Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.42; (P) 134.85; (R1) 135.19; More…

No change in GBP/JPY’s outlook despite loss of upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. Further rise cannot be ruled out but upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92. On the downside, break of 132.40 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 123.94 low. However, sustained break of 136.92 will raise the chance of trend reversal and turn focus to 144.95 resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.65; (P) 167.12; (R1) 169.25; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Some consolidations could be seen but downside should be contained above 159.71 support to bring another rally. On the upside, sustained trading above 169.10 resistance will confirm larger up trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will pave the way to retest 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 148.93 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 183.55; (P) 184.05; (R1) 184.57; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation continues below 186.75. ON the upside, above 186.04 will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 186.75. On the downside, however, break of 183.51 will bring deeper correction to 55 D EMA (now at 181.87).

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.87; (P) 152.32; (R1) 153.19; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 150.95. Further decline is still expected as long as 155.20 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 150.95 will resume the fall from 158.04, as the the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 158.19, to 148.94 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 158.19 are seen as developing into a consolidation pattern to up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10 to bring rebound. Firm break of 158.19 will resume the up trend to long term fibonacci level at 167.93. However, sustained break of 145.10 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 137.02.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.44; (P) 142.12; (R1) 143.38; More…

GBP/JPY recovered after dipping to 140.83. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. In case of another fall, we’d still expect strong support from 139.31/77 (38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77) to bring rebound. On the upside, above 144.36 will bring retest of 147.95 resistance. However, sustained break of 139.77 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 134.71.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. However, sustained break of 139.31 support will dampen this case and turn medium term outlook neutral first.

GBP/JPY gyrated lower last week but downside was contained above 140.62 support so far. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, above 144.84 will extend the rebound from 131.51. But we’d expect strong resistance from trend line (now at 146.93) to limit upside, at least on first attempt. On the downside, firm break of 140.62 will suggest completion of the rebound and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 131.51 suggests that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed already. The corrective structure of such decline is turn argues that it’s the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). And this pattern is starting the third leg. On the upside, decisive break of 149.38 will pave the way to 156.59 resistance and above.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 122.36 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) doesn’t display a clear impulsive structure. Thus, we’re treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern. In case of an extension, strong resistance is likely to be seen at 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 at 159.11 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 131.51 support will bring 122.26 low back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.55; (P) 152.27; (R1) 152.67; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral as consolidation from 150.95 is still extending. Further decline is still expected as long as 155.20 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 150.95 will resume the fall from 158.04, as the the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 158.19, to 148.94 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 158.19 are seen as developing into a consolidation pattern to up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10 to bring rebound. Firm break of 158.19 will resume the up trend to long term fibonacci level at 167.93. However, sustained break of 145.10 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 137.02.

GBP/JPY dipped to 159.42 last week but quickly recovered. Initial bias stays neutral this week first and consolidation pattern from 168.67 might extend. On the upside, above 163.97 will turn bias to the upside, and resume the rebound to 166.31 resistance. Break there will be the first sign of up trend resumption. On the downside, break of 159.42 will extend the correction towards 155.57 support.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 could be the third leg the the pattern from 116.83 (2011 low). Further rise will remain in favor as long as 55 month EMA (now at 149.84) holds. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93. will pave the way to 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.41; (P) 137.83; (R1) 138.11; More…

GBP/JPY is still staying in consolidation from 136.55 and intraday bias remains neutral. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 146.50 to 136.55 at 140.35 to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 136.55 will turn bias to the downside and extend the fall from 148.87 to 131.51 low.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY’s medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.08; (P) 146.63; (R1) 147.23; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 148.87 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. As long as 143.72 support holds, further rise is in favor. On the upside, decisive break of 149.48 key resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 156.58 resistance next. However. sustained break of 143.72 will indicate near term reversal, after rejection by 149.48 key resistance. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 141.00 support first.

