GBP/JPY dropped to 133.85 last week but recovered since then. As a temporary was formed, initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. But upside of recovery should be limited by 136.05 resistance to bring fall resumption. Break of 133.85 will extend the decline from 148.87 to retest 131.51 low. Though, break of 136.05 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 137.78 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

In the longer term picture, firstly, GBP/JPY’s is kept well below 55 month EMA, keeping outlook bearish. But we’re treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern. Hence, we’d expect range trading to continue longer. In case of an extension, strong resistance is likely to be seen at 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 at 159.11 to limit upside. However, break of 122.26 will put 116.83 (2011 low) back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.71; (P) 161.12; (R1) 161.89; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral with focus on 161.83 resistance. Firm break there should confirm that correction from 168.40 has completed at 155.57 already. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for retesting 168.40 high next. nevertheless, on the downside, break of 155.57 will extend the correction towards 150.96 key structural support.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 150.95 support holds, even in case of deep pull back. However, firm break of 150.95 will indicate rejection by 167.93, and bearish trend reversal.

GBP/JPY rose further last week but failed to break through 168.67 resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, decisive break of 168.67 resistance will resume larger up trend. Next near term target is 100% projection of 155.57 to 168.67 from 159.97 at 173.07. On the downside, below 164.45 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 159.97 support instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 could be the third leg the the pattern from 116.83 (2011 low). Further rise will remain in favor as long as 55 month EMA (now at 149.32) holds. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93. will pave the way to 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.65; (P) 152.99; (R1) 153.34; More…

Range trading continues in GBP/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 153.42/46 resistance will reaffirm the case that correction from 156.05 has completed at 148.43. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for retesting 156.05. On the downside, though, below 151.14 will bring deeper fall back to retest 148.43.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus remains on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, sustained break of 149.03 support, however, will argue that rise from 123.94 has completed. Further break of 142.71 would open up the bearish case for retesting 122.75 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.21; (P) 153.37; (R1) 154.47; More…

GBP/JPY’s decline from 156.59 accelerates to as low as 151.19 so far. Brea of 151.95 support indicates short term topping. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 150.18 support first. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, break of 150.18 will suggest trend reversal and bring deeper fall through 146.96 support. On the upside, above 152.78 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 146.96 key support holds, medium term outlook remains bullish. Rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78. However, break of 146.96 support will indicate trend reversal. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 and then 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.89; (P) 144.42; (R1) 145.12; More…

With 142.33 minor support intact, further rise is still mildly in favor in GBP/JPY for 147.95 resistance. On the downside, break of 142.33 support will turn bias back to the downside for 140.92 support and below. Overall, GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 147.95 and might extend further in the near term.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. However, sustained break of 139.31 support will dampen this case and turn medium term outlook neutral first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.24; (P) 150.12; (R1) 150.85; More…

As long as 151.85 minor resistance holds, pull back from 153.39 should extend lower for 146.96 key support level. We’d look for strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, above 151.85 minor resistance will indicate that the pull back is finished. And intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 153.39.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up a bit with last week’s sharp decline. But still, as long as 146.96 key support holds, medium term outlook remains bullish. Rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78. However, break of 146.96 support will indicate trend reversal. And the corrective structure of rebound from 122.36 will argue that larger down trend is resuming for a new low below 122.26.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.32; (P) 161.53; (R1) 161.88; More…

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 155.33 finally accelerates higher and the development argues that whole correction from 172.11 has completed with three waves down to 155.33. 163.02 support turned resistance was taken out too. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 169.26/172.11 resistance zone. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 160.44 minor support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 172.11 medium term should have completed at 155.33. With 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70 intact, medium term bullishness is retained. That is, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Break of 172.11 high to resume such up trend is expected at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.09; (P) 139.71; (R1) 140.34; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 140.70 resistance will resume the choppy rebound from 133.03. Intraday bias will be turned to the upside for retesting 142.71 high. On the downside, break of 137.90 will revive the case that corrective rise from 133.03 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 134.40 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.55; (P) 162.71; (R1) 163.37; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. Further rally is still expected as long as 161.18 support holds. As noted before, corrective fall from 172.11 should have completed at 155.33 already. Break of 165.99 will target 169.26 resistance first, and then 172.11 high. However, break of 161.18 support will dampen this view and turn bias to the downside for 156.70 support instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 172.11 medium term should have completed at 155.33. With 38.2% retracement of 123.94 (2020 low) to 172.11 (2022 high) at 153.70 intact, medium term bullishness is retained. That is, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Break of 172.11 high to resume such up trend is expected at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 167.41; (P) 168.40; (R1) 169.15; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first as consolidation from 170.07 is extending. Downside of retreat should be contained above 159.71 support to bring another rally. Break of 170.07 will target 100% projection of 148.93 to 165.69 from 159.71 at 176.47

