Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.28; (P) 144.80; (R1) 145.18; More…

With 145.99 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside for 142.76 support. Sustained break there will bring retest of 139.39/47 key support zone. On the upside, above 145.99 support turned resistance could bring stronger rebound. But near tem outlook will be neutral at best as long as 149.70 key resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.43; (P) 141.14; (R1) 142.03; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral with a temporary low formed at 140.23. Some consolidations would be seen but deeper decline remains in favor as long as 143.48 minor resistance holds. Below 140.23 will extend the down trend from 156.59 to 139.29/47 key support level. We’ll pay attention to bottoming signal around there.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the current downside accelerate makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 131.51 tried to extend last week after brief retreat. But it’s limited below 139.88 key resistance so far. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. For now, we’d still expect strong resistance from 139.88 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 137.35 minor will turn bias to the downside for retesting 131.51 low. However, firm break of 139.88 will extend the rebound to 143.93 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, corrective medium term rise from 122.36 (2016 low) has completed at 156.69 already. That came after failing to break through 55 month EMA. Fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is seen as resuming the long term down trend from 195.86 (2015 high). Below 131.51 will target 122.36 low first. And this will now remain the preferred case as long as 139.88 support turned resistance holds. Sustained break of 139.88 will mix up the outlook and we’ll reassess on the final structure of the rebound from 131.51.

In the longer term picture, rejection by 55 month EMA is seen as a bearish signal. And fall from 195.86 (2015 high) should still be in progress. Break of 122.26 should confirm this bearish case and send GBP/JPY through 116.83 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.33 (P) 145.86; (R1) 146.44; More…

GBP/JPY remains bounded in range of 143.76/146.63 and intraday bias remains neutral. Break of 146.63 will turn bias to the upside for 148.10 resistance first. Decisive break there will be a strong signal of near term reversal. Further rally would be seen to 149.99 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 148.13 will extend the fall from 156.59 for 139.25/47 cluster support level.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.28; (P) 144.92; (R1) 145.32; More…

GBP/JPY’s decline continues today and reaches as low as 144.03 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 143.18 key support. Deceive break there will resume larger decline from 156.59 and target 139.29/47 key support level next. On the upside, 144.98 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay mildly bearish as long as 147.13 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 186.91; (P) 187.39; (R1) 187.73; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment, and some more consolidations could be seen below 188.63. While deeper retreat cannot be ruled out, near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 184.44 support holds. On the upside, break of 188.63 will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, as long as 184.44 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress, next target is 195.86 (2015 high). However, firm break of 184.44 will now argue that a medium term top is formed, possibly in bearish divergence condition in D MACD, and bring deeper fall back to 178.02 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.72 (P) 146.04; (R1) 146.53; More…

GBP/JPY is still staying below 146.63 minor resistance despite rally attempt. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 146.63 will turn bias to the upside for 148.10 resistance first. Decisive break there will be a strong signal of near term reversal. Further rally would be seen to 149.99 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 148.13 will extend the fall from 156.59 for 139.25/47 cluster support level.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.77; (P) 150.49; (R1) 151.05; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is mildly on the downside for retesting 149.03 key support level. Firm break there will carry larger bearish implications. On the upside, firm break of 152.82 will suggest that correction from 156.05 has completed, and turn near term outlook bullish for retesting this high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 149.03 support holds, such rise would still resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 149.03 support will indicate rejection by 156.59. Fall from 156.05 would be at least correcting the whole rise from 123.94. Deeper fall would be seen back 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 156.05 at 143.78 first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 174.56; (P) 175.05; (R1) 175.80; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Current up trend should target 100% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 178.51 next. Strong resistance could be seen from there to bring pull back, at least on first attempt. But break of 172.64 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is extending. Next target will be 161.8% projection of 122.75 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) from 123.94 at 178.69. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 167.82 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.45; (P) 148.02; (R1) 148.78; More…

GBP/JPY is still bounded in sideway consolidation from 149.70 and intraday bias remains neutral first. With 145.67 support intact, outlook stays bullish and further rally is expected. On the upside, above 149.70 will target 153.84/156.69 resistance zone next. However, break of 145.67 will suggest that the rebound from 139.88 has completed and turn near term outlook bearish again.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY has successfully defended 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). And, the rally from 122.36 (2016 low) is still intact. Such medium to long term rise would extend through 156.96 high. This will now be the preferred case as long as 145.67 near term support holds. However, break of 145.67 will turn focus back to 139.29/47 key support zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.60; (P) 136.87; (R1) 137.11; More…

