Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.59; (P) 137.19; (R1) 137.63; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 135.38 and intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 138.32 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 135.38 will extend recent fall from 148.87 to retest 131.51 low. Though, firm break of 135.38 will confirm short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 139.43) and above.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY’s medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

GBP/JPY stayed in tight range below 152.38 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 152.38 will reaffirm that case that correction from 153.39 has already completed, and bring retest of this high next. However, break of 150.83 minor support will extend the corrective pattern with another fall to 149.03 support before completion.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, the strong break of 55 months EMA was an early sign of long term bullish reversal. Firm break of 156.69 resistance should now confirm the start of an up trend for 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.67; (P) 165.48; (R1) 168.63; More…

GBP/JPY’s rise from 148.93 resumed by breaking through 165.69 resistance. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 169.10 high. Decisive break there will confirm larger up trend resumption. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 159.71 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, strong support from 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 169.10 at 151.84 suggests that price actions from 169.10 are developing into a corrective pattern only. That is, rise from 123.94 (2020 low) should resume at a later stage. This will now remain the favored case as long as 148.93 support holds.

GBP/JPY’s decline last week argues that rebound from 149.16 has completed at 152.82 already. Break of 150.80 this week will bring deeper fall to retest 148.43/149.16 key support zone. On the upside, above 152.82 will resume the rebound to 153.42 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 149.03 support holds, such rise would still resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 149.03 support will indicate rejection by 156.59. Fall from 156.05 would be at least correcting the whole rise from 123.94. Deeper fall would be seen back 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 156.05 at 143.78 first.

In the longer term picture, the strong break of 55 months EMA was an early sign of long term bullish reversal. Firm break of 156.69 resistance should now confirm the start of an up trend for 195.86 (2015 high). However, rejection by 156.69 will invalidate the bullish signal and keep long term outlook neutral first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 196.12; (P) 196.59; (R1) 197.45; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays on the upside at this point. Rebound from 191.34 is seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 200.53. Break of 197.40 will target 200.53 high. But upside should be limited there. On the downside, break of 194.74 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top could be in place at 200.53 after breaching 199.80 long term fibonacci level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 183.41) holds, fall from there is seen as correcting the rise from 178.32 only. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 178.32 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 165.45; (P) 166.19; (R1) 166.65; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, decisive break of 168.67 resistance will resume larger up trend. Next near term target is 100% projection of 155.57 to 168.67 from 159.97 at 173.07. On the downside, below 164.45 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 159.97 support instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.38; (P) 132.02; (R1) 132.45; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Corrective rebound from 126.54 should have completed with three waves up to 135.74, after failing to sustain above 38.2% retracement of 148.87 to 126.54 at 135.07. Deeper fall should be seen to retest 126.54 low. On the upside, break of 133.35 will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is possibly still in progress. Strong rebound from 126.54 argues that it may be the third leg of the pattern. Further rise could be seen to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone before completion. On the downside, though, sustained break of 122.75 low will target 116.83 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 179.83; (P) 180.74; (R1) 181.64; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 179.45 will resume the correction from 183.90 to 55 D EMA (now at 177.39). On the upside, firm break of 183.99 high will resume larger up trend to 187.36 projection level.

In the bigger picture, as long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is expected to continue. On resumption, next target is 138.2% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 187.36, and then 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 172.11 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.02; (P) 143.53; (R1) 144.10; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Rise from 122.36 is seen as a corrective move. Below 142.16 will affirm the case that it’s completed at 148.42. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 140.62) and below. Break of 148.42 will extend the rise from 122.36. But we’d expect strong resistance from 150.43 long term fibonacci level to limit upside.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 195.86 top (2015 high) should have made a medium term bottom at 122.36 after hitting 100% projection of 195.86 to 154.70 from 163.87 at 122.71. Rise from there is now expected to develop into a medium term corrective pattern. Upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.4 for setting the medium term range.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.00; (P) 153.60; (R1) 158.32; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 148.93. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 160.64 support turned resistance holds. Break of 148.93 will resume the decline from 169.10 towards 141.19 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 (2020 low) has completed at 169.10. 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 169.10 at 151.84 is already met, and there could be some support from there for rebound. But risk will now stay on the downside as long as 169.10 resistance holds. Sustained trading below 151.84 will target 61.8% retracement at 141.19.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 180.61; (P) 181.57; (R1) 183.22; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the downside, break of 179.45 will resume the correction from 183.90 to 55 D EMA (now at 177.70). On the upside, firm break of 183.99 high will resume larger up trend to 187.36 projection level.

