GBP/JPY’s recovery last week was limited below 142.75 minor resistance and there is no confirmation of completion of fall from 148.09 yet. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 138.65 will resume the decline from 148.09. In that case, we’d look for bottoming signal around 135.58, which is close to 135.39 fibonacci level, to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 142.75 should confirm completion of the fall from 148.09 and turn bias back to the upside for this resistance.

In the bigger picture, while the fall from 148.09 is deeper than expected, we’re not bearish in the cross yet. Price action from 148.42 is possibly developing into a sideway pattern with fall from 148.09 as the third leg. Deeper decline could be seen but we’re looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Rise from 122.36 is still mildly in favor to resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 135.58/39 will confirm reversal and target a retest on 122.36 low.

In the longer term picture, based on the impulsive structure of the decline from 195.86 to 122.36, such fall should not be completed yet. But we will now pay close attention to the structure of the rise from 122.36 to determine whether it’s a corrective move, or an impulsive move. That would decide whether a break of 116.83 low would be seen.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.70; (P) 150.01; (R1) 150.37; More

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. At this point, we’re still favoring the case that recovery from 146.92 has completed at 151.92. Another fall is expected and below 148.65 should send GBP/JPY through 146.92. We’d expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 139.29 to 152.82 at 144.45 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 151.92 will retest 152.82 high instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 122.36 is still expected to resume after corrective pull back from 152.82 completes. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, break of 139.29 will indicate rejection from 150.43 key fibonacci level. And the three wave corrective structure of rebound from 122.36 will argue that larger down trend is resuming for a new low below 122.26.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.55; (P) 153.31; (R1) 154.66; More…

GBP/JPY recovered strongly after hitting 151.95 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. But still, as 156.07 is seen as a short term top, another fall is expected ahead. Break of 151.95 will target 150.18 support first. Break will extend the decline to 149.96 key support level. Meanwhile, above 156.07 will resume larger up trend to 167.78 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, as long as 146.96 key support holds, medium term outlook remains bullish. Rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78. However, break of 146.96 support will indicate trend reversal. And there would be prospect of retesting 122.36 in that case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.62; (P) 145.57; (R1) 147.27; More

GBP/JPY’s rise from 139.29 is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside for 147.76/148.42 resistance zone. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of medium term rebound from 122.36. On the downside, below 145.32 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. Overall, for the moment, GBP/JPY is still bounded in sideway consolidation pattern from 148.42.

In the bigger picture, the sideway pattern from 148.42 is still unfolding. In case of deeper fall, we’d expect strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Medium term rise from 122.36 is expected to resume later. And break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. However, firm break of 135.58/39 will dampen the bullish view and turn focus back to 122.36 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.39; (P) 162.12; (R1) 162.59; More…

Range trading continues as consolidation pattern from 168.67 is extending. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 163.91 will bring stronger rise to 166.31 resistance. On the downside, below 160.07 will turn bias to the downside for 159.42 and below.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.53; (P) 143.36; (R1) 144.78; More….

GBP/JPY’s rally and break of 142.75 resistance indicates completion of fall from 148.09. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 148.09/42 resistance zone. Decisive break there will resume whole rebound from 122.36. On the downside, below 141.95 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 138.65 support instead.

In the bigger picture, while the fall from 148.09 is deeper than expected, we’re not bearish in the cross yet. Price action from 148.42 is possibly developing into a sideway pattern with fall from 148.09 as the third leg. Deeper decline could be seen but we’re looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Rise from 122.36 is still mildly in favor to resume at a later stage. Decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.53; (P) 144.01; (R1) 144.74; More….

While GBP/JPY is losing upside momentum, there is no sign of topping yet. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 144.77 resistance. As noted before, consolidation pattern from 148.42 has completed at 135.58, ahead of 135.39 medium term fibonacci level. Break of 144.77 will resume the whole rebound from 122.36 through 148.42 resistance. On the downside, break of 143.13 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, rise from 122.36 bottom should be developing into a medium term move. Break of 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 should pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. This will now be the favored case as long as 135.58 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.48; (P) 142.08; (R1) 142.68; More

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 141.17 will target 139.29 support first. Break will extend the fall from 147.76 and target 135.58 key support level. At this point, price actions from 148.42 are seen as a sideway consolidation pattern. Hence, we’ll expect strong support from 135.58 to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 143.18 will indicate short term reversal and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, the sideway pattern from 148.42 is still unfolding. In case of deeper fall, we’d expect strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Medium term rise from 122.36 is expected to resume later. And break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. However, firm break of 135.58/39 will dampen the bullish view and turn focus back to 122.36 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.18; (P) 151.69; (R1) 152.21; More…

GBP/JPY recovered after hitting 151.14 and intraday bias is turned neutral again. On the downside, below 151.14 will bring deeper fall back to retest 148.43. On the upside, though, break of 153.42 resistance will resume the rebound from 148.43 to retest 156.05 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus remains on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, sustained break of 149.03 support, however, will argue that rise from 123.94 has completed. Further break of 142.71 would open up the bearish case for retesting 122.75 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 190.54; (P) 191.15; (R1) 191.94; More…..