No change in GBP/JPY’s outlook and intraday bias remains on the downside. Current fall from 148.87 is in progress for retesting 131.51 low. On the upside, break of 137.87 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.27; (P) 146.58; (R1) 147.34; More…

GBP/JPY drops to as low as 145.81 so far and focus is now on 145.67 resistance turned support. Decisive break there will suggests that whole rebound form 139.88 has completed. In that case, near term outlook will be turned bearish for 139.88 low again. On the upside, though, above 147.17 minor resistance will reaffirm the case that price actions from 149.70 are merely corrective. And intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 149.70.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY has successfully defended 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). And, the rally from 122.36 (2016 low) is still intact. Such medium to long term rise would extend through 156.96 high. This will now be the preferred case as long as 145.67 near term support holds. However, break of 145.67 will turn focus back to 139.29/47 key support zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.47; (P) 141.94; (R1) 142.84; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. Rebound from 131.51 could still extend higher. But we’d expect strong resistance from trend line (now at 146.64) to limit upside, at least on first attempt. On the downside, firm break of 140.62 will suggest completion of the rebound and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 131.51 suggests that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed already. The corrective structure of such decline is turn argues that it’s the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). And this pattern is starting the third leg. On the upside, decisive break of 149.38 will pave the way to 156.59 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.59; (P) 145.19; (R1) 145.75; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment as range trading continues. On the downside, decisive break of 143.72 support will indicate near term reversal, after rejection by 149.48 key resistance. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 141.00 support first. On the upside, decisive break of 149.48 key resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 156.58 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, focus is now staying on 149.98 key resistance. Decisive break there should confirm that that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Rise from 131.51 is then seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). GBP/JPY should then target 156.59 and above. However, rejection by 149.98 will retain medium term bearishness and could extend the fall from 156.59 through 131.51 to 122.36.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.65; (P) 137.79; (R1) 139.80; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Rebound from 133.03 is extending to 100% projection of 133.03 to 137.83 from 134.40 at 139.20 first. Break will target 161.8% projection at 142.16, which is close to 142.71 high. On the downside, however, below 136.60 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.62; (P) 150.54; (R1) 150.96; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 148.94 temporary low. On the downside, firm break of 148.93 key structural support will carry larger bearish implications. Next target is 161.8% projection of 158.19 to 152.35 from 154.70 at 145.25. On the upside, however, break of 152.35 support turned resistance will argue that the pull back from 158.19 is complete. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 158.19 high.

In the bigger picture, the break of medium term channel support, and bearish divergence condition in week MACD are raising the chance of medium term topping at 158.19. Firm break of 148.93 support will argue that GBP/JPY is at least correcting the whole rise from 123.94 (2020 low). In this case, deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10. Nevertheless, strong rebound from 148.93 will retain medium term bullishness for another rise through 158.19 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 182.31; (P) 183.23; (R1) 183.93; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall from 186.75 is extending and further decline is expected as long as 184.39 resistance holds. Sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 182.44) will argue that it’s already in a larger scale correction and target 176.29 support next. On the upside, break of 184.39 resistance will suggest that the pull back from 186.75 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 185.76 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.13; (P) 146.58; (R1) 146.90; More…

GBP/JPY’s rise resumes after brief consolidation and reaches as high as 147.34 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside. As noted before, whole decline from 156.59 could have completed at 139.88, just ahead of 139.29/47 key support zone. Decisive break of 149.50 resistance will confirm our bullish view. On the downside, below 146.24 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring retreat. But further rally will remain in favor as long as 142.58 support holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, the decline from 156.69 is seen as corrective move. That is, rise from 122.36 (2016 low), is still expected to extend higher through 156.69. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal and turn outlook bearish.

GBP/JPY edged lower to 135.38 last week but turned sideway since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week for some consolidations first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 138.32 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 135.38 will extend recent fall from 148.87 to retest 131.51 low. Though, firm break of 135.38 will confirm short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 140.23).

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY’s medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

In the longer term picture, firstly, GBP/JPY’s is kept well below 55 month EMA, keeping outlook bearish. But we’re treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern. Hence, we’d expect range trading to continue longer. In case of an extension, strong resistance is likely to be seen at 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 at 159.11 to limit upside. However, break of 122.26 will put 116.83 (2011 low) back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.22; (P) 160.58; (R1) 160.97; More…

GBP/JPY declined again after rejection by 4 hour 55 EMA, but stays above 158.57 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first and further decline is expected. On the downside, firm break of 158.57 will target 161.8% projection of 172.11 to 163.02 from 169.26 at 154.55 next. However, break of 162.32 resistance will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 161.26) will confirm medium term topping at 172.11, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Fall from 172.11 should be correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Deeper decline should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 166.11) holds.