GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.68; (P) 145.52; (R1) 146.04; More

Break of 144.80 minor support suggests that rebound from 143.76 has completed at 146.50 already. Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned back to the downside for 143.72 key support level. Decisive break there will be a strong sign of bearish reversal. That is, whole rebound from 131.51 has completed. Deeper fall should then be seen to 141.00 key support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, focus is staying on 149.98 key resistance. Decisive break there should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Rise from 131.51 is then seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). GBP/JPY should then target 156.59 and above. However, rejection by 149.98 will retain medium term bearishness and could extend the fall from 156.59 through 131.51 to 122.36.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.32; (P) 150.69; (R1) 151.42; More

GBP/JPY’s correction from 152.82 is still in progress and deeper fall could be seen. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 141.17 to 152.82 at 148.36 to bring rally resumption. Break of 152.82 will extend the larger rise from 122.36 to 61.8% projection of 122.36 to 148.42 from 139.29 at 155.39 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 122.36 is in progress. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. For now, the bullish scenario is preferred as long as 139.29 support holds.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.03; (P) 148.55; (R1) 149.15; More…

GBP/JPY is still bounded in range of 147.04/149.29 and intraday bias remains neutral. Consolidation from 147.04 temporary low could extend. But upside should be limited below 150.60 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. Below 147.04 will target 144.97 first. Break there will resume the fall from 156.59 and target 100% projection of 156.59 to 144.97 from 153.84 at 142.22 next.

In the bigger picture, for now, we’re treating price actions from 156.59 as a corrective move. Therefore, while deeper fall is expected, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. There is still prospect of extending the rise from 122.36. However, considering that GBP/JPY failed to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.94), firm break of 139.29 will confirm trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.04; (P) 143.37; (R1) 143.61; More…

GBP/JPY drew strong support from 4 hour 55 EMA and rebounded. Break of 144.07 suggests rally resumption. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 61.8% projection of 123.94 to 142.71 from 133.03 at 144.62 first. Break will target 147.95 medium term structural resistance. On the downside, however, break of 142.81 support would now indicate short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise of 123.94 is still as the third leg of the sideway pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Break of 147.95 will target 156.59 resistance (2018 high). On the downside, break of 133.03 support is needed to confirm completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor even in case of pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.77; (P) 154.39; (R1) 154.92; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point, and further further decline is expected with 155.48 resistance intact. Fall from 158.04 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 158.19. Break of 152.88 will target 148.94 support next. However, firm break of 155.48 will dampen this view and turn bias back to the upside for 158.04 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 158.19 are seen as developing into a consolidation pattern to up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10 to bring rebound. Firm break of 158.19 will resume the up trend to long term fibonacci level at 167.93. However, sustained break of 145.10 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 137.02.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.60; (P) 164.26; (R1) 165.08; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 165.99 resume the whole rebound from 155.33 to 169.26 resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 162.95 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias to the downside for 158.24 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 123.94 (2020 low) to 172.11 (2022 high) at 153.70 holds, medium term bullishness is retained. That is, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Break of 172.11 high to resume such up trend is expected at a later stage.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 188.89; (P) 189.21; (R1) 189.59; More

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and some more consolidation could be seen below 190.05. Further rally is expected with 187.83 minor support intact. Break of 190.05 will target 61.8% projection of 178.71 to 188.90 from 185.21 at 191.50. However, break of 187.83 will turn bias to the downside for deeper correction back to 185.21 support instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) in in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.38; (P) 142.94; (R1) 143.84; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 144.84 and intraday bias remains neutral. resistance at around 147.23. We’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. On the downside, firm break of 140.62 will suggest completion of the rebound and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 131.51 suggests that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed already. The corrective structure of such decline is turn argues that it’s the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). And this pattern is starting the third leg. On the upside, decisive break of 149.38 will pave the way to 156.59 resistance and above.

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.53; (P) 150.14; (R1) 151.05; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 150.92 minor resistance suggests that it has defended 149.03 key support again. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 152.54 resistance. Firm break there will suggest that correction from 156.05 has completed, and turn near term outlook bullish for retesting this high. On the downside, however, sustained break of 149.03 key support will carry larger bearish implication and target 143.78 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 149.03 support holds, such rise would still resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 149.03 support will indicate rejection by 156.59 (2018 high). Fall from 156.05 would at least be correcting the whole rise from 123.94 (2020 low). Deeper fall would be seen back 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 156.05 at 143.78 first.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.49; (P) 146.08; (R1) 146.51; More

With 143.52 minor support intact, intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for 147.76/148.42 resistance zone. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of medium term rebound from 122.36. On the downside, below 145.32 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. Overall, for the moment, GBP/JPY is still bounded in sideway consolidation pattern from 148.42.

