Daily Pivots: (S1) 181.26; (P) 182.22; (R1) 183.57; More…

The break of 182.51 resistance affirmed the case that corrective pattern from 183.99 has completed with three waves down to 176.29. Intraday bias stays on the upside for retesting 183.99. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, below 180.85 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. Also, outlook will stay bullish as long as 38.2% retracement of 155.33 to 183.99 at 173.04 holds, in case of another dip.

In the bigger picture, as long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is expected to continue through 183.99 at a later stage, towards 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 172.11 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.34; (P) 151.21; (R1) 151.75; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. Consolidation from 153.39 could extend further. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 148.50 support holds. On the upside, break of 153.39 will resume the whole rise from 123.94 to 156.59 long term resistance next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 182.73; (P) 182.99; (R1) 183.39; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral with current retreat. Outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 183.99 has completed with three waves down to 176.29. Above 183.23 will target 183.99 resistance first. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. However, break of 180.85 will turn bias to the downside to extend the corrective pattern from 183.99 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, as long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is expected to continue through 183.99 at a later stage, towards 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 172.11 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.32; (P) 161.53; (R1) 161.88; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, decisive break of 161.80 resistance will argue that whole correction from 172.11 has completed at 155.33. Further rally should be seen back to 169.26/172.11 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 155.33 low will resume the fall from 172.11 to 153.70 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 163.02 support turned resistance holds, decline from 172.11 medium term top is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70. Sustained break there will raise the change of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 142.34. Nevertheless, break of 163.02 support turned resistance will argue that the decline has completed, and retain medium term bullishness.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.23; (P) 142.74; (R1) 143.25; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. Whole rebound from 131.51 has completed at 148.87, ahead of 149.98 key resistance. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 131.51 to 148.87 at 142.23 will target 61.8% retracement at 138.14. On the upside, above 143.76 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY was rejected by 149.98 key resistance. And medium term fall from 156.59 is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). On the other hand, decisive break of 149.98 should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Further rally would be seen back to 156.59 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.58; (P) 153.43; (R1) 154.73; More…

Break of 153.66 resistance indicates resumption of medium term up trend. Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned back to the upside. Next target is 61.8% projection of 139.29 to 152.82 from 146.96 at 155.32. Break will target 100% projection at 160.49. On the downside, below 153.08 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 150.18 support holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 146.96 key support holds, medium term outlook remains bullish. Rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78. However, break of 146.96 support will indicate trend reversal. And there would be prospect of retesting 122.36 in that case.

GBP/JPY’s strong rebound from 150.95 accelerated further higher last week. The development suggests that corrective pattern from 158.19 has completed with three waves to 150.95 already. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for 158.04/19 resistance. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, below 155.43 minor support will delay the bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) should still be in progress, and notable support from 5 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93. This will now remain the favored case as long as 148.94 support holds.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 month EMA (now at 147.27) holds, we’d still favor more rally to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93. But sustained trading below 55 month EMA will at least neutralize medium term bullishness and re-open the chance of revisiting 122.75 low (2016 low).

GBP/JPY’s decline form 142.71 resumed last week and the development now argues that whole rebound from 123.94 has completed. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11. On the upside, above 136.58 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) should eventually resume through 122.75 to 116.83 (2011 low) and below. However, sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 144.65) will dampen this view and could open up further rise back to 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.50; (P) 146.38; (R1) 147.08; More…

GBP/JPY edged lower to 145.67 but there was no follow through selling yet. Intraday bias stays neutral first and some more consolidative trading could be seen. Upside of recovery should be limited well below 149.99 resistance to bring fall resumption. Below 145.93 will target 144.97 low first. Break there will resume the fall from 156.59 and target 100% projection of 156.59 to 144.97 from 153.84 at 142.22 next.

In the bigger picture, for now, we’re treating price actions from 156.59 as a corrective move. Therefore, while deeper fall is expected, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. There is still prospect of extending the rise from 122.36. However, considering that GBP/JPY failed to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.94), firm break of 139.29 will confirm trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

