GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.97; (P) 148.29; (R1) 148.91; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally accelerates to as high as 150.95 so far, taking out 147.95 medium term resistance without much hesitation. Intraday bias stays on the upside. Current up trend from 123.94 should now target 100% projection of 123.94 to 142.71 from 133.03 at 151.80 next. On the downside, below 147.52 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the sideway pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). With 147.95 resistance taken out, further rally would now be seen to 156.59 resistance (2018 high), Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.29; (P) 148.81; (R1) 149.12; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for 149.99 resistance. Break there will add more credence to the larger bullish case and target 153.84 resistance next. On the downside, though break of 147063 minor support will argue that the rebound from 143.76 might be finished and turn bias back to the downside

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.05; (P) 149.44; (R1) 150.12; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY mildly on the upside as recovery from 147.04 could extend higher. But still, such choppy rise is seen as a correction. Hence, upside should be limited below 150.60 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption eventually. On the downside, below 148.16 will likely resume the decline from 153.84 through 147.04 to 144.97 low. Break there will resume the fall from 156.59 and target 100% projection of 156.59 to 144.97 from 153.84 at 142.22 next.

In the bigger picture, for now, we’re treating price actions from 156.59 as a corrective move. Therefore, while deeper fall is expected, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. There is still prospect of extending the rise from 122.36. However, considering that GBP/JPY failed to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.94), firm break of 139.29 will confirm trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY’s up trend continued last week and hit as high as 182.92. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 138.2% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 187.36 next. On the downside, however, break of 179.90 support will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is extending. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) in still in progress to retest 195.86 (2015 high). Based on current momentum, break of 195.86 is in favor. But strong resistance could still be seen from 61.8% retracement of 251.09 (2007 high) to 116.83 (2011 low) at 199.80 to limit upside on first attempt.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 184.54; (P) 185.16; (R1) 186.25; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral for the moment as sideway trading continues. On the upside, above 186.04 will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 186.75. On the downside, however, break of 183.51 will bring deeper correction to 55 D EMA (now at 182.11).

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 181.36; (P) 182.17; (R1) 183.49; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral at this point. On the upside, firm break of 183.00 will argue that the pull back from 187.65 has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for retesting this high. On the downside, below 180.26 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 178.02 again.

In the bigger picture, fall from 186.75 is currently seen as a corrective move only. As long as 176.29 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress. Break of 186.75 will target 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 176.29 will confirm medium term topping, and bring lengthier and deeper consolidations.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 190.15; (P) 190.67; (R1) 191.56; More…..

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. Corrective pattern from 191.29 could still extend. Break of 188.02 minor support will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 178.32 to 191.29 at 186.33, as a correction to rise from 178.32. Nevertheless, on the upside, decisive break of 191.29 will resume larger up trend, and target 195.86 long term resistance next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.43; (P) 138.96; (R1) 139.51; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is back on the upside with break of 139.23 temporary top. Firm break of 139.73 will resume whole rise from 123.94. Next target will be 100% projection of 123.94 to 135.74 from 129.27 at 141.07. On the downside, through, break of 137.84 support will now indicate short term topping. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside to extend the consolidation pattern from 139.73.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is currently seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.08; (P) 140.10; (R1) 140.68; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY turned neutral for consolidation below 141.50 temporary top. Deeper retreat could be seen but downside should be contained by 135.74 resistance turned support. On the upside, above 141.50 will resume the rise from 126.54 for 148.87 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is still in progress with rise from 126.54 as the third leg. Further rise should be seen back to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. For now, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. And, this will remain the favored case as long as 130.42 support holds.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.91; (P) 140.77; (R1) 141.51; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Further rise should be seen as long as 138.24 support holds, in case of retreat. Sustained break of 100% projection of 123.94 to 135.74 from 129.27 at 141.07 will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 148.36.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is still seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.41; (P) 154.05; (R1) 154.86; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. With 155.20 resistance intact, further decline is expected. On the downside, below 152.97 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 150.95 support first. Break will resume the decline form 158.04, as part of the consolidation from 158.19, to 148.94 support next. However, firm break of 155.20 will bring stronger rise back to 158.04/19 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 158.19 are seen as developing into a consolidation pattern to up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10 to bring rebound. Firm break of 158.19 will resume the up trend to long term fibonacci level at 167.93. However, sustained break of 145.10 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 137.02.

