Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.73; (P) 147.03; (R1) 148.98; More

GBP/JPY’s rise continues today and breach of 148.42 resistance argues that whole medium term rebound from 122.36 is resuming. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 150.43 long term fibonacci level. Break there will target 61.8% projection of 122.36 to 148.42 from 139.29 at 155.39. On the downside, below 146. 57 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring retreat before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, the consolidation from 148.42 should have completed and medium term rebound from 122.36 is resuming. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. For now, the bullish scenario is preferred as long as 139.29 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.47; (P) 157.12; (R1) 157.77; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and consolidation from 158.19 could extend further. On the upside, break of 158.19 will resume larger up trend from 123.94. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 136.96 to 156.05 from 148.93 at 160.72.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). The stay above 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Current rise should now target 61.8% retracement 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93 next. In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 148.93 structural support hold, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.60; (P) 136.87; (R1) 137.11; More…

No change in GBP/JPY’s outlook and intraday bias remains on the downside. Current fall from 148.87 is in progress for retesting 131.51 low. On the upside, break of 137.87 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.09; (P) 148.10; (R1) 148.71; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall from 149.48 accelerates lower today and focus is on 146.28 support. Decisive break there will confirm completion of rebound from 142.76. And in that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 142.76 and possibly below. On the upside, decisive break of 149.70 will resume whole rise from 139.88 and target 153.84/156.59 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.11; (P) 130.26; (R1) 130.87; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Corrective rebound from 123.94 should have completed at 135.74. Deeper fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 135.74 at 128.44. Firm break there will target a test on 123.94 low. On the upside, above 131.41 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.73; (P) 151.10; (R1) 151.74; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral with focus on 151.38 resistance. Firm break there should indicate short term bottoming at 149.16. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 153.42 resistance first. Break there will confirm completion of the correction of 156.05. On the downside, however, sustained break of 149.03 support will carry larger bearish implication and target 143.78 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 149.03 support holds, such rise would still resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 149.03 support will indicate rejection by 156.59. Fall from 156.05 would be at least correcting the whole rise from 123.94. Deeper fall would be seen back 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 156.05 at 143.78 first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.91; (P) 150.57; (R1) 151.25; More…

GBP/JPY’s rise from 144.97 gathers further upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. And it reaches as high as 151.45 so far. With 150.92 resistance taken out, intraday bias is on the upside for 61.8% retracement of 156.59 to 144.97 at 152.15 and above. For now, price actions from 144.97 are still seen as corrective looking. Hence, we’ll look for sign of loss of upside momentum as it approaches 156.59 high. However, break of 148.37 is now needed to confirm completion of the rebound. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain cautiously bearish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the outlook is turning mixed again. On the one hand, the cross was rejected by 55 month EMA (now at 154.20) after breaching it briefing. On the other hand, there was no sustainable selling pushing it through 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51. The most likely scenario is that GBP/JPY is turning into a sideway pattern between 143.51 and 156.59. And more range trading would now be seen before a breakout, possibly on the upside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.08; (P) 144.40; (R1) 144.62; More

GBP/JPY drops to as low as 143.51 so far today. Break of 144.01 support confirms resumption of fall from 147.76 and intraday bias is now on the downside for trend line support (now at 141.87). Further break there will target 135.58/138.65 support zone. As GBP/JPY is seen as staying in consolidation pattern from 148.42, we’d expect strong support from 135.58 to contain downside. On the upside, break of 146.77 is needed to signal completion of the fall from 147.76. Otherwise, near term outlook will now be cautiously bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 122.36 is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43. Decisive break there will carry long term bullish implications and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. In case the sideway pattern from 148.42 extends, we’d be looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside.

GBP/JPY edged higher to 151.92 initially last week. But subsequent fall and breach of 148.88 minor support argues that recovery from 146.92 is completed. Initial bias is mildly on the downside this week for 146.92 first. Break will resume the decline from 152.82. At this point, we’d expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 139.29 to 152.82 at 144.45 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 151.92 will retest 152.82 high instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 122.36 is still expected to resume after corrective pull back from 152.82 completes. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, break of 139.29 will indicate rejection from 150.43 key fibonacci level. And the three wave corrective structure of rebound from 122.36 will argue that larger down trend is resuming for a new low below 122.26.

In the longer term picture, current rebound argues that the down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) has already completed at 122.36. Focus is now on 55 month EMA (now at 154.78). Firm break there will suggest that rise form 122.36 is developing into a long term move that target 195.86 again. And, price actions from 116.83 (2011 low) is indeed a sideway pattern that could last more than a decade. However, firm break of 139.29 will suggests that the long term down trend is still in progress and could break 116.83 low ahead.

GBP/JPY stayed in sideway consolidation from 141.50 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Such consolidation could extend with a deep falling leg before completion. But in that case, downside should be contained above 135.74 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 141.50 will resume the rise from 126.54 to for 148.87 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is still in progress with rise from 126.54 as the third leg. Further rise should be seen back to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. For now, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. And, this will remain the favored case as long as 135.74 resistance turned support holds.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are seen as developing into a consolidation pattern. That is, long term down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) and that from 251.09 (2007 high) are still in favor to extend through 116.83 (2011 low). We’ll hold on to this bearish view as long as 156.59 key resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.53; (P) 143.36; (R1) 144.78; More….

