GBP/JPY rebounded strongly after initial fall to 178.02, but upside is limited by 183.00 resistance. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 183.00 will argue that the pull back from 187.65 has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for retesting this high. On the downside, below 180.26 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 178.02 again.

In the bigger picture, fall from 186.75 is currently seen as a corrective move only. As long as 176.29 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress. Break of 186.75 will target 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 176.29 will confirm medium term topping, and bring lengthier and deeper consolidations.

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) in still in progress but started losing upside momentum as seen in W MACD. Further rise will remain in favor, though, as long as 176.29 support holds, to retest 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.98; (P) 151.27; (R1) 151.67; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral with current recovery. On the upside, above 152.82 will target 153.42 resistance first. Firm break there will argue that whole correction from 156.05 has completed, and turn outlook bullish. On the downside, break of 150.08 will target 148.43/149.16 support zone.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 149.03 support holds, such rise would still resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 149.03 support will indicate rejection by 156.59. Fall from 156.05 would be at least correcting the whole rise from 123.94. Deeper fall would be seen back 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 156.05 at 143.78 first.

GBP/JPY dropped to 134.40 last week but quickly recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week first. As long as 137.83 resistance holds, further decline is in favor. Below 134.40 will target 133.03 support first. Break there will resume larger fall from 142.71 to 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) should eventually resume through 122.75 to 116.83 (2011 low) and below. However, sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 144.20) will dampen this view and could open up further rise back to 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.03; (P) 163.73; (R1) 164.33; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall from 169.10 resumed after brief consolidations. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 159.42. . But downside should be contained there to bring rebound. On the upside, above 164.42 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again. Overall, consolidation from 168.40 is still extending. Firm break of 169.91 will resume larger up trend. However, break of 159.42 support will now be a sign of bearish reversal and target 155.57 support next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY’s pull back from 188.90 extended to 185.21 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Firm break of 187.60 will turn bias to the upside for 188.90. Break there will confirm resumption of larger up trend. Meanwhile, below 185.21 will turn bias to the downside and extend the correction from 188.90.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) in in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) in still in progress despite loss of upside momentum as seen in W MACD. Further rise will remain in favor, as long as 172.11 support holds, to retest 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.22; (P) 137.83; (R1) 138.18; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 136.55 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral first. Upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 146.50 to 136.55 at 140.35 to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 136.55 will turn bias to the downside and extend the fall from 148.87 to 131.51 low.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY’s medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.25; (P) 140.63; (R1) 141.14; More.,.

GBP/JPY is still staying below 141.28 resistance and intraday bias remains neutral first. With 139.44 minor support intact, another rise is mildly in favor. On the upside, break of 141.28 will extend the choppy rise from 133.03 to retest 141.71 high. However, below 139.44 minor support will be the first sign of short term reversal. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 136.96 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.43; (P) 151.01; (R1) 151.41; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first as it failed to sustain above 151.38 minor resistance. On the upside, sustained break of 151.38 should bring stronger rise back to 153.42 resistance first. Break there will confirm completion of the correction of 156.05. On the downside, however, sustained break of 149.03 support will carry larger bearish implication and target 143.78 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 149.03 support holds, such rise would still resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 149.03 support will indicate rejection by 156.59. Fall from 156.05 would be at least correcting the whole rise from 123.94. Deeper fall would be seen back 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 156.05 at 143.78 first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 165.73; (P) 166.41; (R1) 166.82; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral with current deep retreat. On the upside, decisive break of 168.67 high will resume larger up trend. Next target is 100% projection of 155.57 to 168.67 from 159.42 at 172.42. On the downside, break of 164.28 minor support will turn bias back to the downside to extend the corrective pattern from 168.67.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.17; (P) 142.74; (R1) 143.17; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. With 140.62 minor support intact, rebound from 131.51 might still extend through 144.84. But in that case, we’d expect strong resistance from trend line (now at 146.85) to limit upside, at least on first attempt. On the downside, firm break of 140.62 will suggest completion of the rebound and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 131.51 suggests that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed already. The corrective structure of such decline is turn argues that it’s the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). And this pattern is starting the third leg. On the upside, decisive break of 149.38 will pave the way to 156.59 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.79; (P) 138.07; (R1) 138.33; More…