GBP/JPY is extending consolidation below 193.51 and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 187.94 support holds. On the upside, break of 193.51 will resume larger up trend to 61.8% projection of 178.32 to 191.29 from 187.94 at 195.95, which is close to 195.86 long term resistance.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 123.94 (2020 low), and is in progress for long term resistance (2015 high). Break of 187.94 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.21; (P) 139.77; (R1) 140.59; More….

With 138.30 minor support intact, further rise is still expected in GBP/JPY. Current developments argues that consolidation pattern from 148.42 is possibly completed at 135.58, just ahead of 135.39 fibonacci level. Decisive break of 140.08 resistance will affirm this case. GBP/JPY should then target a test on 148.42 key resistance level. However, break of 138.30 will turn focus back to 135.58 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. As long as 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 holds, another rising leg would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 and possibly above. However, firm break of 135.39 will bring retest of 122.36, with prospect of resuming the larger down trend from 195.86.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.58; (P) 137.15; (R1) 137.48; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside as choppy fall from 144.77 continues. The cross should target medium term fibonacci level at 135.39. At this point, price actions from 148.42 are viewed as a correction. Hence, we’d anticipate strong support from 135.39 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 138.25 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 140.08 resistance. Break will indicate near term reversal. However, sustained break of 135.39 will target 61.8% retracement at 132.31.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Or, sustained break of 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 will turn outlook bearish for a test on 122.36 low. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.90; (P) 151.88; (R1) 152.42; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 151.39 minor support argues that rebound from 149.16 has completed at 152.82, well ahead of 153.42 resistance. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 148.43/149.16 support zone. Decisive break there will resume whole decline from 156.05 high, and carry larger bearish implications. On the upside, though, break of 152.82 will resume the rebound to 153.42 near term structural resistance.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 149.03 support holds, such rise would still resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 149.03 support will indicate rejection by 156.59. Fall from 156.05 would be at least correcting the whole rise from 123.94. Deeper fall would be seen back 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 156.05 at 143.78 first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.23; (P) 151.35; (R1) 152.16; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. We’re favoring the case that consolidation from 152.82 has completed at 146.96 already. Break of 152.82 will resume medium term rally to 61.8% projection of 139.29 to 152.82 from 146.96 at 155.32. This will be the preferred case as long as 146.96 support holds.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 122.36 is still expected to resume after consolidation from 152.82 completes. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, break of 46.96 support will indicate rejection from 150.43 key fibonacci level. And the three wave corrective structure of rebound from 122.36 will argue that larger down trend is resuming for a new low below 122.26.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.47; (P) 145.38; (R1) 146.06; More

Break of 145.25 support suggests that fall from 147.76 is resuming. intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 144.07) first. Sustained break there will target r138.65 support and below. But we’d expect strong support from 135.58 to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 122.36 is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43. Decisive break there will carry long term bullish implications and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. In case the sideway pattern from 148.42 extends, we’d be looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.50; (P) 139.97; (R1) 140.66; More

A temporary low is in place at 139.39 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Deeper decline is mildly in favor as long as 143.18 resistance holds. Fall from 147.76 could extend through 138.65 support towards 135.58 key support level. At this point, price actions from 148.42 are seen as a sideway consolidation pattern. Hence, we’ll expect strong support from 135.58 to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 143.18 will indicate short term reversal and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, the sideway pattern from 148.42 is extending with another leg. We’d expect strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Medium term rise from 122.36 is still expected to resume later. And break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. However, firm break of 135.58/39 will dampen the bullish view and turn focus back to 122.36 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.66; (P) 142.19; (R1) 142.68; More

GBP/JPY recovers further today but stays below 144.01 support turned resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral with bearish near term outlook. Below 141.24 will extend the fall from 147.76 to 138.65 support and below. As GBP/JPY is seen as staying in consolidation pattern from 148.42, we’d expect strong support from 135.58 to contain downside. On the upside, break of 144.01 will indicate completion of the decline from 147.76 and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, the sideway pattern from 148.42 is extending with another leg. But we’d expect strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Medium term rise from 122.36 is still expected to resume later. And break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. However, firm break of 135.58/39 will dampen the bullish view and turn focus back to 122.36 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 165.54; (P) 166.48; (R1) 167.45; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall resumed after brief recovery and intraday bias is back on the downside for 163.02 support. Break there will resume the whole decline from 172.11 and target 159.71 support next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 167.40 minor resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of medium term topping yet. Up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) could still resume through 172.11 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 159.71 support will argue that it’s already in correction to the up trend from 123.94, and deeper decline would be seen back towards 148.93 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.95; (P) 142.78; (R1) 143.89; More…

A temporary top is in place at 144.77 in GBP/JPY and intraday bias is turned neutral first. As long as 140.74 minor support holds, we’d holding on to the bullish view. That is, corrective fall from 148.42 has completed at 136.44 already. On the upside, above 144.77 will target 148.42 high first. Break there will resume whole rise from 122.46 and target 150.42 long term fibonacci level next. On the downside, however, below 140.74 will turn bias to the downside to extend the pattern from 148.42 with another falling leg, possibly through 136.44.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern even. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Though, sustained break will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.44; (P) 142.96; (R1) 143.76; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation pattern from 147.95 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 140.92 will target 38.2% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 at 139.77. On the upside, above 144.60 resistance will bring stronger rebound to retest 147.95 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. However, sustained break of 139.31 support will dampen this case and turn medium term outlook neutral first.