In the bigger picture, focus is now staying on 149.98 key resistance. Decisive break there should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Rise from 131.51 is then seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). GBP/JPY should then target 156.59 and above. However, rejection by 149.98 will retain medium term bearishness and could extend the fall from 156.59 through 131.51 to 122.36.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.27; (P) 139.74; (R1) 140.06; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 141.50 is extending. In case of another fall, downside should be contained above 135.74 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 141.50 will resume the rise from 126.54 to for 148.87 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is still in progress with rise from 126.54 as the third leg. Further rise should be seen back to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. For now, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. And, this will remain the favored case as long as 135.74 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 198.20; (P) 198.56; (R1) 198.84; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally continues today and intraday bias stays on the upside. Current rise from 191.34, as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 200.53, should target 100% projection of 191.34 to 180.07 from 195.02 at 200.75. But upside should be limited there. On the downside, below 198.25 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. Further break of 195.02 will argue that the third leg has started, and target 191.34 support and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top could be in place at 200.53 after breaching 199.80 long term fibonacci level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 183.41) holds, fall from there is seen as correcting the rise from 178.32 only. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 178.32 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.88; (P) 152.49; (R1) 152.93; More…

GBP/JPY continues to stay in range below 153.66 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, break of 153.66 will resume medium term up trend. Meanwhile, break of 149.40 support will indicate trend reversal and turn focus to 149.96 for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, the steep fall from 153.66 is now seen as first sign of trend reversal. Focus will turn to 146.96 support. Firm break there will at least confirm medium term topping and target 139.39 support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.50; (P) 137.96; (R1) 138.88; More…

A temporary low is formed at 136.93 as GBP/JPY turns into consolidation. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 140.92 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. Break of 136.93 will extend the decline from 147.95 to 61.8% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 from 134.71 next.

In the bigger picture, Rejection by 148.87 resistance argues that rise from 126.54 is probably just third third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Medium term outlook is turned neutral first. Break of 126.54 support would resume larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) through 122.75 low.

GBP/JPY rebounded to 152.60 last week but retreated sharply since then. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the downside, sustained break of 148.93 support will resume the fall from 158.19 to 145.10 medium term fibonacci level next. On the upside, though, break of 152.60 resistance will bring stronger rebound to 154.70 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, strong rebound from 148.93 key structural support will retain medium term bullishness. Firm break of 158.19 high will resume whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Nevertheless, firm break of 148.93 will bring deeper correction to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10, and possibly further lower, as a correction to up trend from 123.94 at least.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 month EMA (now at 146.38) holds, we’d still favor more rally to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93. But sustained trading below 55 month EMA will at least neutralize medium term bullishness and re-open the chance of revisiting 122.75 low (2016 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.33 (P) 145.86; (R1) 146.44; More…

GBP/JPY remains bounded in range of 143.76/146.63 and intraday bias remains neutral. Break of 146.63 will turn bias to the upside for 148.10 resistance first. Decisive break there will be a strong signal of near term reversal. Further rally would be seen to 149.99 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 148.13 will extend the fall from 156.59 for 139.25/47 cluster support level.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.28; (P) 144.92; (R1) 145.32; More…

GBP/JPY’s decline continues today and reaches as low as 144.03 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 143.18 key support. Deceive break there will resume larger decline from 156.59 and target 139.29/47 key support level next. On the upside, 144.98 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay mildly bearish as long as 147.13 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 186.91; (P) 187.39; (R1) 187.73; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment, and some more consolidations could be seen below 188.63. While deeper retreat cannot be ruled out, near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 184.44 support holds. On the upside, break of 188.63 will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, as long as 184.44 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress, next target is 195.86 (2015 high). However, firm break of 184.44 will now argue that a medium term top is formed, possibly in bearish divergence condition in D MACD, and bring deeper fall back to 178.02 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.16; (P) 147.43; (R1) 148.87; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 145.99 should confirm completion of rebound from 142.76. And in that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 142.76 and possibly below. On the upside, decisive break of 149.70 will resume whole rise from 139.88 and target 153.84/156.59 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

GBP/JPY gyrated lower last week but stayed above 143.72 support. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and some more consolidation could be seen. On the downside, sustained break of 143.72 will indicate near term reversal, after rejection by 149.48 key resistance. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 141.00 support first. On the upside, decisive break of 149.48 key resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 156.58 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, focus is now staying on 149.98 key resistance. Decisive break there should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Rise from 131.51 is then seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). GBP/JPY should then target 156.59 and above. However, rejection by 149.98 will retain medium term bearishness and could extend the fall from 156.59 through 131.51 to 122.36.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 122.36 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) doesn’t display a clear impulsive structure. Thus, we’re treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern. In case of an extension, strong resistance is likely to be seen at 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 at 159.11 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 131.51 support will bring 122.26 low back into focus.