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will pave the way to retest 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 148.93 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.11; (P) 152.26; (R1) 152.89; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 153.39 temporary top. Further rally is expected as long as 149.74 support holds. Break of 153.39 will resume the medium term up trend and target 61.8% projection of 139.29 to 152.82 from 146.96 at 155.32. However, break of 149.74 will dampen our bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 146.96 key support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that medium term rise from 122.36 is resuming. Sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, break of 146.96 support will indicate rejection from 150.43 key fibonacci level. And the three wave corrective structure of rebound from 122.36 will argue that larger down trend is resuming for a new low below 122.26.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.26; (P) 135.78; (R1) 136.15; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and consolidation from 135.17 might extend. Upside of recovery should be limited by 137.78 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside break of 135.17 will resume the fall from 148.87 and target 131.51 low next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY’s medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.63; (P) 160.41; (R1) 161.06; More…

No change in GBP/JPY’s outlook as range trading continues. Intraday bias stays neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 155.33 low will resume the fall form 172.11 to 153.70 fibonacci level next. Nevertheless, sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 161.81) will turn bias to the upside, for stronger rise back to 169.26/172.11 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, as long as 163.02 support turned resistance holds, decline from 172.11 medium term top is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70. Sustained break there will raise the change of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 142.34. Nevertheless, break of 163.02 support turned resistance will argue that the decline has completed, and retain medium term bullishness.

GBP/JPY recovered after initial fall to 155.33 last week, but upside is kept well below 162.32 resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 155.33 will resume the fall from 172.11 to 153.70 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, firm break of 162.32 will argue that such decline has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 163.55) and above.

In the bigger picture, as long as 153.02 support turned resistance holds, decline from 172.11 medium term top is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70. Sustained break there will raise the change of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 142.34. Nevertheless, break of 153.02 support turned resistance will argue that the decline has completed, and retain medium term bullishness.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 month EMA (now at 152.38) holds, rise from 122.75 could still extend higher at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.41; (P) 135.73; (R1) 135.97; More…

Breach of 135.17 suggests fall resumption in GBP/JPY. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 131.51 low next. On the upside, above 136.28 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 137.78 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY’s medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.77; (P) 159.73; (R1) 160.53; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 161.70) will turn bias to the upside, for stronger rise back to 169.26/172.11 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 155.33 low will resume the fall form 172.11 to 153.70 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 163.02 support turned resistance holds, decline from 172.11 medium term top is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70. Sustained break there will raise the change of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 142.34. Nevertheless, break of 163.02 support turned resistance will argue that the decline has completed, and retain medium term bullishness.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.83; (P) 139.64; (R1) 140.38; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral as it retreated quickly after breaching 140.31. On the upside, firm break of 140.31 will resume whole rebound from 133.03 and target a test on 142.71 high. On the downside, however, break of 138.23 will argue that the pattern from 142.71 is starting another falling leg. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 134.40 support and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY edged lower to 137.51 last week but recovered. The development argues that choppy fall from 142.79 is completed already. Further rise is in favor in near term. Meanwhile, there is no change in the overall view that price actions from 148.42 are forming a consolidation pattern.

Initial bias in GBP/JPY is mildly on the upside this week. Break of 140.60 resistance should confirm near term reversal and target 142.79 resistance first. Break there will send the cross through 144.77 resistance to 148.42 high. On the downside, below 137.51 minor support will extend the fall from 142.79 towards 136.44 support. But still, we’d expect support from 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Or, sustained break of 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 will turn outlook bearish for a test on 122.36 low. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78.

In the longer term picture, while price actions from 122.36 would develop into a medium term correction, fall from 195.86 is still seen as resuming the down trend from 251.09 (2007 high). Hence, after the correction from 122.36 completes we’d expect another fall through 116.83 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 182.30; (P) 183.31; (R1) 185.29; More…

GBP/JPY’s rise from 178.02 resumed by breaking 183.79. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 186.75 high. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. For now, further rise is expected as long as 180.74 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, fall from 186.75 is seen as a corrective move only. As long as 176.29 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress. Break of 186.75 will target 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 176.29 will confirm medium term topping, and bring lengthier and deeper consolidations.