GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY rose sharply to as high as 144.48 last week. The development should have confirmed our view that consolidation pattern from 148.42 has completed at 135.58, ahead of 135.39 medium term fibonacci level. Further rise should be seen through 148.42 ahead.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

Initial bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside this week. Break of 144.77 resistance will likely resume the whole rebound from 122.36 through 148.42 resistance. On the downside, break of 143.13 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, rise from 122.36 bottom should be developing into a medium term move. Break of 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 should pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. This will now be the favored case as long as 135.58 support holds.

GBP/JPY Weekly Chart

In the longer term picture, based on the impulsive structure of the decline from 195.86 to 122.36, such fall should be completed yet. But we will now pay close attention to the structure of the rise from 122.36 to determine whether it’s a corrective move, or an impulsive move. That would decide whether a break of 116.83 low would be seen.

GBP/JPY Monthly Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.76; (P) 143.32; (R1) 144.12; More….

GBP/JPY lost some upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But intraday stays on the upside with 142.49 minor support intact, for 144.77 resistance. Consolidation pattern from 148.42 should have completed three waves down to 135.58, after hitting 135.39 fibonacci level. Break of 144.77 should extend whole rise from 122.36 through 148.42. On the downside, break of 142.49 will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. As long as 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 holds, another rising leg would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 and possibly above. However, firm break of 135.39 will bring retest of 122.36, with prospect of resuming the larger down trend from 195.86.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.15; (P) 142.83; (R1) 143.33; More….

GBP/JPY’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside for 144.77 resistance. Consolidation pattern from 148.42 should have completed three waves down to 135.58, after hitting 135.39 fibonacci level. Break of 144.77 should extend whole rise from 122.36 through 148.42. On the downside, break of 140.04 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. As long as 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 holds, another rising leg would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 and possibly above. However, firm break of 135.39 will bring retest of 122.36, with prospect of resuming the larger down trend from 195.86.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.86; (P) 141.76; (R1) 143.47; More….

GBP/JPY’s rally continues and reaches as high as 143.20 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 144.77 resistance. Consolidation pattern from 148.42 should have completed three waves down to 135.58, after hitting 135.39 fibonacci level. Break of 144.77 should extend whole rise from 122.36 through 148.42. On the downside, break of 140.04 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. As long as 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 holds, another rising leg would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 and possibly above. However, firm break of 135.39 will bring retest of 122.36, with prospect of resuming the larger down trend from 195.86.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.72; (P) 140.88; (R1) 141.58; More….

With 139.19 minor support intact, intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for 144.77 resistance. Consolidation pattern from 148.42 should have completed three waves down to 135.58, after hitting 135.39 fibonacci level. Break of 144.77 should extend whole rise from 122.36 through 148.42. On the downside, break of 139.19 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. As long as 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 holds, another rising leg would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 and possibly above. However, firm break of 135.39 will bring retest of 122.36, with prospect of resuming the larger down trend from 195.86.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.17; (P) 139.66; (R1) 140.13; More….

GBP/JPY rises to as high as 141.88 so far today. The strong break of 140.08 resistance should affirm our bullish view. That is, consolidation pattern from 148.42 has completed with three waves down to 135.58, after hitting 135.39 fibonacci level. Intraday bias is back on the upside and current rise should extend to 144.77 resistance next. On the downside, break of 139.19 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. As long as 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 holds, another rising leg would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 and possibly above. However, firm break of 135.39 will bring retest of 122.36, with prospect of resuming the larger down trend from 195.86.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY formed a short term bottom at 135.58 last week, just ahead of 135.39 medium term fibonacci level. The development argues that whole consolidation pattern from 148.42 has completed. But we’d prefer to see decisive break of 140.08 resistance to confirm. At this point, we’re favoring the bullish case and expect further upside in GBP/JPY ahead.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

Initial bias in GBP/JPY is neutral this week for some consolidations. But as long as 138.30 minor support holds, further rally is expected. Decisive break of 140.08 resistance should affirm our bullish view and target 144.77 resistance next. However, break of 138.30 will turn focus back to 135.58 low instead.

