Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.96; (P) 160.82; (R1) 161.90; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral at this point. On the downside, below 159.41 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 148.93 again. However, firm break of 169.10 will confirm resumption of larger up trend. Also, while further rise could be seen, strong resistance might be seen from 169.10 high to limit upside, at least on first attempt.

In the bigger picture, strong support from 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 169.10 at 151.84 suggests that price actions from 169.10 are developing into a corrective pattern only. That is, rise from 123.94 (2020 low) should resume at a later stage. This will now remain the favored case as long as 148.93 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.50; (P) 145.22; (R1) 146.18; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation above 144.02 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral first. Also, with 145.99 resistance intact, further decline is in favor. On the downside, break of 144.02 will target 142.76 support first. Sustained break there will bring retest of 139.39/47 key support zone. On the upside, above 145.99 support turned resistance could bring stronger rebound. But near tem outlook will be neutral at best as long as 149.70 key resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.14; (P) 149.93; (R1) 150.82; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 150.39 suggests rally resumption. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 100% projection of 123.94 to 142.71 from 133.03 at 151.80 next. On the downside, however, break of 147.38 support should now indicate short term topping. Deeper correction would seen back to 55 day EMA (now at 144.42).

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the sideway pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). With 147.95 resistance taken out, further rally would now be seen to 156.59 resistance (2018 high), Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.28; (P) 151.92; (R1) 152.37; More…

Further rise is expected in GBP/JPY as long as 150.76 support holds. Current rise from 123.94 would target 156.59 long term resistance. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 150.76 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY stayed in tight range below 135.74 temporary top last week. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Another rise cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92 to complete the corrective rebound from 123.94. On the downside, break of 132.40 will turn intraday bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) could be resuming. Break of 116.83 will target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.53; (P) 144.45; (R1) 145.05; More…

GBP/JPY drops sharply to as low as 143.03 so far today. Firm break of 143.72 support suggests that whole rebound from 131.51 has completed at 148.87, ahead of 149.98 key resistance. Intraday bias is now on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 131.51 to 148.87 at 142.23 first. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 138.14. On the upside, in case of recovery, near term outlook will stay cautiously bearish as long as 146.50 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY was rejected by 149.98 key resistance. And medium term fall from 156.59 is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). On the other hand, decisive break of 149.98 should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Further rally would be seen back to 156.59 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.10; (P) 143.65; (R1) 144.08; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 142.83 temporary low. Some consolidation could be seen. But near term outlook remains cautiously bearish as long as 145.83 resistance holds. On the downside, firm break of 142.76 will pave the way to 139.29/47 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) could still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.54; (P) 144.08; (R1) 144.85; More…

GBP/JPY breached 144.52 resistance but couldn’t sustain above there. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 144.52 will turn bias to the upside for retesting 147.95 resistance. on the downside, break of 142.80 minor support will turn bias to the downside. In this case, correction from 147.95 will extend to 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. However, sustained break of 139.31 support will dampen this case and turn medium term outlook neutral first.

GBP/JPY dipped through 183.34 to 183.04 last week, but quickly recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 185.67 resistance will argue that the pull back from 186.75 has completed. Further rise should then be seen through 186.75 to resume larger up trend. However, break of 183.04 will resume the decline and target 55 D EMA (now at 182.23).

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) in still in progress to retest 195.86 (2015 high). Based on current momentum, break of 195.86 is in favor. But strong resistance could still be seen from 61.8% retracement of 251.09 (2007 high) to 116.83 (2011 low) at 199.80 to limit upside on first attempt.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.95; (P) 136.65; (R1) 137.73; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall resumed after brief consolidation and intraday bias is break of the downside. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 135.53 will suggest that whole rebound from 123.94 has completed. Deeper fall could then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 131.11 next. Though, strong rebound from current level, followed by break of 138.38 minor resistance, will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 142.71 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is still seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 188.99; (P) 189.36; (R1) 189.70; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidations continue below 190.05. Further rally is expected with 187.83 minor support intact. Break of 190.05 will target 61.8% projection of 178.71 to 188.90 from 185.21 at 191.50. However, break of 187.83 will turn bias to the downside for deeper correction back to 185.21 support instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) in in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.89; (P) 151.31; (R1) 151.63; More…

