Daily Pivots: (S1) 179.99; (P) 180.59; (R1) 181.20; More…

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 178.32 accelerates higher today and focus is back on 184.43 resistance. Firm break there will argue that pull back from 188.63 has completed and bring retest of this high. Nevertheless, rejection by 184.43, followed by break of 178.32, will resume the whole fall from 188.63 to 38.2% retracement of 148.93 to 188.63 at 173.46.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 188.63 medium term top are currently seen as a correction to the up trend from 148.93 (2022 low) only. As long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in favor to resume through 188.63 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 194.62; (P) 194.98; (R1) 195.48; More..

Further rise is mildly in favor in GBP/JPY. Rebound from 191.34 is seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 200.53, and could target 197.40 resistance. On the downside, break of 193.82 minor support will argue that the third leg as started, and turn bias back to the downside for 191.34 support.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top could be in place at 200.53 after breaching 199.80 long term fibonacci level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 183.41) holds, fall from there is seen as correcting the rise from 178.32 only. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 178.32 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.35; (P) 132.21; (R1) 132.81; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside. Firm break of 131.51 low will resume larger decline from 156.69 for 122.36 next. On the upside, above 133.07 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral for consolidation first. Recovery should be limited below 135.66 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.21; (P) 132.70; (R1) 132.94; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 131.90 support suggests that corrective rebound from 123.94 has completed. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for retesting 123.94 low. On the upside, above 133.17 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But after all, upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.65; (P) 163.17; (R1) 163.70; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral for the moment. Consolidation from pattern from 168.67 could extend further. On the upside, above 163.97 will turn bias to the upside, and resume the rebound to 166.31 resistance. Break there will be the first sign of up trend resumption. On the downside, break of 159.42 will extend the correction towards 155.57 support.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY’s fall from from 172.30 was contained slightly above 167.95 resistance turned support last week, then it recovered. Initial bias remains neutral this week and further rally is in favor. On the upside, break of 172.30 will resume larger up trend to 100% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 178.51. Nevertheless, firm break of 167.95 should confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back to 165.40 support instead.

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is likely ready to resume. Next target is 161.8% projection of 122.75 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) from 123.94 at 178.69. This will now remain the favored case as long as 165.40 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 M EMA (now at 154.40) holds, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) could still extend higher at a later stage to 195.86 (2015 high).

GBP/JPY’s late break of 136.55 suggests that decline from 148.87 is resuming. Initial bias is now on the downside this week for 131.51 low next. On the upside, break of 138.32 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY’s medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

In the longer term picture, firstly, GBP/JPY’s is kept well below 55 month EMA, keeping outlook bearish. But we’re treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern. Hence, we’d expect range trading to continue longer. In case of an extension, strong resistance is likely to be seen at 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 at 159.11 to limit upside. However, break of 122.26 will put 116.83 (2011 low) back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.30; (P) 153.07; (R1) 153.57; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 153.83 temporary top. Downside of retreat should be contained above 150.58 to bring another rally. Above 153.83 will extend the rise from 144.97 to retest 156.69 high. However, break of 150.58 will suggest that such rebound from 144.97 has completed and bring retest of this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 156.59 are viewed as a corrective pattern. For now, we’d expect at least one more fall for 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 before the consolidation completed. Though, firm break of 156.59 will resume whole up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 at 159.11 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.47; (P) 138.99; (R1) 139.46; More…

There is no clear sign of bottoming in GBP/JPY yet and further decline is expected. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 131.51 to 148.87 at 138.14 will pave the way to retest 131.51 low. On the upside, break of 141.73 minor resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish incase of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY was rejected by 149.98 key resistance. And medium term fall from 156.59 is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). On the other hand, decisive break of 149.98 should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Further rally would be seen back to 156.59 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 190.07; (P) 191.15; (R1) 191.92; More…..

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral at this point and some more consolidations would be seen. Nevertheless, outlook will stay bullish as long as 187.94 support holds. On the upside, break of 193.51 will resume larger up trend to 61.8% projection of 178.32 to 191.29 from 187.94 at 195.95, which is close to 195.86 long term resistance.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 123.94 (2020 low), and is in progress for long term resistance (2015 high). Break of 187.94 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.63; (P) 132.34; (R1) 133.40; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Correction from 135.74 is possibly completed and from 123.94 might be resuming. Further rise would be seen to 135.74 resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 130.67 support will turn intraday bias to the downside for 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 135.74 at 128.44.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.61; (P) 146.32; (R1) 147.24; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Sustained trading above medium term trend line resistance will pave the way to 149.58 resistance next. On the downside, break of 143.78 support will indicate short term topping. In this case, intraday bias will be flipped to the downside for 141.00 support.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 131.51 suggests that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed already. The corrective structure of such decline is turn argues that it’s the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). And this pattern is starting the third leg. On the upside, decisive break of 149.48 will pave the way to 156.59 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.15; (P) 132.80; (R1) 133.82; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for 135.74 resistance. Break there will resume whole rise from 123.94 for 61.8% projection of 123.94 to 135.74 from 129.27 at 136.56. On the downside, below 131.63 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 129.27 support instead.

