GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.05; (P) 144.60; (R1) 145.43; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is still neutral at this point. The corrective pattern from 148.09 short term top could extend. On the upside, above 145.78 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 148.09 first. Meanwhile, break of 143.34 will extend the pull back from 148.09 to 61.8% retracement at 140.35. Overall, we’d still expect the rise from 122.36 to resume after pull back from 148.09 completes. Break of 148.09 will target 150.42 long term fibonacci level first.

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, rise from 122.36 bottom should be developing into a medium term move. Break of 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 should pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. This will now be the favored case as long as 135.58 support holds.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.28; (P) 134.85; (R1) 135.71; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral first. On the downside, break of 132.17 will suggest rejection by 38.2% retracement of 148.87 to 126.54 at 135.07. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 126.54 low. On the upside, however, sustained break of 135.07 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 140.33 next.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is possibly still in progress. Strong rebound from 126.54 argues that it may be the third leg of the pattern. Further rise could be seen to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone before completion. On the downside, though, sustained break of 122.75 low will extend 116.83 (2011 low).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.40; (P) 146.70; (R1) 147.05; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 148.87 and intraday remains neutral first. Further rise remains in favor as long as 143.72 support holds. Decisive break of 149.48 key resistance will carry larger bullish in implications and target 156.58 resistance next. However, on the downside, sustained break of 143.72 will indicate near term reversal, after rejection by 149.48 key resistance. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 141.00 support first.

In the bigger picture, focus is staying on 149.98 key resistance. Decisive break there should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Rise from 131.51 is then seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). GBP/JPY should then target 156.59 and above. However, rejection by 149.98 will retain medium term bearishness and could extend the fall from 156.59 through 131.51 to 122.36.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.43; (P) 163.94; (R1) 164.90; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for 165.99 resistance. Break there will resume the whole rebound from 155.33 to 169.26 resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 162.95 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 123.94 (2020 low) to 172.11 (2022 high) at 153.70 holds, medium term bullishness is retained. That is, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Break of 172.11 high to resume such up trend is expected at a later stage.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.05; (P) 162.61; (R1) 163.48; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside as fall from 168.67 is in progress. Sustained break of 55 day EMA (now at 161.66) will bring deeper decline to 155.57 support. On the upside, above 165.14 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 168.67 again.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.89; (P) 144.42; (R1) 145.12; More…

With 142.33 minor support intact, further rise is still mildly in favor in GBP/JPY for 147.95 resistance. On the downside, break of 142.33 support will turn bias back to the downside for 140.92 support and below. Overall, GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 147.95 and might extend further in the near term.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. However, sustained break of 139.31 support will dampen this case and turn medium term outlook neutral first.

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.48; (P) 145.49; (R1) 147.26; More…

GBP/JPY failed to break through 148.57 resistance and dropped sharply since then. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, break of 148.75 will resume rebound from 131.51 and target 149.48 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 143.72 will resume the pull back from 148.57 to 141.00 support.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 131.51 suggests that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed already. The corrective structure of such decline in turn argues that it’s the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). And this pattern is starting the third leg. On the upside, decisive break of 149.48 will pave the way to 156.59 resistance and above. However, firm break of 141.00 support will dampen this view and turn focus back to 131.51 low instead.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 190.29; (P) 190.69; (R1) 191.06; More…..

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and range trading continues. Corrective pattern from 191.29 could still extend. Break of 188.02 minor support will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 178.32 to 191.29 at 186.33, as a correction to rise from 178.32. Nevertheless, on the upside, decisive break of 191.29 will resume larger up trend, and target 195.86 long term resistance next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY recovered last week but stayed below 165.26 minor resistance. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 165.26 minor resistance will argue that corrective pattern from 168.67 has completed. Further rise should be seen to retest 168.67 high next. On the downside, break of 160.37 will bring deeper fall back towards 155.57 support.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 could be the third leg the the pattern from 116.83 (2011 low). Further rise will remain in favor as long as 55 month EMA (now at 149.84) holds. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93. will pave the way to 195.86 (2015 high).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.66; (P) 133.33; (R1) 134.04; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 131.68 temporary low. As long as 136.34 resistance holds, further decline is still expected. On the downside, below 131.68 will extend the fall from1 39.73 to 129.27 support. Decisive break there will confirm completion of rebound from 123.94. Deeper fall would be seen to retest 123.94 low.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are seen as a sideway consolidation pattern. As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 204.90; (P) 205.54; (R1) 206.68; More

