GBP/JPY’s rebound from 126.54 resumed last week and accelerated to as high as 137.89. Current development argues that such rise is the third leg of a long term consolidation pattern. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 61.8% retracement of 148.84 to 126.54 at 140.33. Firm break there will pave the way to 148.87 resistance next. On the downside, below 136.46 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is still in progress with rise from 126.54 as the third leg. Further rise should be seen back to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. For now, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. And, this will remain the favored case as long as 130.42 support holds.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are seen as developing into a consolidation pattern. That is, long term down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) and that from 251.09 (2007 high) are still in favor to extend through 116.83 (2011 low). We’ll hold on to this bearish view as long as 156.59 key resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.03; (P) 138.52; (R1) 138.99; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is back on the upside with breach of 139.20. Firm break of 139.73 resistance resume the whole rise from 123.94 and target 100% projection of 123.94 to 135.74 from 129.27 at 141.07. Nevertheless, break of 136.62 will turn intraday bias back to the downside to extend the consolidation pattern from 139.73.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is currently seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 180.43; (P) 181.80; (R1) 182.79; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first as it recovered after dipping to 180.78. Further decline is expected as long as 183.34 support turned resistance holds. Below 180.78 will resume the fall from 186.75, as a larger scale correction, to 176.29 support next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 176.29 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress. Break of 186.75 will target 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 176.29 will confirm medium term topping, and turn outlook neutral for lengthier and deeper consolidations.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.36; (P) 144.91; (R1) 145.21; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside or 142.76 support. Sustained break there will bring retest of 139.39/47 key support zone. On the upside, above 145.99 support turned resistance could bring stronger rebound. But near tem outlook will be neutral at best as long as 149.70 key resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.57; (P) 139.87; (R1) 140.16; More…

No change in GBP/JPY’s outlook as further rise is mildly in favor with 136.96 support intact. Choppy rise from 133.03 should target a test on 141.71 high. Though, break of 136.96 will will turn near term outlook bearish for deeper fall.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.61; (P) 164.54; (R1) 166.17; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally is in progress today and intraday bias stays on the upside for 168.40 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, below 162.88 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 150.95 support holds, even in case of deep pull back. However, firm break of 150.95 will indicate rejection by 167.93, and bearish trend reversal.

GBP/JPY’s decline from 148.95 accelerated to as low as 131.22 last week. While downside momentum diminished as bit as seen in 4 hour MACD. There is no clear sign of bottoming yet. Further fall is expected this week as long as 137.20 resistance holds, for retesting 126.54 low. On the upside, break of 137.20 resistance, however, will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound could then be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 140.20).

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) is not completed yet. Break of 126.54 should indicate that such down trend is resuming through 122.75 low.

In the longer term picture, GBP/JPY was rejected by 55 month EMA again, which keep outlook bearish. Large fall from 195.86 (2015 high) is in progress. It’s likely resuming whole decline from 251.09 (2007 high). This will be the favored case as long as 156.59 key resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.28; (P) 132.98; (R1) 133.57; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. We’re favoring the case that corrective rebound from 123.94 has completed at 135.74. Break of 131.90 will turn bias to the downside for retesting 123.94 low. On the upside, in case of another rise, upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92 to bring near term reversal.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 165.92; (P) 166.89; (R1) 168.00; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral with current retreat. On the upside, decisive break of 168.67 resistance will resume larger up trend. Next near term target is 100% projection of 155.57 to 168.67 from 159.97 at 173.07. On the downside, below 164.45 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 159.97 support instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY dropped to as low as 123.94 last week, then formed a short term bottom there and recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. In case of stronger rise, upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92 to bring fall resumption. Break of 123.94 will resume larger down trend.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) could be resuming. Break of 116.83 will target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.24; (P) 163.99; (R1) 164.97; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is mildly on the upside with break of 164.63 minor resistance. Further rise could be seen to retest 168.67 high. On the downside, below 161.56 will target 159.97 support. Firm break there will raise the chance of rejection by 167.93 long term fibonacci resistance. Deeper fall would be seen to 155.57 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.23; (P) 147.70; (R1) 148.10; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Sustained break of 147.95 resistance will extend the up trend from 123.94 to 100% projection of 123.94 to 142.71 from 133.03 at 151.80 next. Nevertheless, break of 146.39 support will indicate short term topping and turn bias to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the sideway pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Break of 147.95 will target 156.59 resistance (2018 high). On the downside, break of 133.03 support is needed to confirm completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor even in case of pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.73; (P) 145.48; (R1) 146.36; More…