In the bigger picture, overall, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are seen as a sideway consolidation pattern. Current development suggests that it might extend with another rising leg. But still, an eventual downside break out is expected as long as 147.95 resistance holds. Firm break of 122.75 will resume larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.31; (P) 148.49; (R1) 149.94; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains mildly on the upside as rebound from 144.97 extends. Further rise could be seen. But still, it’s seen as a corrective move. Therefore, we’d expect strong resistance from 150.92 (50% retracement of 156.59 to 144.97 at 150.78) to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 147.03 will bring retest of 144.97 low first. Break will extend the decline from 156.59 to 143.51 medium term fibonacci level next. However, sustained break of 150.92 will pave the way back to retest 156.69 high.

In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal continues to build up. There is bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. 146.96 support was taken out. And GBP/JPY was rejected by 55 month EMA. Break of 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 135.43 and below. This will now be the preferred case as long as 150.92 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.36; (P) 140.76; (R1) 141.31; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 139.88 temporary low. But as long as 142.46 minor resistance intact, , deeper fall is still in favor. Sustained break of 139.29/47 key support zone will carry larger bearish implication and target 135.58 support next. Though, break of 142.46 will indicate short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the current downside accelerate makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

GBP/JPY’s rebound was limited at 150.29 last week and dropped notably. But it’s so far staying above 147.03 minor support. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. While another rise cannot be ruled out, we maintain the view that rebound from 144.97 is a corrective move. Therefore, strong resistance is expected from 150.92 (50% retracement of 156.59 to 144.97 at 150.78) to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 147.03 will bring retest of 144.97 low first. Break will extend the decline from 156.59 to 143.51 medium term fibonacci level next. However, sustained break of 150.92 will pave the way back to retest 156.69 high.

In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal continues to build up. There is bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. 146.96 support was taken out. And GBP/JPY was rejected by 55 month EMA. Break of 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 135.43 and below. This will now be the preferred case as long as 150.92 resistance holds.

In the longer term picture, rejection from 55 month EEMA (now at 154.27) argues that medium term rebound from 122.36 might be completed. And, the corrective structure also carries some bearish implication today. Sustained break of 135.58 key support will likely bring retest of 122.36 low, with prospect of resuming the long term down trend from 195.86 (2015 high).

GBP/JPY’s decline from 142.71 accelerated lower last week. Initial bias stays on the downside this week first. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 135.53 will suggest that whole rebound from 123.94 has completed. Deeper fall could then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 131.11 next. Though, strong rebound from current level, followed by break of 138.38 minor resistance, will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 142.71 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is still seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) should eventually resume through 122.75 to 116.83 (2011 low) and below. However, sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 144.65) will dampen this view and could open up further rise back to 195.86 (2015 high).

GBP/JPY dropped to 160.37 last week but recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the downside, below 160.37 support will target 155.57 key support level next. On the upside, above 165.26 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside and bring retest of 168.67 high instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 could be the third leg the the pattern from 116.83 (2011 low). Further rise will remain in favor as long as 55 month EMA (now at 149.84) holds. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93. will pave the way to 195.86 (2015 high).

GBP/JPY stayed in consolidation above 144.02 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Near term outlook remains bearish with 145.99 resistance intact and further fall is expected. On the downside, break of 144.02 will resume the fall from 149.48 and target 139.39/47 key support zone. On the upside, above 145.99 support turned resistance could bring stronger rebound. But near tem outlook will be neutral at best as long as 149.70 key resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

In the longer term picture, as long as 139.29 holds, rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 (2016 low) at 159.11, and possibly further to 61.8% retracement at 167.78 before completion. However, firm break of 139.29 will turn focus back to 116.83/122.36 support zone instead (116.83 as 2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 179.23; (P) 180.22; (R1) 182.10; More…

GBP/JPY recovered after dipping to 178.32 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Deeper decline is expected as long as 184.30 resistance holds. Break of 178.32 will resume the whole decline from 188.63. Sustained break of 178.02 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 148.93 to 188.63 at 173.46.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top is in place at 188.63, there is no clear sign of long term bearish trend reversal yet. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 175.67) holds, price actions from 188.63 are seen as a corrective move only. Larger up trend from 123.94 (2022 low) could resume at a later stage.