GBP/JPY’s fall from 158.19 continued last week and hit as low as 148.97. Initial bias is on the downside this week with focus on 100% projection of 158.19 to 152.35 from 154.70 at 148.86, which is close to 148.93 key structural support. Decisive break there will carry larger bearish implication and target 161.8% projection at 145.25 next. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 152.35 support turned resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the break of medium term channel support, and bearish divergence condition in week MACD are raising the chance of medium term topping at 158.19. Firm break of 148.93 support will argue that GBP/JPY is at least correcting the whole rise from 123.94 (2020 low). In this case, deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10. Nevertheless, strong rebound from 148.93 will retain medium term bullishness for another rise through 158.19 at a later stage.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 month EMA (now at 146.38) holds, we’d still favor more up trend to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93. But sustained trading below 55 month EMA will at least neutralize medium term bullishness and re-open the chance of revisiting 122.75 low (2016 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.72; (P) 133.17; (R1) 133.54; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. As long as 136.34 resistance holds, further decline is still expected. On the downside, below 131.68 will extend the fall from1 139.73 to 129.27 support. Decisive break there will confirm completion of rebound from 123.94. Deeper fall would be seen to retest 123.94 low.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are seen as a sideway consolidation pattern. As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY was well supported by rising 55 day EMA. And recent rise resumed last week by hitting as high as 156.59. Near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 151.95 support holds. Next target will be 100% projection of 139.29 to 152.82 from 146.96 at 160.49.

In the bigger picture, as long as 146.96 key support holds, medium term outlook remains bullish. Rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78. However, break of 146.96 support will indicate trend reversal. And there would be prospect of retesting 122.36 in that case.

In the longer term picture, down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) has already completed at 122.36. Focus is now on 55 month EMA (now at 154.75). Firm break there will suggest that rise from 122.36 is developing into a long term move that target 195.86 again. And, price actions from 116.83 (2011 low) is indeed a sideway pattern that could last more than a decade.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.89; (P) 149.18; (R1) 149.48; More…

Consolidation from 147.95 temporary low is still in progress and intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 151.19 resistance to bring fall resumption. Break of 147.95 will extend the fall from 156.69 and target 146.96 support next. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 146.96 will be another sign of medium term trend reversal. On the upside, break of 151.19 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal continues to build up on loss of medium term momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. Also, firm break of 146.96 will indicate rejection by 55 month EMA and add to that case of reversal. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 and then 61.8% retracement at 135.43. Meanwhile, break of 156.59 will extend the rise from 122.36 to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.29; (P) 128.26; (R1) 129.70; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 126.54 and intraday bias remains neutral first. For now, as long as 130.06 minor resistance holds, further decline is still expected. Break of 126.54 will extend larger down trend to 122.36 low. However, break of 130.06 will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound should be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 134.32).

In the bigger picture, outlook remains clearly bearish with GBP/JPY staying well below 55 week and 55 month EMA. Medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 122.36 (2016 low). We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But break of 135.66 resistance is needed to be the first sign of reversal. Sustained break of 122.36 will target next key level at 116.83 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 165.80; (P) 166.45; (R1) 167.66; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 168.40 resistance suggests resumption of larger up trend. Sustained trading above 167.93 fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implication. Next near term target is 100% projection of 150.95 to 168.40 from 155.57 at 173.02. On the downside, below 165.26 minor support will delay the bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 165.88; (P) 166.26; (R1) 166.81; More…

Breach of 166.82 temporary top suggests that rise from 155.33 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the upside, and further rally would be seen to 169.26 resistance. On the downside, below 165.38 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But still, outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 162.75 support holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 123.94 (2020 low) to 172.11 (2022 high) at 153.70 holds, medium term bullishness is retained. That is, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Break of 172.11 high to resume such up trend is expected at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.56; (P) 140.01; (R1) 140.43; More…

GBP/JPY is still bounded in range below 140.70 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 140.70 will resume the choppy rise from 133.03. Next target is 142.71 resistance. On the downside, break of 136.78 support will extend the pattern from 142.71 with a third leg. Deeper fall would be seen to 134.40 support next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 191.37; (P) 192.16; (R1) 192.85; More…..

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. Consolidation from 193.51 is probably extending with another falling leg. But further rally is expected as long as 190.02 support holds. On the upside, break of 193.51 will resume larger up trend to 195.86 long term resistance. On the downside, though, break of 190.02 will turn bias to the downside for 187.94 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 123.94 (2020 low), and is in progress for 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high). Break of 187.94 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.23; (P) 141.65; (R1) 142.13; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 142.16 will indicate completion of the fall from 148.42. More importantly, this will suggest that such decline is merely a three wave correction and the rise from 122.36 isn’t completed. In such case, intraday bias will be turned to the upside for 148.42 and then 150.42 fibonacci level. Meanwhile, below 136.44 will target 61.8% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 132.31 and below.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Upside is so far limited below 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 for setting the medium term range. At this point, we don’t expect a break of 122.36 in near term and the corrective pattern would extend for a while. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will target 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.70; (P) 165.35; (R1) 166.51; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias is back on the upside. The break of 166.31 resistance suggests that larger up trend is ready to resume. Further rise should be seen to retest 168.67 high first. Decisive break there will confirm and target 100% projection of 155.57 to 168.67 from 159.42 at 172.42. On the downside, below 164.28 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.