GBP/JPY’s rise from 131.51 extended to as high as 142.22 last week and broke 139.88 resistance. Such rebound turned out to be stronger than originally expected. For now, further rise is expected as long as 137.35 minor support holds. Rebound from 131.51 will target 1423.93 resistance first. Break will pave the way to 149.48 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, corrective medium term rise from 122.36 (2016 low) has completed at 156.69 (2018 high) already. That came after failing to break through 55 month EMA. No change in this view. Strong rebound from 131.51 argues that fall from 156.59 is just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36. Break of 149.38 resistance will confirm the third leg has started to 159.69, and possibly above. Nevertheless, break of 131.51 will pave the way to retest 122.26 low.

In the longer term picture, rejection by 55 month EMA is seen as a bearish signal. And fall from 195.86 (2015 high) should still be in progress. Break of 122.26 should confirm this bearish case and send GBP/JPY through 116.83 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.97; (P) 136.87; (R1) 137.37; More…

GBP/JPY rebounded strongly after a brief breach or 135.87 support to 135.66. Intraday bias is turned neutral again first. On the upside, above 137.83 will resume the rebound from 133.03 for retesting 142.71 high. On the downside, though, break of 135.66 should indicate completion of the rebound and bring retest of 133.03 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.75; (P) 136.19; (R1) 136.53; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral again with today’s sharp retreat. Further rise would remain in favor as long as 134.12 support holds. Break of 136.63 will target 139.73 key resistance. However, firm break of 134.12 will suggest completion of the rebound from 131.68. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) as a sideway consolidation pattern. As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.25; (P) 132.78; (R1) 134.33; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Further fall is expected for retesting 126.54 low. On the upside, break of 137.20 resistance, however, will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound could then be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 139.89).

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) is not completed yet. Break of 126.54 should indicate that such down trend is resuming through 122.75 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.59; (P) 147.31; (R1) 148.68; More…

A temporary low is in place at 145.93 after breaching 147.04 resistance. Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first, for some consolidations. but upside of recovery should be limited well below 149.99 resistance to bring fall resumption. Below 145.93 will target 144.97 low first. Break there will resume the fall from 156.59 and target 100% projection of 156.59 to 144.97 from 153.84 at 142.22 next.

In the bigger picture, for now, we’re treating price actions from 156.59 as a corrective move. Therefore, while deeper fall is expected, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. There is still prospect of extending the rise from 122.36. However, considering that GBP/JPY failed to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.94), firm break of 139.29 will confirm trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

GBP/JPY’s rebound last week suggests short term bottoming at 139.88. Initial bias stays mildly on the upside this week rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 144.85). On the downside, however, below 141.32 minor support will indicate completion of the rebound. And larger down trend will likely resume for 139.29/47 key support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the downside acceleration makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

In the longer term picture, the failure to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 152.88) is mixing up the outlook. Nonetheless, as long as 139.29 holds, rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 (2016 low) at 159.11, and possibly further to 61.8% retracement at 167.78 before completion. However, firm break of 139.29 will turn focus back to 116.83/122.36 support zone instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.56; (P) 151.19; (R1) 151.78; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays on the upside for retesting 152.52 high. Break there will resume whole up trend from 123.94. Next target is 156.59 long term resistance. In case the consolidation extends with another fall, we’d continue to expect strong support from 148.09 cluster support ( 23.6% retracement of 133.03 to 152.52 at 147.92) to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.67; (P) 149.40; (R1) 149.79; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall from 153.84 extends to as low as 148.37 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside. firm break of 148.37 support will likely resume whole decline from 156.69 and target 143.51 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 149.45 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring recovery. But upside should be limited well below 152.71 resistance to bring another decline.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 156.59 are viewed as a corrective pattern. For now, we’d expect at least one more fall for 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 before the consolidation completed. Though, firm break of 156.59 will resume whole up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 at 159.11 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 187.07; (P) 187.78; (R1) 188.42; More…

GBP/JPY is extending the consolidation pattern from 188.90 and intraday bias stays neutral. Further rally is expected as long as 186.14 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, break of 188.90, and sustained trading above 188.63 will confirm up trend resumption. Next target is 38.2% projection of 155.33 to 188.63 from 178.32 at 191.04. However, break of 186.14 will turn bias to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) in in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

GBP/JPY’s recovery from 147.04 extended further to 149.99 last week but lost momentum since then. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Such recovery is seen as a corrective move. Therefore, in case of another rise, upside should be limited below 150.60 support turned resistance to bring decline resumption. On the downside, break of 148.16 will turn bias to the downside for 147.04 and then 144.97. Decisive break of 144.97 will resume the fall from 156.59 and target 100% projection of 156.59 to 144.97 from 153.84 at 142.22 next.

In the bigger picture, for now, we’re treating price actions from 156.59 as a corrective move. Therefore, while deeper fall is expected, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. There is still prospect of extending the rise from 122.36. However, considering that GBP/JPY failed to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.94), firm break of 139.29 will confirm trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

In the longer term picture, the failure to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.94) is mixing up the outlook. Nonetheless, as long as 139.29 holds, rise from 122.26 is in favor to extend to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 (2016 low) at 159.11, and possibly further to 61.8% retracement at 167.78 before completion. However, firm break of 139.29 will turn focus back to 116.83/122.36 support zone instead.

GBP/JPY’s correction from 168.57 should have completed at 159.97 last week. Initial bias is now mildly on the upside for retesting 168.67. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, however, break of 159.97 will bring deeper fall back towards 155.57 support instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 could be the third leg the the pattern from 116.83 (2011 low). Further rise will remain in favor as long as 55 month EMA (now at 149.32) holds. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93. will pave the way to 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.14; (P) 129.59; (R1) 130.21; More…

No change in GBP/JPY’s outlook as consolidation from 126.54 is extending. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 130.69 will extend the recovery. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 148.87 to 126.54 at 135.07 to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 126.54 will resume larger down trend to 122.61 support next.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains clearly bearish with GBP/JPY staying well below 55 week and 55 month EMA. Medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 122.36 (2016 low). We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But break of 135.66 resistance is needed to be the first sign of reversal. Sustained break of 122.36 will target next key level at 116.83 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.82; (P) 147.53; (R1) 148.20; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays mildly on the downside. The consolidation pattern from 143.18 could have completed at 149.30 already. Deeper fall would be seen back to 143.18/76 support zone first. On the upside, however, above 149.30 will bring turn bias to the upside for 149.99 resistance

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 185.24; (P) 185.80; (R1) 186.90; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally continues today and intraday bias stays on the upside. Current up trend should extend to 61.8% projection of 158.24 to 183.99 from 176.29 at 192.20. On the downside, below 184.67 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will now remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 184.88; (P) 185.47; (R1) 186.66; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral as range trading continues. Price actions from 186.75 are viewed as a corrective pattern. Another fall could still be seen and break of 183.35 will turn bias to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 181.57). Nevertheless, firm break of 186.75 will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.15; (P) 148.58; (R1) 149.36; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. Consolidation from 149.70 could extend with another fall. But after all, further rise is still expected as long as 145.67 resistance turned support holds. Break of 149.70 will target 153.84/156.69 resistance zone. However, break of 145.67 will suggests that the rebound from 139.88 has completed and turn near term outlook bearish again.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY has successfully defended 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). And, the rally from 122.36 (2016 low) is still intact. Such medium to long term rise would extend through 156.96 high. This will now be the preferred case as long as 145.67 near term support holds. However, break of 145.67 will turn focus back to 139.29/47 key support zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.23; (P) 133.89; (R1) 135.00; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally accelerates to as high as 136.25 so far. Break of 135.74 resistance confirms resumption of whole rise from 123.94. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 61.8% projection of 123.94 to 135.74 from 129.27 at 136.56. Break there will target 100% projection at 141.07. On the downside, below 134.37 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, overall, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are seen as a sideway consolidation pattern. Current development suggests that it might extend with another rising leg. But still, an eventual downside break out is expected as long as 147.95 resistance holds. Firm break of 122.75 will resume larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.43; (P) 142.85; (R1) 143.50; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Rise from 123.94 has just resumed and should target 61.8% projection of 123.94 to 142.71 from 133.03 at 144.62 first. Break will target 147.95 medium term structural resistance. On the downside, below 142.16 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.50; (P) 134.12; (R1) 134.42; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 132.40 minor support will suggest completion of corrective rebound from 123.94. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 123.94 low. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92 to bring near term reversal.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.09; (P) 127.67; (R1) 128.66; More…

GBP/JPY recovers strongly ahead of 126.54 support. Intraday bias remains neutral as consolidation is extending. Break of 130.69 will bring stronger rebound. But upside should be by 38.2% retracement of 148.87 to 126.54 at 135.07 to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, firm break of 126.54 will resume larger down trend to 122.61 support next.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains clearly bearish with GBP/JPY staying well below 55 week and 55 month EMA. Medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 122.36 (2016 low). We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But break of 135.66 resistance is needed to be the first sign of reversal. Sustained break of 122.36 will target next key level at 116.83 (2011 low).