Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.29; (P) 141.49; (R1) 141.87; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Current rise from 126.54 should now target trend line resistance (now at 143.78) next. Sustained break will pave the way to 148.87 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 139.31 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 126.54 is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Further rally could be seen but for now, we’d expect strong resistance from 156.59 to limit upside. On the downside, sustained break of 135.74 resistance turned support will suggest that such rebound has completed. Deeper decline could the be seen to retest 126.54 low.

GBP/JPY’s decline form 142.71 resumed last week and the development now argues that whole rebound from 123.94 has completed. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11. On the upside, above 136.58 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) should eventually resume through 122.75 to 116.83 (2011 low) and below. However, sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 144.65) will dampen this view and could open up further rise back to 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.50; (P) 138.62; (R1) 139.96; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Current rally from 123.94 should target 100% projection of 123.94 to 135.74 from 129.27 at 141.07. Firm break there will target 147.95 key resistance. On the downside, break of 135.95 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, we’re still seeing price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are seen as a sideway consolidation pattern. As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. however, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.32; (P) 150.82; (R1) 151.75; More…

GBP/JPY rebounds strongly today but stays below 153.39 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Consolidation from 153.39 could extend but downside should be contained by 148.50 support. On the upside, firm break of 153.39 will resume the whole rise from 123.94 to 156.59 long term resistance next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.69; (P) 130.48; (R1) 131.65; More…

Break of 131.41 minor resistance suggests that a temporary low is formed at 129.27. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further decline is expected as long as 133.18 resistance holds. Break of 129.27 will target 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 135.74 at 128.44. Firm break there will target a test on 123.94 low. However, break of 133.18 will invalidate our bearish view and turn bias back to the upside for 135.74 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

GBP/JPY edged higher to 186.45 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias is mildly on the downside this week, for pull back to 183.23 resistance turned support. Nevertheless, break 186.45 will resume larger up trend to 61.8% projection of 158.24 to 183.99 from 176.29 at 192.20.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will now remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) in still in progress to retest 195.86 (2015 high). Based on current momentum, break of 195.86 is in favor. But strong resistance could still be seen from 61.8% retracement of 251.09 (2007 high) to 116.83 (2011 low) at 199.80 to limit upside on first attempt.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.25; (P) 139.00; (R1) 139.46; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside as fall from 148.87 is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 131.51 to 148.87 at 138.14. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 131.51 low. On the upside, break of 141.73 minor resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish incase of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY was rejected by 149.98 key resistance. And medium term fall from 156.59 is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). On the other hand, decisive break of 149.98 should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Further rally would be seen back to 156.59 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.99; (P) 131.75; (R1) 132.71; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. Further decline is expected as long as 133.18 resistance holds. Break of 129.27 will target 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 135.74 at 128.44. Firm break there will target a test on 123.94 low. However, break of 133.18 will invalidate our bearish view and turn bias back to the upside for 135.74 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 190.36; (P) 190.76; (R1) 191.11; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral with current retreat, and some consolidations would be seen first. Downside should be contained by 188.90 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, firm break of 61.8% projection of 178.71 to 188.90 from 185.21 at 191.50 will extend larger up trend to 100% projection at 195.40.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.71; (P) 151.46; (R1) 151.99; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Rebound from 148.43 should have completed at 153.42 already. Deeper fall would be seen back to retest 148.43 support first. On the upside, break of 153.28 resistance is now needed to indicate resumption of rebound from 148.43. Otherwise, risk will stay mildly on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus remains on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, sustained break of 149.03 support, however, will indicate rejection by 156.59. Fall from 156.05 would be at least correcting the whole rise from 123.94. Deeper fall would be seen back to 142.71 resistance turned support first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.46; (P) 135.75; (R1) 135.98; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neural at this point. Some more consolidation could be seen. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 137.78 resistance holds. Break of 135.08 will extend recent decline to 131.51 low next.

In the bigger picture, medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.36; (P) 140.18; (R1) 140.76; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first as consolidation form 142.71 is extending. With 138.24 support intact, further rise is still expected. On the upside, break of 142.71 will target 138.2% projection of 123.94 to 135.74 from 129.27 at 145.57 next. On the downside, however, break of 138.24 support will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 137.96).

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is still seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.14; (P) 156.48; (R1) 156.91; More…

GBP/JPY recovered after drawing support from 4 hour 55 EMA and intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, break of 158.19 will resume larger up trend from 123.94. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 136.96 to 156.05 from 148.93 at 160.72.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). The stay above 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Current rise should now target 61.8% retracement 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93 next. In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 148.93 structural support hold, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.32; (P) 164.78; (R1) 166.34; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for retesting 168.67. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, however, break of 159.97 will bring deeper fall back towards 155.57 support instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.60; (P) 131.21; (R1) 131.77; More…

GBP/JPY’s rebound and break of 132.24 resistance suggests that pull back from 135.74 is completed. And rise from 126.54 is possibly not over yet. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 135.74 first. On the downside, break of 130.42 will resume the fall to retest 126.54 low.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is possibly still in progress. Strong rebound from 126.54 argues that it may be the third leg of the pattern. Further rise could be seen to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone before completion. On the downside, though, sustained break of 122.75 low will target 116.83 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.59; (P) 143.67; (R1) 144.51; More…

GBP/JPY’s decline from 149.48 extends to low as 142.83 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside and break of 142.76 will pave the way to 139.29/47 key support zone. On the upside, break of 145.51 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.79; (P) 149.38; (R1) 150.31; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. On the downside, sustained break of of 38.2% retracement of 136.96 to 156.05 at 148.75 will argue that it’s correcting whole up trend from 123.94, and target 142.71 resistance turned support next. On the upside, though, break of 151.28 support turned resistance will suggest that correction form 156.05 has completed after defending 148.75. Stronger rise should then be seen back to retest 156.05 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus remains on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, sustained break of 149.03 support, however, will argue that rise from 123.94 has completed. Further break of 142.71 would open up the bearish case for retesting 122.75 low.

GBP/JPY rose to 156.07 last week but retreated sharply since then. A short term top is likely in place with bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Initial bias is mildly on the downside for 150.18 support next. Break there will target a test on 146.96 key support level. Nonetheless, break of 156.07 will resume medium term rally.

In the bigger picture, as long as 146.96 key support holds, medium term outlook remains bullish. Rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78. However, break of 146.96 support will indicate trend reversal. And there would be prospect of retesting 122.36 in that case.

In the longer term picture, down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) has already completed at 122.36. Focus is now on 55 month EMA (now at 154.75). Firm break there will suggest that rise from 122.36 is developing into a long term move that target 195.86 again. And, price actions from 116.83 (2011 low) is indeed a sideway pattern that could last more than a decade.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.99; (P) 145.70; (R1) 146.92; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral at this point. While rebound from 143.18 might extend, upside should be limited by 147.04 support turned resistance to bring reversal. On the downside, below 144.52 minor support will bring retest of 143.18 first. Break will resume the decline from 153.84.

In the bigger picture, for now, we’re treating price actions from 156.59 as a corrective move. Therefore, while deeper fall is expected, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. There is still prospect of extending the rise from 122.36. However, considering that GBP/JPY failed to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.94), firm break of 139.29 will confirm trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.15; (P) 135.66; (R1) 136.31; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Further rally will remain in favor as long as 134.12 support holds. On the upside, break of 136.62 will resume the rebound from 131.68 to 139.73 high. Nevertheless, firm break of 134.12 will suggest completion of the rebound from 131.68. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) as a sideway consolidation pattern. As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.