No change in GBP/JPY’s outlook and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, break of 140.31 will resume the rebound from 133.03 to retest 142.71 high. Nevertheless, sustained break of 137.83 resistance turned support will argue that the rebound has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 133.03/134.40 support zone.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY stayed familiar range last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the downside, below 152.59 will likely extend the corrective pattern from 156.05 through 151.28 support. In this case, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 136.96 to 156.05 at 148.75 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 155.13 will target a test on 156.05 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus is now on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, break of 149.03 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, the strong break of 55 months EMA was an early sign of long term bullish reversal. Firm break of 156.69 resistance should now confirm the start of an up trend for 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 183.93; (P) 184.60; (R1) 185.13; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Price actions from 186.75 are viewed as a corrective pattern. Another fall could still be seen and break of 183.35 will turn bias to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 181.54). Nevertheless, firm break of 186.75 will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.58; (P) 145.17; (R1) 145.79; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. On the downside, decisive break of 143.72 support will indicate near term reversal, after rejection by 149.48 key resistance. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 141.00 support first. On the upside, decisive break of 149.48 key resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 156.58 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, focus is now staying on 149.98 key resistance. Decisive break there should confirm that that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Rise from 131.51 is then seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). GBP/JPY should then target 156.59 and above. However, rejection by 149.98 will retain medium term bearishness and could extend the fall from 156.59 through 131.51 to 122.36.

GBP/JPY recovered to 147.19 last week but lost momentum well below 148.87 resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week and more consolidation could be seen first. On the downside, sustained break of 143.72 will indicate near term reversal, after rejection by 149.48 key resistance. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 141.00 support first. On the upside, decisive break of 149.48 key resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 156.58 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, focus is now staying on 149.98 key resistance. Decisive break there should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Rise from 131.51 is then seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). GBP/JPY should then target 156.59 and above. However, rejection by 149.98 will retain medium term bearishness and could extend the fall from 156.59 through 131.51 to 122.36.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 122.36 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) doesn’t display a clear impulsive structure. Thus, we’re treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern. In case of an extension, strong resistance is likely to be seen at 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 at 159.11 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 131.51 support will bring 122.26 low back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.25; (P) 153.00; (R1) 153.41; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall from 158.19 is still in progress and deeper decline would be seen to 148.93 structural support level. On the upside, break of 154.63 minor resistance will revive near term bullishness and turn bias back to the upside for 158.19 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). The stay above 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Current rise should now target 61.8% retracement 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93 next. In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 148.93 structural support hold, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.17; (P) 144.62; (R1) 145.13; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. The corrective pattern from 148.09 short term top could extend. On the upside, above 145.78 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 148.09 first. Meanwhile, break of 143.34 will extend the pull back from 148.09 to 61.8% retracement at 140.35. Overall, we’d still expect the rise from 122.36 to resume after pull back from 148.09 completes. Break of 148.09 will target 150.42 long term fibonacci level first.

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, rise from 122.36 bottom should be developing into a medium term move. Break of 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 should pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. This will now be the favored case as long as 135.58 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.47; (P) 132.90; (R1) 133.33; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 132.17 support will suggest rejection by 38.2% retracement of 148.87 to 126.54 at 135.07. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for retesting 126.54 low. On the upside, sustained break of 135.07 will extend the rebound from 126.54 to 61.8% retracement at 140.33 next.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is possibly still in progress. Strong rebound from 126.54 argues that it may be the third leg of the pattern. Further rise could be seen to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone before completion. On the downside, though, sustained break of 122.75 low will target 116.83 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.63; (P) 142.05; (R1) 142.60; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays on the downside at this point. From 144.60 is seen as the third leg of the correction from 147.95. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 144.60 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. However, sustained break of 139.31 support will dampen this case and turn medium term outlook neutral first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.08; (P) 157.57; (R1) 158.26; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Current up trend from 123.94 should target 61.8% projection of 136.96 to 156.05 from 148.93 at 160.72 next. On the downside, below 156.58 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). The stay above 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Current rise should now target 61.8% retracement 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93 next. In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 148.93 structural support hold, even in case of deeper pull back.