GBP/JPY reversed after recovery to 144.36 last week and breached 141.15 on subsequent fall. The development suggests that corrective fall from 147.95 short term top is resuming. Initial bias is mildly on the downside this week for 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77. At this point, we’d expect strong support from 139.31/77 to bring rebound. But in any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 144.36 resistance holds, in case of recovery. Sustained break of 139.77 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 134.71.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. However, sustained break of 139.31 support will dampen this case and turn medium term outlook neutral first.

In the longer term picture, in spite of the current strong rally, there is no confirmation of long term bullish reversal yet. Focus is now on 156.59 key resistance. As long as it holds, another decline through 122.75 could still be seen. But firm break of 156.69 should at least bring further rally to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.86; (P) 143.02; (R1) 143.76; More…

GBP/JPY’;s break of 142.42 minor support suggests that corrective fall from 147.95 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77. At this point, we’d expect strong support from 139.31/77 to bring rebound. But in any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 144.36 resistance holds, in case of recovery. Sustained break of 139.77 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 134.71.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.86; (P) 143.02; (R1) 143.76; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 142.42 minor support suggests that recovery from 141.15 has completed at 144.36. Intraday bias back on the downside. Break of 141.15 will extend the corrective fall from 147.95 to 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77. On the upside, above 144.36 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 147.95.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.03; (P) 144.40; (R1) 145.51; More…

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 141.15 resumed after brief retreat. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for retesting 147.95 high. On the downside, break of 142.42 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 141.15 and then 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.42; (P) 142.93; (R1) 143.25; More…

GBP/JPY lost momentum after hitting 143.63 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, above 143.63 will resume the rebound from 141.15 to retest 147.95 high next. On the downside, break of 141.15 will target 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.34; (P) 143.00; (R1) 143.94; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains mildly on the upside at this point. Corrective fall from 147.95 should have completed at 141.15. Further rise would be seen back to retest 147.95 high. On the downside, break of 141.15 will target 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.45; (P) 142.09; (R1) 143.14; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 143.05 minor resistance suggests that corrective fall from 147.95 has completed at 141.15. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for retesting 147.95 high. On the downside, break of 141.15 will target 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.45; (P) 142.09; (R1) 143.14; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 141.15 will extend the correction from 147.95 to 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77. On the upside, above 143.05 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 147.95 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.91; (P) 142.49; (R1) 142.87; More…

A temporary low is formed at 141.15 and intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first. On the downside, break of 141.15 will extend the correction from 147.95 to 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77. On the upside, above 143.05 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 147.95 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.91; (P) 142.49; (R1) 142.87; More…

With 143.86 minor resistance intact, further decline is mildly in favor in GBP/JPY. Fall from 147.95 is correcting whole rally from 126.54, and should target 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77. On the upside, above 143.86 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 147.95 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.47; (P) 142.67; (R1) 143.35; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 147.95 is correcting whole rally from 126.54, and should target 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77. On the upside, above 143.86 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 147.95 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.00; (P) 143.43; (R1) 143.79; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 142.47 support suggests short term topping at 147.95. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside. Fall from 147.95 is correcting whole rally from 126.54, and should target 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77. On the upside, above 143.86 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 147.95 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.00; (P) 143.43; (R1) 143.79; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Correction from 147.95 might extend. But downside is still expected to be contained above 142.47 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 147.95 will target 148.87 structural resistance first. Break will target 156.59 key resistance next. However, break of 142.47 will indicate short term topping and bring deeper pull back to 139.31 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.78; (P) 144.44; (R1) 145.40; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral as correction from 147.95 is extending. Downside is still expected to be contained above 142.47 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 147.95 will target 148.87 structural resistance first. Break will target 156.59 key resistance next. However, break of 142.47 will indicate short term topping and bring deeper pull back to 139.31 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.64; (P) 146.23; (R1) 146.64; More…

GBP/JPY’s retreat from 147.95 extends lower today but intraday bias remains neutral first. Downside is still expected to be contained above 142.47 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 147.95 will target 148.87 structural resistance first. Break will target 156.59 key resistance next. However, break of 142.47 will indicate short term topping and bring deeper pull back to 139.31 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.87; (P) 146.42; (R1) 147.37; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 147.95 is extending. Downside of retreat should be contained above 142.47 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 147.95 will target 148.87 structural resistance first. Break will target 156.59 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

GBP/JPY’s rise from 126.54 accelerated to as high as 147.95 last week and took out medium term trend line resistance decisively. As a temporary top was formed after subsequent retreat. Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. Downside should be contained above 142.47 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 147.95 will target 148.87 structural resistance next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

In the longer term picture, in spite of the current strong rally, there is no confirmation of long term bullish reversal yet. Focus is now on 156.59 key resistance. As long as it holds, another decline through 122.75 could still be seen. But firm break of 156.69 should at least bring further rally to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.92; (P) 143.53; (R1) 144.59; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally accelerates to as high as 147.95 so far and intraday bias stays on the upside for 148.87 resistance next. Decisive break there will pave the way to 156.59 key resistance. On the downside, break of 142.47 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 126.54 is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Further rally could be seen but for now, we’d expect strong resistance from 156.59 to limit upside. However, sustained break of 156.59 will indicate long term bullish reversal. On the downside, break of 139.31 support is needed to indicate completion of the rise from 126.54. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.75; (P) 143.06; (R1) 143.57; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and consolidation from 143.66 might extend. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out but downside should be contained well above 139.31 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 143.66 will resume the rally from 126.54. Sustained break of trend line resistance (now at 143.51) will pave the way to 148.87 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 126.54 is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Further rally could be seen but for now, we’d expect strong resistance from 156.59 to limit upside. On the downside, sustained break of 135.74 resistance turned support will suggest that such rebound has completed. Deeper decline could the be seen to retest 126.54 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.76; (P) 143.21; (R1) 143.80; More…

GBP/JPY edged higher to 143.66 but quickly retreated. intraday bias stays neutral first and deeper retreat cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained well above 139.31 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 143.66 will resume the rally from 126.54. Sustained break of trend line resistance (now at 143.51) will pave the way to 148.87 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 126.54 is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Further rally could be seen but for now, we’d expect strong resistance from 156.59 to limit upside. On the downside, sustained break of 135.74 resistance turned support will suggest that such rebound has completed. Deeper decline could the be seen to retest 126.54 low.