Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.62; (P) 143.03; (R1) 143.61; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. Correction from 147.95 could extend. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 139.31/77 (38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77) to bring rebound. On the upside, above 144.36 will bring retest of 147.95 resistance. However, sustained break of 139.77 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 134.71.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. However, sustained break of 139.31 support will dampen this case and turn medium term outlook neutral first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.83; (P) 148.24; (R1) 148.77; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 149.70 is still in progress. In case of deeper fall, outlook will stay remain bullish as long as 145.67 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, above 149.70 will target 153.84/156.69 resistance zone next. However, break of 145.67 will suggest that the rebound from 139.88 has completed and turn near term outlook bearish again.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY has successfully defended 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). And, the rally from 122.36 (2016 low) is still intact. Such medium to long term rise would extend through 156.96 high. This will now be the preferred case as long as 145.67 near term support holds. However, break of 145.67 will turn focus back to 139.29/47 key support zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.36; (P) 136.84; (R1) 137.16; More…

A temporary low is formed at 135.58, ahead of medium term fibonacci level at 135.39. Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first. As noted before, we’re viewing price actions from 148.42 as a corrective pattern. Break of 137.51 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside. Break of 140.08 resistance will confirm near term reversal. However, sustained break of 135.39 will dampen our view and target next fibonacci level at 132.31.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. As long as 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 holds, another rising leg would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 and possibly above. However, firm break of 135.39 will bring retest of 122.36, with prospect of resuming the larger down trend from 195.86.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.51; (P) 146.98; (R1) 147.34; More….

With 146.03 minor support intact, further rise is expected in GBP/JPY for 148.09/42 resistance zone. Decisive break there will extend whole rally from 122.36 to long term fibonacci level at 150.43 next. Nonetheless, break of 146.03 minor support will indicate short term topping. In such case, bias will be turned back to the downside for pull back towards 55 day EMA (now at 143.44).

In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 122.36 is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43. Decisive break there will carry long term bullish implications and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. In case the sideway pattern from 148.42 extends, we’d be looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.63; (P) 149.77; (R1) 150.47; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays on the downside as correction from 152.52 short term top extends. Deeper fall could be seen to 148.09 cluster support ( 23.6% retracement of 133.03 to 152.52 at 147.92). But downside should be contained there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 150.31 minor resistance will bring retest of 152.52. However, sustained break of 148.09 will bring deeper correction to 38.2% retracement at 145.07.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 184.88; (P) 185.54; (R1) 186.01; More…

GBP/JPY is still staying in range of 184.44/188.63 and intraday bias remains neutral first. As long as 184.44 support holds, further rally is expected. Decisive break of 188.63 will resume larger up trend. However, firm break of 184.44 will turn bias to the downside for deeper correction back to 178.02 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 184.44 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress, next target is 195.86 (2015 high). However, firm break of 184.44 will now argue that a medium term top is formed, possibly in bearish divergence condition in D MACD, and bring deeper fall back to 178.02 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.66; (P) 136.42; (R1) 137.33; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 137.88 temporary suggests rally resumption. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Rise from 126.54 should target 61.8% retracement of 148.84 to 126.54 at 140.33. Firm break there will pave the way to 148.87 resistance next. On the downside, break of 136.44 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again and bring consolidations before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is still in progress with rise from 126.54 as the third leg. Further rise should be seen back to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. For now, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. And, this will remain the favored case as long as 130.42 support holds.

GBP/JPY’s fall from 153.84 resumed last week and dropped to as low as 145.26. Initial bias is on the downside this week for 144.97 support. Decisive break there will resume the decline from 156.69 too and target 100% projection of 156.59 to 144.97 from 153.84 at 142.22 next. On the upside, above 146.71 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation. But near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 149.99 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, for now, we’re treating price actions from 156.59 as a corrective move. Therefore, while deeper fall is expected, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. There is still prospect of extending the rise from 122.36. However, considering that GBP/JPY failed to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.94), firm break of 139.29 will confirm trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

In the longer term picture, the failure to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.94) is mixing up the outlook. Nonetheless, as long as 139.29 holds, rise from 122.26 is in favor to extend to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 (2016 low) at 159.11, and possibly further to 61.8% retracement at 167.78 before completion. However, firm break of 139.29 will turn focus back to 116.83/122.36 support zone instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.55; (P) 160.65; (R1) 162.32; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Current development suggests that fall from 165.99 is a falling leg of the whole decline from 172.11. Deeper decline is expected as long as 164.12 resistance holds. Break of 158.54 will target a retest on 155.33 low. However, break of 164.12 resistance will bring stronger rise back to 165.99 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 123.94 (2020 low) to 172.11 (2022 high) at 153.70 holds, medium term bullishness is retained. That is, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Break of 172.11 high to resume such up trend is expected at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.11; (P) 148.48; (R1) 149.12; More