GBP/JPY’s rally and break of 142.75 resistance indicates completion of fall from 148.09. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 148.09/42 resistance zone. Decisive break there will resume whole rebound from 122.36. On the downside, below 141.95 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 138.65 support instead.

In the bigger picture, while the fall from 148.09 is deeper than expected, we’re not bearish in the cross yet. Price action from 148.42 is possibly developing into a sideway pattern with fall from 148.09 as the third leg. Deeper decline could be seen but we’re looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Rise from 122.36 is still mildly in favor to resume at a later stage. Decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 199.96; (P) 200.46; (R1) 201.08; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is back on the upside as up trend resumes. Next target is 61.8% projection of 191.34 to 200.72 from 197.18 at 202.97. On the downside, below 199.92 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, as long as 188.63 resistance turned support holds, long term up trend is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 155.33 to 188.63 from 178.32 at 211.62.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.39; (P) 150.04; (R1) 150.68; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, firm break of 148.93 key structural support will carry larger bearish implications. Next target is 161.8% projection of 158.19 to 152.35 from 154.70 at 145.25. On the upside, however, break of 152.35 support turned resistance will argue that the pull back from 158.19 is complete. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 158.19 high.

In the bigger picture, the break of medium term channel support, and bearish divergence condition in week MACD are raising the chance of medium term topping at 158.19. Firm break of 148.93 support will argue that GBP/JPY is at least correcting the whole rise from 123.94 (2020 low). In this case, deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10. Nevertheless, strong rebound from 148.93 will retain medium term bullishness for another rise through 158.19 at a later stage.

GBP/JPY’s up trend resumed last week and accelerated to as high as 197.90. Initial bias remains on the upside this week. Next target is 198.89 projection level. On the downside, below 195.85 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But pullback should be contained well above 193.51 resistance turned support to bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 123.94 (2020 low), 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high) was already broken. Next target is 61.8% projection of 155.33 to 188.63 from 178.32 at 198.89 next. Break of 189.97 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 116.83 (2011 low). Focus is now on 61.8% retracement of 251.09 (2007 high) to 116.83 at 199.80. Decisive break there would pave the way back to 251.09 in the long term.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.94; (P) 143.03; (R1) 144.44; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 144.77 will extend the rise from 136.44 to 148.42 resistance next. Break there will resume whole rise from 122.46 and target 150.42 long term fibonacci level next. On the downside, however, below 140.43 minors support will turn bias to the downside to extend the pattern from 148.42 with another falling leg, possibly through 136.44.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern even. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Though, sustained break will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 167.41; (P) 168.40; (R1) 169.15; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first as consolidation from 170.07 is extending. Downside of retreat should be contained above 159.71 support to bring another rally. Break of 170.07 will target 100% projection of 148.93 to 165.69 from 159.71 at 176.47

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will pave the way to retest 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 148.93 support holds.

GBP/JPY’s fall from 148.09 extended to as low as 139.52 last week and broke 61.8% retracement of 135.58 to 148.09 at 140.35. The cross is kept well below falling 4 hour 55 EMA and inside near term falling channel. Initial bias stays on the downside this week and current fall would target 135.58 support. We’ll look for bottoming sign again around there. On the upside, break of 142.75 resistance is needed to indicate completion of fall from 148.09. Otherwise, near term outlook will say mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, while the fall from 148.09 is deeper than expected, we’re not bearish in the cross yet. Price action from 148.42 is possibly developing into a sideway pattern with fall from 148.09 as the third leg. Deeper decline could be seen but we’re looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Rise from 122.36 is still mildly in favor to resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 135.58/39 will confirm reversal and target a retest on 122.36 low.

In the longer term picture, based on the impulsive structure of the decline from 195.86 to 122.36, such fall should not be completed yet. But we will now pay close attention to the structure of the rise from 122.36 to determine whether it’s a corrective move, or an impulsive move. That would decide whether a break of 116.83 low would be seen.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.52; (P) 164.62; (R1) 165.54; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutrla for the moment. Strong rebound from current level, followed by break of 166.06 minor support will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 172.11 high. However, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 148.93 to 172.11 at 163.25 will bring deeper decline to 61.8% retracement at 157.78 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of medium term topping yet. Up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) could still resume through 172.11 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 159.71 support will argue that it’s already in correction to the up trend from 123.94, and deeper decline would be seen back towards 148.93 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.85; (P) 129.26; (R1) 129.63; More…

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 126.54 extends higher and break of 130.06 suggests short term bottoming. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 133.28). Upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 148.87 to 126.54 at 135.07 to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 128.75 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for retesting 126.54 instead.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains clearly bearish with GBP/JPY staying well below 55 week and 55 month EMA. Medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 122.36 (2016 low). We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But break of 135.66 resistance is needed to be the first sign of reversal. Sustained break of 122.36 will target next key level at 116.83 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 173.77; (P) 174.22; (R1) 174.71; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains mildly on the upside for the moment. Current rally should target 100% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 178.51. On the downside, break of 172.50 support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is extending. Next target will be 161.8% projection of 122.75 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) from 123.94 at 178.69. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 165.99 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.