seen in bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 160.90) will argue that it’s already correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Nevertheless, before that, such up trend could still extend through 172.11 high.

GBP/JPY surged to as high as 151.52 last week as medium term rise from 122.36 has finally resumed. Initial bias remains on the upside this week. Current rally should target 61.8% projection of 122.36 to 148.42 from 139.29 at 155.39 next. On the downside, below 148.32 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, the consolidation from 148.42 should have completed and medium term rebound from 122.36 is resuming. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. For now, the bullish scenario is preferred as long as 139.29 support holds.

In the longer term picture, current decline argues that the down from fro 195.86 (2015 high) has already completed at 122.36. Focus is now on 55 month EMA (now at 155.14). Firm break there will suggest that rise form 122.36 is developing in to a long term move that target 195.86 again. And, price actions from 116.83 (2011 low) is indeed a sideway pattern that could last more than a decade.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 166.76; (P) 168.02; (R1) 168.94; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral again with current retreat. On the upside, above 169.26 will bring retest of 172.11 high. However, break of 167.09 will suggest that the corrective pattern from 172.11 is extending. Bias will be back on the downside for 164.02 support and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, medium term upside momentum has been diminishing as seen in bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 160.90) will argue that it’s already correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Nevertheless, before that, such up trend could still extend through 172.11 high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 178.01; (P) 179.75; (R1) 183.18; More…

Immediate focus is now on 182.51 resistance in GBP/JPY. Firm break there should confirm that whole corrective pattern from 183.99 has completed with three waves down to 176.29. Further rally should be seen through 183.99 to resume larger up trend. Break of 180.51 minor support will argue that the corrective pattern is extending with another falling leg. But overall, outlook will stay bullish as long as 38.2% retracement of 155.33 to 183.99 at 173.04holds, in case of another dip.

In the bigger picture, as long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is expected to continue through 183.99 at a later stage, towards 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 172.11 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

GBP/JPY’s decline from 148.09 extended to as low as 142.11 last week. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 61.8% retracement of 135.58 to 148.09 at 140.35. At this point, we’d still expect rebound from 122.36 to resume later. Hence, we’d look for strong support below 140.35 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 145.43 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 148.09 first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 122.36 medium term bottom is still expected to extend to of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. And decisive break there could pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78.. However, as the cross is starting to lose upside momentum, rejection below 150.42 and break of 135.58 support will indicate reversal and bring deeper fall back to retest 122.36 instead.

In the longer term picture, based on the impulsive structure of the decline from 195.86 to 122.36, such fall should not be completed yet. But we will now pay close attention to the structure of the rise from 122.36 to determine whether it’s a corrective move, or an impulsive move. That would decide whether a break of 116.83 low would be seen.

GBP/JPY retreated deeply after failing to break through 193.51 resistance, but recovered after breaching 190.02 support. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 193.51 will resume larger up trend to 195.86 long term resistance. Nevertheless, decisive break of 190.02 will indicate that it’s at least correcting the rise from 178.32, and target 38.2% retracement of 178.32 to 193.51 at 187.70.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 123.94 (2020 low), and is in progress for 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high). Break of 187.94 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 116.83 (2011 low). Further rally will remain in favor as long as 178.32 support holds. Break of 195.86 (2015 high) is possible. But strong resistance could be seen from 61.8% retracement of 251.09 (2007 high) to 116.83 at 199.80 to limit upside, at least on first attempt.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.90; (P) 154.31; (R1) 154.79; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 152.88 and intraday bias remains neutral. Fall from 157.74 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 158.19. Deeper decline is expected as long as 155.38 minor resistance holds. Below 152.88 will target 148.94 support next. On the upside, above 155.38 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside for 157.74/158.19 resistance zone instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 158.19 are currently seen as developing into a consolidation pattern to up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Downside should be contained by 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10 to bring rebound. Firm break of 158.19 will resume the up trend to long term fibonacci level at 167.93. However, sustained break of 145.10 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 137.02.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.33; (P) 151.71; (R1) 152.38; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 152.54 will suggest that whole correction from 156.05 has completed, and turn near term outlook bullish for retesting this high. On the downside, however, sustained break of 149.03 key support will carry larger bearish implication and target 143.78 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 149.03 support holds, such rise would still resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 149.03 support will indicate rejection by 156.59 (2018 high). Fall from 156.05 would at least be correcting the whole rise from 123.94 (2020 low). Deeper fall would be seen back 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 156.05 at 143.78 first.

GBP/JPY’s rally resumed last week and hit as high as 188.26, before retreating. Initial bias is now neutral this week for consolidations first. Another rally will remain in favor as long as 183.79 support turned resistance holds. Break of 188.26 will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, as long as 180.74 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress, next target is 195.86 (2015 high). However, firm break of 180.74 will now argue that a medium term top is formed, possibly in bearish divergence condition in D MACD, and bring deeper fall back to 178.02 support.

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) in still in progress but started losing upside momentum as seen in W MACD. Further rise will remain in favor, though, as long as 177.02 support holds, to retest 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.74; (P) 141.55; (R1) 142.10; More…

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 138.53 continues today and intraday bias stays on the upside. Price actions from 148.42 are seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Rise from 136.44 is seen as the second leg. Further rebound should be seen to 144.77 and possibly to retest 148.42 high. On the downside, below 139.79 minor support will turn bias back to the downside and extend the fall fro 144.77 through 138.53.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern with a test on 122.36 low next. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

Subscribe to our daily and mid-day newsletter to get this report delivered to your mail box

Daily Pivots: (S1) 165.39; (P) 166.85; (R1) 167.73; More…

GBP/JPY is extending the consolidation from 172.11 and intraday bias stays neutral first. Overall, further rally is mildly in favor with 164.95 support intact. On the upside, break of 172.11 will resume larger up trend. However, break of 164.95 will bring deeper pull back to 159.71 support and below.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low), as part of the trend from 122.75 (2016 low) is still in progress. Further rise would be seen to 161.8% projection of 122.75 to 156.59 (2018 high) from 123.94 at 178.69. This will now remain the favored case as long as 148.93 support holds.

GBP/JPY turned into consolidation below 156.05 last week. Initial bias remains neutral this week for some sideway trading. Outlook will remain bullish as long as 153.81 support holds. Break of 156.05 will resume larger up trend for 61.8% projection of 133.03 to 153.39 from 149.03 at 161.61. On the downside, firm break of 153.81 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus is now on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, break of 149.03 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, the strong break of 55 months EMA was an early sign of long term bullish reversal. Firm break of 156.69 resistance should now confirm the start of an up trend for 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.73; (P) 137.54; (R1) 138.18; More…

Further fall is expected in GBP/JPY with 140.08 resistance intact. But still, choppy price actions from 148.42 are viewed as a corrective pattern. Hence, we’d anticipate strong support from medium term fibonacci level at 135.39 to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 140.08 resistance will now indicate near term reversal and turn bias back to the upside for 142.79 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Or, sustained break of 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 will turn outlook bearish for a test on 122.36 low. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.80; (P) 145.68; (R1) 146.24; More

GBP/JPY’s recovery from 144.01 quickly lost momentum and intraday bias is turned neutral again. On the upside, break of 147.76/148.42 key resistance zone will resume larger rebound from 122.36. On the downside, break of 144.01 will extend the sideway pattern from 148.20 with another fall back to 135.58/65 support zone.

In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 122.36 is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43. Decisive break there will carry long term bullish implications and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. In case the sideway pattern from 148.42 extends, we’d be looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside.