Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.54; (P) 150.06; (R1) 150.59; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral as it recovered ahead of 148.94 support. On the downside, firm break of 148.94 will resume larger fall from 158.19 to 145.10 medium term fibonacci level next. For now, outlook will stay bearish as long as 152.60 resistance holds, in case of stronger recovery.

In the bigger picture, strong rebound from 148.93 key structural support will retain medium term bullishness. Firm break of 158.19 high will resume whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Nevertheless, firm break of 148.93 will bring deeper correction to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10, and possibly further lower, as a correction to up trend from 123.94 at least

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.43; (P) 147.87; (R1) 148.18; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays on the upside at this point. Sustained break of 147.95 resistance will extend the up trend from 123.94 to 100% projection of 123.94 to 142.71 from 133.03 at 151.80 next. Nevertheless, break of 146.39 support will indicate short term topping and turn bias to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the sideway pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Break of 147.95 will target 156.59 resistance (2018 high). On the downside, break of 133.03 support is needed to confirm completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor even in case of pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.76; (P) 154.03; (R1) 154.44; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 154.40 temporary top. Outlook will remain bullish as long as 151.24 support holds. On the upside, above 154.40 will resume the larger up trend 156.59 key resistance, and then 61.8% projection of 133.03 to 153.39 from 149.03 at 161.61. However, break of 151.24 will suggest that deeper correction is underway, and turn bias back to the downside for 149.03 support first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.51; (P) 137.41; (R1) 139.00; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains mildly on the upside as rebound from 131.51 short term bottom is extending. Strong resistance should be seen at 139.88 key resistance to limit upside. On the downside, break of 135.66 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 131.51 low. Overall, larger down trend from 155.59 is expected to resume later after the consolidation completes.

In the bigger picture, corrective medium term rise from 122.36 (2016 low) has completed at 156.69 already. That came after failing to break through 55 month EMA. Fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is seen as resuming the long term down trend from 195.86 (2015 high). Below 131.51 will target 122.36 low first. Break of 122.36 will target 116.83 low first (2011 low). And this will now remain the preferred case as long as 139.88 support turned resistance holds. Sustained break of 139.88 will mix up the outlook and we’ll reassess on the final structure of the rebound from 131.51.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.56; (P) 154.89; (R1) 155.12; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point as consolidation from 156.05 is in progress. Further rise is in favor with 153.81 support intact. On the upside, break of 156.05 will resume larger up trend for 61.8% projection of 133.03 to 153.39 from 149.03 at 161.61. On the downside, firm break of 153.81 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back, to 55 day EMA (now at 152.77) first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus is now on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, break of 149.03 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.88; (P) 145.58; (R1) 146.46; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in tight range above 144.37 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 144.37 will target 143.18 first. Break will resume larger decline from 156.59 and target 139.25/47 cluster support level. However, break of 148.10 will resume the rebound from 143.18 and that will also be the first sign of near term reversal.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

GBP/JPY rose to as high as 148.88 last week before forming a temporary top there and retreated. As the whole rebound form 143.18 has resumed, further rise is now expected s long as 146.79 support holds. Above 148.88 will target 149.99 resistance. Break there will add more credence to the larger bullish case and target 153.84 resistance next. On the downside, though break of 146.79 will argue that the rebound from 143.76 might be finished and turn bias back to the downside

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

In the longer term picture, the failure to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.36) is mixing up the outlook. Nonetheless, as long as 139.29 holds, rise from 122.26 is in favor to extend to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 (2016 low) at 159.11, and possibly further to 61.8% retracement at 167.78 before completion. However, firm break of 139.29 will turn focus back to 116.83/122.36 support zone instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.97; (P) 136.87; (R1) 137.37; More…

GBP/JPY rebounded strongly after a brief breach or 135.87 support to 135.66. Intraday bias is turned neutral again first. On the upside, above 137.83 will resume the rebound from 133.03 for retesting 142.71 high. On the downside, though, break of 135.66 should indicate completion of the rebound and bring retest of 133.03 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.92; (P) 143.53; (R1) 144.59; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally accelerates to as high as 147.95 so far and intraday bias stays on the upside for 148.87 resistance next. Decisive break there will pave the way to 156.59 key resistance. On the downside, break of 142.47 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 126.54 is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Further rally could be seen but for now, we’d expect strong resistance from 156.59 to limit upside. However, sustained break of 156.59 will indicate long term bullish reversal. On the downside, break of 139.31 support is needed to indicate completion of the rise from 126.54. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.50; (P) 139.08; (R1) 139.46; More…

GBP/JPY is losing downside momentum ahead of 61.8% retracement of 131.51 to 148.87 at 138.14. But recovery is so far weak. And, with 141.73 resistance intact, further decline is expected. On the downside, sustained break of 138.14 will extend the fall from 148.87 top retest 131.51 low.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY was rejected by 149.98 key resistance. And medium term fall from 156.59 is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). On the other hand, decisive break of 149.98 should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Further rally would be seen back to 156.59 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.38; (P) 161.00; (R1) 161.58; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the downside, break of 155.33 low will resume the fall form 172.11 to 153.70 fibonacci level next. Nevertheless, sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 161.94) will turn bias to the upside, for stronger rise back to 169.26/172.11 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, as long as 163.02 support turned resistance holds, decline from 172.11 medium term top is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70. Sustained break there will raise the change of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 142.34. Nevertheless, break of 163.02 support turned resistance will argue that the decline has completed, and retain medium term bullishness.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.76; (P) 140.76; (R1) 141.64; More…

GBP/JPY dipped to 139.88 but quickly recovered from there. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Considering mildly bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, in case of another fall, downside will be contained by 139.29/47 key support level to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 142.46 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the current downside accelerate makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.74; (P) 137.08; (R1) 137.46; More…

Further rise is still in favor in GBP/JPY with 135.05 minor support intact. Rebound from 133.03 would target a test on 142.71 high. On the downside, though, break of 135.05 will likely resume the fall from 142.71 through 133.03 to 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.94; (P) 151.29; (R1) 151.85; More…

GBP/JPY recovered ahead of 150.48 resistance turned support and intraday bias is turned neutral first. We’re holding on to the view that corrective rise from 144.97 should have completed at 153.84 already. Hence, another fall is expected in the cross. Break of 150.60 will target 148.37 support first. Break will bring retest of 144.97 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 156.59 are viewed as a corrective pattern. For now, we’d expect at least one more fall for 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 before the consolidation completed. Though, firm break of 156.59 will resume whole up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 at 159.11 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.43; (P) 135.85; (R1) 136.27; More…

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 133.03 is still in progress but fails to take out 136.46 resistance so far. Intraday bias remains neutral and further decline is in favor. On the downside, break of 133.03 will resume the fall from 142.71 and target 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11 next. However, firm break of 136.46 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY’s fall reaccelerated to as low as 136.63 last week and initial bias stays on the downside this week. Now that 61.8% retracement of 131.51 to 148.87 at 138.14 is firmly taken out, next target will be 131.51 low. On the upside, break of 138.73 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

In the longer term picture, firstly, GBP/JPY’s is kept well below 55 week EMA, keeping outlook bearish. But we’re treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern. Hence, we’d expect range trading to continue longer. In case of an extension, strong resistance is likely to be seen at 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 at 159.11 to limit upside. However, break of 122.26 will put 116.83 (2011 low) back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.21; (P) 142.80; (R1) 143.36; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in the corrective pattern from 147.95 and outlook is unchanged. Break of 140.83 will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77. On the upside, above 144.60 resistance will bring stronger rebound to retest 147.95 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. However, sustained break of 139.31 support will dampen this case and turn medium term outlook neutral first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.82; (P) 133.19; (R1) 135.65; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for 135.74 resistance. Break there will resume whole rebound from 126.54 and target 61.8% retracement of 148.84 to 126.54 at 140.33. On the downside, break of 130.42 will resume the fall to retest 126.54 low.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is possibly still in progress. Strong rebound from 126.54 argues that it may be the third leg of the pattern. Further rise could be seen to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone before completion. On the downside, though, sustained break of 122.75 low will target 116.83 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.91; (P) 142.49; (R1) 142.87; More…

A temporary low is formed at 141.15 and intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first. On the downside, break of 141.15 will extend the correction from 147.95 to 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77. On the upside, above 143.05 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 147.95 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.80; (P) 140.28; (R1) 141.15; More…

GBP/JPY dips notably today but stays in range of 138.53/142.79. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Overall, price actions from 148.42 are seen as a corrective pattern. Below 138.53 will bring deeper fall, possibly through 136.44 support. But strong support could be seen at 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to bring rebound. Above 142.79 will turn bias back to the upside for 144.77 and above.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern with a test on 122.36 low next. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.