GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.15; (P) 138.73; (R1) 139.16; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 140.31 will resume whole rebound from 133.03 and target a test on 142.71 high. On the downside, however, break of 137.19 will argue that the pattern from 142.71 is starting another falling leg. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 134.40 support and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.90; (P) 134.39; (R1) 134.89; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 132.17 will suggest rejection by 38.2% retracement of 148.87 to 126.54 at 135.07. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 126.54 low. On the upside, however, sustained break of 135.07 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 140.33 next.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is possibly still in progress. Strong rebound from 126.54 argues that it may be the third leg of the pattern. Further rise could be seen to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone before completion. On the downside, though, sustained break of 122.75 low will extend 116.83 (2011 low).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.39; (P) 136.89; (R1) 137.71; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Rise from 131.68 is target a test on 139.73 high. On the downside, break of 134.99 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound from 131.68. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) as a sideway consolidation pattern. As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.57; (P) 134.65; (R1) 135.22; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Some more consolidations could be seen below 135.74 temporary top. On the upside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 148.87 to 126.54 at 135.07 will extend the rebound from 126.54 to 61.8% retracement at 140.33 next. However, break of 132.17 support will suggest rejection by 135.07 and turned bias back to the downside for retesting 126.54 low.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is possibly still in progress. Strong rebound from 126.54 argues that it may be the third leg of the pattern. Further rise could be seen to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone before completion. On the downside, though, sustained break of 122.75 low will extend 116.83 (2011 low).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.23; (P) 134.35; (R1) 136.02; More…

GBP/JPY’s strong rebound argues that pull back from 135.74 has completed. More importantly, rise from 123.94 is probably not over. On the upside, break of 135.74 will target 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92. We’d look for strong resistance from there to limit upside. But sustained break of 135.74 will pave the way to 144.95 resistance next. On the downside, break of 131.90 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 123.94 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 178.40; (P) 179.52; (R1) 180.31; More…

Range trading continues in GBP/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral. Further decline is expected as long as 184.15 resistance holds. On the downside, break of will resume the decline from 188.63 and target 38.2% retracement of 148.93 to 188.63 at 173.46. However, decisive break of 184.15 will argue that pull back from 188.63 has completed and bring retest of this high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 188.63 medium term top are currently seen as a correction to the up trend from 148.93 (2022 low) only. As long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in favor to resume through 188.63 at a later stage.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 179.01; (P) 180.20; (R1) 181.19; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall from 186.75 resumed by breaking through 180.78. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 176.29 support next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 183.00 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 186.75 is currently seen as a corrective move only. As long as 176.29 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress. Break of 186.75 will target 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 176.29 will confirm medium term topping, and bring lengthier and deeper consolidations.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.62; (P) 133.31; (R1) 133.78; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral with focus on 132.17. Break will indicate completion of rebound from 126.54. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 126.54. On the upside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 148.87 to 126.54 at 135.07 will extend the rebound from 126.54 to 61.8% retracement at 140.33 next.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is possibly still in progress. Strong rebound from 126.54 argues that it may be the third leg of the pattern. Further rise could be seen to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone before completion. On the downside, though, sustained break of 122.75 low will extend 116.83 (2011 low).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 185.26; (P) 185.72; (R1) 186.45; More

GBP/JPY’s rally from 178.32 resumed by breaking through 186.14 temporary top. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 188.63 high next. On the downside, below 185.79 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first. But further rally is expected as long as 184.15 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 188.63 medium term top are seen as a correction to the up trend from 148.93 (2022 low) only. As long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in favor to resume through 188.63 at a later stage. Next target will be 195.86 long term resistance.