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY’s decline from 148.09 extended to as low as 142.11 last week. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 61.8% retracement of 135.58 to 148.09 at 140.35. At this point, we’d still expect rebound from 122.36 to resume later. Hence, we’d look for strong support below 140.35 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 145.43 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 148.09 first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 122.36 medium term bottom is still expected to extend to of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. And decisive break there could pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78.. However, as the cross is starting to lose upside momentum, rejection below 150.42 and break of 135.58 support will indicate reversal and bring deeper fall back to retest 122.36 instead.

In the longer term picture, based on the impulsive structure of the decline from 195.86 to 122.36, such fall should not be completed yet. But we will now pay close attention to the structure of the rise from 122.36 to determine whether it’s a corrective move, or an impulsive move. That would decide whether a break of 116.83 low would be seen.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Weekly Chart

GBP/JPY Monthly Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.98; (P) 155.53; (R1) 158.50; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 148.93 and intraday bias remains neutral. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 160.64 support turned resistance holds. Break of 148.93 will resume the decline from 169.10 towards 141.19 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 (2020 low) has completed at 169.10. 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 169.10 at 151.84 is already met, and there could be some support from there for rebound. But risk will now stay on the downside as long as 169.10 resistance holds. Sustained trading below 151.84 will target 61.8% retracement at 141.19.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 200.82; (P) 201.10; (R1) 201.45; More

GBP/JPY is staying below 201.59 resistance for now and intraday bias stays neutral first. Further rally is expected as long as 198.90 support holds. Firm break of 201.59 will resume larger up trend. However, on the downside, break of 198.90 will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pullback to 197.18 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 188.63 resistance turned support holds, long term up trend is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 155.33 to 188.63 from 178.32 at 211.62.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.16; (P) 143.78; (R1) 144.33; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 142.76 temporary low. Near term outlook remains cautiously bearish as long as 146.50 minor resistance holds. Break of 142.76 will extend the fall from 149.70 for retesting 139.88 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.91; (P) 142.49; (R1) 142.87; More…

A temporary low is formed at 141.15 and intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first. On the downside, break of 141.15 will extend the correction from 147.95 to 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77. On the upside, above 143.05 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 147.95 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.74; (P) 145.11; (R1) 145.72; More…

GBP/JPY rises to as high as 146.07 so far today and intraday bias stays on the upside. Current up trend from 123.94 should target 147.95 structural resistance. Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, break of 145.04 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the sideway pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Break of 147.95 will target 156.59 resistance (2018 high). On the downside, break of 133.03 support is needed to confirm completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor even in case of pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.28; (P) 142.72; (R1) 143.07; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation below 143.25 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral. In case of deeper retreat, downside should be contained well above 139.31 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 143.25 will resume the rally from 126.54. Sustained break of trend line resistance (now at 143.51) will pave the way to 148.87 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 126.54 is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Further rally could be seen but for now, we’d expect strong resistance from 156.59 to limit upside. On the downside, sustained break of 135.74 resistance turned support will suggest that such rebound has completed. Deeper decline could the be seen to retest 126.54 low.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.18; (P) 147.74; (R1) 148.54; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 149.70 temporary top. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Further rise is still expected as long as 145.67 resistance turned support holds. Break of 149.70 will target 153.84/156.69 resistance zone. However, break of 145.67 will suggests that the rebound from 139.88 has completed and turn near term outlook bearish again.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY has successfully defended 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). And, the rally from 122.36 (2016 low) is still intact. Such medium to long term rise would extend through 156.96 high. This will now be the preferred case as long as 145.67 near term support holds. However, break of 145.67 will turn focus back to 139.29/47 key support zone.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.44; (P) 142.96; (R1) 143.76; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation pattern from 147.95 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 140.92 will target 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77. On the upside, above 144.60 resistance will bring stronger rebound to retest 147.95 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. However, sustained break of 139.31 support will dampen this case and turn medium term outlook neutral first.