Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.90; (P) 134.27; (R1) 134.56; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays on the downside at this point. Current decline from 148.87 should target 131.51 low next. On the upside, break of 136.50 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.47; (P) 147.03; (R1) 147.56; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 149.70 is extended. Deeper pull back cannot be ruled out. After fall, outlook remains cautiously bullish as long as 145.67 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, above 149.70 will target 153.84/156.69 resistance zone next. However, break of 145.67 will suggest that the rebound from 139.88 has completed and turn near term outlook bearish again.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY has successfully defended 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). And, the rally from 122.36 (2016 low) is still intact. Such medium to long term rise would extend through 156.96 high. This will now be the preferred case as long as 145.67 near term support holds. However, break of 145.67 will turn focus back to 139.29/47 key support zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.67; (P) 145.68; (R1) 146.35; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside as fall from 149.30 is in progress. As noted before, consolidation pattern from 143.18 has completed with three waves up to 149.30 already. Deeper fall would be seen to 143.18 support first. Break will extend larger fall from 156.69 to key support level at 139.29/47. This will be the preferred case as long as 147.13 minor resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.53; (P) 156.32; (R1) 156.84; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Correction from 158.19 could extend lower. But downside should be contained above 153.66 support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 158.19 will resume larger up trend from 123.94. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 136.96 to 156.05 from 148.93 at 160.72.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). The stay above 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Current rise should now target 61.8% retracement 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93 next. In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 148.93 structural support hold, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.20; (P) 138.42; (R1) 138.74; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. With 136.62 resistance turned support intact, further rally is mildly in favor. On the upside, firm break of 139.73 will resume whole rise from 123.94. Next target will be 100% projection of 123.94 to 135.74 from 129.27 at 141.07. However, firm break of 136.62 will turn intraday bias back to the downside to extend the consolidation pattern from 139.73.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is currently seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 182.36; (P) 183.12; (R1) 184.03; More…

No change in GBP/JPY’s outlook and intraday bias remains mildly on the upside for the moment. Current up trend should target 138.2% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 187.36. On the downside, break of 182.12 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is extending. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY stayed in right range above 142.16 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Rise from 122.36 is seen as a corrective move. Below 142.16 will affirm the case that it’s completed at 148.42. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 140.43) and below. Break of 148.42 will extend the rise from 122.36. But we’d expect strong resistance from 150.43 long term fibonacci level to limit upside.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 195.86 top (2015 high) should have made a medium term bottom at 122.36 after hitting 100% projection of 195.86 to 154.70 from 163.87 at 122.71. Rise from there is now expected to develop into a medium term corrective pattern. Upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.4 for setting the medium term range.

In the longer term picture, while price actions from 122.36 would develop into a medium term correction, fall from 195.86 is still seen as resuming the down trend from 251.09 (2007 high). Hence, after the correction from 122.36 completes we’d expect another fall through 116.83 low.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.64; (P) 142.96; (R1) 143.46; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment and range trading might continue. Further decline remains in favor as long as 144.60 resistance holds. Below 141.25 will target 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77. However, firm break of 144.60 will bring retest of 147.95 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. However, sustained break of 139.31 support will dampen this case and turn medium term outlook neutral first.

GBP/JPY dipped to 198.73 last week after edging higher to 200.72. But it quickly recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, decisive break of 200.53/72 will confirm larger up trend resumption. On the downside, below 198.73 will turn bias to the downside for 197.07 resistance turned support instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top could be in place at 200.53 after breaching 199.80 long term fibonacci level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 185.06) holds, price actions from there is seen as correcting the rise from 178.32 only. That is, larger up trend is expected to continue. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 178.32 support.

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 116.83 (2011 low). Focus is now on 61.8% retracement of 251.09 (2007 high) to 116.83 at 199.80. Decisive break there would pave the way back to 251.09 in the long term.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.16; (P) 134.78; (R1) 135.49; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Current development suggests that corrective pull back form 139.73 has completed at 1.3168. Further rise should be seen to 136.34 resistance first. Break will confirm and target 139.73 high. On the downside, break of 133.94 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 131.68 support instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) as a sideway consolidation pattern. As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.28; (P) 146.77; (R1) 147.28; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside as rebound from 142.76 is in progress for 149.70 first. Break will resume the rise from 139.88 and target 153.84/156.59 resistance zone. On the downside, below 145.43 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 142.76 again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.55; (P) 163.85; (R1) 164.69; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains mildly on the downside at this point. Corrective pattern from 168.67 is extending with another falling leg. Initial bias is mildly on the downside this week for 160.37 support. On the upside, above 165.13 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 166.23 resistance again.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.92; (P) 144.33; (R1) 144.89; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and another rise is mildly in favor. On the upside, break of 144.85 resistance suggests resumption of rebound from 131.51. Break of 145.04 will extend the rally. But we’d expect strong resistance from trend line (now at 146.75) to limit upside, at least on first attempt. On the downside, firm break of 141.00 support will suggest completion of the rebound and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 131.51 suggests that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed already. The corrective structure of such decline is turn argues that it’s the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). And this pattern is starting the third leg. On the upside, decisive break of 149.38 will pave the way to 156.59 resistance and above.

GBP/JPY’s rally resumed last week and hit as high as 141.61. Further rise should be seen as long as 138.24 support holds, in case of retreat. Sustained break of 100% projection of 123.94 to 135.74 from 129.27 at 141.07 will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 148.36.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is still seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) should eventually resume through 122.75 to 116.83 (2011 low) and below. However, sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 144.90) will dampen this view and could open up further rise back to 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.50; (P) 138.19; (R1) 138.70; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 140.31 will resume the rebound from 133.03 to retest 142.71 high. Nevertheless, sustained break of 137.83 resistance turned support will argue that the rebound has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 133.03/134.40 support zone.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.74; (P) 132.37; (R1) 132.89; More…

GBP/JPY’s decline resumed after brief consolidation the break of 131.51 low indicates resumption of larger down decline from 156.69. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Further fall should be seen to 122.36 low next. On the upside, above 132.99 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited by 135.66 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.58; (P) 128.45; (R1) 129.02; More…

Focus is now on 126.54 support with today’s sharp fall. Firm break there will resume larger down trend to 122.61 support next. On the upside, break of 130.69 will bring another rebound before completing consolidation from 126.54.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains clearly bearish with GBP/JPY staying well below 55 week and 55 month EMA. Medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 122.36 (2016 low). We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But break of 135.66 resistance is needed to be the first sign of reversal. Sustained break of 122.36 will target next key level at 116.83 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.84; (P) 156.63; (R1) 157.84; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Current up trend from 123.94 should target 61.8% projection of 136.96 to 156.05 from 148.93 at 160.72 next. On the downside, below 155.32 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). The stay above 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Current rise should now target 61.8% retracement 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93 next. In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 148.93 structural support hold, even in case of deeper pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 165.88; (P) 166.26; (R1) 166.81; More…

Breach of 166.82 temporary top suggests that rise from 155.33 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the upside, and further rally would be seen to 169.26 resistance. On the downside, below 165.38 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But still, outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 162.75 support holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 123.94 (2020 low) to 172.11 (2022 high) at 153.70 holds, medium term bullishness is retained. That is, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Break of 172.11 high to resume such up trend is expected at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.00; (P) 144.76; (R1) 145.34; More…

GBP/JPY dips to 143.95 so far today and breach of 144.02 suggests fall resumption. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 142.76 support first. Break there will extend the decline from 149.48 to 139.29/47 key support zone. On the upside, break of 145.51 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.