In the bigger picture, as long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is expected to continue. On resumption, next target is 138.2% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 187.36, and then 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 172.11 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.51; (P) 148.88; (R1) 149.43; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside for 149.70 resistance. Firm break there will resume the whole rise from 139.88 and target 153.84/156.59 resistance zone. On the downside, below 146.28 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 142.76 again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.22; (P) 139.90; (R1) 140.32; More…

Further rise is mildly in favor in GBP/JPY at this point, with 136.96 support intact. Choppy rise from 133.03 should target a test on 141.71 high. Though, break of 136.96 will will turn near term outlook bearish for deeper fall.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY’s decline from 148.87 extended lower last week but after all, the cross stays above 143.72 support. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, decisive break of 149.48 key resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 156.58 resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 143.72 support will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bearish for 141.00 support.

In the bigger picture, focus is now staying on 149.98 key resistance. Decisive break there should confirm that that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Rise from 131.51 is then seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). GBP/JPY should then target 156.59 and above. However, rejection by 149.98 will retain medium term bearishness and could extend the fall from 156.59 through 131.51 to 122.36.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 122.36 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) doesn’t display a clear impulsive structure. Thus, we’re treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern. In case of an extension, strong resistance is likely to be seen at 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 at 159.11 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 131.51 support will bring 122.26 low back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.03; (P) 144.40; (R1) 145.51; More…

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 141.15 resumed after brief retreat. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for retesting 147.95 high. On the downside, break of 142.42 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 141.15 and then 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.05; (P) 150.89; (R1) 151.34; More…

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 148.94 should have completed at 152.60. Intraday bias is mildly on the downside for 148.94 first. Break there will resume larger fall from 158.19 to 145.10 medium term fibonacci level next. On the upside, break of 151.06 will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, strong rebound from 148.93 key structural support will retain medium term bullishness. Firm break of 158.19 high will resume whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Nevertheless, firm break of 148.93 will bring deeper correction to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10, and possibly further lower, as a correction to up trend from 123.94 at least

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.30; (P) 136.66; (R1) 136.99; More…

Range trading continues in GBP/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, above 137.83 will resume the rebound from 133.03 to retest 142.71 high. On the downside, firm break of 135.05 support will suggest that rebound from 133.03 has completed. Also, in this case fall from 142.71 is resuming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 133.03, and then 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.89; (P) 142.49; (R1) 143.13; More….

GBP/JPY’s fall from 148.09 resumes today by taking out 141.43 and reaches as low as 140.19 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 135.58 to 148.09 at 140.35. We’ll look for bottoming around there. Break of 143.93 will indicate near term reversal and turn bias back to the upside. However, sustained break of 140.35 will bring deeper fall to 135.58 key support level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 122.36 medium term bottom is still expected to extend to of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. And decisive break there could pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, as the cross is starting to lose upside momentum, rejection below 150.42 and break of 135.58 support will indicate reversal and bring deeper fall back to retest 122.36 instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.84; (P) 151.89; (R1) 152.55; More…

GBP/JPY lost upside momentum after breaching 152.82 resistance. But with 150.57 minor support intact, further rise is in favor. Sustained trading above 152.82 will confirm medium term rally resumption and target 61.8% projection of 139.29 to 152.82 from 146.96 at 155.32. On the downside, though, break of 150.57 minor support will dampen the bullish view and turn bias to the downside for 146.96 support again.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 122.36 is still expected to resume after consolidation from 152.82 completes. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, break of 46.96 support will indicate rejection from 150.43 key fibonacci level. And the three wave corrective structure of rebound from 122.36 will argue that larger down trend is resuming for a new low below 122.26.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.52; (P) 139.09; (R1) 139.75; More…

GBP/JPY remains bounded in range of 138.53/142.79. Intraday bias stays neutral at this point. Price actions from 148.42 are seen as a corrective pattern. Break of 138.53 support will bring deeper decline to 136.44 support and possibly below. However, we’d expect strong support at 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 142.79 will turn bias back to the upside for 144.77 and above.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern with a test on 122.36 low next. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.