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY’s up trend resumed last week and accelerated to as high as 197.90. Initial bias remains on the upside this week. Next target is 198.89 projection level. On the downside, below 195.85 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But pullback should be contained well above 193.51 resistance turned support to bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 123.94 (2020 low), 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high) was already broken. Next target is 61.8% projection of 155.33 to 188.63 from 178.32 at 198.89 next. Break of 189.97 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 116.83 (2011 low). Focus is now on 61.8% retracement of 251.09 (2007 high) to 116.83 at 199.80. Decisive break there would pave the way back to 251.09 in the long term.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 183.18; (P) 183.72; (R1) 184.41; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, sustained break of 184.15 resistance will argue that whole pull back from 188.63 has completed and bring further rally to retest this high. However, break of 181.73 minor support will indicate rejection by 184.15, and retain near term bearishness. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for 178.71 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 188.63 medium term top are seen as a correction to the up trend from 148.93 (2022 low) only. As long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in favor to resume through 188.63 at a later stage.

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY’s rise from 178.32 continued last week and breach of 188.63 argues that larger up trend is resuming. Initial bias stays on the upside this week. Sustained trading above 188.63 will confirm this case and target 38.2% projection of 155.33 to 188.63 from 178.32 at 191.04. On the downside, below 1187.01 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 184.15 resistance turned support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) in in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) in still in progress despite loss of upside momentum as seen in W MACD. Further rise will remain in favor, as long as 172.11 support holds, to retest 195.86 (2015 high).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.31; (P) 140.87; (R1) 141.63; More…

GBP/JPY weakens mildly today but stays in consolidation from 142.71. Intraday bias remains neutral first. With 138.24 support intact, further rise is still expected. On the upside, break of 142.71 will target 138.2% projection of 123.94 to 135.74 from 129.27 at 145.57 next. On the downside, however, break of 138.24 support will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 137.96).

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is still seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.25; (P) 132.63; (R1) 133.31; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Corrective rebound from 123.94 could have already completed at 135.74 already. On the downside, break of 131.90 will resume the fall from 135.74 and target a retest on 123.94 low. On the upside, in case of another rise, upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92 to bring near term reversal.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.98; (P) 157.14; (R1) 158.68; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains mildly on the downside for the moment. Current fall from 168.40 would target 150.95 key structural support next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 159.59 support turned resistance holds in case of recovery. Nevertheless, firm break of 159.59 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 150.95 support holds, even in case of deep pull back. However, firm break of 150.95 will indicate rejection by 167.93, and bearish trend reversal.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.67; (P) 160.90; (R1) 163.21; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral after recovery from 158.54. Further decline is expected as long as 164.12 resistance holds. Fall from 165.99 is seen as part of the larger correction from 172.11. Below 158.54 will target 155.33 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 123.94 (2020 low) to 172.11 (2022 high) at 153.70 holds, medium term bullishness is retained. That is, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Break of 172.11 high to resume such up trend is expected at a later stage.

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 165.80; (P) 166.45; (R1) 167.66; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 168.40 resistance suggests resumption of larger up trend. Sustained trading above 167.93 fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implication. Next near term target is 100% projection of 150.95 to 168.40 from 155.57 at 173.02. On the downside, below 165.26 minor support will delay the bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.91; (P) 141.49; (R1) 141.90; More…

A temporary top is in place at 142.22 and intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first. Further rise is expected as long as 137.35 minor support holds. On the upside, above 142.22 will extend the rebound from 131.51 to 143.93 resistance first. Break will pave the way to 149.48 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, corrective medium term rise from 122.36 (2016 low) has completed at 156.69 (2018 high) already. That came after failing to break through 55 month EMA. No change in this view. Strong rebound from 131.51 argues that fall from 156.59 is just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36. Break of 149.38 resistance will confirm the third leg has started to 159.69, and possibly above. Nevertheless, break of 131.51 will pave the way to retest 122.26 low.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.07; (P) 141.88; (R1) 143.10; More…

Break of 142.46 minor resistance suggests short term bottoming at 139.89. Intraday bias is back on the upside for further rebound to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 144.92). On the downside, below 141.32 minor support will extend larger down trend and turn focus back to 139.29/47 key support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the current downside accelerate makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.80; (P) 154.07; (R1) 154.37; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation continues. On the upside, break of 154.80 will resume larger up trend to 156.59 key resistance first. Break will carry larger bullish implication and target 61.8% projection of 133.03 to 153.39 from 149.03 at 161.61. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 149.03 resistance holds, in case of pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.