GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY dropped further to as low as 139.88 last week but turned sideway ahead of 139.29/47 key support level. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. As long as 142.46 minor resistance holds, deeper fall is still in favor. Sustained break of 139.29 will carry larger bearish implication and target 135.58 support next. Though, break of 142.46 will indicate short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the current downside accelerate makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

In the longer term picture, the failure to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 152.88) is mixing up the outlook. Nonetheless, as long as 139.29 holds, rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 (2016 low) at 159.11, and possibly further to 61.8% retracement at 167.78 before completion. However, firm break of 139.29 will turn focus back to 116.83/122.36 support zone instead.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.34; (P) 140.83; (R1) 141.46; More…

Intraday bias remains neutral for consolidation above 139.88 temporary low. Deeper fall could be seen. But considering loss of downside momentum, downside will be contained by 139.29/47 key support level to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 142.46 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the current downside accelerate makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.76; (P) 140.76; (R1) 141.64; More…

GBP/JPY dipped to 139.88 but quickly recovered from there. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Considering mildly bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, in case of another fall, downside will be contained by 139.29/47 key support level to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 142.46 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the current downside accelerate makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.77; (P) 141.58; (R1) 142.17; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall resumed after brief consolidation and reaches as low as 139.88 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Current decline from 156.59 should target 139.29/47 key support level. We’ll pay attention to bottoming signal around there. But decisive of this support will carry larger bearish implications. On the upside, break of 142.46 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the current downside accelerate makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.77; (P) 141.58; (R1) 142.17; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 140.23 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Stronger recovery cannot be ruled out. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 143.48 minor resistance holds. On the downside, break of 140.23 will extend the down trend from 156.59 to 139.29/47 key support level. We’ll pay attention to bottoming signal around there.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the current downside accelerate makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.43; (P) 141.14; (R1) 142.03; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral with a temporary low formed at 140.23. Some consolidations would be seen but deeper decline remains in favor as long as 143.48 minor resistance holds. Below 140.23 will extend the down trend from 156.59 to 139.29/47 key support level. We’ll pay attention to bottoming signal around there.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the current downside accelerate makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.87; (P) 141.78; (R1) 142.57; More…

GBP/JPY drops to as low as 140.23 so far and intraday bias remains on the downside. Current decline should target 139.29/47 key support level. We’ll pay attention to bottoming signal around there. Nonetheless, , break of 143.48 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the current downside accelerate makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY dropped sharply to as low as 140.92 last week. Strong break of 143.18 support confirmed resumption of whole decline from 156.59. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 139.29/47 key support level. We’ll pay attention to bottoming signal around that level. On the upside, break of 143.48 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the current downside accelerate makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

In the longer term picture, the failure to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 152.88) is mixing up the outlook. Nonetheless, as long as 139.29 holds, rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 (2016 low) at 159.11, and possibly further to 61.8% retracement at 167.78 before completion. However, firm break of 139.29 will turn focus back to 116.83/122.36 support zone instead.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.07; (P) 142.79; (R1) 143.17; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall continues to as low as 141.05 so far and intraday bias remains on the downside. Decline from 156.59 is in progress for 139.29/47 key support level. On the upside, above 142.00 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation. But recovery should be limited well below 145.25 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of deeper fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 will confirm medium term reversal and turn outlook bearish for 122.36 (2016 low) again.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.35; (P) 143.32; (R1) 143.89; More…

GBP/JPY drops to as low as 142.33 so far today. Intraday bias remains on the downside. Current decline from 156.59 should target 139.29/47 key support level. On the upside, above 143.26 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation. But recovery should be limited by 145.25 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of deeper fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 will confirm medium term reversal and turn outlook bearish for 122.36 (2016 low) again.

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.79; (P) 144.12; (R1) 144.42; More…

GBP/JPY’s decline accelerates to as low as 142.71 so far today. The firm break of 143.18 confirms resumption of larger decline from 156.59. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 139.29/47 key support level. On the upside, above 143.80 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation. But recovery should be limited by 145.25 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of deeper fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 will confirm medium term reversal and turn outlook bearish for 122.36 (2016 low) again.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.79; (P) 144.12; (R1) 144.42; More…

GBP/JPY falls to as low as 143.15 so far and intraday bias remains on the downside. Decisive break of 143.18 low will resume larger decline from 156.59 and target 139.29/47 key support level next. On the upside, 144.26 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay mildly bearish as long as 147.13 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 will confirm medium term reversal and turn outlook bearish for 122.36 (2016 low) again.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.90; (P) 144.32; (R1) 144.59; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays on the downside for 143.18 key support. Deceive break there will resume larger decline from 156.59 and target 139.29/47 key support level next. On the upside, 144.72 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay mildly bearish as long as 147.13 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.28; (P) 144.92; (R1) 145.32; More…

GBP/JPY’s decline continues today and reaches as low as 144.03 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 143.18 key support. Deceive break there will resume larger decline from 156.59 and target 139.29/47 key support level next. On the upside, 144.98 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay mildly bearish as long as 147.13 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.28; (P) 144.92; (R1) 145.32; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside as this point. The consolidation pattern from 143.18 should have completed with three waves up to 149.30 already. Deeper fall should be seen to 143.18/76 support zone. Deceive break there will resume larger decline from 156.59. On the upside, above 145.53 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay mildly bearish as long as 147.13 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY’s rebound was limited at 147.13 last week. Subsequent decline pushed the cross through 145.25 low to resume the fall from 149.30. More importantly, the development revived the case that consolidation pattern from 143.18 has completed with three waves up to 149.30. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 143.18/76 support zone. Deceive break there will resume larger decline from 156.59. On the upside, above 145.53 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay mildly bearish as long as 147.13 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

In the longer term picture, the failure to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.00) is mixing up the outlook. Nonetheless, as long as 139.29 holds, rise from 122.26 is in favor to extend to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 (2016 low) at 159.11, and possibly further to 61.8% retracement at 167.78 before completion. However, firm break of 139.29 will turn focus back to 116.83/122.36 support zone instead.

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.67; (P) 145.68; (R1) 146.35; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall extends to as low as 144.69 so far and intraday bias remains on the downside for 143.18 low. As noted before, consolidation pattern from 143.18 has completed with three waves up to 149.30 already. Break of 143.18 will extend larger fall from 156.69 to key support level at 139.29/47. On the upside, above 145.53 minor resistance will turn intraday bias remains neutral first. But near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 147.13 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.67; (P) 145.68; (R1) 146.35; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside as fall from 149.30 is in progress. As noted before, consolidation pattern from 143.18 has completed with three waves up to 149.30 already. Deeper fall would be seen to 143.18 support first. Break will extend larger fall from 156.69 to key support level at 139.29/47. This will be the preferred case as long as 147.13 minor resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.25; (P) 146.70; (R1) 147.09; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 145.24 indicates resumption of fall from 149.30. It also revive the case that consolidation pattern from 143.18 has completed with three waves up to 149.30 already. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 143.18 support first. Break will extend larger fall from 156.69 to key support level at 139.29/47. This will be the preferred case as long as 147.13 minor resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.25; (P) 146.70; (R1) 147.09; More…

GBP/JPY retreated notably after hitting 147.13 and intraday bias is turned neutral again. On the upside, above 147.13 will extend the rebound from 145.25 to 149.30/99 resistance zone. On the downside, below 145.25 will resume the fall from 149.30 to 143.18/76 support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 156.59 is seen as a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.