GBP/JPY’s recovery was limited at 149.04 and drops sharply after failing to sustain above 4 hour 55 EMA. But it’s staying above 146.92 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Another decline is expected with 149.73 intact. Below 146.92 will target 61.8% retracement of 139.29 to 152.82 at 144.45. Such decline is seen as a correction and we’d look for strong support from 144.45 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 149.73 support turned resistance will argue that the pull back is completed and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 152.82 high. However, sustained break of 144.45 will put 139.29 key support in focus.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 122.36 is still expected to resume after corrective pull back from 152.82 completes. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, break of 139.29 will indicate rejection from 150.43 key fibonacci level. And the three wave corrective structure of rebound from 122.36 will argue that larger down trend is resuming for a new low below 122.26.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.41; (P) 153.98; (R1) 154.35; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment, and another rise mildly in favor with 153.07 minor support intact. Break of 155.13 will target a test on 156.05 high first. Nevertheless, break of 153.07 minor support will extend the corrective pattern with another fall to 151.28 and below. But in that case, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 136.96 to 156.05 at 148.75 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus is now on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, break of 149.03 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 180.36; (P) 181.05; (R1) 181.45; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays mildly on the downside at this point. Fall from 183.23 could be another leg in the corrective pattern from 183.99. Deeper decline would be seen back towards 176.29 support. Nevertheless, on the upside, decisive break of 183.99 will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, as long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is expected to continue through 183.99 at a later stage, towards 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 172.11 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.85; (P) 129.26; (R1) 129.63; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Consolidation from 126.54 might extend further. But outlook remains bearish with 130.06 minor resistance intact. On the downside, break of 126.54 will extend larger down trend to 122.36 low. However, break of 130.06 will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound should be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 133.28).

In the bigger picture, outlook remains clearly bearish with GBP/JPY staying well below 55 week and 55 month EMA. Medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 122.36 (2016 low). We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But break of 135.66 resistance is needed to be the first sign of reversal. Sustained break of 122.36 will target next key level at 116.83 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.57; (P) 151.89; (R1) 152.42; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays mildly on the upside for 153.42 resistance. Firm break there will argue that whole corrective pattern from 156.05 has completed, and bring retest of this high. On the downside, however, below 151.32 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 149.16 support and below.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 149.03 support holds, such rise would still resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 149.03 support will indicate rejection by 156.59. Fall from 156.05 would be at least correcting the whole rise from 123.94. Deeper fall would be seen back 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 156.05 at 143.78 first.

GBP/JPY stayed in range below 158.04 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 155.11 resistance should confirm rejection by 158.19 resistance. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 152.88 support, to extend the corrective pattern from 158.19 with another falling leg. However, on the upside, sustained break of 158.19 will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 158.19 are seen as developing into a consolidation pattern to up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Downside should be contained by 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10 to bring rebound. Firm break of 158.19 will resume the up trend to long term fibonacci level at 167.93. However, sustained break of 145.10 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 137.02.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 month EMA (now at 147.32) holds, we’d still favor more rally to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93. But sustained trading below 55 month EMA will at least neutralize medium term bullishness and re-open the chance of revisiting 122.75 low (2016 low).

GBP/JPY rose further to as high as 142.23 last week but retreated ahead of 142.71 resistance. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 140.31 support will indicate short term topping. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 136.96 support. However, decisive break of 142.71 will resume whole rise from 123.94. Next target is 147.95 resistance.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) should eventually resume through 122.75 to 116.83 (2011 low) and below. However, sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 143.73) will dampen this view and could open up further rise back to 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.77; (P) 161.67; (R1) 162.95; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays on the downside at this point. Firm break of 159.97 support will raise the chance of rejection by 167.93 long term fibonacci resistance. Deeper fall would be seen to 155.57 support for confirmation. On the upside, break of 165.26 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 168.67 high.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.79; (P) 138.07; (R1) 138.33; More…

No change in GBP/JPY’s outlook and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, break of 140.31 will resume the rebound from 133.03 to retest 142.71 high. Nevertheless, sustained break of 137.83 resistance turned support will argue that the rebound has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 133.03/134.40 support zone.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.84; (P) 154.34; (R1) 155.26; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is mildly on the downside. Fall from 156.07 short term top would extend to 150.18 support first. Break there will target a test on 146.96 key support level. Nonetheless, break of 156.07 will resume medium term rally.

In the bigger picture, as long as 146.96 key support holds, medium term outlook remains bullish. Rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78. However, break of 146.96 support will indicate trend reversal. And there would be prospect of retesting 122.36 in that case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.67; (P) 165.48; (R1) 168.63; More…

GBP/JPY’s rise from 148.93 resumed by breaking through 165.69 resistance. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 169.10 high. Decisive break there will confirm larger up trend resumption. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 159.71 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, strong support from 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 169.10 at 151.84 suggests that price actions from 169.10 are developing into a corrective pattern only. That is, rise from 123.94 (2020 low) should resume at a later stage. This will now remain the favored case as long as 148.93 support holds.