GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY recovered after initial fall to 155.33 last week, but upside is kept well below 162.32 resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 155.33 will resume the fall from 172.11 to 153.70 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, firm break of 162.32 will argue that such decline has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 163.55) and above.

In the bigger picture, as long as 153.02 support turned resistance holds, decline from 172.11 medium term top is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70. Sustained break there will raise the change of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 142.34. Nevertheless, break of 153.02 support turned resistance will argue that the decline has completed, and retain medium term bullishness.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 month EMA (now at 152.38) holds, rise from 122.75 could still extend higher at a later stage.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.26; (P) 159.16; (R1) 159.80; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Further decline is still expected as long as 162.32 resistance holds. Break of 155.33 will resume the fall from 172.11 to 153.70 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, firm break of 162.32 will argue that such decline has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 163.55) and above.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top was in place at 172.11 on on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Decline from there should target 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70. Sustained break there will raise the change of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 142.34. Nevertheless, break of 153.02 support turned resistance will argue that the decline has completed, and retain medium term bullishness.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.61; (P) 158.89; (R1) 161.28; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first with current recovery. Further decline is still expected as long as 162.32 resistance holds. Break of 155.33 will resume the fall from 172.11 to 153.70 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, firm break of 162.32 will argue that such decline has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 163.71) and above.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top was in place at 172.11 on on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Decline from there should target 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70. Sustained break there will raise the change of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 142.34. Nevertheless, break of 153.02 support turned resistance will argue that the decline has completed, and retain medium term bullishness.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.30; (P) 156.85; (R1) 158.33; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays mildly on the downside for 161.8% projection of 172.11 to 163.02 from 169.26 at 154.55, and then 153.70 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 158.57 support turned resistance. will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 162.32 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top was in place at 172.11 on on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Decline from there should target 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70. Sustained break there will raise the change of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 142.34. Nevertheless, break of 153.02 support turned resistance will argue that the decline has completed, and retain medium term bullishness.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.95; (P) 157.87; (R1) 158.37; More…

GBP/JPY’s decline from 172.11 resumed by breaking through 158.57 support. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 161.8% projection of 172.11 to 163.02 from 169.26 at 154.55, and then 153.70 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 158.57 will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 162.32 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top was in place at 172.11 on on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Decline from there should target 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70. Sustained break there will raise the change of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 142.34. Nevertheless, break of 153.02 support turned resistance will argue that the decline has completed, and retain medium term bullishness.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.22; (P) 160.58; (R1) 160.97; More…

GBP/JPY declined again after rejection by 4 hour 55 EMA, but stays above 158.57 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first and further decline is expected. On the downside, firm break of 158.57 will target 161.8% projection of 172.11 to 163.02 from 169.26 at 154.55 next. However, break of 162.32 resistance will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 161.26) will confirm medium term topping at 172.11, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Fall from 172.11 should be correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Deeper decline should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 166.11) holds.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.22; (P) 160.58; (R1) 160.97; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Further decline is expected as long as 162.24. Break of 158.57 will target 161.8% projection of 172.11 to 163.02 from 169.26 at 154.55 next. However, break of 162.24 will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 161.26) will confirm medium term topping at 172.11, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Fall from 172.11 should be correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Deeper decline should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 166.11) holds.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.65; (P) 160.37; (R1) 161.10; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral at this point. Further decline is expected as long as 162.24. Break of 158.57 will target 161.8% projection of 172.11 to 163.02 from 169.26 at 154.55 next. However, break of 162.24 will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 161.26) will confirm medium term topping at 172.11, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Fall from 172.11 should be correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Deeper decline should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 166.11) holds.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.68; (P) 159.47; (R1) 160.12; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 158.57 temporary low. Further decline is expected as long as 162.24. Break of 158.57 will target 161.8% projection of 172.11 to 163.02 from 169.26 at 154.55 next. However, break of 162.24 will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 161.26) will confirm medium term topping at 172.11, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Fall from 172.11 should be correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Deeper decline should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 166.11) holds.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.29; (P) 160.16; (R1) 160.85; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY’s is turned neutral for consolidation above 158.57 temporary low. Further decline is expected as long as 162.24. Break of 158.57 will target 161.8% projection of 172.11 to 163.02 from 169.26 at 154.55 next. However, break of 162.24 will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 161.26) will confirm medium term topping at 172.11, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Fall from 172.11 should be correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Deeper decline should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 166.11) holds.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.07; (P) 162.05; (R1) 165.48; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. Firm break of 100% projection of 172.11 to 163.02 from 169.26 at 160.17 will target 161.8% projection at 154.55 next. On the upside, above 162.24 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 161.26) will confirm medium term topping at 172.11, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Fall from 172.11 should be correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Deeper decline should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 166.11) holds.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 165.40; (P) 166.15; (R1) 167.09; More…