In the bigger picture, the sideway pattern from 148.42 is still unfolding. In case of deeper fall, we’d expect strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Medium term rise from 122.36 is expected to resume later. And break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. However, firm break of 135.58/39 will dampen the bullish view and turn focus back to 122.36 low.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 184.99; (P) 185.55; (R1) 186.62; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is back on the upside with break of 186.77 minor resistance. Retest of 188.26 high should be seen next. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside though, below 184.44 support will resume the fall from 188.26 to 183.79 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 180.74 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress, next target is 195.86 (2015 high). However, firm break of 180.74 will now argue that a medium term top is formed, possibly in bearish divergence condition in D MACD, and bring deeper fall back to 178.02 support.

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.58; (P) 142.92; (R1) 143.32; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall resumes after brief consolidation and hits as low as 141.33 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 131.51 to 148.87 at 138.14 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 131.51 low. On the upside, above 143.24 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY was rejected by 149.98 key resistance. And medium term fall from 156.59 is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). On the other hand, decisive break of 149.98 should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Further rally would be seen back to 156.59 resistance and above.

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.74; (P) 148.44; (R1) 149.15; More….

While GBP/JPY’s corrective rise from 144.97 might extend, upside should be limited by 150.92 (50% retracement of 156.59 to 144.97 at 150.78) to bring fall resumption eventually. Below 146.34 minor support will suggest that the recovery has completed. Intraday bias will then be turned back to the downside for 144.97 first. Break will extend the decline from 156.59 to 143.51 medium term fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal continues to build up. There is bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. 146.96 support was taken out. And GBP/JPY was rejected by 55 month EMA. Break of 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 135.43 and below. This will now be the preferred case as long as 150.92 resistance holds.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.96; (P) 161.43; (R1) 161.97; More…

Range trading continues in GBP/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral. Corrective pattern from 168.67 would extend for a while. On the upside, break of 163.91 will bring stronger rise to 166.31 resistance. On the downside, below 160.07 will turn bias to the downside for 159.42 and below.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 179.01; (P) 180.20; (R1) 181.19; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall from 186.75 resumed by breaking through 180.78. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 176.29 support next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 183.00 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 186.75 is currently seen as a corrective move only. As long as 176.29 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress. Break of 186.75 will target 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 176.29 will confirm medium term topping, and bring lengthier and deeper consolidations.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 188.48; (P) 189.02; (R1) 189.61; More…..

Outlook in GBP/JPY remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, below 187.94 will resume the decline from 191.29 to 38.2% retracement of 178.32 to 191.29 at 186.33. Sustained break there will raise the chance of larger scale correction and target 61.8% retracement at 183.27. On the upside, though, firm break of 55 4H EMA (now at 189.29) will retain near term bullishness and bring retest of 191.29 high.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.50; (P) 162.01; (R1) 162.76; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral, and consolidation from pattern from 168.67 could extend further. On the upside, above 163.97 will turn bias to the upside, and resume the rebound to 166.31 resistance. Break there will be the first sign of up trend resumption. On the downside, break of 159.42 will extend the correction towards 155.57 support.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.21; (P) 132.70; (R1) 132.94; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Break of 131.90 support should indicate completion of whole rebound form 123.94. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for retesting 123.94 low. In case of another rise, we’d strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92 to limit upside. But sustained break of 135.74 will pave the way to 144.95 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.67; (P) 145.68; (R1) 146.35; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall extends to as low as 144.69 so far and intraday bias remains on the downside for 143.18 low. As noted before, consolidation pattern from 143.18 has completed with three waves up to 149.30 already. Break of 143.18 will extend larger fall from 156.69 to key support level at 139.29/47. On the upside, above 145.53 minor resistance will turn intraday bias remains neutral first. But near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 147.13 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.87; (P) 161.77; (R1) 162.33; More…

Range trading continues in GBP/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral. Corrective pattern from 168.67 would extend for a while. On the upside, break of 163.91 will bring stronger rise to 166.31 resistance. On the downside, below 160.07 will turn bias to the downside for 159.42 and below.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.