GBP/JPY’s corrective fall from 153.39 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral. As long as 149.74 support holds, outlook remains bullish in the cross. Break of 153.39 will resume the medium term up trend and target 61.8% projection of 139.29 to 152.82 from 146.96 at 155.32. However, break of 149.74 will dampen our bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 146.96 key support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that medium term rise from 122.36 is resuming. Sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, break of 146.96 support will indicate rejection from 150.43 key fibonacci level. And the three wave corrective structure of rebound from 122.36 will argue that larger down trend is resuming for a new low below 122.26.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.38; (P) 132.02; (R1) 132.45; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside as fall from 135.74 is in progress. Corrective rebound from 126.54 should have completed with three waves up to 135.74, after failing to sustain above 38.2% retracement of 148.87 to 126.54 at 135.07. Deeper fall should be seen to retest 126.54 low. On the upside, break of 133.35 will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is possibly still in progress. Strong rebound from 126.54 argues that it may be the third leg of the pattern. Further rise could be seen to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone before completion. On the downside, though, sustained break of 122.75 low will target 116.83 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.98; (P) 160.58; (R1) 161.31; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 164.61. But outlook stays bullish with 158.04 resistance turned support intact, and further rally is expected. On the upside, break of 164.61 will resume larger up trend to long term fibonacci level at 167.93. However, firm break of 158.19 will turn bias to the downside and bring deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress, and notable support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93. Sustained break there will be a long term bullish signal. This will now remain the favored case as long as 150.95 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.96; (P) 134.46; (R1) 135.03; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Another rise cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92 to complete the corrective rebound from 123.94. On the downside, break of 132.40 will turn intraday bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 182.60; (P) 183.26; (R1) 183.73; More…

With 184.39 resistance holds, GBP/JPY’s choppy decline from 186.75 is extended to continue. Sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 182.44) will argue that it’s already in a larger scale correction and target 176.29 support next. On the upside, break of 184.39 resistance will argue that the pull back from 186.75 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 185.76 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 176.29 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress. Break of 186.75 will target 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 176.29 will confirm medium term topping, and turn outlook neutral for lengthier and deeper consolidations.

GBP/JPY’s rebound 178.32 is in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Current rise should target a test on 188.63 high. On the downside, break of 182.73 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 188.63 medium term top are seen as a correction to the up trend from 148.93 (2022 low) only. As long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in favor to resume through 188.63 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.51; (P) 161.13; (R1) 162.23; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 155.33 low will resume the fall form 172.11 to 153.70 fibonacci level next. Risk will stays on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 162.03) holds, even in case of another rally attempt.

In the bigger picture, as long as 163.02 support turned resistance holds, decline from 172.11 medium term top is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70. Sustained break there will raise the change of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 142.34. Nevertheless, break of 163.02 support turned resistance will argue that the decline has completed, and retain medium term bullishness.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 202.14; (P) 202.43; (R1)202.90; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Firm break of 61.8% projection of 191.34 to 200.72 from 197.18 at 202.97. will pave the way to 100% projection at 206.56 next. On the downside, below 201.95 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 198.90 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, long term up trend is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 155.33 to 188.63 from 178.32 at 211.62. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 191.34 support holds, even in case of deep pullback.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.49; (P) 138.98; (R1) 139.53; More…

Range trading continues in GBP/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 140.31 will resume whole rebound from 133.03 and target a test on 142.71 high. On the downside, however, break of 137.19 will argue that the pattern from 142.71 is starting another falling leg. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 134.40 support and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.