GBP/JPY’s decline from 172.11 resumed by breaking through 163.02 support decisively. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 100% projection of 172.11 to 163.02 from 169.26 at 160.17. Firm break there will target 161.8% projection at 154.55 next. For now, outlook will stay bearish as long as 164.02 support turned resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 161.26) will confirm medium term topping at 172.11, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Fall from 172.11 should be correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Deeper decline should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 166.11) holds.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 165.44; (P) 166.72; (R1) 167.44; More…

GBP/JPY falls slightly today but stays in established range. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 164.02 support will resume the whole fall from 172.11 through 163.02 support. Next target is 100% projection of 172.11 to 163.02 from 169.26 at 160.17. On the upside, break of 169.26 will target a retest on 172.11 high.

In the bigger picture, medium term upside momentum has been diminishing as seen in bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 161.26) will argue that it’s already correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Nevertheless, before that, such up trend could still extend through 172.11 high.

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

Despite edging higher to 169.26 last week, GBP/JPY quickly reversed. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 164.02 support will resume the whole fall from 172.11 through 163.02 support. On the upside, above 169.26 will target a retest on 172.11 high.

In the bigger picture, medium term upside momentum has been diminishing as seen in bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 161.09) will argue that it’s already correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Nevertheless, before that, such up trend could still extend through 172.11 high.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 month EMA (now at 152.38) holds, rise from 122.75 could still extend higher at a later stage.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 167.28; (P) 167.83; (R1) 168.94; More…

Outlook in GBP/JPY is unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral first. On the upside, above 169.26 will resume the rebound from 163.02 for retesting 172.11 high. On the downside, however, break of 164.02 support will resume the fall from 172.11 through 163.02 support.

In the bigger picture, medium term upside momentum has been diminishing as seen in bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 160.90) will argue that it’s already correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Nevertheless, before that, such up trend could still extend through 172.11 high.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 167.28; (P) 167.83; (R1) 168.94; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 169.26 will resume the rebound from 163.02 for retesting 172.11 high. On the downside, however, break of 164.02 support will resume the fall from 172.11 through 163.02 support.

In the bigger picture, medium term upside momentum has been diminishing as seen in bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 160.90) will argue that it’s already correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Nevertheless, before that, such up trend could still extend through 172.11 high.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 166.76; (P) 168.02; (R1) 168.94; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral again with current retreat. On the upside, above 169.26 will bring retest of 172.11 high. However, break of 167.09 will suggest that the corrective pattern from 172.11 is extending. Bias will be back on the downside for 164.02 support and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, medium term upside momentum has been diminishing as seen in bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 160.90) will argue that it’s already correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Nevertheless, before that, such up trend could still extend through 172.11 high.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 167.61; (P) 168.32; (R1) 169.50; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 168.99 resistance suggests that rebound from 163.02 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 172.11 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, however, break of 167.09 will turn intraday bias neutral again , and extend near term corrective pattern.

In the bigger picture, medium term upside momentum has been diminishing as seen in bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 160.90) will argue that it’s already correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Nevertheless, before that, such up trend could still extend through 172.11 high.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 166.61; (P) 167.34; (R1) 168.17; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment and more sideway trading could be seen. On the downside, break of 164.02 should resume the whole fall from 172.11 through 163.02 support. Nevertheless, on the upside, break of 168.99 resistance will bring stronger rebound to retest 172.11 high instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term upside momentum has been diminishing as seen in bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 160.90) will argue that it’s already correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Nevertheless, before that, such up trend could still extend through 172.11 high.

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

Range trading continued in GBP/JPY last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 164.02 should resume the whole fall from 172.11 through 163.02 support. Nevertheless, on the upside, break of 168.99 resistance will bring stronger rebound to retest 172.11 high instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term upside momentum has been diminishing as seen in bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 160.90) will argue that it’s already correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Nevertheless, before that, such up trend could still extend through 172.11 high.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 month EMA (now at 151.94) holds, rise from 122.75 could still extend higher at a later stage. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high).