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. As long as 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 holds, another rising leg would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 and possibly above. However, firm break of 135.39 will bring retest of 122.36, with prospect of resuming the larger down trend from 195.86.

GBP/JPY Weekly Chart

In the longer term picture, while price actions from 122.36 would develop into a medium term correction, fall from 195.86 is still seen as resuming the down trend from 251.09 (2007 high). Hence, after the correction from 122.36 completes we’d expect another fall through 116.83 low.

GBP/JPY Monthly Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.21; (P) 139.77; (R1) 140.59; More….

With 138.30 minor support intact, further rise is still expected in GBP/JPY. Current developments argues that consolidation pattern from 148.42 is possibly completed at 135.58, just ahead of 135.39 fibonacci level. Decisive break of 140.08 resistance will affirm this case. GBP/JPY should then target a test on 148.42 key resistance level. However, break of 138.30 will turn focus back to 135.58 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. As long as 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 holds, another rising leg would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 and possibly above. However, firm break of 135.39 will bring retest of 122.36, with prospect of resuming the larger down trend from 195.86.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.61; (P) 139.40; (R1) 139.88; More

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside with cautiously bullish outlook. Current developments argues that consolidation pattern from 148.42 is possibly completed at 135.58, just ahead of 135.39 fibonacci level. Decisive break of 140.08 resistance will affirm this case. GBP/JPY should then target a test on 148.42 key resistance level. Meanwhile, this bullish case will be favored as long as 138.30 minor support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. As long as 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 holds, another rising leg would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 and possibly above. However, firm break of 135.39 will bring retest of 122.36, with prospect of resuming the larger down trend from 195.86.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.92; (P) 138.46; (R1) 140.80; More

GBP/JPY rises to as high as 140.01 so far, just inch below 140.08 near term resistance. Current developments argues that consolidation pattern from 148.42 is possibly completed at 135.58, just ahead of 135.39 fibonacci level. Intraday bias stays on the upside and break of 140.08 will affirm this case. GBP/JPY should then target a test on 148.42 key resistance level. Meanwhile, this bullish case will be favored as long as 137.33 minor support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. As long as 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 holds, another rising leg would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 and possibly above. However, firm break of 135.39 will bring retest of 122.36, with prospect of resuming the larger down trend from 195.86.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.94; (P) 136.45; (R1) 137.33; More

GBP/JPY’s strong break of 137.51 indicates short term bottoming at 135.58, ahead of 135.39 fibonacci level. The consolidation pattern from 148.82 could have completed today. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 140.08 resistance first. Break will affirm this case and target a test on 148.42 resistance next. For now, outlook will stays cautiously bullish as long as 135.58 support holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. As long as 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 holds, another rising leg would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 and possibly above. However, firm break of 135.39 will bring retest of 122.36, with prospect of resuming the larger down trend from 195.86.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.36; (P) 136.84; (R1) 137.16; More

A temporary low is formed at 135.58, ahead of medium term fibonacci level at 135.39. Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first. As noted before, we’re viewing price actions from 148.42 as a corrective pattern. Break of 137.51 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside. Break of 140.08 resistance will confirm near term reversal. However, sustained break of 135.39 will dampen our view and target next fibonacci level at 132.31.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. As long as 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 holds, another rising leg would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 and possibly above. However, firm break of 135.39 will bring retest of 122.36, with prospect of resuming the larger down trend from 195.86.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY’s choppy fall from 144.77 extended last week and reached as low as 135.99. Such decline is expected to continue to medium term fibonacci level at 135.29. At this point, since we’re viewing price actions from 148.42 as a corrective pattern. We’ll look for support from 135.29 to contain downside and bring rebound.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

Initial bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside tis week for medium term fibonacci level at 135.39. We’d anticipate strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 137.51 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside. Break of 140.08 resistance will confirm near term reversal. However, sustained break of 135.39 will dampen our view and target next fibonacci level at 132.31.

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. As long as 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 holds, another rising leg would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 and possibly above. However, firm break of 135.39 will bring retest of 122.36, with prospect of resuming the larger down trend from 195.86.