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Firm break of 100% projection of 191.34 to 200.72 from 197.18 at 206.56 will target 138.2% projection at 210.17. On the downside, below 204.71 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 201.59 resistance turned support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, long term up trend is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 155.33 to 188.63 from 178.32 at 211.62. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 197.18 support holds, even in case of deep pullback.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 183.75; (P) 184.39; (R1) 185.54; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside, as rise from 178.02 is in progress. Further rally should be seen to retest 186.75 resistance. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, break of 182.71 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 176.29 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress. Break of 186.75 will target 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 176.29 will confirm medium term topping, and bring lengthier and deeper consolidations.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.79; (P) 149.17; (R1) 149.73; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains mildly on the downside for 146.92 support and below. Fall from 151.92 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 152.82. We’d expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 139.29 to 152.82 at 144.45 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 149.98 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 151.92/152.82 resistance zone instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 122.36 is still expected to resume after corrective pull back from 152.82 completes. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, break of 139.29 will indicate rejection from 150.43 key fibonacci level. And the three wave corrective structure of rebound from 122.36 will argue that larger down trend is resuming for a new low below 122.26.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.18; (P) 137.21; (R1) 138.19; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. Another rise is expected as long as 135.95 support holds. Break of 139.73 will extend the rise from 123.94 to 100% projection of 123.94 to 135.74 from 129.27 at 141.07. However, firm break of 135.95 will indicate short term topping and turn bias to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 134.31).

In the bigger picture, we’re still seeing price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are seen as a sideway consolidation pattern. As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. however, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.87; (P) 139.45; (R1) 140.48; More…

Intraday bias in in GBP/JPY remains neutral as range trading continues. Further rally is mildly in favor as long as 137.84 support holds. Break of 140.20 will target 100% projection of 123.94 to 135.74 from 129.27 at 141.07. However, break of 137.84 will indicate short term topping, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for pull back, to 55 day EMA (now at 136.89) first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is still seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.79; (P) 144.12; (R1) 144.42; More…

GBP/JPY’s decline accelerates to as low as 142.71 so far today. The firm break of 143.18 confirms resumption of larger decline from 156.59. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 139.29/47 key support level. On the upside, above 143.80 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation. But recovery should be limited by 145.25 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of deeper fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 will confirm medium term reversal and turn outlook bearish for 122.36 (2016 low) again.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.36; (P) 144.91; (R1) 145.21; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside or 142.76 support. Sustained break there will bring retest of 139.39/47 key support zone. On the upside, above 145.99 support turned resistance could bring stronger rebound. But near tem outlook will be neutral at best as long as 149.70 key resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 183.15; (P) 183.54; (R1) 184.14; More…

Despite loss of downside momentum, further decline is expected in GBP/JPY as long as 185.67 resistance holds. Next target is 55 D EMA (now at 182.31). Sustained break there will argue that it’s already in a larger scale correction and target 176.29 support next. On the upside, break of 185.67 resistance will indicate that the pull back from 186.75 has completed. Further rise should then be seen through 186.75 to resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 190.46; (P) 191.08; (R1) 191.84; More..

No change in GBP/JPY’s outlook. Intraday bias stays neutral as consolidations from 193.51 could extend further. On the upside, firm break of 193.51 will resume larger up trend to 195.86 long term resistance. Nevertheless, decisive break of 190.02 will indicate that it’s at least correcting the rise from 178.32, and target 38.2% retracement of 178.32 to 193.51 at 187.70.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 123.94 (2020 low), and is in progress for 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high). Break of 187.94 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.23; (P) 161.62; (R1) 161.91; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as sideway trading continues. Corrective pattern from 168.67 would extend for a while. On the upside, break of 163.91 will bring stronger rise to 166.31 resistance. On the downside, below 160.07 will turn bias to the downside for 159.42 and below.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.