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 144.37 continues today and focus is back on 146.46 minor resistance. Firm break will suggests that rebound from 143.18 is still in progress. Intraday bias will be turned to the upside for 148.10 resistance and above. On the downside, below 144.37 will target 143.18 first. Break will resume larger decline from 156.59 and target 139.25/47 cluster support level.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 175.25; (P) 176.05; (R1) 177.65; More…

GBP/JPY’s up trend is still in progress. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 100% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 178.51 next. Strong resistance could be seen from there to bring pull back, at least on first attempt. On the downside, break of 174.33 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is extending. Next target will be 161.8% projection of 122.75 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) from 123.94 at 178.69. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 167.82 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.16; (P) 145.34; (R1) 145.47; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as it’s staying in consolidation from 148.87. More sideway trading could be seen. For now, further rise remains in favor as long as 143.72 support holds. Decisive break of 149.48 key resistance will carry larger bullish in implications and target 156.58 resistance next. However, on the downside, sustained break of 143.72 will indicate near term reversal, after rejection by 149.48 key resistance. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 141.00 support first.

In the bigger picture, focus is staying on 149.98 key resistance. Decisive break there should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Rise from 131.51 is then seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). GBP/JPY should then target 156.59 and above. However, rejection by 149.98 will retain medium term bearishness and could extend the fall from 156.59 through 131.51 to 122.36.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 182.36; (P) 183.12; (R1) 184.03; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays mildly on the upside at this point. Current up trend should target 138.2% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 187.36. On the downside, break of 182.12 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is extending. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 182.94; (P) 183.45; (R1) 184.15; More…

GBP/JPY’s strong rally today confirms resumption of rise from 178.32. More importantly, the decisive break of 184.15 resistance indicates that correction from 188.63 has completed already. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 188.63 next. On the downside, break of 182.73 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 188.63 medium term top are seen as a correction to the up trend from 148.93 (2022 low) only. As long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in favor to resume through 188.63 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.11; (P) 143.61; (R1) 143.88; More…

With 142.16 minor support intact, further rise is expected in GBP/JPY, despite some loss of upside momentum. Current rally from 123.94 should target 61.8% projection of 123.94 to 142.71 from 133.03 at 144.62 first. Break will target 147.95 medium term structural resistance. On the downside, below 142.16 minor support will turn intraday bias to the downside for pull back towards channel support (now at 138.99).

In the bigger picture, rise of 123.94 is still as the third leg of the sideway pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Break of 147.95 will target 156.59 resistance (2018 high). On the downside, break of 133.03 support is needed to confirm completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor even in case of pull back.

GBP/JPY’s corrective rise from 126.54 resumed last week by breaking 130.69 resistance. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 38.2% retracement of 148.87 to 126.54 at 135.07. We’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 129.91 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 126.54.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains clearly bearish with GBP/JPY staying well below 55 week and 55 month EMA. Medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 122.75 (2016 low). We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But break of 135.66 resistance is needed to be the first sign of reversal. Sustained break of 122.36 will target next key level at 116.83 (2011 low).

In the longer term picture, for now, we’re treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern. Hence, strong support could be seen at 122.36 to bring rebound before the pattern completes. However, sustained break will raise the chance of resuming long term down trend from 251.09 (2007 high). Next downside target will be 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.36 from 156.59 at 111.16.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.34; (P) 140.83; (R1) 141.46; More…

Intraday bias remains neutral for consolidation above 139.88 temporary low. Deeper fall could be seen. But considering loss of downside momentum, downside will be contained by 139.29/47 key support level to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 142.46 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the current downside accelerate makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).