GBP/JPY Weekly Chart

In the longer term picture, while price actions from 122.36 would develop into a medium term correction, fall from 195.86 is still seen as resuming the down trend from 251.09 (2007 high). Hence, after the correction from 122.36 completes we’d expect another fall through 116.83 low.

GBP/JPY Monthly Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.36; (P) 136.84; (R1) 137.16; More

With 138.25 minor resistance intact, choppy decline from 144.77 is expected to extend lower. Nonetheless, price actions from 148.42 are still viewed as a corrective pattern. There, we’d anticipate strong support from 135.39 medium term fibonacci level to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 138.25 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 140.08 resistance. Break will indicate near term reversal. However, sustained break of 135.39 will target 61.8% retracement at 132.31.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Or, sustained break of 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 will turn outlook bearish for a test on 122.36 low. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.58; (P) 137.15; (R1) 137.48; More

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside as choppy fall from 144.77 continues. The cross should target medium term fibonacci level at 135.39. At this point, price actions from 148.42 are viewed as a correction. Hence, we’d anticipate strong support from 135.39 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 138.25 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 140.08 resistance. Break will indicate near term reversal. However, sustained break of 135.39 will target 61.8% retracement at 132.31.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Or, sustained break of 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 will turn outlook bearish for a test on 122.36 low. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.23; (P) 137.75; (R1) 138.21; More

No change in GBP/JPY’s outlook. Near term outlook stays mildly bearish and further decline is expected with 140.08 resistance intact. But still, choppy price actions from 148.42 are viewed as a corrective pattern. Hence, we’d anticipate strong support from medium term fibonacci level at 135.39 to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 140.08 resistance will now indicate near term reversal and turn bias back to the upside for 142.79 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Or, sustained break of 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 will turn outlook bearish for a test on 122.36 low. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.73; (P) 137.54; (R1) 138.18; More

Further fall is expected in GBP/JPY with 140.08 resistance intact. But still, choppy price actions from 148.42 are viewed as a corrective pattern. Hence, we’d anticipate strong support from medium term fibonacci level at 135.39 to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 140.08 resistance will now indicate near term reversal and turn bias back to the upside for 142.79 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Or, sustained break of 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 will turn outlook bearish for a test on 122.36 low. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GB/JPY’s choppy fall from 144.77 resumed last week with weak downside momentum. The cross will likely continue to spiral lower in near term. But overall, price actions from 148.42 are corrective in nature. Thus, we’d slight favor the case for medium term rebound from 122.36 to resume in a later stage.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

Initial bias in GBP/JPY remains mildly on the downside this week. Current fall from 144.77 would target medium term fibonacci level at 135.39. We’d anticipate strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 140.08 resistance will now indicate near term reversal and turn bias back to the upside for 142.79 resistance first.

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Or, sustained break of 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 will turn outlook bearish for a test on 122.36 low. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78.

GBP/JPY Weekly Chart

In the longer term picture, while price actions from 122.36 would develop into a medium term correction, fall from 195.86 is still seen as resuming the down trend from 251.09 (2007 high). Hence, after the correction from 122.36 completes we’d expect another fall through 116.83 low.

GBP/JPY Monthly Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.67; (P) 138.19; (R1) 138.67; More

With 140.08 resistance intact, deeper decline is expected in GBP/JPY. Choppy fall from 144.77 would target medium term fibonacci level at 135.39. Overall, price action from 148.42 are seen as a consolidation pattern. We’ll look for bottoming around 135.39. Meanwhile, break of 140.08 resistance is needed to indicate short term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Or, sustained break of 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 will turn outlook bearish for a test on 122.36 low. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.41; (P) 138.22; (R1) 139.00; More

With 140.08 resistance intact, further fall is expected in GBP/JPY. Decline from 144.77 would target medium term fibonacci level at 135.39. Overall, price action from 148.42 are seen as a consolidation pattern. We’ll look for bottoming around 135.39. Meanwhile, break of 140.08 resistance is needed to indicate short term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Or, sustained break of 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 will turn outlook bearish for a test on 122.36 low. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart